Alert archive / North Carolina / Special Weather Statements in 2012
Special Weather Statement, NWS Blacksburg, VA
NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this special weather statement at Jul 25, 2012, 4:22 PM EDT for Wilkes County, North Carolina. It was in force for 38 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 25, 2012, 4:22 PM EDT (20:22 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 25, 2012, 5:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 38 min
- Issued by
- NWS Blacksburg, VA
County Wilkes County, NC
The radar
The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 392 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -107 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 955 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 31 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 30 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 25, 2:38 PM EDT, 1 hour 44 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 25, 2:38 PM EDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 238 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2012 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL DRIFT FROM THE WESTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST U.S. THROUGH THURSDAY...THEN WEAKEN. HOT...HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY BEFORE ANOTHER COLD FRONT BRINGS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION AGAIN FOR FRIDAY...THEN SLIGHTLY COOLER...DRIER CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... AS OF 230 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... THIS MORNING CLOUDINESS HAS HINDER THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. BUT THE COMBINATION OF DIFFERENTIAL HEATING...SOME UPSLOPE FLOW AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE MAY CREATE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. THE MOST FAVORABLE AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN THE VICINITY OF A BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS SOUTHWEST CWA. THE WRFARW-RNK...HRRR...NAM AND GFS SUPPORT THE MENTION OF SCATTERED POPS THIS EVENING ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. AFTER 04Z AND BEYOND...THE BAROCLINIC ZONE DISSIPATES AND LEAVES LITTLE FORCING...ESPECIALLY WITH THE LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING TO PROMOTE ANY FURTHER PCPN AT THAT POINT. IN ADDITION...WARMING TEMPS ALOFT FROM THE PROXIMITY OF THE UPPER RIDGE SHOULD LIMIT NOCTURNAL ACTIVITY OVERNIGHT. DECREASED POPS LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. ALSO ADDED SOME PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 60S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO THE LOWER 70S IN THE SOUTHEAST. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... AS OF 235 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... A HOT DAY EXPECTED THURSDAY WITH DECENT WESTERLY COMPONENT TO THE LOW LVL FLOW AND 8H TEMPS AROUND +22-23C. SOME BACKING TO FLOW TO THE SOUTHWEST OVER THE PIEDMONT COULD LEAD TO POOLING OF HIGHER DEWPOINTS BUT NOT QUITE AS HIGH AS MOS. AM LEANING TOWARD MET MOS WITH MID TO UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS OUT EAST. WITH THIS IN MIND...ANTICIPATE HIGHS REACHING AROUND TRIPLE DIGITS EAST BUT EXPECT HEAT INDICES TO STAY BELOW 110F. THINK HEAT ADVISORY WILL BE NEEDED IN THE PIEDMONT THURSDAY BUT WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL BETTER AGREEMENT IN TERMS OF DEWPOINTS/TEMPS IN THE MODELS...AND PER COLLABORATION BETWEEN WFOS BORDERING THE BLACKSBURG ERN CWA. THINK THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE CONFINED TO A FEW HIGHER TERRAIN POP UP SO KEPT SLIGHT CHANCE/ISOLATED IN THE WESTERN CWA THU. THU NIGHT-FRI...MODELS SPEEDING UP THE MOVEMENT OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND ARRIVAL OF CONVECTION. THINK THE DAY FRIDAY WILL BE STORMY ACROSS THE WRN CWA AS FRONT DROPS SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...THEN SLOWS UP HEADING INTO FRI AFTN/NIGHT. GIVEN THE QUICKER ONSET OF POPS FRIDAY...WESTERN LOCATIONS SHOULD STAY IN THE 80S FOR HIGHS...EVEN COOLER POSSIBLE IF COVERAGE OF SHOWERS/CLOUDS IS MORE EXTENSIVE AND EARLIER IN ARRIVING. THE PIEDMONT SHOULD SEE ENOUGH SUN TO SOAR TOWARD THE UPPER 90S. WITH HUMIDITY INCREASING AS FLOW BACKS AHEAD OF FRONT...THE HEAT INDEX MAY SLIDE ABOVE 105F ACROSS THE SOUTHSIDE VA COUNTIES. THE CONVECTION SHIFTS SE OF US SATURDAY WITH MODELS SHOWING MTN CONVECTION SAT AFTN...AND THE 00Z ECMWF SHOWING ISOLATED THREAT LINGERING IN THE SOUTH CLOSER TO THE FRONT. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... AS OF 1225 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... FORECAST AREA TO REMAIN IN A 5H TROUGH THIS PERIOD WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY LINGERING SOUTH IN NC/SC BUT HEDGING TOWARD VA AT TIMES. THIS WILL KEEP OUR AREA A LITTLE COOLER CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMS WITH A DAILY THREAT OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE AREA THAT PRECIP CHANCES TO STAY LOW SAT NIGHT-SUN WITH INCREASING AFTN CHANCES INTO MONDAY. BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THE BOUNDARY AND FLOW WILL BE MORE SE TO EAST GIVING A BETTER CHANCE OF STORMS BUT STILL IN THE LOW CHANCE RANGE. && .AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... AS OF 115 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE MAY LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. WRFARW-RNK AND NAM SHOWED SOME SCT MVFR AFTERNOON CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS. ISOLD-SCT TSRA ARE POSSIBLE JUST ABOUT ANYWHERE...BUT MAINLY LWB-BCB WESTWARD...WITH LITTLE OR NO ACTIVITY ACROSS THE EASTERN/PIEDMONT AREAS. OUTSIDE SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY...ABUNDANT MID-CLOUDS SHOULD PREVENT CIGS/VSBYS FROM DROPPING BELOW MVFR AT WORST. ANY SHRA MAY PERSIST TOWARD 06Z BEFORE DISSIPATING. WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AND MORE