Special Weather Statement, NWS Blacksburg, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
151 PM EDT SUN SEP 2 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE ISAAC WILL IMPACT THE WEATHER ACROSS THE
REGION FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS THEY DRIFT FROM THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION TOWARD THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. WITH
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE LINGERING ACROSS THE REGION...EXPECT
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN THROUGH
AT LEAST MID-WEEK UNTIL A FRONTAL SYSTEM ATTEMPTS TO DRY THINGS
OUT SOME TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. IT WILL ALSO REMAIN WARM AND
MUGGY WITH THE TROPICAL MOISTURE FIRMLY ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE
AREA.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1238 PM EDT SUNDAY...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING WHERE EARLIER
THINKING ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER BY ABOUT ONE HOUR SOONER. HAVE
UPDATED THE GRIDS...PRIMARILY POP AND WX...TO ACCOMMODATE FOR THIS
AND TWEAK IN TIME THE PROGRESSION OF THIS ACTIVITY THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. ANTICIPATE THAT THE MAIN FOCUS WILL PARALLEL ALONG AND
JUST EAST OF THE CREST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. SOME OF THE HEAVIER
CELLS MAIN CONTAIN LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS.
OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO REST OF THE FORECAST
ELEMENTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

AS OF 958 AM EDT SUNDAY...

BASED UPON THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS OF KFCX 88D AND NEIGHBORING
RADARS...HAVE MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE POP AND WX GRIDS THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
STORMS CURRENTLY ARE CONFINED TO THOSE PARTS OF THE AREA NEAR AND
NORTH OF I-64. THIS CLUSTER OF ACTIVITY WAS BEING REPRESENTED WELL
VIA THE 06Z...2AM...RUN OF OUR LOCAL WRF MODEL.
CONCURRENTLY...HAVE WEIGHTED ITS OUTPUT HEAVILY THROUGH THE EARLY
AFTERNOON. THIS SOLUTIONS HAS LIMITED PRECIPITATION OUTSIDE OF THE
AREA IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM OF THE CURRENT ACTIVITY UNTIL NOON. AT
THIS POINT...DAYTIME HEATING STARTS TO HELP IN THE FORMATION OF A
GENEROUS COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS PARELLEL TO AND ALONG THE
CREST OF THE BLUE RIDGE AND EASTWARD INTO THE PIEDMONT. HAVE
FOCUSED THE BEST AFTERNOON POPS...LIKELIES...ACROSS THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA. OTHERWISE...HAVE MADE ONLY
MINOR TWEAKS TO HOURLY TEMPERATURES...DEW POINTS...WIND AND SKY
COVER BASED UPON THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND EXPECTED TRENDS INTO
THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

AS OF 755 AM EDT SUNDAY...

JUST MADE SOME MINOR TWEAKS TO THE POPS/WX/T/TD GRIDS DURING THE
FIRST 6 HOURS...OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AT THIS TIME. THERE
ARE PATCHY AREAS OF DENSE FOG...BUT THIS WILL DISSIPATE QUICKLY
ENOUGH THAT IT WAS NOT ADDED TO THE ZONES AT THIS TIME. FORECAST
BASICALLY APPEARS ON TRACK AT THIS TIME.

