Alert archive / North Carolina / Special Weather Statements in 2012

Special Weather Statement, NWS Blacksburg, VA

April 3, 2012Wilkes County, North Carolina

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this special weather statement at Apr 3, 2012, 7:07 PM EDT for Wilkes County, North Carolina. It was in force for 68 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 3, 2012, 7:07 PM EDT (23:07 UTC)
Expired: Apr 3, 2012, 8:15 PM EDT
In force: 68 min
Issued by: NWS Blacksburg, VA

County Wilkes County, NC

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 137 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1108 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 75 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 237 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Apr 3, 5:37 PM EDT, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 3, 5:37 PM EDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
537 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD INTO OUR ARE THIS EVENING...
TRIGGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR
WEDNESDAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SINK SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE
AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT...RESULTING IN
DRIER WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 530 PM EDT TUESDAY...

WARM FRONT HAS ADVANCED WELL EAST INTO THE COUNTY WARNING AREA
WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS RISING BACK INTO THE 50S AND LIFTED INDEX
VALUES DOWN TO -6 IN THE WARM SECTOR. HAVE MODIFIED THE
PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION IN THE WESTERN COUNTY WARNING AREA TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS.

AS OF 330 PM EDT TUESDAY...

RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES SPOTTY SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
DEVELOPING WITH THE AFTERNOON HEATING ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THIS
AFTERNOON...AS A WARM FRONT BEGINS TO LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
WESTERN PART OF OUR AREA. WILL HAVE TO KEEP OUR EYE ON THIS
ACTIVITY THIS EVENING AS A FEW OF THE STRONGER CELLS HAVE ALREADY BEEN
BORDERLINE SEVERE AT TIMES. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN. WILL KEEP THE
CHANCE OF RAIN GOING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...HOWEVER THESE
STORMS WILL DECREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER SUNSET AS DAYTIME HEATING
DECREASES.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE DURING
THE LATE EVENING HOURS AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES...AND A
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX ENTERS OUR AREA FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
WITH INCREASED CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE AREA...ALONG WITH WARM AIR
POOLING ACROSS OUR AREA AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER THAN LAST NIGHTS...WITH LOWS EXPECTED
TO FALL MAINLY INTO THE LOW TO MID 50S...WITH A FEW LOCATIONS
HOLDING INTO THE LOW 60S.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE WIDESPREAD ON WEDNESDAY
AS THE COLD FRONT SINKS SOUTH INTO OUR AREA. SPC HAS A FEW OF OUR
PIEDMONT COUNTIES HIGHLIGHTED FOR A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...HOWEVER AFTER INSPECTING SOME OF THE INSTABILITY
INDICIES...CANNOT RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY ANYWHERE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 81 DURING THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN A LITTLE COOLER ACROSS THE NORTH WHERE
INCREASED CLOUD COVER WILL INHIBIT HEATING DURING THE
MORNING...BUT EXPECT NEAR 80 DEGREES FURTHER SOUTH WHERE THE
WARMER AIR POOLS AHEAD OF THE FRONT DURING THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 400 PM EDT TUESDAY...

MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE WEDNESDAY WITH FRONT
DRIFTING TO OUR SOUTH AND STALLING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AFTER
THAT...FOCUS WILL BE ON THE UPPER LEVEL CUTOFF LOW WHICH WILL DRIFT
EAST FROM TX ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY THURSDAY AND THE TN VALLEY AND
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THURSDAY NIGHT...PASSING OFF THE SOUTHEAST
ATLANTIC COAST FRIDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
WEDNESDAY EVENING SHOULD END FORE MIDNIGHT...THE THREAT FOR
SHOWERS RE-EMERGING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA BY THURSDAY NIGHT AS
THE CENTER OF THE UPPER LEVEL CUTOFF LOW PASSES TO OUR SOUTH. ATTM
WILL PLACE THE HIGHEST POPS ACROSS VA/NC BORDER COUNTIES AND
POINTS SOUTH.