VARIABLE IN DIRECTION AS WELL AS WE TRANSITION TO A HOTTER...DRIER...SW FLOW PATTERN TOMORROW. MOST TAF SITES WILL SEE SW WINDS EVOLVE THROUGH THE DAY WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY 7KTS OR LESS...BECOMING 5KTS OR LESS OVERNIGHT. PREVIOUS LONG TERM AVIATION DISCUSSION... UPPER RIDGE BUILDING IN MAY TEND TO HOLD TSRA TO THE NORTH ON THURSDAY BEFORE ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT DRIFTS IN FROM THE NORTH LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THIS BOUNDARY WILL AGAIN BRING BETTER CHANCES FOR SHRA/TSRA AND PERIODIC SUB-VFR CONDITIONS BY WEEKS END. HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT MAY BRING ENOUGH DRYING TO RETURN ALL AREAS TO VFR WITHOUT CONVECTION BY SUNDAY. OTHERWISE EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS OUTSIDE OF LATE NIGHT FOG WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. && .CLIMATE... RECORD MAX TEMPS FOR JUL 26 BLF 91(1993) ROA 101(1930) BCB 94(1987) LYH 104(1934) DAN 99(1987) && .RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VA...NONE. NC...NONE. WV...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...RAB/WP NEAR TERM...KK SHORT TERM...WP LONG TERM...WP AVIATION...KK/RAB CLIMATE...
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 25, 2:41 PM EDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 241 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2012 NCZ001>003-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-WVZ042>045-261845- ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WATAUGA-WILKES-YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND- GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG- ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN- BEDFORD-AMHERST-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER- 241 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ004>006-VAZ043>047-058-059-261845- STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX- BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE- 241 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER LOW AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HEAT INDICES OF 105 TO 109 ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF THE PIEDMONT REGION...ESPECIALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM APPOMATTOX TO MARTINSVILLE. A HEAT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR THIS REGION WITH LATER FORECASTS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 25, 3:59 PM EDT, 23 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
359 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2012
NCZ019-020-252100-
WILKES NC-YADKIN NC-
359 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2012
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WILKES AND YADKIN COUNTIES...
AT 355 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF
RONDA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PEA-SIZED HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
EXPECT FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WITH THIS THIS STORM.
DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN OR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.
THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR RONDA AROUND 410 PM...CLINGMAN AROUND 425
PM...WINDY GAP AROUND 435 PM...SWANCREEK AROUND 440 PM AND BUCK
SHOALS AROUND 500 PM.
LAT...LON 3623 8118 3632 8114 3634 8101 3609 8067
3605 8073 3605 8099 3604 8103Special weather statement, Jul 25, 4:22 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
422 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2012
NCZ019-020-252100-
WILKES NC-YADKIN NC-
422 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2012
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PARTS OF WILKES AND YADKIN
COUNTIES...
AT 415 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR RONDA...IN
EASTERN WILKES COUNTY. THIS STORM HAS SHOWN VERY LITTLE MOVEMENT
OVER THE LAST HALF HOUR...BUT SHOULD BEGIN DRIFTING SLOWLY TO THE
SOUTHEAST. RADAR ESTIMATES THAT UPWARDS OF AN INCH OF RAIN HAS
FALLEN IN 30 MINUTES...AND IF THIS STORM PERSISTS...AN ADDITIONAL
INCH OF RAIN MAY FALL THROUGH 500 PM...RESULTING IN A LOCALIZED
RAINFALL AMOUNT OF ABOUT 2 INCHES.
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PEA-SIZED HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
THE VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY
FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. EXPECT
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING FROM THIS STORM. DO NOT STAY IN
THE OPEN OR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE
INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.
THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER FAR EASTERN WILKES COUNTY THROUGH 500
PM...BUT MAY ALSO DRIFT SOUTHEAST TO NEAR BUCK SHOALS IN SOUTHWEST
YADKIN COUNTY.
LAT...LON 3623 8118 3632 8114 3634 8101 3609 8067
3605 8073 3605 8081 3605 8099 3604 8103The office that day
Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 1:16 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RNK | Smyth | 59 min |
| Jul 25, 2:04 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Smyth | 45 min |
| Jul 25, 2:38 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RNK | Smyth, Tazewell | 3 hr |
| Jul 25, 2:43 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RNK | Grayson | 47 min |
| Jul 25, 5:41 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RNK | Smyth | 19 min |
| Jul 25, 6:13 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RNK | Smyth, Tazewell | 62 min |
| Jul 25, 3:23 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RNK | Watauga | 67 min |
| Jul 25, 3:59 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RNK | Wilkes | 61 min |
| Jul 25, 4:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Wilkes, Yadkin | 48 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in North Carolina, 2012Every special weather statement in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.