AS OF 445 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE ISAAC WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY
WEATHER MAKER FOR OUR CWA DURING THE PERIOD AS THEY DRIFT SLOWLY
FROM THE WESTERN TN/MID-MS VALLEY REGION. PWS WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE TO NEAR 2.0 INCHES DURING THE PERIOD. THE ASSOCIATED
UPPER LOW WILL DRIFT TOWARD THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND THEN
SINK SOUTH BY TUE INTO THE SE STATES. THE REMNANT LOW CENTER OF
ISAAC WILL DRIFT TOWARD THE NE STATES...HENCE DEVELOPING A SPLIT
BETWEEN THE UPPER LOW AND THE REMNANT SFC LOW. EXACTLY HOW THIS
IMPACTS THE CWA IN TERMS OF PCPN REMAINS TO BE SEEN. THE MAIN
FEATURES TO WATCH DURING THE SHORT TERM FOR PCPN FOCUS WILL BE...A
PERSISTENT NW-SE BAND OF CONVERGENCE FROM NORTHERN WV TOWARD EAST
CENTRAL VA...ROUGHLY FROM EKN TO RIC...ESSENTIALLY DENOTING A
PSEUDO/VERY WEAK BACK DOOR FRONT SUPPORTED BY A DEEP NE U.S.
TROUGH...REMNANT FEEDER BANDS OF ISAAC NOW BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO
THE CWA...AND THE CORE REMNANTS OF ISAAC...EXPECTED TO REMAIN
ACROSS MIDDLE KY/TN THROUGH THE NEAR TERM. HENCE...THERE REMAIN
MANY UNCERTAINTIES WITH REGARD TO EXTENT...AMOUNT...AND TIMING OF
PCPN. NONETHELESS...ALL MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE WIDESPREAD
PCPN ACROSS THE CWA...WITH THE MOST LIKELY AREA REMAINING ACROSS
AREAS FROM EKN-RIC...IMPACTING OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES. IN THESE
COUNTIES I HAVE ADVERTISED CATEGORICAL POPS...WITH CHC TO HIGH CHC
POPS ELSEWHERE. GFS ADVERTISES VERY IMPRESSIVE INSTABILITY ACROSS
THE CWA 18Z-00Z TODAY...WITH EVEN MODEST SHEAR NOTED NEAR THE
ABOVE NOTED BOUNDARY. HENCE...HAVE INCLUDED TSRA ALL AREAS FROM
LATE MORNING ON AS WELL AS A MENTION OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN GIVEN
THE INCREASING PWS/TROPICAL AIR MASS IN PLACE. SPC DOES NOT
CURRENTLY HAVE US OUTLOOKED FOR SEVERE...BUT CANNOT RULE OUT ISOLD
WET DOWNBURSTS...SUCH AS OCCURRED SAT AFTERNOON. WITH RESPECT TO
RAINFALL CONCERNS...THE AREA REMAINS IN A MILD DROUGHT. ALTHOUGH
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAY OCCUR...AT LEAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...OVERALL RAINFALL SHOULD NOT BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE OTHER
THAN VERY LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING...IF AT ALL. THIS WOULD MAINLY
BE IF SUCH RAINFALL OCCURRED IN URBAN AREAS. THUS...A FFA IS NOT
NEEDED AT THIS TIME. THIS WILL BE AN INCREASING CONCERN INTO THE
SHORT TERM PERIODS AS REMNANT ISAAC RAINFALL CONTINUES ACROSS THE
CWA ON A DAILY BASIS THROUGH MID-WEEK.

TEMPERATURES WILL CHANGE LITTLE DURING THE NEAR TERM AND INTO THE
SHORT TERM. TROPICAL AIR MASS AND 850MB TEMPS STUCK NEAR +18C WILL
RESULT IN LITTLE TO NO DAY-TO-DAY CHANGE IN MAX/MIN TEMPS. MIN
TEMPS WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL AND COOL LITTLE AT
NIGHT...REMAINING IN THE LOW TO MID 70S ACROSS THE PIEDMONT
REGION...WITH 60S MOUNTAINS. MAX TEMPS WILL DROP A LITTLE FROM
RECENT DAYS BECAUSE OF CLOUD COVER AND MORE SHRA/TSRA
ACTIVITY...BUT REMAIN A GOOD 5+ DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL MAX VALUES
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...WITH READINGS IN THE LOW 90S STILL POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE VA/NC PIEDMONT REGION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 242 AM EDT SUNDAY...

REMNANTS OF ISAAC REMAINING INTACT AS IT DRIFTS SOUTHEAST OVER THE
SOUTHERN OHIO VALLEY MONDAY. WEAK SHORT WAVES WILL MOVE OVER THE
AREA AND AHEAD OF ISAAC MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT TO KEEP HIGH POPS IN
THE FORECAST. STEERING FLOW REMAINS WEAK AND WITH PWATS RUNNING 2
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL...HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY MOST
STORMS. WITH THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF STORMS...LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING
IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS SEEING RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND.

INTERESTING TWIST WITH REMNANTS OF ISAAC ON TUESDAY. SEVERAL MODELS
SPLIT THE SYSTEM IN HALF WITH THE LOW LEVEL ENERGY MOVING NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC AND MID LEVEL FLOW HEADING SOUTHEAST OVER
THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES TO
DRIFT EASTWARD WITH THE LOW OPENING UP INTO A POSITIVE TILTED
TROUGH. IF THIS HAPPENS...BULK OF THE SHOWERS WILL BE NORTHEAST AND
SOUTH OF THE AREA. WE WILL STILL SEE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE REGION BUT THEY WILL BE MORE SCATTERED THAN WIDESPREAD. THE
AREA WILL ALSO REMAIN IN A TROPICAL-LIKE AIR MASS WITH HEAVY RAIN
ACCOMPANYING SLOW MOVING STORMS. PWATS AGAIN RUNNING 2 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL.

CLOUDS...RAIN AND EASTERLY FLOW WILL HAVE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
RUNNING CLOSE TO NORMAL. OVERNIGHT LOW WILL BE MUGGY WITH SOME WARM
MINIMUM RECORDS BEING THREATEN INTO MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 1230 PM EDT SATURDAY...

TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC
INTO AT LEAST MID WEEK BUT SHOULD SEE A GRADUAL DRYING TREND
STARTING LATER THURSDAY AND LASTING INTO NEXT WEEKEND. MAIN
CONCERN EARLY ON WITH THE ISAAC REMNANT AS IT SEPARATES...WITH
THE LOW LEVEL SURFACE WAVE HEADING THRU THE OHIO VALLEY AND POINTS
EAST BY WEDNESDAY...WHILE THE MID LEVEL SUPPORT DETACHES AND GETS
BLOCKED...SLIDING BY JUST TO OUR SW BEFORE FADING. THIS MAY ACT TO
SLOW DOWN THE EXODUS OF THE ASSOCIATED BOUNDARY AS WELL WITH IT
LINGERING ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. MODELS
SUGGEST VERY HIGH PWATS AND STRONG SOUTHERLY MOISTURE TRANSPORT
AROUND THE RESIDUAL VORT AXIS DURING THE MID WEEK PERIOD SO
RUNNING WITH DECENT CHANCE POPS TUE NIGHT...AND HIGH CHANCE TO
LIKELYS WED...PER HEATING OF TROPICAL JUICE ALONG THE LEFTOVER
SURFACE BOUNDARY. THIS COULD ALSO LEAD TO A HIGH LIKELIHOOD OF
HEAVY RAIN A BIT LONGER SO KEEPING IDEA AS SUGGESTED IN THE HWO.

APPROACH OF THE NEXT NRN STREAM S/W TROF AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT SHOULD FINALLY ACT AS A KICKER THURSDAY WITH THIS BOUNDARY
PUSHING DEEPER MOISTURE TO THE EAST BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LEFT IN
SOME CHANCE POPS SE AND NW SECTIONS THURSDAY BUT WITH OVERALL NW
TRAJECTORY THINK COULD BE ONLY ISOLATED COVERAGE. MODELS PUSH THIS
NEXT FRONT TO THE EAST OF THE AREA FRIDAY WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN FROM THE NW SATURDAY BRINGING A TASTE OF DRIER AIR BY
SATURDAY. HOWEVER GIVEN THE MAIN 5H TROF WELL NORTH AND A FLAT FLOW
IN PLACE...LEAVING IN A LOW POP MENTION FOR FRIDAY GIVEN THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DRIER AIR TO BE A BIT SLOWER THAN PROGGED.

TEMPS TO REMAIN PRETTY MUCH STATUS QUO INTO THURSDAY...WITH
WARM/MUGGY NIGHTS...AND HUMID DAYS WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 80S.
PASSAGE OF FRONT SHOULD START TO KNOCK BACK HUMIDITY LEVELS FRIDAY
AS WELL AS TEMPS OUT WEST AND ACROSS THE REGION BY SAT WHEN WILL
ONLY SEE THE EAST CLIMB INTO THE 80S WHILE THE MOUNTAINS STAY IN
THE 70S.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
OVERALL PATTERN IS VERY SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. REMNANTS OF ISAAC ARE
DOING A SIT AND SPIN OVER THE OHIO VALLEY...WHICH LEAVES OUR AREA IN
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF TRYING TO TIME A FEW
WEAK SHORT WAVES MOVING THROUGH...THERE IS NOTHING TO HANG YOUR HAT
ON TO FOCUS CONVECTION. THUS...EXPECT CURRENT RADAR TRENDS TO
CONTINUE SHOWING DEVELOPMENT OVER THE RIDGES AND MOVING EASTWARD
INTO THIS EVENING. WITH DEEP MOISTURE...ANY SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE COPIOUS RAIN PRODUCERS.

EXPECT MAIN CONVECTION TO WANE AFTER SUNDOWN WITH RESIDUAL LIGHT
SHOWERS AND SPRINKLES LINGERING FOR THE OVERNIGHT. DO NOT BELIEVE
THERE WILL BE ENOUGH COVERAGE TO WARRANT A MENTION IN THE TAFS BUT
THIS MAY CHANGE DEPENDING ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING PRECIPITATION. LWB...BLF...AND BCB LOOK TO FOG IN WITH LOW
STRATUS AGAIN TONIGHT AND MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE A BIT MORE LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE FOR ROA...LYH...AND DAN AS WELL. WILL BRING THE
HAMMER DOWN FOR LWB...BLF...AND BCB BUT WILL NOT BE SO AGGRESSIVE
AT THE OTHER LOCATIONS.

EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION TOMORROW LATE IN THE PERIOD AND
WILL TRY TO TIME A SHORT WAVE MOVING IN FROM THE EAST WITH A MENTION
OF VCSH FOR LWB...BLF...AND BCB. EXPECT WINDS TO REMAIN ON THE LIGHT
SIDE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

TROPICAL PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE
REMNANTS OF ISAAC SLOWLY APPROACHING THE AREA. ANTICIPATE
PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS WITH BRIEF IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS UNDER ANY
STRONGER SHOWERS OR STORMS. LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING IFR/MVFR
MOUNTAIN AND RIVER VALLEY FOG IS ALSO EXPECTED.