FOR BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE ON THE COOL
SIDE OF THE FRONT...THUS ANTICIPATE RELATIVELY COOL CONDITIONS WITH
LITTLE DIURNAL SPREAD THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT DUE TO CLOUD COVER
AND PRECIP.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 400 PM EDT TUESDAY

NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE WEEKEND FORECAST. CURRENTLY ENTERTAINING
MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE EASTER WEEKEND...TEMPERATURES
MODERATING...HOWEVER DUE TO THE DRY AIR MASS WHICH IS FORECAST TO
BE OVER THE AREA...DO ANTICIPATE COOLER TEMPERATURES AT NIGHT WITH
THE THREAT FOR FROST IN THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS.

FLOW NEXT WEEK WHICH INITIALLY LOOKED LIKE IT WOULD GO ZONAL...NOW
LOOKS A LITTLE MORE BLOCKY WITH MEAN TROFS DEVELOPING ON BOTH THE
EAST AND WEST COASTS.  THIS SUGGESTS A COOLER SCENARIO FOR THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH COOLER NORTHWEST FLOW NOW BEING FORECAST
AFTER MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM EDT TUESDAY...

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL AFFECT BLF...LWB AND BCB
THIS AFTERNOON...POSSIBLY REACHING AS FAR EAST AS ROA DURING EARLY
EVENING. THIS ACTIVITY IS SPOTTY IN NATURE...BUT WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING 30 KT OUTFLOWS. WILL ALSO HAVE TO WATCH FOR HEAVY
RAIN...CAPABLE OF REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A MILE FOR
SHORT PERIODS OF TIME. THIS ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH IN INTENSITY
AFTER SUNSET WHEN DAYTIME HEATING ENDS...HOWEVER SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD EAST OVERNIGHT AS ANOTHER COLD
FRONT APPROACHES. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR OUTSIDE
HEAVIER SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY...
BRINGING A BETTER CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION AND THE ASSOCIATED MVFR
TO IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES. THE FORECAST THURSDAY IS IFFY
GIVEN TRACK OF FRONT AND NEXT SFC LOW ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
INTO THE SOUTHEAST. MODELS ARE KEEPING AN EASTERLY FLOW INTO THE
AREA WHICH COULD KEEP CIGS DOWN TO SUB VFR. BY LATE FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD BE ORIENTED WHERE DRIER AIR WORKS IN
FROM THE NORTH BRINGING A RETURN TO VFR.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NF
NEAR TERM...AMS/NF
SHORT TERM...PM/RCS
LONG TERM...PM
AVIATION...KK/WP

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 3, 4:06 PM EDT, 3 hours 1 minute before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
406 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2012

VAZ010-011-013-014-017>020-022>024-034-035-046-047-WVZ042>045-042015-
BLAND-GILES-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-
BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-BEDFORD-AMHERST-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-MERCER-
SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER-
406 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

FROST IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ032-033-043>045-058-059-042015-
SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-HENRY-
PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
406 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE THE FOCUSING
MECHANISM FOR THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A POTENTIAL
EXISTS THAT SOME OF THE STORMS COULD REACH SEVERE LEVELS...WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ007-009-012-015-016-042015-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-WYTHE-GRAYSON-CARROLL-
406 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING MAY CONTAIN LARGE HAIL
AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 3, 5:53 PM EDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
553 PM EDT TUE APR 03 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0549 PM     HAIL             PINEY CREEK             36.55N 81.30W
04/03/2012  E0.25 INCH       ALLEGHANY          NC   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

&&

AMS

Special weather statement, Apr 3, 6:06 PM EDT, 1 hour 1 minute before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
606 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2012

VAZ010-011-WVZ042-032300-
BLAND VA-GILES VA-MERCER WV-
606 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BLAND...GILES AND MERCER
COUNTIES...

