Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1646

July 29, 201218 counties in Georgia; 8 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 29, 2012, 6:36 PM EDT for 18 counties in Georgia; 8 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 24 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 29, 2012, 6:36 PM EDT (22:36 UTC)
Expired
Jul 29, 2012, 7:00 PM EDT
In force
24 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 26 counties

Appling County, GA, Bacon County, GA, Brantley County, GA, Bryan County, GA, Bulloch County, GA, Camden County, GA, Chatham County, GA, Effingham County, GA, Evans County, GA, Glynn County, GA, Liberty County, GA, Long County, GA, McIntosh County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Screven County, GA, Tattnall County, GA, Ware County, GA, Wayne County, GA, Beaufort County, SC, Berkeley County, SC, Charleston County, SC, Colleton County, SC, Dorchester County, SC, Hampton County, SC, Horry County, SC, Jasper County, SC

The radar

The Charleston,SC radar (KCLX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Charleston AFB, SC (KCHS), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2012-07-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2597 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2012-07-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 63 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2597 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-47 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
738 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
63 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
38 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

498 
ACUS11 KWNS 292236
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292236 
SCZ000-GAZ000-292300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1646
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0536 PM CDT SUN JUL 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...COASTAL SC-GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 538...

VALID 292236Z - 292300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 538
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE SEVERE THREAT HAS LARGELY DIMINISHED ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA.  AN ISOLD DMGG WIND GUST REMAINS POSSIBLE OVER FAR SERN GA.

DISCUSSION...SURFACE ANALYSIS AND RADAR COMPOSITE SHOW THE
DISCUSSION AREA HAS CONVECTIVELY OVERTURNED WITH THE BOUNDARY LAYER
STABILIZING AS TEMPS HAVE FALLEN INTO THE 70S AND LOWER 80S.  ARCING
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES HAVE RADIATED OUTWARD FROM THE COASTAL
PLAIN...EFFECTIVELY DIMINISHING ANY REMAINING SEVERE WIND GUST
THREAT...EXCEPT IN FAR SERN GA WHERE A SLOW MOVING STORM CLUSTER MAY
CONTINUE TO POSE AN ISOLD DMGG WIND HAZARD FOR ANOTHER HR OR SO. 
OTHERWISE...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 538 CAN BE ALLOWED TO BE
CANCELLED EARLY.

..SMITH/MEAD.. 07/29/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...

LAT...LON   31448105 30878169 31088285 32818179 33987880 31448105

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 29, 2:35 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Ben Hill, Berrien, Bleckley and 47 more55 min
Jul 29, 2:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Bleckley, Bryan, Bulloch and 25 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.