Alert archive / New Jersey / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1731

August 10, 20127 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 10, 2012, 8:21 AM EDT for 7 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 10, 2012, 8:21 AM EDT (12:21 UTC)
Expired
Aug 10, 2012, 10:45 AM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 60 counties

Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Berkshire County, MA, Caroline County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Kent County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Bergen County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Bucks County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Pike County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Northumberland County, VA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 186 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2012-08-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1273 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2012-08-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 43 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1273 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
653 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
61 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 10, 2:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC87 min
Aug 10, 3:31 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCCapitol Planning Region, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region5 hr
Aug 10, 7:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNew Castle119 min
Aug 10, 3:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Frederick, Montgomery, Washington89 min
Aug 10, 12:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee, Niagara and 2 more86 min
Aug 10, 12:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Dickenson, Lee, Russell, Scott, Tazewell and 4 more85 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New Jersey, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.