Alert archive / Washington / River Flood Warnings in 2012

River Flood Warning 10, NWS Seattle, WA

February 21, 2012Snohomish County, Washington

NWS Seattle, WA issued this river flood warning at Feb 21, 2012, 9:23 PM PST for Snohomish County, Washington. It took effect at Feb 22, 2012, 3:08 AM PST. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 21, 2012, 9:23 PM PST (05:23 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 22, 2012, 3:08 AM PST
Expired
Feb 22, 2012, 6:25 AM PST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Seattle, WA
Flood severity
Minor

County Snohomish County, WA

The radar

The Seattle radar (KATX), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point North Fork Stillaguamish River near Arlington (ARGW1). The gauge peaked at 10.89 ft at Feb 22, 2012, 6:00 AM PST.

actionminormoderatemajor5101502/2202/23
Action stage
10.7 ft
Minor stage
13 ft
Moderate stage
14 ft
Major stage
15 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 12167000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

496 
WGUS46 KSEW 220523
FLWSEW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
923 PM PST TUE FEB 21 2012

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WASHINGTON...

  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH 
  COUNTY.
  SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR GRANITE FALLS AFFECTING 
  SNOHOMISH COUNTY.
  SKYKOMISH RIVER NEAR GOLD BAR AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY.

.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 6

HEAVY RAIN OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN WASHINGTON CONTINUES PRODUCE
SHARP RISES ON AREA RIVERS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS OCCURRED OVER THE
WEST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL CASCADES...WHERE 2 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN
HAS FALLEN SINCE LATE MONDAY EVENING. THE SNOW LEVEL IS AROUND 6000
FEET.

HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN GRADUALLY
DECREASE DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY AS THE SNOW LEVEL FALLS TO AROUND
2500 FEET. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC061-221423-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0010.120222T1108Z-120223T0235Z/
/ARGW1.1.ER.120222T1108Z.120222T1200Z.120222T1735Z.NO/
923 PM PST TUE FEB 21 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 3 AM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 13.2 FEET AROUND 4 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL 
  CAUSE FLOODING OF OSO LOOP ROAD AND CAUSE MINOR RIVERBANK EROSION.
  A STAGE OF 13 FEET CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY 
  FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-221423-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0011.120222T1127Z-120222T2238Z/
/GFLW1.1.ER.120222T1127Z.120222T1200Z.120222T1338Z.NO/
923 PM PST TUE FEB 21 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR GRANITE FALLS
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 3 AM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 14.1 FEET AROUND 4 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...THE SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL 
  CAUSE FLOODING ALONG THE RIVER AND TRIBUTARIES. A STAGE OF 14 FEET
  CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY FLOOD WARNING 
  SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-221423-
/O.NEW.KSEW.FL.W.0012.120222T1025Z-120223T1330Z/
/GLBW1.1.ER.120222T1025Z.120222T1800Z.120223T0130Z.NO/
923 PM PST TUE FEB 21 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SKYKOMISH RIVER NEAR GOLD BAR
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 2 AM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 16.5 FEET AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...THE SKYKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS AND SOME ROADS ALONG THE RIVER...
  INCLUDING BEN HOWARD ROAD...INDEX-GALENA ROAD AND TUALCO LOOP ROAD. 
  A STAGE OF 16 FEET ON THE SKYKOMISH RIVER CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 3
  IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$

MCDONNAL
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
3 follow-up statements
809 
WGUS86 KSEW 220534
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
934 PM PST TUE FEB 21 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH 
  COUNTY. 
  SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR GRANITE FALLS AFFECTING 
  SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  SKYKOMISH RIVER NEAR GOLD BAR AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  PILCHUCK R NR SNOHOMISH AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  TOLT RIVER NEAR CARNATION AFFECTING KING COUNTY. 
  SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR THE FALLS AFFECTING KING COUNTY. 
  SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR CARNATION AFFECTING KING COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 7

HEAVY RAIN OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN WASHINGTON CONTINUES PRODUCE
SHARP RISES ON AREA RIVERS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS OCCURRED OVER THE
WEST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL CASCADES...WHERE 2 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN
HAS FALLEN SINCE LATE MONDAY EVENING. THE SNOW LEVEL IS AROUND 6000
FEET.

HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN GRADUALLY
DECREASE DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY AS THE SNOW LEVEL FALLS TO AROUND
2500 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC061-221434-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0010.120222T1108Z-120223T0235Z/
/ARGW1.1.ER.120222T1108Z.120222T1200Z.120222T1735Z.NO/
934 PM PST TUE FEB 21 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON
* FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 3 AM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 13.2 FEET AROUND 4 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL 
  CAUSE FLOODING OF OSO LOOP ROAD AND CAUSE MINOR RIVERBANK EROSION.
  A STAGE OF 13 FEET CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY 
  FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-221434-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0011.120222T1127Z-120222T2238Z/
/GFLW1.1.ER.120222T1127Z.120222T1200Z.120222T1338Z.NO/
934 PM PST TUE FEB 21 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR GRANITE FALLS
* FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 3 AM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 14.1 FEET AROUND 4 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...THE SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL 
  CAUSE FLOODING ALONG THE RIVER AND TRIBUTARIES. A STAGE OF 14 FEET
  CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY FLOOD WARNING 
  SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-221434-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0008.120222T0601Z-120223T1151Z/
/ARLW1.1.ER.120222T0601Z.120222T1200Z.120222T2351Z.NO/
934 PM PST TUE FEB 21 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON
* FROM 10 PM TUESDAY UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  9:10 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10 PM 
  TUESDAY AND CREST NEAR 17.1 FEET AROUND 4 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE FLOODING 
  MAINLY IN THE SILVANA AREA ALONG NORMAN ROAD AND IN FLORENCE. A 
  STAGE OF 17 FEET ON THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO 
  PHASE 3 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$

WAC061-221434-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0012.120222T1025Z-120223T1330Z/
/GLBW1.1.ER.120222T1025Z.120222T1800Z.120223T0130Z.NO/
934 PM PST TUE FEB 21 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKYKOMISH RIVER NEAR GOLD BAR
* FROM 2 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 2 AM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 16.5 FEET AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...THE SKYKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS AND SOME ROADS ALONG THE RIVER...
  INCLUDING BEN HOWARD ROAD...INDEX-GALENA ROAD AND TUALCO LOOP ROAD.
  A STAGE OF 16 FEET ON THE SKYKOMISH RIVER CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 3
  IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$

WAC061-221433-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0009.120222T0827Z-120223T1000Z/
/PILW1.1.ER.120222T0827Z.120222T1500Z.120223T0100Z.NO/
934 PM PST TUE FEB 21 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PILCHUCK RIVER NEAR SNOHOMISH
* FROM 12 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  9:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 12 AM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 19.0 FEET AROUND 7 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...THE PILCHUCK RIVER SPILLS OUT OF ITS 
  BANKS...FLOODING RESIDENCES AND ROADS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE 
  RIVER FROM GRANITE FALLS DOWNSTREAM THROUGH THE LAKE STEVENS AREA 
  AND SNOHOMISH. THIS INCLUDES AREAS AROUND SEXTON ROAD AND ORCHARD 
  AVENUE IN SNOHOMISH.

$$

WAC033-221433-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120223T0730Z/
/TOLW1.1.ER.120222T0145Z.120222T0600Z.120222T2230Z.NO/
934 PM PST TUE FEB 21 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOLT RIVER NEAR CARNATION
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING. 
* AT  8:15 PM TUESDAY THE FLOW WAS 5640 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 5000 CFS. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6630 CFS 
  AROUND 4 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD FLOW 
  WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 5000 CFS...THE TOLT RIVER WILL FLOOD TOLT RIVER ROAD  
  AND MANY DRIVEWAYS. SOME HOMES IN THE SAN SOUCI AREA COULD BE 
  INACCESSIBLE DUE TO DEEP AND QUICK FLOOD WATERS. THIS RIVER LEVEL 
  ON THE TOLT CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 3 FLOOD IN THE KING COUNTY FLOOD
  SYSTEM.

$$

WAC033-221433-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0005.120222T0726Z-120223T1725Z/
/SQUW1.2.ER.120222T0726Z.120222T1800Z.120223T0825Z.NO/
934 PM PST TUE FEB 21 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR THE FALLS
* FROM 11 PM TUESDAY UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:30 PM TUESDAY THE FLOW WAS 15400 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 20000 CFS. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD FLOW AROUND 11 PM 
  TUESDAY AND CREST NEAR 35000 CFS AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD FLOW EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 30000 CFS...THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS AND ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM THE TOWN 
  OF SNOQUALMIE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH FALL CITY. ROADS THAT MAY BECOME 
  FLOODED INCLUDE FALL CITY-CARNATION...TOLT HILL...AND NOVELTY FLATS
  ROADS. THIS RIVER LEVEL ON THE SNOQUALMIE CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO A 
  PHASE 3 FLOOD IN THE KING COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC033-221433-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120224T1215Z/
/CRNW1.2.ER.120222T0536Z.120223T0600Z.120224T0015Z.NO/
934 PM PST TUE FEB 21 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR CARNATION
* FROM 10 PM TUESDAY UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 52.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 54.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 2 AM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 57.8 FEET AROUND 10 PM WEDNESDAY. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 56.0 FEET...THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING FROM FALL CITY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH CARNATION AND DUVALL...
  INUNDATING MUCH OF THE FARM LAND AND NUMEROUS ROADS.

