Severe Thunderstorm Warning 147, NWS San Angelo, TX

396 
WWUS54 KSJT 170150
SVSSJT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
850 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012

TXC059-253-441-170215-
/O.CON.KSJT.SV.W.0147.000000T0000Z-120617T0215Z/
JONES TX-TAYLOR TX-CALLAHAN TX-
850 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN CALLAHAN...NORTHEASTERN TAYLOR AND SOUTHERN JONES
COUNTIES...

AT 847 PM CDT... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR IMPACT...OR 
NEAR ABILENE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE 
DAMAGING WINDS IN THE CITY OF ABILENE AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES. 
THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WINDS TO NEAR 70 MPH. 

  STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
  DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.

  WITH POSSIBLE STORM IMPACTS...
  SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS...
  SOME TREES MAY BE BLOWN DOWN...
  SHEDS TOPPLED...
  ROOF DAMAGE TO MANUFACTURED HOMES...
  EXTENSIVE POWER OUTAGES...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  ABILENE BY 900 PM CDT...
  KIRBY LAKE AND HAMBY BY 905 PM CDT...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 262 AND 295.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE 
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND 
LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY 
INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS. SEEK 
SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

&&

LAT...LON 3258 9961 3252 9961 3251 9953 3244 9946
      3228 9995 3272 10014 3272 9975
TIME...MOT...LOC 0149Z 307DEG 17KT 3248 9977

$$
DANIELS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
602 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012

.DISCUSSION...
SEE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW...

&&

.AVIATION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN
BIG COUNTRY. AT THIS TIME...BELIEVE MOST OF THIS CONVECTION WILL
REMAIN TO THE NORTH OF ALL TAF SITES...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR TRENDS THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM
THIS CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTH AT 15 TO 20 MPH...AND IS
APPROACHING NORTHERN SHACKELFORD AND JONES COUNTIES. THIS OUTFLOW
MAY RESULT IN A BRIEF WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTH AT KABI...BUT FOR
NOW HAVE LEFT OUT OF THE TAFS AND WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
STRATUS DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY BETWEEN
10Z AND 12Z...THEN SPREADING SLOWLY NORTH. I ONLY INCLUDED MVFR
CEILINGS AT KJCT...WHERE THE BEST CHANCE OF LOW CLOUDS EXISTS.
OTHERWISE EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012/

SHORT TERM...
HOT AND MUGGY CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON. VISIBLE SATELLITE HAS SHOWN SOME ENHANCED CU...AND EVEN
A FEW SHOWERS FROM THE NORTHWESTERN BIG COUNTRY NORTHEAST INTO
OKLAHOMA ALONG AN OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. AND WHAT IS LIKELY AN MCV
MOVING EAST ALONG THE RED RIVER. WITH THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OFF TO
THE WEST...NORTHWEST TO NORTH FLOW PREVAILS AND ANY ACTIVITY THAT
MAY DEVELOP WILL TRY TO DROP SOUTHEAST. THUS...WILL ADD SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS INTO THE BIG COUNTRY FOR THIS EVENING.

SOME CLOUDS AGAIN TONIGHT...AND WE HAVE TENDED TO STAY A LITTLE
WARMER THAN THE GUIDANCE HAS SUGGESTED. SO WILL REMAIN ON THE WARM
SIDE OF THE FORECAST.

MORE OF THE SAME FOR TOMORROW. NO REAL UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT...BUT AN
AIR MASS THAT IS UNSTABLE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A FEW STORMS ALONG ANY
FOCUS THAT CAN BE FOUND. MOST LIKELY FOCUS WOULD BE AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY LEFT OVER FROM CONVECTION THAT MAY OR MAY NOT DEVELOP
TONIGHT. WILL ADD SLIGHT CHANCE POPS TO THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
AREA.

LONG TERM...
UPPER HIGH WILL BE CENTERED OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO ON MONDAY
AND JUST WEST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA ON TUESDAY. THE 850 MB
THERMAL RIDGE REMAINS STRONG ACROSS OUR AREA ON MONDAY AND GOING
WITH MAX TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S. WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW 100 DEGREE READINGS IN THE CENTRAL AND
WESTERN CONCHO VALLEY. HIGH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO AT LEAST A
FEW DEGREES LOWER BY MIDWEEK AS THE 850 MB THERMAL RIDGE SHIFTS
TO THE WEST OF OUR AREA. AN INVERTED UPPER TROUGH/WEAK UPPER LOW
IS PROGGED TO MOVE WEST INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO ON
MONDAY...AND INTO SOUTH TEXAS BY TUESDAY EVENING. THIS SYSTEM IS
PROGGED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY
ON WEDNESDAY. WHILE SOME INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS
INDICATED FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TUESDAY-THURSDAY...RAIN CHANCES
LOOK TO REMAIN NON- MENTIONABLE GIVEN THE FORECAST TRACK OF THIS
SYSTEM TO OUR SOUTH.

