Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 276, NWS Shreveport, LA

August 9, 2012Panola County, Rusk County, Texas

NWS Shreveport, LA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 9, 2012, 9:37 PM CDT for Panola County, Rusk County, Texas. It was in force for 38 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Aug 9, 2012, 9:37 PM CDT (02:37 UTC)
Expired: Aug 9, 2012, 10:15 PM CDT
In force: 38 min
Issued by: NWS Shreveport, LA
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Panola County, TX, Rusk County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 00:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 3336 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -10 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1675 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 153 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.8
Supercell composite: 15.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

730 
WUUS54 KSHV 100237
SVRSHV
TXC365-401-100315-
/O.NEW.KSHV.SV.W.0276.120810T0237Z-120810T0315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
937 PM CDT THU AUG 9 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  PANOLA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CARTHAGE...
  CENTRAL RUSK COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF HENDERSON...

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT

* AT 936 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
  HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
  LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BECKVILLE TO 10 MILES SOUTHWEST
  OF TATUM...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO      
  CARTHAGE...MINDEN...PINEHILL AND DEBERRY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE EARLIER
ACROSS GREGG COUNTY. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK 
SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

&&

LAT...LON 3199 9460 3199 9479 3228 9489 3229 9456
      3232 9451 3239 9449 3236 9443 3237 9440
      3233 9435 3239 9404 3202 9405 3198 9402
      3197 9459
TIME...MOT...LOC 0236Z 306DEG 30KT 3228 9436 3223 9447
          3223 9464

$$

13

1 follow-up statement

278 
WWUS54 KSHV 100253
SVSSHV

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
953 PM CDT THU AUG 9 2012

TXC365-401-100315-
/O.CON.KSHV.SV.W.0276.000000T0000Z-120810T0315Z/
PANOLA TX-RUSK TX-
953 PM CDT THU AUG 9 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT
FOR RUSK AND PANOLA COUNTIES...

AT 953 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS REPORTED CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES 
NORTHEAST OF CARTHAGE TO NEAR CARTHAGE TO NEAR FAIRPLAY...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
DOTSON...GARY CITY AND WOODS

LAT...LON 3199 9460 3199 9473 3227 9472 3226 9456
      3226 9425 3198 9415 3197 9459
TIME...MOT...LOC 0253Z 306DEG 30KT 3220 9422 3215 9434
          3215 9450

$$

13

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Shreveport, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 9, 2:14 PM CDT, 7 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 9, 2:14 PM CDT, 7 hours 23 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
214 PM CDT THU AUG 9 2012

.DISCUSSION...
FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA WITH
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION IN THE MID TO UPPER
90S. CONVECTION BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...MOVING SOUTH. FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS OKLAHOMA FORECAST
TO SHIFT SOUTH WITH CONVECTION EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND SOUTH
OF A LINE FROM EL DORADO ARKANSAS TO SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA TO
LUFKIN TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. SIMILAR TO THE
PAST SEVERAL DAYS...ISOLATED STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...
PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

AS FRONT PUSHES SOUTH OF THE REGION ON FRIDAY...CONVECTION TO EXIT
THE AREA TO THE SOUTH...ALLOWING FOR MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS ALL
AREAS EXCEPT DEEP EAST TEXAS AND WEST-CENTRAL LOUISIANA WHERE THE
FRONT STALLS. EXPECT COOLER TEMPERATURES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
WITH LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S AND HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE
90S.