$$

MCDONNAL
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
719 
WGUS86 KSEW 221147
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
347 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH 
  COUNTY. 
  SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR GRANITE FALLS AFFECTING 
  SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  SKYKOMISH RIVER NEAR GOLD BAR AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  PILCHUCK RIVER NEAR SNOHOMISH AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  TOLT RIVER NEAR CARNATION AFFECTING KING COUNTY. 
  SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR THE FALLS AFFECTING KING COUNTY. 
  SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR CARNATION AFFECTING KING COUNTY. 
  PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING AFFECTING PIERCE COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 9

MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING ON SEVERAL RIVERS FLOWING OFF THE WEST
SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL CASCADES WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. 

PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE WEST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL CASCADES FOR
THE STORM SO FAR RANGE GENERALLY FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES...WITH THE SNOW
LEVEL AS HIGH AS 6000 FEET.

ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY THIS MORNING...WITH THE
HEAVIEST AMOUNTS AGAIN OVER THE CENTRAL CASCADES...AS THE BAND OF 
HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION GRADUALLY SHIFTS SOUTH AS DECREASES. IN
ADDITION THE SNOW LEVEL WILL FALL TO AROUND 2500 FEET LATE TODAY. 
THE DECREASING RAINFALL AND LOWERING SNOW LEVEL WILL ALLOW THE UPPER 
REACHES OF MOST RIVERS TO CREST THIS MORNING...AND CRESTS WILL FLOW 
DOWNSTREAM LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

&&

WAC061-222047-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-120223T0315Z/
/ARGW1.1.ER.120222T1742Z.120222T1800Z.120222T1815Z.NO/
347 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON
* FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT  3:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10 AM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 13.1 FEET AROUND 11 AM WEDNESDAY. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL 
  CAUSE FLOODING OF OSO LOOP ROAD AND CAUSE MINOR RIVERBANK EROSION.
  A STAGE OF 13 FEET CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY 
  FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-222047-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-120223T0313Z/
/GFLW1.1.ER.120222T1747Z.120222T1800Z.120222T1813Z.NO/
347 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR GRANITE FALLS
* FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT  2:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10 AM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 14.1 FEET AROUND 11 AM WEDNESDAY. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...THE SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL 
  CAUSE FLOODING ALONG THE RIVER AND TRIBUTARIES.  A STAGE OF 14 FEET
  CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY FLOOD WARNING 
  SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-222047-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120223T1351Z/
/ARLW1.1.ER.120222T1146Z.120222T2100Z.120223T0151Z.NO/
347 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON
* FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT  3:10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4 AM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 16.6 FEET AROUND 1 PM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR 
  FLOODING MAINLY IN THE SILVANA AREA...INCLUDING OVER PIONEER 
  HIGHWAY AND ALONG NORMAN ROAD. A STAGE OF 16 FEET ON THE 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH
  COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$

WAC061-222047-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-120223T1228Z/
/GLBW1.1.ER.120222T1632Z.120222T1800Z.120223T0028Z.NO/
347 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKYKOMISH RIVER NEAR GOLD BAR
* FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT  2:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 9 AM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 16.0 FEET AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...THE SKYKOMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS AND SOME ROADS ALONG THE RIVER...
  INCLUDING BEN HOWARD ROAD...INDEX-GALENA ROAD AND TUALCO LOOP ROAD.
  A STAGE OF 16 FEET ON THE SKYKOMISH RIVER CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 3
  IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$

