Severe Thunderstorm Warning 131, NWS Springfield, MO

771 
WWUS53 KSGF 111508
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1008 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

MOC043-209-111530-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0131.000000T0000Z-120611T1530Z/
CHRISTIAN MO-STONE MO-
1008 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN STONE
AND CHRISTIAN COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 AM CDT...

AT 1003 AM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES EAST OF SPARTA TO CRANE...AND MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...TREE BRANCHES UP TO THREE INCHES IN DIAMETER BROKEN.
         POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE TO SHINGLE ROOFS AND METAL
         OUTBUILDINGS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HIGHLANDVILLE...CRANE...CHRISTIAN CENTER...HURLEY...CHADWICK...
ELSEY...PONCE DE LEON...SPOKANE...CHESTNUTRIDGE AND GARRISON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3682 9362 3710 9360 3709 9290 3681 9291
TIME...MOT...LOC 1508Z 319DEG 22KT 3696 9288 3694 9358

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70 MPH

$$

CRAMER

511 
WWUS53 KSGF 111530
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1030 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

MOC043-209-111541-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0131.000000T0000Z-120611T1530Z/
CHRISTIAN MO-STONE MO-
1030 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN STONE AND CHRISTIAN
COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR
PROPERTY.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN SPRINGFIELD.

LAT...LON 3682 9362 3710 9360 3709 9290 3681 9291
TIME...MOT...LOC 1508Z 319DEG 22KT 3696 9288 3694 9358

$$

CRAMER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
641 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

RATHER COMPLEX AND LOW CONFIDENCE SHORT TERM FORECAST THIS
MORNING...AS FOCUS REMAINS ON CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION AND ASSOCIATED
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO.

LOOSELY ORGANIZED CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHWESTERN
MISSOURI CONTINUES TO SAG EAST SOUTHEAST WITH TIME THIS MORNING...AS
NEW CELLS OCCASIONALLY INITIATE ON THE NOSE OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL JET.
THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS LARGELY CAPPED TO ANYTHING CLOSE TO A
SURFACE PARCEL...AND THUS EXPECT THIS CLUSTER TO REMAIN VERY
ELEVATED EARLY THIS MORNING. CORFIDI VECTORS SUGGEST THAT THIS
CLUSTER WILL CONTINUE SOUTHEAST...WITH ITS MOTION PERHAPS BECOMING
MORE SOUTHERLY WITH TIME. WITH SUCH A STRONG CAP IN PLACE OVER THE
REGION...I SUSPECT THAT THIS INITIAL AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL
WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY BY/SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE...AS WHAT WEAK LIFT THE
LOW LEVEL JET IS CREATING DISSIPATES.

THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT REMAINS QUITE FAR TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
CWA...AND WILL ONLY SLOWLY SAG SOUTH BY MID MORNING...PERHAPS MAKING
IT AS FAR SOUTH AS U.S. 54 BY THE 15-17Z TIME FRAME.  AS SURFACE
HEATING COMMENCES AND ADDITIONAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BUILDS NORTH
DURING THE MORNING HOURS...CURRENT EXPECTATIONS ARE THAT SURFACE
CINH WILL ERODE BY MIDDAY/EARLY AFTERNOON ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
FRONT...WITH THE FRONT AND ANY OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM EARLY MORNING
CONVECTION SERVING AS THE FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL CLUSTERS OF STORMS.

THE FRONT...PERHAPS REINFORCED BY OUTFLOW...SHOULD MAKE ADDITIONAL
PROGRESS SOUTH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...GRADUALLY MOVING THE
MOST FAVORED AXIS OF CONVECTION TO ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE U.S. 60
CORRIDOR BY MID AFTERNOON...AND TO FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI/NORTHERN
ARKANSAS BY EARLY EVENING.  THE AIRMASS OVER THIS REGION IS EXPECTED
TO BE QUITE UNSTABLE BY AFTERNOON...WITH RATHER IMPRESSIVE CAPE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE HAIL GROWTH LAYER.  SHEAR CONTINUES TO BE THE
MARGINAL INGREDIENT...THOUGH THE LATEST ITERATIONS OF MODEL GUIDANCE DO
SUGGEST SOMEWHAT HIGHER VALUES THAN WHAT WAS EXPECTED A COUPLE OF
DAYS AGO...AS MUCH AS 30-40 KT AT TIMES (0-6KM LAYER).  THIS SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT FOR MULTICELL ORGANIZATION THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON...AND
MAYBE EVEN A TRANSIENT MID LEVEL MESOCYCLONE OR TWO WITH THE
STRONGEST CELLS.  LARGE HAIL...PERHAPS TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS IN
A FEW INSTANCES...WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY SEVERE WEATHER
HAZARD...ESPECIALLY WITH ANY ROTATING UPDRAFTS.  LOW LEVEL THETA-E
DIFFERENTIALS WILL BE ENOUGH TO RESULT IN A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
WIND GUSTS AS WELL.

