Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 198

March 1, 201214 counties in Georgia; Beaufort County, Jasper County, South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 1, 2012, 1:44 PM EST for 14 counties in Georgia; Beaufort County, Jasper County, South Carolina. It was in force for 91 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 1, 2012, 1:44 PM EST (18:44 UTC)
Expired
Mar 1, 2012, 3:15 PM EST
In force
91 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Bryan County, GA, Bulloch County, GA, Candler County, GA, Chatham County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Effingham County, GA, Emanuel County, GA, Evans County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Montgomery County, GA, Tattnall County, GA, Toombs County, GA, Treutlen County, GA, Wheeler County, GA, Beaufort County, SC, Jasper County, SC

The radar

The Charleston,SC radar (KCLX), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Charleston AFB, SC (KCHS), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2012-03-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 598 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2012-03-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 189 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
598 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-58 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
637 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
189 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
165 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
3.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

805 
ACUS11 KWNS 011844
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011844 
SCZ000-GAZ000-012015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0198
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1244 PM CST THU MAR 01 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL/SE GA INTO SRN SOUTH CAROLINA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 011844Z - 012015Z

THE NEED FOR A WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...BUT TRENDS WILL BE
MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT.

NARROW BAND OF CONVECTION AND DEVELOPING STORMS...CURRENTLY
EXTENDING FROM NEAR DUBLIN GA INTO AREAS SOUTH OF CHARLESTON SC...
APPEARS TO BE FOCUSED ON A PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE ZONE READILY
EVIDENT IN LATEST RUC 850 MB MOISTURE ANALYSIS.  ACTIVITY IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY MOST UNSTABLE CAPE
OF 500-1000+ J/KG...AND STRONG WESTERLY DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW AND
SHEAR OF 50+ KT...THOUGH WITH RATHER MODEST...AND WEAKENING...
LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELDS.  WITH FURTHER BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING...
CONDITIONS MAY BECOME SUPPORTIVE OF ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT AND
INTENSIFICATION...POSSIBLY ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR
MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS.  THROUGH 21-22Z...THE EAST-WEST
LINE OF STORMS WILL PROBABLY REMAIN SOUTH OF CHARLESTON...BUT COULD
SHIFT SOUTHWARD INTO THE SAVANNAH GA VICINITY...AND NEARBY
GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA COASTAL AREAS.

..KERR.. 03/01/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...

LAT...LON   32388348 32598257 32678147 32558061 32458049 31968079
            31828138 31908229 31998307 32388348

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 1, 4:00 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Barrow, Bibb, Burke, Butts, Carroll and 51 more90 min
Mar 1, 11:24 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Calhoun, Chattahoochee, Clay, Crisp, Decatur and 14 more96 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.