COLD FRONT RETRACTS NORTHWARD SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AND AGAIN STALLS
ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION...ALLOWING FOR AN INCREASED CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. RETURN FLOW OF GULF MOISTURE
SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY TO SEEP NORTH ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO EASE
BACK INTO THE MID 90S BY MONDAY. AS THIS BOUNDARY DISSIPATES LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...A SECONDARY FRONT PUSHES INTO THE REGION FROM THE
NORTHWEST...ALLOWING FOR CONTINUED RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
OTHER THAN A VERY BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY
RESTRICTION ASSOCIATED WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...VFR FLIGHT
CATEGORIES WILL PREVAIL FOR THE FOUR STATE REGION TERMINAL
FORECAST SITES THROUGH 10/07 UTC. THIS AFTERNOON AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY LAY FROM NORTHEAST ARKANSAS ACROSS SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND
INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS...WHILE A COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND INTO NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS. A
BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOOKS TO DEVELOP AFTER 10/06 TO
10/09 UTC AS A FRONT PUSHES SOUTH INTO THE REGION WHICH COMBINES
WITH GULF MOISTURE. AROUND 10/07 UTC THE CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP
ALONG AND TO THE SOUTHEAST OF AN EL DORADO ARKANSAS TO SHREVEPORT
LOUISIANA...AND LONGVIEW TEXAS LINE. A BRIEF MVFR CEILING AROUND
15 HND WILL AFFECT THE EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA TERMINALS
BETWEEN 10/11 UTC TO 10/14 UTC FRIDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 5 TO 10
KNOTS WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY WITH WINDS SOUTHWEST TO
WEST WITH THE APPROACH OF THE COLD FRONT...FOLLOWED BY NORTHWEST
TO NORTH WINDS OF 6 TO 10 KNOTS IN WAKE OF THE FRONT. DURING THE
DAY FRIDAY THE WINDS WILL INCREASE 7 TO 12 KNOTS. /06/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  76  95  72  95  72 /  30  20  10  10  10
MLU  75  92  70  93  68 /  30  30  10  10  10
DEQ  69  93  61  94  66 /  20  10  10  10  10
TXK  73  94  66  94  68 /  20  10  10  10  10
ELD  73  94  65  93  66 /  30  20  10  10  10
TYR  75  97  74  97  74 /  20  10  10  10  10
GGG  75  97  73  97  72 /  30  20  10  10  10
LFK  75  98  74  97  73 /  30  20  20  20  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

05/06

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 9, 11:45 AM CDT, 9 hours 52 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1145 AM CDT THU AUG 9 2012

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-101645-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1145 AM CDT THU AUG 9 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FOUR STATE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT FROM THE NORTH. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING
WINDS OR LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND EAST TEXAS ON FRIDAY ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE FRONT. NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY
TO WEDNESDAY AS THE FRONT LIFTS NORTH FROM THE GULF COAST AND
SETTLES ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

05

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 9, 8:19 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
819 PM CDT THU AUG 09 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WINNSBORO               32.96N 95.29W
08/09/2012                   WOOD               TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWNED

&&

12

Local storm report, Aug 9, 8:51 PM CDT, 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
851 PM CDT THU AUG 09 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     HAIL             10 N LONGVIEW           32.66N 94.76W
08/09/2012  E1.00 INCH       UPSHUR             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            4 SOUTH OF DIANA TX ON THE UPSHUR/GREGG CO LINE.

&&

ASTEVENS

Local storm report, Aug 9, 8:59 PM CDT, 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
859 PM CDT THU AUG 09 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     TSTM WND DMG     N LONGVIEW              32.52N 94.76W
08/09/2012                   GREGG              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POWERLINES DOWNED IN JUDSON.

&&

MBERRY

Local storm report, Aug 9, 9:00 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
900 PM CDT THU AUG 09 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     TSTM WND GST     LONGVIEW                32.52N 94.76W
08/09/2012  M55 MPH          GREGG              TX   ASOS

            ASOS MEASURED 55 MPH WIND GUST AT THE GREG COUNTY AIRPORT

&&

MBERRY

Local storm report, Aug 9, 9:01 PM CDT, 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
901 PM CDT THU AUG 09 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     HAIL             N LONGVIEW              32.52N 94.76W
08/09/2012  E0.75 INCH       GREGG              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PENNY SIZED HAIL IN THE JUDSON COMMUNITY

&&

MBERRY

Local storm report, Aug 9, 9:25 PM CDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
925 PM CDT THU AUG 09 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0858 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NE GLADEWATER           32.54N 94.95W
08/09/2012                   GREGG              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POWERLINES DOWNED IN THE LAKE GLADEWATER AREA.

&&

MBERRY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Shreveport, LA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 9, 7:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Camp, Franklin, Wood	39 min
Aug 9, 7:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Camp, Upshur, Wood	50 min
Aug 9, 8:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Gregg, Harrison, Smith, Upshur, Wood	37 min
Aug 9, 8:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Gregg, Harrison, Panola, Rusk, Smith	50 min
Aug 9, 10:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Nacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, San Augustine, Shelby	52 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2012 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.