Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1072

June 5, 20127 counties in Oklahoma; 16 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 5, 2012, 2:20 PM CDT for 7 counties in Oklahoma; 16 counties in Texas. It was in force for 85 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 5, 2012, 2:20 PM CDT (19:20 UTC)
Expired
Jun 5, 2012, 3:45 PM CDT
In force
85 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 23 counties

Beckham County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Carson County, TX, Childress County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Donley County, TX, Foard County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Wheeler County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 191 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-06-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 56 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-06-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 0 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
56 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-121 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1294 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
108 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

053 
ACUS11 KWNS 051920
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051920 
TXZ000-OKZ000-052045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1072
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0220 PM CDT TUE JUN 05 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST OK AND TX PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 051920Z - 052045Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG
WIND GUSTS AND HAIL. THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
SUFFICIENTLY ISOLATED THAT A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED TO THE NORTH OF AN MCV
WHICH HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE SRN PANHANDLE AND SOUTH
PLAINS. THIS AREA IS ALONG THE INSTABILITY GRADIENT RESULTING FROM
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING AND IN AN ENVIRONMENT WHERE A BELT OF STRONGER
MID LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS EXISTS AS DEPICTED BY THE LATEST KAMA VWP.
THIS SETUP MAY LEAD TO ORGANIZED WESTWARD-MOVING MULTICELL STORMS
POSING A RISK OF STRONG WINDS AND HAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTN. 

THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY ISOLATED TO PRECLUDE A
WW.

..BUNTING/MEAD.. 06/05/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON   33999815 33739937 34210101 34210101 36500196 35749962
            33999815

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 4, 8:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Coke, Crosby, Dawson, Dickens and 19 more89 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.