Alert archive / Virginia / Winter Storm Watches in 2012

Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS Blacksburg, VA

February 17, 201224 counties in Virginia; Mercer County, Monroe County, Summers County, West Virginia; Alleghany County, Ashe County, Watauga County, North Carolina

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this winter storm watch at Feb 17, 2012, 3:11 PM EST for 24 counties in Virginia; Mercer County, Monroe County, Summers County, West Virginia; Alleghany County, Ashe County, Watauga County, North Carolina. It took effect at Feb 19, 2012, 6:00 AM EST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 17, 2012, 3:11 PM EST (20:11 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 19, 2012, 6:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 18, 2012, 4:36 PM EST
In force
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA
All 30 counties

Alleghany County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Alleghany County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Bath County, VA, Bland County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Carroll County, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Radford, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, Craig County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Giles County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Wythe County, VA, Mercer County, WV, Monroe County, WV, Summers County, WV

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 89 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2012-02-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2012-02-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -64 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1017 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
9 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

874 
WWUS41 KRNK 172011
WSWRNK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
311 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

...MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS OF WET SNOW FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING...

.A STORM SYSTEM WILL SLIDE JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND THEN TURN NORTHEAST UP THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST AND STRENGTHEN BY LATE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING.
AS THE LOW BEGINS TO DEEPEN ACROSS SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA DURING
THE LATER HALF OF SUNDAY...THIS WILL HELP TO PULL COLDER AIR IN
FROM THE NORTH. COMBINED WITH SIGNIFICANT LIFT AND
PRECIPITATION RATES...THIS WILL ALSO BRING DOWN COLDER AIR FROM
ALOFT. OVERALL...THIS IS A VERY FAVORABLE TRACK FOR PRODUCING
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.
HOWEVER...GIVEN THE MILD SURFACE CONDITIONS SATURDAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT...AND THE FACT THAT THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION WILL
MOVE IN DURING THE DAY AND BEGIN AS RAIN EARLY SUNDAY BEFORE THE
COLDER AIR ARRIVES...IT WILL BE DIFFICULT FOR THE SNOW TO STICK
EFFECTIVELY UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY SUNDAY...EXCEPT FOR THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS WHERE SOME ACCUMULATIONS COULD BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING.
THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AND MOVE EAST LATER SUNDAY EVENING.

VAZ018>020-023-024-035-WVZ042>045-180415-
/O.NEW.KRNK.WS.A.0002.120219T1100Z-120220T0500Z/
CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-AMHERST-MERCER-
SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...
COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...
AMHERST...BLUEFIELD...HINTON...HIX...UNION...LEWISBURG...
QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
311 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS...AND
  INTO THE SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY AND BLUE RIDGE.

* HAZARD TYPES...WET SNOW...PERHAPS SOME SLEET MIXED IN.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...WET SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8
  INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ABOVE 3000 FT WHERE UP TO 10
  INCHES IS POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...STARTING SUNDAY MORNING IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS..WITH
  THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS COMING SUNDAY AFTERNOON
  THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...SLICK ROADS...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AS
  WELL AS POSSIBLE DOWNED TREES WITH THE HEAVIER ACCUMULATIONS OF
  WET SNOW.

* WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S SUNDAY...DROPPING INTO THE TEENS
  AND 20S SUNDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
556 
WWUS41 KRNK 180255
WSWRNK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
955 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

...MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS OF WET SNOW FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
EVENING...

.A STORM SYSTEM WILL SLIDE JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND THEN TURN NORTHEAST UP THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST AND STRENGTHEN BY LATE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING.
AS THE LOW BEGINS TO DEEPEN ACROSS SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA DURING
THE LATER HALF OF SUNDAY...THIS WILL HELP TO PULL COLDER AIR IN
FROM THE NORTH. COMBINED WITH SIGNIFICANT LIFT AND PRECIPITATION
RATES...THIS WILL ALSO BRING DOWN COLDER AIR FROM ALOFT.
OVERALL...THIS IS A VERY FAVORABLE TRACK FOR PRODUCING
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.
HOWEVER...GIVEN THE MILD SURFACE CONDITIONS SATURDAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT...AND THE FACT THAT THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION WILL
MOVE IN DURING THE DAY AND BEGIN AS RAIN EARLY SUNDAY BEFORE THE
COLDER AIR ARRIVES...IT WILL BE DIFFICULT FOR THE SNOW TO STICK
EFFECTIVELY UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY SUNDAY...EXCEPT FOR THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS WHERE SOME ACCUMULATIONS COULD BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING.
THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AND MOVE EAST LATER SUNDAY EVENING.

