Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 267

March 16, 201274 counties in Georgia; 14 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 16, 2012, 3:25 PM EDT for 74 counties in Georgia; 14 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 16, 2012, 3:25 PM EDT (19:25 UTC)
Expired
Mar 16, 2012, 5:30 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 88 counties

Appling County, GA, Atkinson County, GA, Bacon County, GA, Baldwin County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Bibb County, GA, Bleckley County, GA, Bryan County, GA, Bulloch County, GA, Burke County, GA, Butts County, GA, Candler County, GA, Clarke County, GA, Coffee County, GA, Columbia County, GA, Crawford County, GA, Crisp County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Dooly County, GA, Effingham County, GA, Elbert County, GA, Emanuel County, GA, Evans County, GA, Glascock County, GA, Greene County, GA, Hancock County, GA, Houston County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Jasper County, GA, Jeff Davis County, GA, Jefferson County, GA, Jenkins County, GA, Johnson County, GA, Jones County, GA, Lamar County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Lee County, GA, Lincoln County, GA, Long County, GA, Macon County, GA, Madison County, GA, McDuffie County, GA, Monroe County, GA, Montgomery County, GA, Morgan County, GA, Newton County, GA, Oconee County, GA, Oglethorpe County, GA, Peach County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Pulaski County, GA, Putnam County, GA, Richmond County, GA, Schley County, GA, Screven County, GA, Sumter County, GA, Taliaferro County, GA, Tattnall County, GA, Taylor County, GA, Telfair County, GA, Tift County, GA, Toombs County, GA, Treutlen County, GA, Turner County, GA, Twiggs County, GA, Walton County, GA, Warren County, GA, Washington County, GA, Wheeler County, GA, Wilcox County, GA, Wilkes County, GA, Wilkinson County, GA, Worth County, GA, Aiken County, SC, Allendale County, SC, Bamberg County, SC, Barnwell County, SC, Calhoun County, SC, Colleton County, SC, Dorchester County, SC, Edgefield County, SC, Hampton County, SC, Jasper County, SC, Lexington County, SC, McCormick County, SC, Orangeburg County, SC, Saluda County, SC

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 190 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2012-03-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 123 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2012-03-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 75 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
123 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-175 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1234 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
86 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

735 
ACUS11 KWNS 161925
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161925 
SCZ000-GAZ000-162130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0267
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0225 PM CDT FRI MAR 16 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN GA INTO WRN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 161925Z - 162130Z

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
ISOLATED INSTANCES OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER STORMS. A WW IS NOT EXPECTED.

TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE 80S THIS AFTERNOON LEADING TO A
MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH SBCAPE VALUES AROUND 2000-3000
J/KG. COMBINED WITH MODEST MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 6.5-7 DEG C/KM
PER 12Z REGIONAL RAOBS AND 18Z MESOANALYSIS...BRIEF BUT STRONG
UPDRAFTS ARE POSSIBLE. GIVEN THE LACK OF DEEP LAYER FORCING AND VERY
WEAK BULK SHEAR /LESS THAN 15 KT/...ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED AND ONLY SPORADIC INSTANCES OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL
AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED. THEREFORE WW IS NOT EXPECTED.

..LEITMAN.. 03/16/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON   34028124 34258294 34188333 33958373 33228410 32598436
            32128434 31958425 31398385 31198313 31208248 31278225
            31678182 32468067 33228017 33758036 34028124

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 16, 1:40 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartow, Carroll, Catoosa, Chattooga, Cherokee, Clayton and 30 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.