Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1765

August 15, 201244 counties in North Carolina; 4 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 15, 2012, 2:01 PM EDT for 44 counties in North Carolina; 4 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 89 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 15, 2012, 2:01 PM EDT (18:01 UTC)
Expired
Aug 15, 2012, 3:30 PM EDT
In force
89 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 48 counties

Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Camden County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Orange County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, Southampton County, VA

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 117 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-08-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 146 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-08-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -2 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
146 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-85 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1222 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 15, 2:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 46 more6 hr
Aug 15, 4:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bladen, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Columbus and 15 more86 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.