VAZ018>020-023-024-035-WVZ042>045-181100-
/O.CON.KRNK.WS.A.0002.120219T1100Z-120220T0500Z/
CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-AMHERST-MERCER-
SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...
COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...
AMHERST...BLUEFIELD...HINTON...HIX...UNION...LEWISBURG...
QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
955 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS...
  AND INTO THE SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY AND BLUE RIDGE. 

* HAZARD TYPES...WET SNOW...PERHAPS SOME SLEET MIXED IN.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...WET SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8
  INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ABOVE 3000 FT WHERE UP TO 10
  INCHES IS POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...STARTING SUNDAY MORNING IN THE HIGHEST 
  ELEVATIONS..WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS COMING 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...SLICK ROADS...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS... 
  AS WELL AS POSSIBLE DOWNED TREES WITH THE HEAVIER 
  ACCUMULATIONS OF WET SNOW. 

* WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$
992 
WWUS41 KRNK 180833
WSWRNK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
333 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

...MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS OF WET SNOW FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
EVENING...

.A STORM SYSTEM WILL SLIDE JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND THEN TURN NORTHEAST UP THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST AND STRENGTHEN BY LATE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING.
AS THE LOW BEGINS TO DEEPEN ACROSS SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA DURING
THE LATER HALF OF SUNDAY...THIS WILL HELP TO PULL COLDER AIR IN
FROM THE NORTH. COMBINED WITH SIGNIFICANT LIFT AND PRECIPITATION
RATES...THIS WILL ALSO BRING DOWN COLDER AIR FROM ALOFT.
OVERALL...THIS IS A VERY FAVORABLE TRACK FOR PRODUCING
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.
HOWEVER...GIVEN THE MILD SURFACE CONDITIONS SATURDAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT...AND THE FACT THAT THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION WILL
MOVE IN DURING THE DAY AND BEGIN AS RAIN EARLY SUNDAY BEFORE THE
COLDER AIR ARRIVES...IT WILL BE DIFFICULT FOR THE SNOW TO STICK
EFFECTIVELY UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY SUNDAY...EXCEPT FOR THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS WHERE SOME ACCUMULATIONS COULD BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING.
THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AND MOVE EAST LATER SUNDAY EVENING.

VAZ018>020-023-024-035-WVZ042>045-181645-
/O.CON.KRNK.WS.A.0002.120219T1100Z-120220T0500Z/
CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-AMHERST-MERCER-
SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...
COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...
AMHERST...BLUEFIELD...HINTON...HIX...UNION...LEWISBURG...
QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
333 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS... 
  AND INTO THE SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY AND BLUE RIDGE. 

* HAZARD TYPES...WET SNOW...PERHAPS SOME SLEET MIXED IN.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...WET SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8
  INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ABOVE 3000 FT WHERE UP TO 10
  INCHES IS POSSIBLE.


* TIMING...STARTING SUNDAY MORNING IN THE HIGHEST 
  ELEVATIONS..WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS COMING 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...SLICK ROADS...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS... 
  AS WELL AS POSSIBLE DOWNED TREES WITH THE HEAVIER 
  ACCUMULATIONS OF WET SNOW. 

* WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

07
532 
WWUS41 KRNK 180844
WSWRNK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
344 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

...MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS OF WET SNOW FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
EVENING...

.A STORM SYSTEM WILL SLIDE JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND THEN TURN NORTHEAST UP THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST AND STRENGTHEN BY LATE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING.
AS THE LOW BEGINS TO DEEPEN ACROSS SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA DURING
THE LATER HALF OF SUNDAY...THIS WILL HELP TO PULL COLDER AIR IN
FROM THE NORTH. COMBINED WITH SIGNIFICANT LIFT AND PRECIPITATION
RATES...THIS WILL ALSO BRING DOWN COLDER AIR FROM ALOFT.
OVERALL...THIS IS A VERY FAVORABLE TRACK FOR PRODUCING
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.
HOWEVER...GIVEN THE MILD SURFACE CONDITIONS SATURDAY AND INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT...AND THE FACT THAT THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION WILL
MOVE IN DURING THE DAY AND BEGIN AS RAIN EARLY SUNDAY BEFORE THE
COLDER AIR ARRIVES...IT WILL BE DIFFICULT FOR THE SNOW TO STICK
EFFECTIVELY UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY SUNDAY...EXCEPT FOR THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS WHERE SOME ACCUMULATIONS COULD BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING.
THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AND MOVE EAST LATER SUNDAY EVENING.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ007-009>017-022-181645-
/O.EXA.KRNK.WS.A.0002.120219T1100Z-120220T0500Z/
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-
PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-ROANOKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE...
TAZEWELL...MARION...BLAND...PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE...RADFORD...
PULASKI...BLACKSBURG...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...
VOLNEY...GALAX...FLOYD...ROANOKE...SALEM
344 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING.