WAC061-222047-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-120223T1000Z/
/PILW1.1.ER.120222T0751Z.120222T1500Z.120223T0100Z.NO/
347 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PILCHUCK RIVER NEAR SNOHOMISH
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  2:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 19.0 FEET
  AROUND 7 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...THE PILCHUCK RIVER SPILLS OUT OF ITS 
  BANKS...FLOODING RESIDENCES AND ROADS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE 
  RIVER FROM GRANITE FALLS DOWNSTREAM THROUGH THE LAKE STEVENS AREA 
  AND SNOHOMISH. THIS INCLUDES AREAS AROUND SEXTON ROAD AND ORCHARD 
  AVENUE IN SNOHOMISH.

$$

WAC033-222047-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120223T0730Z/
/TOLW1.1.ER.120222T0145Z.120222T0815Z.120222T2230Z.NO/
347 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOLT RIVER NEAR CARNATION
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT  3:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE FLOW WAS 5550 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 5000 CFS. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW
  FLOOD FLOW EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 5000 CFS...THE TOLT RIVER WILL FLOOD TOLT RIVER ROAD
  NORTHEAST AND MANY DRIVEWAYS. SOME HOMES IN THE SAN SOUCI AREA
  COULD BE INACCESSIBLE DUE TO DEEP AND QUICK FLOOD WATERS. THIS
  RIVER LEVEL ON THE TOLT CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 3 FLOOD IN THE KING
  COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC033-222047-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120223T1725Z/
/SQUW1.2.ER.120222T0746Z.120222T1800Z.120223T0825Z.NO/
347 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR THE FALLS
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING. 
* AT  2:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE FLOW WAS 22700 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 20000 CFS. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 34000 CFS
  AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD FLOW EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 30000 CFS...THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS AND ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM THE TOWN 
  OF SNOQUALMIE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH FALL CITY. ROADS THAT MAY BECOME 
  FLOODED INCLUDE FALL CITY-CARNATION...TOLT HILL...AND NOVELTY FLATS
  ROADS. THIS RIVER LEVEL ON THE SNOQUALMIE CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO A 
  PHASE 3 FLOOD IN THE KING COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC033-222047-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120224T1215Z/
/CRNW1.2.ER.120222T1033Z.120223T0600Z.120224T0015Z.NO/
347 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR CARNATION
* FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT  2:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 53.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 54.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4 AM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 57.8 FEET AROUND 10 PM WEDNESDAY. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 56.0 FEET...THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING FROM FALL CITY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH CARNATION AND DUVALL...
  INUNDATING MUCH OF THE FARM LAND AND NUMEROUS ROADS.

$$

WAC053-222046-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120223T1552Z/
/ORTW1.1.ER.120222T1105Z.120222T1800Z.120223T0652Z.NO/
347 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING
* FROM 3 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT  2:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE FLOW WAS 3640 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 4500 CFS. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD FLOW AROUND 6 AM 
  WEDNESDAY AND CREST NEAR 7500 CFS AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD FLOW TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 4500 CFS...THE PUYALLUP RIVER WILL FLOOD SOME AREAS 
  ALONG THE UPPER PUYALLUP RIVER ABOVE ORTING. AREAS INCLUDE BUT ARE
  NOT LIMITED TO THE NEADHAM ROAD VICINITY...ORVILLE ROAD EAST 
  VICINITY IN AREAS SOUTH OF BROOKS ROAD EAST AND NORTH OF ELECTRON 
  ROAD...AND THE COUNTRY SUBDIVISION/TOMOLLA TREE FARM VICINITY.

$$

MCDONNAL
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
489 
WGUS86 KSEW 221425
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
625 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS ENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH 
  COUNTY.
  SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR GRANITE FALLS AFFECTING 
  SNOHOMISH COUNTY.
  SKYKOMISH RIVER NEAR GOLD BAR AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  PILCHUCK R NR SNOHOMISH AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  TOLT RIVER NEAR CARNATION AFFECTING KING COUNTY. 
  SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR THE FALLS AFFECTING KING COUNTY. 
  SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR CARNATION AFFECTING KING COUNTY. 
  PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING AFFECTING PIERCE COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 10

MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING ON SEVERAL RIVERS FLOWING OFF THE WEST
SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL CASCADES WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT.
HOWEVER THE NORTH AND SOUTH FORKS OF THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AND THE
SKYKOMISH RIVER WILL REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE...AND THE FLOOD
WARNINGS THERE HAVE ENDED.

PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE WEST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL CASCADES FOR
THE STORM SO FAR RANGE GENERALLY FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES...WITH THE SNOW
LEVEL AS HIGH AS 6000 FEET.

ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY THIS MORNING...WITH THE
HEAVIEST AMOUNTS AGAIN OVER THE CENTRAL CASCADES. THE BAND OF 
HEAVY PRECIPITATION WILL SHIFT SOUTH INTO OREGON THIS MORNING...AND
THE SNOW LEVEL WILL FALL TO AROUND 2500 FEET LATE TODAY. THE
DECREASING RAINFALL AND LOWERING SNOW LEVEL WILL ALLOW THE UPPER 
REACHES OF MOST RIVERS TO CREST THIS MORNING...AND CRESTS WILL FLOW 
DOWNSTREAM LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...VANS...OR TRUCKS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.
&&

WAC061-221455-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-120223T0315Z/
/ARGW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
625 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON
* AT  5:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WAS NEAR ITS CREST AT 6 AM WEDNESDAY. IT WILL
  FALL THE REST OF TODAY...REMAINING BELOW FLOOD STAGE. THE FLOOD
  WARNING THERE HAS ENDED.

$$

WAC061-221455-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-120223T0313Z/
/GFLW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
625 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR GRANITE FALLS
* AT  5:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WAS NEAR ITS CREST AT 6 AM WEDNESDAY. IT WILL
  FALL THE REST OF TODAY...REMAINING BELOW FLOOD STAGE. THE FLOOD
  WARNING THERE HAS ENDED.

$$

WAC061-222325-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120223T1009Z/
/ARLW1.1.ER.120222T1222Z.120222T1800Z.120222T2209Z.NO/
625 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  5:55 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 15.1 FEET
  AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL LOCALLY SPILL 
  OVER ITS BANKS. MINOR FLOODING AROUND SILVANA WILL OCCUR...
  INCLUDING OVER PIONEER HIGHWAY. A STAGE OF 14 FEET ON THE 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH
  COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$

WAC061-221455-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-120223T1228Z/
/GLBW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
625 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SKYKOMISH RIVER NEAR GOLD BAR
* AT  5:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WAS NEAR ITS CREST AT 6 AM WEDNESDAY. IT WILL
  FALL THE REST OF TODAY...REMAINING BELOW FLOOD STAGE. THE FLOOD
  WARNING THERE HAS ENDED.

$$

WAC061-222325-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-120223T1000Z/
/PILW1.1.ER.120222T0751Z.120222T1500Z.120223T0100Z.NO/
625 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PILCHUCK RIVER NEAR SNOHOMISH
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT  5:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 19.0 FEET
  AROUND 7 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...THE PILCHUCK RIVER SPILLS OUT OF ITS 
  BANKS...FLOODING RESIDENCES AND ROADS IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE 
  RIVER FROM GRANITE FALLS DOWNSTREAM THROUGH THE LAKE STEVENS AREA 
  AND SNOHOMISH. THIS INCLUDES AREAS AROUND SEXTON ROAD AND ORCHARD 
  AVENUE IN SNOHOMISH.

$$

WAC033-222325-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120223T0730Z/
/TOLW1.1.ER.120222T0145Z.120222T0815Z.120222T2230Z.NO/
625 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOLT RIVER NEAR CARNATION
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT  5:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE FLOW WAS 5230 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 5000 CFS. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW
  FLOOD FLOW EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 5000 CFS...THE TOLT RIVER WILL FLOOD TOLT RIVER ROAD
  NORTHEAST AND MANY DRIVEWAYS. SOME HOMES IN THE SAN SOUCI AREA
  COULD BE INACCESSIBLE DUE TO DEEP AND QUICK FLOOD WATERS. THIS
  RIVER LEVEL ON THE TOLT CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 3 FLOOD IN THE KING
  COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC033-222325-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120223T1725Z/
/SQUW1.2.ER.120222T0746Z.120222T1800Z.120223T0825Z.NO/
625 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR THE FALLS
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING. 
* AT  5:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE FLOW WAS 24900 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 20000 CFS. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 34000 CFS
  AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD FLOW EARLY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 30000 CFS...THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF PASTURE LANDS AND ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM THE TOWN 
  OF SNOQUALMIE DOWNSTREAM THROUGH FALL CITY. ROADS THAT MAY BECOME 
  FLOODED INCLUDE FALL CITY-CARNATION...TOLT HILL...AND NOVELTY FLATS
  ROADS. THIS RIVER LEVEL ON THE SNOQUALMIE CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO A 
  PHASE 3 FLOOD IN THE KING COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC033-222325-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120224T1215Z/
/CRNW1.2.ER.120222T1050Z.120223T0600Z.120224T0015Z.NO/
625 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER NEAR CARNATION
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. 
* AT  5:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 54.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 54.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 57.8 FEET
  AROUND 10 PM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 56.0 FEET...THE SNOQUALMIE RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING FROM FALL CITY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH CARNATION AND DUVALL...
  INUNDATING MUCH OF THE FARM LAND AND NUMEROUS ROADS.

