Alert archive / Mississippi / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 323

March 21, 2012Saint Bernard Parish, Louisiana; 8 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 21, 2012, 11:49 PM CDT for Saint Bernard Parish, Louisiana; 8 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 56 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 21, 2012, 11:49 PM CDT (04:49 UTC)
Expired
Mar 22, 2012, 12:45 AM CDT
In force
56 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Clarke County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Stone County, MS, Wayne County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 83 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2012-03-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 131 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2012-03-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -10 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
131 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-28 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
505 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
17 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

189 
ACUS11 KWNS 220449
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 220449 
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-220545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0323
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1149 PM CDT WED MAR 21 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 98...

VALID 220449Z - 220545Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 98 CONTINUES.

AN AREA OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE EXTENDED FROM SERN MS SSWWD THROUGH
FAR SERN LA AND THEN OFFSHORE INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO TO AT LEAST
200 SSW BVE.  OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATED DEEP LAYER MOISTURE FLUX
CONVERGENCE EXISTED OVER SERN MS AND THUS SHOULD SUPPORT ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION/TSTM DEVELOPMENT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.  TRENDS IN
LATE EVENING REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED THE REDEVELOPMENT OF
TSTMS OFFSHORE SERN MS /HARRISON COUNTY/ DURING THE LAST 3 HOURS...
WITH MORE RECENT TSTM DEVELOPMENT SWD ACROSS FAR SERN LA.  CAPE/
SHEAR PARAMETER SPACE /MUCAPE OF 500-1000 J/KG...EFFECTIVE BULK
SHEAR 40-50 KT AND EFFECTIVE SRH OF 200 M2 PER S2/ REMAIN SUFFICIENT
FOR ROTATING UPDRAFTS PRIMARILY OFFSHORE AND COASTAL AREAS.

FARTHER N ACROSS EAST CENTRAL MS...GREATER INHIBITION IS LIKELY
DETERRING PARCELS FROM REMAINING SURFACE BASED AND THUS LIMITING THE
TORNADO THREAT WITH NWD EXTENT.

..PETERS.. 03/22/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON   29138897 29508958 30228940 31518883 32578887 32568843
            29788825 29278840 29138897

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 21, 9:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPlaquemines, Saint Bernard93 min
Mar 22, 2:28 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGeorge, Greene, Jackson2 hr
Mar 22, 6:49 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGeorge, Jackson116 min
Mar 22, 7:15 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCGeorge, Harrison, Jackson, Stone5 hr
Mar 22, 9:53 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJackson67 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Louisiana, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.