* LOCATIONS...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE NEW
  RIVER VALLEY TO THE ROANOKE VALLEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...WET SNOW...PERHAPS SOME SLEET MIXED IN.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...WET SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8
  INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ABOVE 3000 FT WHERE UP TO 10
  INCHES IS POSSIBLE.


* TIMING...STARTING SUNDAY MORNING IN THE HIGHEST 
  ELEVATIONS..WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS COMING 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...SLICK ROADS...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS... 
  AS WELL AS POSSIBLE DOWNED TREES WITH THE HEAVIER 
  ACCUMULATIONS OF WET SNOW. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

VAZ018>020-023-024-035-WVZ042>045-181645-
/O.CON.KRNK.WS.A.0002.120219T1100Z-120220T0500Z/
CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-AMHERST-MERCER-
SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...
COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...
AMHERST...BLUEFIELD...HINTON...HIX...UNION...LEWISBURG...
QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
344 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS... 
  AND INTO THE SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY AND BLUE RIDGE. 

* HAZARD TYPES...WET SNOW...PERHAPS SOME SLEET MIXED IN.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...WET SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8
  INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ABOVE 3000 FT WHERE UP TO 10
  INCHES IS POSSIBLE.


* TIMING...STARTING SUNDAY MORNING IN THE HIGHEST 
  ELEVATIONS..WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS COMING 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...SLICK ROADS...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS... 
  AS WELL AS POSSIBLE DOWNED TREES WITH THE HEAVIER 
  ACCUMULATIONS OF WET SNOW. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$
188 
WWUS41 KRNK 181749
WSWRNK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1249 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

...MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS OF WET SNOW FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
EVENING...

.A STORM SYSTEM WILL SLIDE JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND THEN TURN NORTHEAST UP THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST AND STRENGTHEN BY LATE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING.
OVERALL...THIS IS A VERY FAVORABLE TRACK FOR PRODUCING
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.
HOWEVER...GIVEN THE MILD SURFACE CONDITIONS TODAY AND INTO
TONIGHT...AND THE FACT THAT THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION WILL
MOVE IN DURING THE DAY AND BEGIN AS RAIN EARLY SUNDAY BEFORE THE
COLDER AIR ARRIVES...IT WILL BE DIFFICULT FOR THE SNOW TO STICK
EFFECTIVELY UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY SUNDAY...EXCEPT FOR THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS WHERE SOME ACCUMULATIONS COULD BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING.
THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AND MOVE EAST LATE SUNDAY EVENING.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-035-WVZ042>045-190000-
/O.CON.KRNK.WS.A.0002.120219T1100Z-120220T0500Z/
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-
PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-
ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-AMHERST-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-
GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE...
TAZEWELL...MARION...BLAND...PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE...RADFORD...
PULASKI...BLACKSBURG...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...
VOLNEY...GALAX...FLOYD...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...COVINGTON...
HOT SPRINGS...ROANOKE...SALEM...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...
BUENA VISTA...AMHERST...BLUEFIELD...HINTON...HIX...UNION...
LEWISBURG...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
1249 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS... 
  AND INTO THE SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY AND BLUE RIDGE. 

* HAZARD TYPES...WET SNOW...PERHAPS SOME SLEET MIXED IN.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...WET SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES... 
  WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ABOVE 3000 FT WHERE UP TO 10 INCHES 
  IS POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING...STARTING SUNDAY MORNING IN THE HIGHEST 
  ELEVATIONS..WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS COMING 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...SLICK ROADS...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS... 
  AS WELL AS POSSIBLE DOWNED TREES WITH THE HEAVIER 
  ACCUMULATIONS OF WET SNOW. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$
404 
WWUS41 KRNK 182136
WSWRNK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
436 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF WET SNOW EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY
NIGHT...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIFT NORTHEAST OUT OF THE GULF COAST
STATES TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...THEN PUSH OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST
ON SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS IS A VERY FAVORABLE TRACK FOR PRODUCING
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR MUCH OF THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS AND PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. 