$$

WAC053-222324-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120223T1552Z/
/ORTW1.1.ER.120222T1239Z.120222T1800Z.120223T0652Z.NO/
625 AM PST WED FEB 22 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PUYALLUP RIVER NEAR ORTING
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING. 
* AT  5:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE FLOW WAS 5640 CFS. 
* FLOOD FLOW IS 4500 CFS. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 7600 CFS 
  AROUND 10 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD FLOW 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 4500 CFS...THE PUYALLUP RIVER WILL FLOOD SOME AREAS 
  ALONG THE UPPER PUYALLUP RIVER ABOVE ORTING.  AREAS INCLUDE BUT ARE
  NOT LIMITED TO THE NEADHAM ROAD VICINITY...ORVILLE ROAD EAST 
  VICINITY IN AREAS SOUTH OF BROOKS ROAD EAST AND NORTH OF ELECTRON 
  ROAD...AND THE COUNTRY SUBDIVISION/TOMOLLA TREE FARM VICINITY.

$$

MCDONNAL
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Seattle, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 21, 8:55 PM PST, 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 21, 8:55 PM PST, 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
855 PM PST TUE FEB 21 2012

.SYNOPSIS...MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING RAIN AND MILD TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL SAG SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY WITH
RAIN CHANGING TO SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GIVE DRY WEATHER
THURSDAY. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING MORE RAIN FRIDAY. A COLD UPPER
TROUGH WILL SETTLE OVER THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND INTRODUCING THE CHANCE
FOR LOWLAND SNOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM...STRONG MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT.
COMBINED WITH HIGH SNOW LEVELS...THIS WILL BRING FLOODING RAINS TO
THE MOUNTAINS. THE SEATTLE METRO AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE SOMEWHAT
SHADOWED IN WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT HOWEVER. SNOW LEVELS HAVE RISEN TO
5000 OR 6000 FEET CENTRAL CASCADES AND AROUND 4500 FEET NORTH
CASCADES. SNOW STOPPED ACCUMULATING AT MOUNT BAKER SEVERAL HOURS AGO
AND THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING FOR TONIGHT HAS BEEN CANCELED THERE. THE
HEAVY RAINS HAVE ALSO CREATED AN INCREASED THREAT FOR LANDSLIDES...
MAINLY NEAR THE CASCADE FOOTHILLS. A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT HAS
BEEN ISSUED TO ADDRESS THIS THREAT.

THE BAROCLINIC BAND DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WILL SAG SOUTH AS
A COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY WITH RAIN CHANGING TO SHOWERS FROM NORTH
TO SOUTH AND LOWERING SNOW LEVELS. SNOW LEVELS WILL FALL BELOW PASS
LEVEL BY AFTERNOON AND THERE SHOULD SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATIONS
BY EVENING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE MOUNTAINS
ABOVE 2500 FEET TO COVER THIS.

BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH
STRONG ONSHORE FLOW...BUT PROBABLY BELOW WIND ADVISORY LEVELS ALL
AREAS. AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY BRINGING DRIER WEATHER AND MAYBE EVEN SOME SUNSHINE ON
THURSDAY. A COLDER FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW
FRIDAY. SCHNEIDER

.LONG TERM...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...A COLDER WEATHER PATTERN WILL
BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE PAC NW DURING THIS PERIOD. ANTICIPATE
THE SNOW LEVEL TO FALL TO NEAR SEA LEVEL BY LATE IN THE PERIOD. AT
THIS TIME...IT DID NOT APPEAR THAT SIGNIFICANT SNOW WILL FALL ON
THE LOWLANDS. 05

&&

.HYDROLOGY...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...MANY PLACES RECEIVED 1-2 INCHES
OF RAIN IN THE 24-HR PERIOD ENDING AT 2 PM PST TODAY. HOWEVER THE
CASCADES RECEIVED QUITE A BIT MORE OR 2.5 TO 4.5 INCHES OF
PRECIP...ALTHOUGH SOME OF THIS FELL IN THE FORM OF SNOW ABOVE THE 4K
FT LEVEL. ANTICIPATE ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE MOUNTAINS
BELOW THE SNOW LEVEL TONIGHT...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS OCCURRING
IN THE CASCADES.