BY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP
THROUGH THE AREA WITH A SURGE OF DRIER AIR BEHIND IT BY FRIDAY.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RAB
NEAR TERM...DS/RAB
SHORT TERM...RCS
LONG TERM...JH
AVIATION...DS/MBS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
923 AM EDT SUN SEP 2 2012

NCZ001>003-018-019-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-WVZ042>045-031330-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WATAUGA-WILKES-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-
WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-
BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-
MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
923 AM EDT SUN SEP 2 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
TODAY. THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY
BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE VERY GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM BANDS OR CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ISAAC CAN BE
EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES MAY OCCUR IN SPOTS WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS POSSIBLE IF
TRAINING OF STORMS DEVELOPS. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH RAINFALL TO CAUSE
AT LEAST LOCALIZED FLOODING BY THE EARLY OR MIDDLE PART OF NEXT
WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ004>006-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-031330-
STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-YADKIN-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-
APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
923 AM EDT SUN SEP 2 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
TODAY. THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY
BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE VERY GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ISAAC WILL PUSH
INTO THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY RESULTING IN BANDS OF SLOW
MOVING SHOWERS AND STORMS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN SPOTS INTO MID WEEK. BECAUSE OF DRY ANTECEDENT
CONDITIONS...WIDESPREAD FLOODING PROBLEMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED WITH
THE PROJECTED RAINFALL AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1245 PM EDT SUN SEP 2 2012

NCZ001-002-018-019-021745-
ALLEGHANY NC-ASHE NC-WATAUGA NC-WILKES NC-
1245 PM EDT SUN SEP 2 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT ALLEGHANY...ASHE...WATAUGA AND
WILKES COUNTIES...

AT 1243 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF SUGAR GROVE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PEA-SIZED HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR BOONE AROUND 1250 PM...SANDS...MEAT CAMP...
AND AHO AROUND 1255 PM...RUTHERWOOD...AND TODD AROUND 100 PM...DEEP
GAP AROUND 105 PM...FLEETWOOD...AND BALDWIN AROUND 110 PM AND CASCADE
FALLS AROUND 115 PM.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR LATER
UPDATES OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

LAT...LON 3652 8110 3626 8101 3613 8180 3630 8186

JH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1249 PM EDT SUN SEP 2 2012

VAZ033-021745-
FRANKLIN VA-
1249 PM EDT SUN SEP 2 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT FRANKLIN COUNTY...

AT 1247 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHWEST
OF FERRUM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PEA-SIZED HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS. IF
ON OR NEAR SMITH MOUNTAIN LAKE...GET OUT OF THE WATER AND MOVE
INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE. SUDDEN WIND GUSTS MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH
TO CAPSIZE YOUR VESSEL.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR ROCKY MOUNT AROUND 100 PM...WIRTZ AROUND 105
PM...BURNT CHIMNEY AROUND 110 PM...WESTERN SMITH MOUNTAIN LAKE AROUND
115 PM AND SOUTHERN SMITH MOUNTAIN LAKE AROUND 120 PM.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR LATER
UPDATES OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

LAT...LON 3695 8016 3695 8014 3698 8014 3699 8012
      3700 8013 3701 8012 3704 8011 3722 7981
      3709 7961 3708 7962 3706 7959 3702 7960
      3684 8007

JH

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
158 PM EDT SUN SEP 2 2012

NCZ018-021900-
WATAUGA NC-
158 PM EDT SUN SEP 2 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WATAUGA COUNTY...

AT 155 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER BEECH
MOUNTAIN...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE
WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL
STREAMS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR ROMINGER AROUND 210 PM...VALLE CRUCIS...SEVEN
DEVILS...GRANDFATHER MOUNTAIN...AND SUGAR GROVE AROUND 215 PM...
FOSCOE AROUND 220 PM...LOVILL AROUND 225 PM...MOSES CONE MEMORIAL
PARK...AND BOONE AROUND 235 PM AND BLOWING ROCK AROUND 240 PM.

LAT...LON 3630 8190 3625 8148 3620 8146 3614 8150
      3611 8155 3612 8171 3611 8181 3619 8185
      3619 8189 3621 8191 3623 8192 3627 8190
      3629 8192

JH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
230 PM EDT SUN SEP 2 2012

VAZ047-021845-
BUCKINGHAM VA-
230 PM EDT SUN SEP 2 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BUCKINGHAM COUNTY...

AT 225 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES NORTH OF
DILLWYN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR NEW CANTON AROUND 245 PM.

LAT...LON 3770 7829 3763 7861 3772 7866 3776 7861
      3776 7851 3779 7850 3780 7849 3777 7847
      3774 7842 3774 7836 3772 7835 3771 7828