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ007-009>017-022-WVZ042-190545-
/O.UPG.KRNK.WS.A.0002.120219T1100Z-120220T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KRNK.WS.W.0003.120219T0500Z-120220T1100Z/
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-
PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-ROANOKE-MERCER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...BOONE...
TAZEWELL...MARION...BLAND...PEARISBURG...WYTHEVILLE...RADFORD...
PULASKI...BLACKSBURG...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...
VOLNEY...GALAX...FLOYD...ROANOKE...SALEM...BLUEFIELD
436 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTHWESTERN
  VIRGINIA...SOUTHEASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...NEW RIVER
  VALLEY...ROANOKE VALLEY...AND ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY WET SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
  OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND ALONG THE EAST FLANKS OF THE BLUE
  RIDGE.

* TIMING...STARTING AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT AS RAIN OR A
  MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SLEET...GRADUALLY CHANGING OVER TO WET SNOW
  BY OR SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK ON SUNDAY. MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY
  HEAVY WET SNOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN MOST LOCATIONS THROUGHOUT
  MUCH OF SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND
  ENDING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

* IMPACTS...SLICK ROADS...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
  LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...AS WELL AS POSSIBLE
  DOWNED TREES AND TREE LIMBS RESULTING IN SPOTTY POWER OUTAGES.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

VAZ018>020-023-024-035-WVZ043>045-190545-
/O.UPG.KRNK.WS.A.0002.120219T1100Z-120220T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KRNK.WS.W.0003.120219T0500Z-120220T1100Z/
CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-AMHERST-SUMMERS-
MONROE-GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...
COVINGTON...HOT SPRINGS...FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA...
AMHERST...HINTON...HIX...UNION...LEWISBURG...QUINWOOD...DUO...
RAINELLE
436 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...ALLEGHANY
  HIGHLANDS...SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY...AND ALONG THE BLUE
  RIDGE.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY WET SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
  OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND ALONG THE EAST FLANKS OF THE BLUE
  RIDGE.

* TIMING...STARTING AROUND OR SHORTLY BEFORE DAYBREAK ON SUNDAY AS
  A MIXTURE OF RAIN...SNOW OR SLEET...QUICKLY CHANGING OVER TO WET
  SNOW BY OR SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK ON SUNDAY. MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY
  HEAVY WET SNOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN MOST LOCATIONS THROUGHOUT
  MUCH OF SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND
  ENDING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

* IMPACTS...SLICK ROADS...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
  LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...AS WELL AS POSSIBLE
  DOWNED TREES AND TREE LIMBS RESULTING IN SPOTTY POWER OUTAGES.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

VAZ034-190545-
/O.NEW.KRNK.WS.W.0003.120219T0500Z-120220T1100Z/
BEDFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BEDFORD
436 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...BEDFORD COUNTY...INCLUDING THE INDEPENDENT CITY OF BEDFORD.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY WET SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
  OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

* TIMING...STARTING AROUND OR SHORTLY BEFORE DAYBREAK ON SUNDAY AS
  A MIXTURE OF RAIN...SNOW OR SLEET...QUICKLY CHANGING OVER TO WET
  SNOW BY OR SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK ON SUNDAY. MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY
  HEAVY WET SNOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN MOST LOCATIONS THROUGHOUT
  MUCH OF SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND
  ENDING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

* IMPACTS...SLICK ROADS...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
  LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...AS WELL AS POSSIBLE
  DOWNED TREES AND TREE LIMBS RESULTING IN SPOTTY POWER OUTAGES.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

VAZ032-033-043>047-058-059-190545-
/O.NEW.KRNK.WW.Y.0008.120219T0500Z-120220T1100Z/
PATRICK-FRANKLIN-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-
BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STUART...ROCKY MOUNT...MARTINSVILLE...
DANVILLE...LYNCHBURG...APPOMATTOX...SOUTH BOSTON...KEYSVILLE
436 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST MONDAY.

* LOCATIONS...PIEDMONT AND SOUTHSIDE VIRGINIA.