THOUGH SOME OF THE MODELS HINT AT POSSIBLE TROPICAL SYSTEM
DEVELOPMENT IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATE THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK...THE UPPER HIGH IS PROGGED TO BUILD TO THE
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES DURING THAT TIME AND
EVENTUALLY BECOME CENTERED OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL PLAINS ON
SATURDAY. AT THIS TIME...THIS UPPER HIGH IS EXPECTED TO BE OUR
DOMINANT WEATHER INFLUENCE WITH TEMPERATURES CREEPING UP A FEW
DEGREES BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE 	 73  95  73  95  72 /  20  20  10  10  10
SAN ANGELO 	 74  96  75  99  73 /  10  10  10  10  10
JUNCTION 	 73  94  74  95  72 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

DANIELS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
525 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-171100-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
525 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY THIS EVENING.
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED BUT A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME
STRONG WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. IN
ADDITION...THESE STORMS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

JOHNSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
522 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012

TXZ098-162245-
HASKELL TX-
522 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR
HASKELL COUNTY...

AT 517 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF RULE...OR ABOUT 13
MILES WEST OF HASKELL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. SOME ROADS IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE STATE HIGHWAY 6...AND RANCH ROAD 617.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  ROCHESTER AND O'BRIEN BY 545 PM CDT

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER
ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.

LAT...LON 3339 9963 3311 9992 3319 10000 3328 10000
      3340 9996 3341 9977
TIME...MOT...LOC 2221Z 214DEG 12KT 3323 9993

DANIELS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
737 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012

TXZ049-054-098-113-127-128-170100-
FISHER TX-HASKELL TX-JONES TX-NOLAN TX-TAYLOR TX-CALLAHAN TX-
737 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR
FISHER...HASKELL...JONES...NOLAN...TAYLOR AND CALLAHAN COUNTIES...

AT 733 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 5 MILES SOUTH OF NEINDA...OR ABOUT 11
MILES SOUTH OF HAMLIN...MOVING SOUTH AT 25 MPH. SOME ROADS IN THE
PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE INTERSTATE 20...AND U.S. HIGHWAY 277.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  NOODLE BY 755 PM CDT
  TRENT...MERKEL AND STITH BY 800 PM CDT

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER
ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.

LAT...LON 3254 9961 3252 9961 3251 9959 3244 9955
      3232 10034 3293 10023 3297 10014 3296 10000
      3303 10000 3307 9990
TIME...MOT...LOC 0037Z 352DEG 22KT 3270 10011

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
804 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012

TXZ049-054-098-113-127-170200-
FISHER TX-HASKELL TX-JONES TX-NOLAN TX-TAYLOR TX-
804 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR
FISHER...HASKELL...JONES...NOLAN AND TAYLOR COUNTIES...

AT 759 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF TRENT...OR ABOUT
19 MILES EAST OF SWEETWATER...MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH. GUSTY WINDS OF
35 TO 45 MPH MAY RESULT IN BLOWING DUST...WHICH MAY RESULT IN A
BRIEF REDUCTION OF VISIBILITY.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MERKEL BY 810 PM CDT
  CAMP BUTMAN BY 835 PM CDT
  VIEW BY 840 PM CDT
  LAKE ABILENE AND CAMP TONKAWA BY 855 PM CDT

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE THE PROPER
ACTIONS SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED.

LAT...LON 3299 9977 3230 9962 3229 9963 3221 9963
      3220 10039 3297 10021 3296 10000 3298 9999
TIME...MOT...LOC 0103Z 344DEG 19KT 3250 10008

DANIELS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
809 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012

TXZ114-128-170215-
SHACKELFORD TX-CALLAHAN TX-
809 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 915 PM CDT FOR
SHACKELFORD AND CALLAHAN COUNTIES...

AT 804 PM CDT...AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WAS INDICATED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR 8 MILES WEST OF MORAN...OR ABOUT 10
MILES SOUTH OF ALBANY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. AS THIS OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH...EXPECT NORTH WINDS TO GUST TO 35 TO 45 MPH.
THESE GUSTY WINDS MAY RESULT IN BLOWING DUST...WHICH MAY TEMPORARILY
RESULT IN A REDUCTION OF VISIBILITY.

* THE OUTFLOW WILL BE NEAR...
  MORAN BY 830 PM CDT
  PUTNAM BY 910 PM CDT
  I-20 NEAR THE CALLAHAN-EASTLAND COUNTY LINE AND ATWELL BY 915 PM
  CDT

LAT...LON 3223 9911 3221 9961 3251 9963 3252 9961
      3262 9961 3272 9909
TIME...MOT...LOC 0108Z 327DEG 12KT 3257 9928

DANIELS