Alert archive / North Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1808

August 24, 201219 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 24, 2012, 10:36 PM CDT for 19 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 54 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 24, 2012, 10:36 PM CDT (03:36 UTC)
Expired
Aug 24, 2012, 11:30 PM CDT
In force
54 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Barnes County, ND, Cass County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Foster County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Griggs County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Steele County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Traill County, ND, Walsh County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 3.6 hours before the alert went out and 188 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2012-08-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 477 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2012-08-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 332 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
477 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-80 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2905 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
332 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
449 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

732 
ACUS11 KWNS 250337
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250336
MNZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-250430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1808
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1036 PM CDT FRI AUG 24 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 588...

VALID 250336Z - 250430Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 588
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE WEATHER THREAT /STRONG WIND GUST/ SHOULD REMAIN
GENERALLY ISOLATED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE VALID TIME FOR WW
588...WITH A FURTHER DIMINISHING TREND IN THE COVERAGE OF INTENSE
STORMS.

DISCUSSION...ASIDE FROM A BRIEF INCREASE IN TSTM DEVELOPMENT/
INTENSITY ACROSS KIDDER COUNTY ND BETWEEN 0230-03Z...OVERALL TRENDS
IN REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY AND 7 KM AND 9 KM CAPPI LEVELS SUGGEST THE
THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WITHIN THE REMAINING PORTION OF WW 588 IS
DIMINISHING. THE COLDEST CLOUD TOPS WERE LOCATED OVER EAST
CENTRAL-NERN ND WHICH APPEARS TO BE CO-LOCATED WITH THE STRONGER
FORCING FOR ASCENT SPREADING ENEWD AHEAD OF THE PROGRESSIVE SRN
SASKATCHEWAN SHORTWAVE TROUGH. AS STATED...THE OVERALL SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO WANE ACROSS ERN ND DUE TO AN
INCREASE IN SURFACE BASED INHIBITION.  HOWEVER...THE AFOREMENTIONED
ASCENT WITH THE UPPER TROUGH AND LOW LEVEL WAA INTO THIS REGION WILL
LIKELY MAINTAIN CONVECTION WITH EMBEDDED ELEVATED TSTMS INTO THE
EARLY OVERNIGHT WITH ACTIVITY REACHING NWRN MN.

..PETERS.. 08/25/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...BIS...

LAT...LON   48559837 48259714 46909684 45959694 45899894 45949976
            47179938 48399932 48559837

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 24, 7:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Benson, Burleigh, Cass, Dickey, Eddy and 17 more53 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Dakota, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.