* HAZARD TYPES...WET SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH THE
  HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN CAMPBELL...APPOMATTOX...AND BUCKINGHAM COUNTY.

* TIMING...STARTING AROUND OR SHORTLY BEFORE DAYBREAK ON SUNDAY AS
  A MIXTURE OF RAIN...SNOW OR SLEET...GRADUALLY CHANGING OVER TO
  WET SNOW NORTH OF HIGHWAY 460 DURING THE MORNING...AND MIXING
  WITH OR CHANGING OVER TO SNOW NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA STATE LINE
  DURING THE AFTERNOON. WET SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF TO
  FLURRIES BEFORE ENDING ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SLICK ROADS...ESPECIALLY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO
  SUNDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 30S SUNDAY MORNING...FALLING TO
  THE LOWER AND MID 30S SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

WERT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Feb 17, 12:46 PM EST, 2 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 17, 12:46 PM EST, 2 hours 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1246 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION TODAY BEFORE
PASSING OFFSHORE ON SATURDAY. A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
RIDE NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF COAST AND AFFECT THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THIS STORM
SYSTEM BRINGING A RETURN TO DRIER WEATHER FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 1000 AM EST FRIDAY...

CLEARING TO TAKE PLACE FROM EAST TO WEST TODAY...WITH TEMPS AGAIN
MILD UNDER HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN AND ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. COULD
AGAIN BE CLOSE TO 60 FAR SE WHILE MAINLY 50S EAST AND 40S TO LOW
50S MOUNTAINS.

SURFACE HIGH RIDGES OVERHEAD TONIGHT WITH SUBSIDENCE KEEPING SKIES
MAINLY CLEAR OUTSIDE OF SOME SHEARED HIGH CLOUDS WITH THE FAST
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND PERHAPS A BIT OF LOW CLOUDS NW. BETTER RAD
CONDITIONS SHOULD ALLOW FOR THE VALLEYS TO FALL BELOW FREEZING WHILE
THE RIDGES STAYED A BIT MORE MIXED...WITH AN UPR 20S TO MID 30S
BLEND ACROSS THE REGION FOR LOWS.

SATURDAY SHOULD SEE INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS IN ADVANCE OF
DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE GULF COAST. BUT PLENTY OF SUN
EARLY WILL STILL YIELD QUITE MILD TEMPERATURES AS H85 TEMPS WILL
BE IN THE +2C TO +5C RANGE WITH HIGHS REACHING THE 50S EVEN IN THE
MOUNTAINS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 330 AM EST FRIDAY...

COMPLICATED FORECAST FOR THE WEEKEND CONTINUES WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SUNDAY.
LOW PRESSURE IN THE NORTHWEST GULF WILL LIFT NORTHEAST REACHING
NORTHERN GEORGIA SUNDAY MORNING...THEN MOVE OFF THE CAROLINA COAST
BY SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS TRACK IS NORMALLY FAVORABLE FOR AN AXIS OF
ACCUMULATING SNOW IN OUR AREA. AT THIS TIME...IT SEEMS LIKE THE
HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL ACROSS NORTH TO NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF OUR
CWA IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WITH THE STRONGEST FRONTOGENESIS AND
DEFORMATION ZONE. WILL HIGHLIGHT THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW
IN THE HWO...AND HOLD OFF ON A WATCH UNTIL CLOSER IN TIME. THE LACK
OF A COLD AIR MAY BE A MITIGATING FACTOR WHICH DYNAMIC COOLING AND
FORCING WILL HAVE TO OVERCOME.

LOWERED POPS ON SATURDAY INITIALLY BECAUSE TIMING THE ARRIVAL OF
PRECIPITATION WAS SLOWER ON MODELS. THIS HAS BEEN THE TREND FOR A
COUPLE OF RUNS. PLACED THE HIGHER POPS AFTER 06Z (1AM EST) SUNDAY
WHEN THE GFS SHOWS THE MOST IMPRESSIVE ISENTROPIC LIFT DEVELOPING.
WENT WITH THE COOLER MOS HIGHS ON SATURDAY WITH INCREASING CLOUD
COVER. BUT...A DELAY OF THE CLOUDS COULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB
IN THE PIEDMONT. RAISED POPS SUNDAY MORNING AND INCREASED QPF
CLOSER TO HPC. EXPECT LITTLE RECOVERY IN TEMPERATURES SUNDAY...AND
NARROWED THE DIURNAL RANGE. WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING SUNDAY
AFTERNOON SNOW COVERAGE WILL INCREASED.

