Alert archive / Ohio / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1706

August 5, 201211 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 5, 2012, 7:57 AM EDT for 11 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 63 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 5, 2012, 7:57 AM EDT (11:57 UTC)
Expired
Aug 5, 2012, 9:00 AM EDT
In force
63 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Madison County, OH, Marion County, OH, Union County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 12.0 hours before the alert went out and 55 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2012-08-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3062 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2012-08-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 124 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3062 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
842 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
124 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

734 
ACUS11 KWNS 051158
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051157
OHZ000-051300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1706
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0657 AM CDT SUN AUG 05 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN THROUGH CNTRL OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 562...

VALID 051157Z - 051300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 562
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THOUGH AN ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUST OR TWO REMAINS
POSSIBLE OVER WRN OH NEXT HOUR...OVERALL SEVERE THREAT IS BECOMING
INCREASINGLY MARGINAL AND STORMS WILL BEGIN MOVING EAST OF WW 562 BY
13Z. ANOTHER WW IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DISCUSSION...STORMS CONTINUE MOVING THROUGH WRN OH AT 35-40 KT AND
RETAIN SOME ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE INCLUDING COMMA HEAD WITH
TRAILING LINE SEGMENTS. HOWEVER...INTENSITIES HAVE DECREASED
SIGNIFICANTLY...MOST LIKELY DUE TO MARGINAL INSTABILITY. THE
INCOMING VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND ELEVATED STORMS
DEVELOPING ALONG WARM CONVEYOR BELT AND WITHIN SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE
PLUME WHICH SHOULD LIMIT DOWNSTREAM DESTABILIZATION AND
REINTENSIFICATION POTENTIAL NEXT FEW HOURS.

..DIAL/WEISS.. 08/05/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...

LAT...LON   39238438 39678390 40308376 40708374 40738301 40158277
            39318352 39238438

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 4, 10:46 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Ashtabula, Carroll, Champaign, Clark, Columbiana and 35 more119 min
Aug 5, 4:57 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAuglaize, Butler, Champaign, Clark, Clinton, Darke and 12 more2 hr
Aug 5, 5:29 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAuglaize, Butler, Champaign, Clark, Clinton, Darke and 9 more3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.