A MOIST PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE AIMED AT WRN WA
THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT. THIS MOISTURE PLUME WAS BEING AIDED BY 180
KNOT PLUS JET. STRONG OROGRAPHIC LIFT WILL HELP TO ENHANCE PRECIP
RATES ON THE W FACING SLOPES OF THE CASCADES ESPECIALLY.

LOOK FOR THE RAIN RATES TO SHUT DOWN OR MARKEDLY DECREASE BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT THAT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL ALSO FALL TO NEAR 2500 FEET BY LATE
WED MORNING. THUS LOOK FOR THE RAIN TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW IN THE
MOUNTAINS ABOVE THIS LEVEL.

ALTHOUGH THE RAIN WILL DECREASE WED MORNING...AREA RIVERS WILL
CONTINUE TO RUN HIGH...WITH FLOODING CONTINUING ON SOME RIVERS. IN
FACT...SOME RIVERS WILL NOT CREST UNTIL SOMETIME WED. ANTICIPATE THE
RIVERS TO START RECEDING WED AFTERNOON OR NIGHT. THE RISK OF
FLOODING SHOULD COME TO AN END BY LATE THU.

BEYOND THU...A COLDER PATTERN WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE
NW...THUS FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED FRI THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. 05

&&

.AVALANCHE...THE CURRENT HEAVY LOADING OF WET HEAVY SNOW OR RAIN
THAT BEGAN EARLY TUESDAY AT RISING FREEZING LEVELS HAS CAUSED A
SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE AVALANCHE DANGER. THE HEAVY
PRECIPITATION IS LOADING THE 2 TO 4 FEET OF SNOWFALL THAT HAS
ACCUMULATED SINCE LATE FRIDAY. CONTINUED WARMING AND FURTHER HEAVY
PRECIPITATION RATES OVERNIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY SHOULD CAUSE LARGE
TO VERY LARGE AVALANCHES. A WIDESPREAD AVALANCHE CYCLE BEGAN NEAR
NOON TODAY IN THE SNOQUALMIE PASS AREA, REPORTED BY PROFESSIONAL
PATROLLED...CONFIRMING THESE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.

AN AVALANCHE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EXTREME AVALANCHE DANGER ON
TUESDAY NEAR AND WEST OF THE CREST AND A HIGH DANGER ELSEWHERE. THE
NWAC RECOMMENDS AVOIDING ALL AVALANCHE TERRAIN ON TUESDAY IN THE
OLYMPICS AND NEAR AND WEST OF THE CREST WITH TRAVEL IN AVALANCHE
TERRAIN NOT RECOMMENDED ELSEWHERE.

PLEASE VISIT WWW.NWAC.US FOR FURTHER DETAILS. KRAMER

&&

.AVIATION...STRONG MOIST NW FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...AS A
COLD FRONT EXTENDING W FROM NORTHERN VANCOUVER ISLAND AT 04Z
APPROACHES W WA. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE N WA COAST AROUND 12Z
AND CROSS PUGET SOUND 15Z-18Z. CONTINUING RAIN INTO THE ALREADY
MOIST AIR MASS KEEP CIGS MAINLY IN THE MVFR RANGE WITH AREAS OF IFR
CIGS. VISIBILITY WILL BE MAINLY VFR BUT COULD LOWER TO 2-5SM IN RAIN
AND MIST. POST-FRONTAL ONSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP THE LOWER AIR MASS
MOIST ON WEDNESDAY WITH AREAS OF SHOWERS AND A POSSIBLE PUGET SOUND
CONVERGENCE ZONE.

KSEA...CIGS WILL REMAIN BELOW OVC020 TONIGHT...LOWERING TO IFR BY
12Z AS THE COLD FRONT NEARS. VISIBILITY WILL REMAIN MAINLY VFR BUT
WITH 2-5SM IN RAIN AROUND 12Z. COLD FRONT FROPA WILL BE AROUND 17Z.
WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTHWEST 12G25 KT. KAM

&&

.MARINE...STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WESTERN WA
TONIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE NW. THE
FRONT WILL SWEEP SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING. STRONG
ONSHORE FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE WESTERLIES THROUGH THE
STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA AND ADMIRALTY INLET WHERE GALES ARE EXPECTED.
SCA WINDS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL SETTLE
BRIEFLY OVER THE AREA THURSDAY. KAM