CONSENSUS OF THE VARIOUS GUIDANCE SOLUTIONS IS TO PULL THE
WRAP-AROUND PRECIP SHIELD EAST OF THE AREA BY SUNDAY EVENING AS SFC
LOW MOVES OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. COLDER AIR WILL BE FILTERING
IN TO THE PIEDMONT AND COULD CHANGE ANY LINGERING LIGHT PRECIP TO
SNOW OR SNOW/RAIN MIX. LINGERING UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS AND SNOW
FLURRIES IN THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS SUNDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
LOWERED OVERNIGHT MINIMUM TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT WITH VALUES
IN THE UPPER TEENS IN THE MOUNTAINS TO THE UPPER 20S IN THE PIEDMONT.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 345 PM EST THURSDAY...

THE SFC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR EARLY PART OF THE WEEK WITH
QUICKLY MODERATING TEMPS AGAIN...ESPECIALLY BY TUES WITH RETURN TO
SW FLOW.  MEDIUM RANGE MODELS THEN BEGIN TO DIVERGE AGAIN BY MID
WEEK WITH GFS MORE PROGRESSIVE AND ZONAL BUT WITH NO MOISTURE TAP OF
GULF UNTIL THURSDAY TIME FRAME WITH SOME SOUTHERN BRANCH ENERGY
FINALLY KICKING OUT...WHILE ECMWF AND CANADIAN ARE DEEPER AMPLITUDE
WITH THE INITIAL WAVE AND FRONTAL PASSAGE ON WED...AND THEN
SECONDARY WAVE WITH DRIER FRONT BUT COLDER AIR BEHIND IT FOR
THURSDAY. NONE OF THIS GUIDANCE SUGGESTS ENOUGH COLD AIR FOR ANY
WINTRY PTYPE ISSUES WITH MAIN SFC LOW TRACKING WELL TO OUR NORTH.
BOTTOM LINE IS THAT THE PATTERN BY MIDWEEK IS UNSETTLED AND THERE
WILL LIKELY BE LINGERING UNCERTAINTY IN THE TIMING OF FRONTAL
PASSAGES AND EXACTLY WHEN NEXT THREAT FOR RAIN WILL ARRIVE...BUT
SOMETIME IN THE WED-THURS TIME FRAME SEEMS A GOOD BET AT
THIS TIME...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER THIRD TO HALF INCH
LIQUID FOR MANY LOCATIONS...AND CONTINUED QUITE MILD THROUGH THE
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 1245 PM EST FRIDAY...

CLOUDS HAVE ERODED ACROSS NEARLY ENTIRE AREA WITH VIS SAT SHOWING
ONLY A FEW SCT CLOUDS OVER SOUTHERN WV. VFR CONDITIONS THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY AS WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OH
VALLEY CONTINUES TO SHIFT EASTWARD. SKIES CLEAR OVERNIGHT UNDER
HIGH ALTHOUGH PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE AT LWB. SATURDAY ALSO LOOKS LIKE
VFR CONDITIONS AS THE HIGH BEGINS TO SLIDE OFF THE EAST COAST.

CLOUDS INCREASE LATE SATURDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE DEVELOPING STORM
ALONG THE GULF COAST WITH PRECIPITATION ARRIVING FROM SW TO NE
OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. EXPECT POOR FLIGHT CONDITIONS ALL OF
SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY. BETTER WEATHER MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JH/PM
NEAR TERM...PC
SHORT TERM...KK
LONG TERM...SK
AVIATION...JH/PC
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 17, 3:44 AM EST, 11 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
344 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

VAZ007-009>011-018>020-023-024-034-035-WVZ042>045-180845-
TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-BOTETOURT-
ROCKBRIDGE-BEDFORD-AMHERST-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
344 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING WET SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
TRACKS OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. LIGHT TO MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ001>003-018-019-VAZ012>017-022-032-033-180845-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WATAUGA-WILKES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-
GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-ROANOKE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-
344 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO WET SNOW LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ004>006-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-180845-
STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-YADKIN-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-
APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
344 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 16, 10:28 PM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryRNKAppomattox, Buckingham, Campbell, Charlotte, Halifax, Henry and 4 more5 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Watches in Virginia, 2012Winter Storm Watches in West Virginia, 2012Winter Storm Watches in North Carolina, 2012Every winter storm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.