Severe Thunderstorm Warning 168, NWS Springfield, MO

759 
WWUS53 KSGF 262038
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
338 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

MOC153-213-262115-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0168.000000T0000Z-120726T2115Z/
OZARK MO-TANEY MO-
338 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TANEY AND
WESTERN OZARK COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

AT 336 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A 
LINE EXTENDING FROM FORSYTH TO 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TANEYVILLE TO 
PROTEM...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...MINOR TREE DAMAGE...WITH LIMBS UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER
         BROKEN.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BRADLEYVILLE...BROWNBRANCH...EDGEWATER BEACH...FORSYTH...ISABELLA...
KIRBYVILLE...KISSEE MILLS...LONG RUN...OZARK BEACH...PONTIAC...
POWERSITE...PROTEM...RUETER...SUNDOWN...TANEYVILLE...THEODOSIA AND
THORNFIELD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3649 9293 3650 9294 3653 9289 3656 9287
      3661 9293 3661 9317 3666 9318 3677 9305
      3681 9295 3681 9272 3676 9264 3668 9259
      3651 9259 3649 9263
TIME...MOT...LOC 2037Z 263DEG 24KT 3663 9311 3667 9288
          3663 9277 3653 9270

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60 MPH

$$

CRAMER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
320 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

.DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT THAT WAS BEGINNING TO MAKE ITS PUSH TO THE SOUTH. SOME
OF THE STORMS WERE STRONG TO SEVERE AND WERE TAKING ADVANTAGE OF
AROUND 1500-2000 J/KG OF INSTABILITY...SOME WEAK SHEAR AND
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND AND INCH AND THREE QUARTERS. THE
18Z SOUNDING WE DID DOES SHOW GOOD DOWNBURST POTENTIAL WITH A DRY
LAYER IN THE LOWEST PORTION OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THE MAIN CONCERNS
WITH ANY STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS REMAINS DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS
THOUGH SOME HAIL MAY OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER STORMS AS UPDRAFTS
WILL BE VERY ROBUST AS NOTED BY THE DECENT LIFTED INDICES FROM
-4 TO -6 ACROSS THE REGION.

WHERE CLOUD COVER WAS THE THINNEST TODAY OR WHERE CLOUDS NEVER
REALLY COVERED THE AREA...TEMPERATURES CLIMBED INTO EH MIDDLE TO
UPPER 90S THIS AFTERNOON. THIS COMBINED WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WHICH POOLED ACROSS THE OZARKS THANKS TO THE COLD FRONT. THIS
ALLOWED HEAT INDEXES TO CLIMB INTO THE 100 TO 103 RANGE THIS
AFTERNOON MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44. AS A RESULT OF
THIS...PLAN ON DROPPING THE HEAT ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PORTION
OF THE AREA AND KEEP THE REMAINDER FOR THE EASTERN PORTION THROUGH
7PM. CURRENTLY NOT PLANNING ON EXTENDING ANY HEAT HEADLINES INTO
FRIDAY AS DEWPOINTS SHOULD BE LOWER BEHIND THE FRONT WHICH WILL
KEEP HEAT INDEX BELOW THE ACTUAL TEMPERATURES. WHILE PORTIONS OF
WESTERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS MAY SEE ACTUAL
TEMPERATURES AROUND 100 DEGREES THE COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THAT AREA TODAY HAVE PROVIDED SOME RELIEF.

THE FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE REGION THIS EVENING
THOUGH A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS OR STORMS MAY HANG AROUND THROUGH
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. DESPITE THE FRONT MOVING THROUGH TODAY...THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
ANCHORED OVER THE PLAINS. THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE HIGH
PRESSURE...AND THUS THE HIGHER TEMPERATURES...LOOK AS THROUGH THEY
WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE REGION. THIS WILL BE
IN CONTRAST GOING INTO FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LEVEL
NORTHWESTERN FLOW WILL ALLOW SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO
FILTER IN ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A
TEMPERATURES GRADIENT TO SET UP FOR SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS
THE REGION WITH TEMPERATURES ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS REACHING NEAR
100 DEGREES AND THOSE IN CENTRAL MISSOURI ONLY IN THE MIDDLE 90S.

MODELS CONTINUE TO KEEP THE OZARKS REGION ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY
OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THROUGH NEXT WEEK WHICH SHOULD KEEP THE
AREA SEEING CONDITIONS SIMILAR TO THIS WEEK AND THE COMING
WEEKEND. THERE DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE MANY GOOD CHANCES FOR
RAINFALL THROUGH THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD NEXT WEEK. THE
LIMITED MOISTURE AS A RESULT OF THE PATTERN AND AIR MASSES COMING
OUT OF NORTHWESTERN CANADA...WHICH TEND TO BE ON THE DRY SIDE...DO
NOT PROVIDE MUCH CONFIDENCE IN PRECIPITATION CHANCES.

HATCH

&&

.AVIATION...

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI AROUND MID AFTERNOON. HAVE
MAINTAINED A TEMPO MVFR GROUP TO COVER THIS...HOWEVER BRIEF IFR
VISIBILITIES WILL BE POSSIBLE DIRECTLY BENEATH STRONGER STORMS.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN PUSH OUT OF SOUTHERN
MISSOURI THIS EVENING WITH VFR CONDITIONS THEN EXPECTED TO PREVAIL
INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

SCHAUMANN

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
102 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-271815-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
102 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
  DEVELOP EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI.
  A FEW STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
  CENTRAL MISSOURI.

  SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO
  DEVELOP AROUND MID AFTERNOON NEAR THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR.
  ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL THEN LIKELY CONGEAL INTO MULTIPLE
  CLUSTERS OR LINE SEGMENTS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
  THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
  SLOWLY SHIFT SOUTH THIS EVENING...LIKELY EXITING FAR SOUTHERN
  MISSOURI BY MIDNIGHT.

  POTENTIAL HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS INCLUDE DAMAGING WIND
  GUSTS OVER 60 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND BRIEF
  TORRENTIAL RAINFALL. A FEW STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE HAIL TO THE
  SIZE OF NICKELS. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL GENERALLY
  EXIST ALONG AND SOUTH OF A JOPLIN TO SPRINGFIELD TO ROLLA LINE
  FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH ABOUT MID EVENING.

  HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND
  103 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY WHERE THERE ARE BREAKS
  IN THE CLOUDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

  DAILY AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE
  FROM THE MIDDLE 90S TO NEAR 102 DEGREES FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT
  WEDNESDAY. THE HOTTEST TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR FROM
  SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

  THE FIRE WEATHER RISK WILL REMAIN LIMITED TO ELEVATED ACROSS
  THE REGION THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
  MID EVENING ALONG AND SOUTH OF A JOPLIN TO SPRINGFIELD TO
  ROLLA LINE.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

SCHAUMANN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
304 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0303 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG NORWOOD                 37.11N 92.41W
07/26/2012                   WRIGHT             MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            EMPTY TRACTOR TRAILER REPORTED BLOWN OVER. DIME SIZED
            HAIL ALSO REPORTED.

&&

JCOLUCCI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
310 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0303 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NORWOOD                 37.11N 92.41W
07/26/2012                   WRIGHT             MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            EMPTY TRACTOR TRAILER REPORTED BLOWN OVER. DIME SIZED
            HAIL ALSO REPORTED.

&&

JCOLUCCI