THE EFFECTIVE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND ANY ASSOCIATED SEVERE WEATHER RISK IS
EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE SOUTHERN REACHES OF THE CWA BY LATE THIS
EVENING...THOUGH A SCATTERED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM MAY FLIRT WITH
THE MISSOURI/ARKANSAS STATE LINE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.  COOLER AND LESS
HUMID AIR WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT FOR TUESDAY...WHICH SHOULD
BE A RATHER NICE DAY FOR MOST OF THE AREA.

PLEASANT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AS WELL...THOUGH
DEWPOINTS WILL BE ON A SLOW RISE LATE IN THE DAY OVER THE WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.  ELEVATED CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP OVER
THE GREAT PLAINS VERY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING...PERHAPS TOUCHING SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND FAR SOUTHWESTERN
MISSOURI DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.  MOST OF THE CWA LOOKS TO STAY
DRY HOWEVER.

A WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO THEN BUILD NORTHEAST
INTO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY...AND ESPECIALLY FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WITH HIGHS LIKELY TOPPING OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL PREVENT MUCH IN THE WAY OF FORCING FOR
RAIN/THUNDERSTORMS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD...THOUGH RELATIVELY COOL
MID LEVEL TEMPS (7-8C AT 700 MB) PROGGED BY GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTIVE
OF SCATTERED DIURNAL CONVECTION OVER AT LEAST PARTS OF THE AREA
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

BOXELL

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 640 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012/

FOR THE 12Z TAFS (JLN/SGF/BBG)...PRIMARY FORECAST CHALLENGE
CONTINUES TO BE TIMING OF COLD FRONT AND SHRA/TSRA. CURRENT BAND
OF SHRA/TSRA ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH
WITH TIME AND LOSE A BIT OF ITS PUNCH...WHILE INDIVIDUAL CELLS
DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS MOVE TO THE EAST AND EVENTUALLY
MERGE WITH THE LINE. TSRA SHOULD INCREASE IN INTENSITY FROM LATE
MORNING TO THE AFTERNOON...POSING A RISK OF STRONG WIND GUST AND
HAIL. HAVE TENTATIVELY TIMED THIS ACTIVITY FOR LATE MORNING
THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON FOR JLN/SGF...THOUGH THIS MAY NEED TO BE
FURTHER REFINED BASED ON THE BEHAVIOR OF ONGOING ACTIVITY. TIMING
IS A FEW HOURS LATER FOR BBG. CLEARING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH IS
EXPECTED THIS EVENING...WITH AN OUTSIDE CHANCE AT LIGHT FOG TOWARD
DAYBREAK TUESDAY.

GAGAN

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
542 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-121045-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
542 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  THUNDERSTORMS INITIALLY CAN BE EXPECTED OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI
  EARLY THIS MORNING...AS A COMPLEX OF STORMS MOVES SOUTH FROM
  NORTHERN MISSOURI. WHILE NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS
  EXPECTED WITH THESE INITIAL THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW WIND GUSTS TO
  50 MPH AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
  MID MORNING.

  FROM MID TO LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS...ADDITIONAL
  THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES
  INTO THE AREA. THE MOST FAVORED AREA FOR THUNDERSTORM
  DEVELOPMENT DURING THIS TIME FRAME WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF
  INTERSTATE 44. THE AIRMASS OVER THIS REGION IS EXPECTED TO BE
  MODERATELY UNSTABLE BY MIDDAY...RESULTING IN THE POTENTIAL FOR
  STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
  MPH...AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS WILL BE POSSIBLE. A
  FEW OF THE STRONGEST STORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL AS LARGE AS GOLF
  BALLS.

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL GENERALLY PUSH SOUTH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA BY
  LATE EVENING...THOUGH AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE
  ALONG THE ARKANSAS STATE LINE THROUGH DAYBREAK TUESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY WEDNESDAY OVER
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND FAR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI. THERE
  WILL BE ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON AN AFTERNOON
  BASIS DURING THE END OF THE WORKWEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE
  CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS LOW AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF
 INTERSTATE 44.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

BOXELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
726 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0725 AM     HAIL             APPLETON CITY           38.19N 94.03W
06/11/2012  M0.50 INCH       ST. CLAIR          MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            PEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL.

&&

MTERRY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
845 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 AM     HAIL             GREENFIELD              37.42N 93.84W
06/11/2012  E0.25 INCH       DADE               MO   911 CALL CENTER

&&

MTERRY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
902 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0858 AM     HAIL             LOCKWOOD                37.39N 93.95W
06/11/2012  E0.75 INCH       DADE               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

SRUNNELS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
920 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ASH GROVE               37.32N 93.58W
06/11/2012                   GREENE             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES BLOWN DOWN.

&&

MTERRY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
921 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0919 AM     TSTM WND DMG     SPRINGFIELD             37.20N 93.29W
06/11/2012                   GREENE             MO   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            61 MPH WIND GUST AT THE NWS OFFICE IN SPRINGFIELD.

&&

MTERRY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
929 AM CDT MON JUN 11 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0928 AM     TSTM WND DMG     SPRINGFIELD             37.20N 93.29W
06/11/2012                   GREENE             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN BY MEASURED WINDS UP TO 68
            MPH.

&&

SRUNNELS