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...AVALANCHE WARNING OLYMPICS AND CASCADES THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.
    .WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NORTH AND CENTRAL CASCADES ABOVE 2500
     FEET WEDNESDAY.
    .FLOOD WATCHES OR WARNINGS FOR MUCH OF WESTERN WASHINGTON.
PZ...GALE WARNING STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA...ADMIRALTY INLET...PUGET
     SOUND AND HOOD CANAL.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY COASTAL WATERS...NORTHERN INLAND WATER.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY GRAYS HARBOR FOR ROUGH BAR CONDITIONS.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

FOR THE GRAPHICAL AFD...VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE/GAFD/LATEST_WEBAFD.HTML

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 21, 5:44 PM PST, 3 hours 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
544 PM PST TUE FEB 21 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0543 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 E MARBLEMOUNT         48.53N 121.43W
02/21/2012  M2.00 INCH       SKAGIT             WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL AS OF 530 PM TODAY.

&&

DDAMICO
Special weather statement, Feb 21, 8:22 PM PST, 1 hour 1 minute before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
822 PM PST TUE FEB 21 2012

WAZ505>507-518-519-230000-
EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS-WESTERN SKAGIT COUNTY-
EVERETT AND VICINITY-WEST SLOPES NORTHERN CASCADES AND PASSES-
WEST SLOPES CENTRAL CASCADES AND PASSES-
822 PM PST TUE FEB 21 2012

...HEAVY RAINFALL SINCE THIS MORNING THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING WILL LEAD TO
INCREASE RISK OF LANDSLIDES THE PORTIONS OF WESTERN WASHINGTON
INCLUDED IN THIS SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

RAINFALL OF 2 TO 6 INCHES INCHES OVER THE PAST 24 HAS INCREASED
SOIL MOISTURE TO MODERATE LEVELS ACROSS WESTERN WASHINGTON EAST OF
THE PUGET SOUND. HEAVY RAINFALL OF AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES IN
THIS AREA IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL PUT
EXTRA PRESSURE ON SOIL INSTABILITY...LEADING TO AN INCREASED RISK
OF LANDSLIDES.

CUMULATIVE RAINFALL OVER THE LAST WEEK HAS BEEN 1.5 TO 3.5 INCH
RANGE. ADDING RAINFALL FROM TODAY AND WHAT IS STILL TO COME
OVERNIGHT...THE ESTIMATED WASHINGTON LANDSLIDE RISK LEVEL IS
MODERATE. AT THIS THREAT LEVEL...SCATTERED LANDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE AREAS SPECIFIED IN THIS STATEMENT. THIS THREAT LEVEL IS ESTIMATED USING
CURRENT RAINFALL INFORMATION THAT IS NOT IN EITHER THE USGS OR WA
DNR-NWS INDEXES.

WITH AN ELEVATED LANDSLIDE RISK...RAINFALL INDUCED LANDSLIDES ARE
POSSIBLE DURING BURSTS OF INTENSE RAINFALL OR WHEN THERE IS HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER A PERIOD OF A DAY OR TWO AS NOTED IN THE FORECAST
ELEVATED RISK LEVEL. A GRADUALLY DIMINISHING RISK OF LANDSLIDES
WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS AFTER THE RAIN ENDS. AREAS MOST
SUSCEPTIBLE TO LANDSLIDES UNDER THESE CONDITIONS ARE STEEP COASTAL
BLUFFS AND OTHER STEEP HILLSIDES.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT CURRENT CONDITIONS...VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE...SELECT HYDROLOGY...AND THEN SCROLL DOWN
FOR THE LINKS TO THE LANDSLIDE INFORMATION PAGES.

TO REPORT LANDSLIDES TO THE STATE FOR TABULATION...GO TO THE
WASHINGTON STATE LANDSLIDE RISK WEB PAGE AND THE LINK FOR
REPORTING.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE
JBB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Seattle, WA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 21, 7:05 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish24 hr
Feb 21, 9:23 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish9 hr
Feb 21, 9:23 PM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish9 hr
Feb 22, 9:05 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWSnohomish19 hr
Feb 22, 9:16 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWLewis18 hr
Feb 22, 10:26 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWKing47 hr
Feb 22, 10:26 AM PSTRiver Flood WarningSEWLewis11 hr
Feb 22, 2:44 PM PSTSmall Craft Advisory for Hazardous SeasSEW24 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Washington, 2012Every river flood warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.