AT 602 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER MATOAKA...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR SPANISHBURG...SANDLICK...AND CAMP CREEK
AROUND 615 PM...SANDLICK AROUND 620 PM...KEGLEY...AND MERCER COUNTY
AIRPORT AROUND 625 PM...BLUEFIELD AROUND 630 PM...PRINCETON...AND
CERES AROUND 635 PM AND ATHENS AROUND 645 PM.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR LATER
UPDATES OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

LAT...LON 3741 8133 3742 8129 3745 8131 3751 8126
      3752 8122 3754 8121 3744 8087 3737 8077
      3739 8071 3734 8054 3718 8078 3712 8092
      3709 8092 3705 8097 3705 8101 3736 8136

KK

Local storm report, Apr 3, 6:27 PM EDT, 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
627 PM EDT TUE APR 03 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     HAIL             2 W FURCHES             36.45N  81.32W
04/03/2012  E0.70 INCH       ASHE               NC   PUBLIC

            A COUPLE INCHES OF HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

&&

EVENT NUMBER RNK1200099

JVC

Special weather statement, Apr 3, 6:36 PM EDT, 31 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
636 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2012

NCZ003-004-019-020-032330-
STOKES NC-SURRY NC-WILKES NC-YADKIN NC-
636 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT STOKES...SURRY...WILKES AND
YADKIN COUNTIES...

AT 632 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTH OF
MOUNTAIN PARK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE
WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL
STREAMS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR PLEASANT HILL...PLEASANT HILL...AND DOBSON
AROUND 645 PM...ELKIN AROUND 650 PM...JONESVILLE...FAIRVIEW...AND
FAIRVIEW AROUND 655 PM...BURCH...AND SWANCREEK AROUND 700 PM AND
CRUTCHFIELD AROUND 705 PM.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR LATER
UPDATES OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

LAT...LON 3605 8075 3621 8103 3644 8087 3635 8003
      3625 8004 3626 8044 3614 8044 3611 8046
      3610 8050 3604 8050

KK

Local storm report, Apr 3, 6:57 PM EDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
657 PM EDT TUE APR 03 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0606 PM     HAIL             5 NE GLENDALE SPRINGS   36.40N 81.32W
04/03/2012  E0.75 INCH       ASHE               NC   PUBLIC

            DIME SIZE HAIL

&&

AMS

Special weather statement, Apr 3, 7:07 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
707 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2012

NCZ019-020-040015-
WILKES NC-YADKIN NC-
707 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WILKES AND YADKIN COUNTIES...

AT 706 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTH OF
NORTH WILKESBORO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR MORAVIAN FALLS AROUND 715 PM...ROARING RIVER
AROUND 720 PM...WINDY GAP AROUND 730 PM AND BUCK SHOALS AROUND 745
PM.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR LATER
UPDATES OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

LAT...LON 3607 8142 3609 8152 3612 8154 3614 8150
      3619 8147 3638 8120 3605 8076 3605 8099
      3603 8106 3603 8115 3602 8117 3603 8121
      3602 8127 3599 8133

KK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 3, 2:33 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Bland	57 min
Apr 3, 3:13 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Floyd	62 min
Apr 3, 3:32 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Carroll, Floyd, Wythe	58 min
Apr 3, 3:40 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Floyd, Pulaski, City of Radford	65 min
Apr 3, 3:44 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Wythe	61 min
Apr 3, 3:49 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Grayson, Smyth	56 min
Apr 3, 4:31 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Floyd	59 min
Apr 3, 5:04 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Grayson, City of Galax	56 min
Apr 3, 5:12 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Pulaski	63 min
Apr 3, 5:41 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Bland, Tazewell, Wythe	64 min
Apr 3, 6:06 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Giles	54 min
Apr 3, 7:55 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Tazewell	65 min
Apr 3, 2:31 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Alleghany, Surry	59 min
Apr 3, 5:38 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Stokes, Surry	67 min
Apr 3, 5:47 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Alleghany, Ashe	58 min
Apr 3, 5:59 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RNK	Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes	61 min
Apr 3, 6:36 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RNK	Surry, Yadkin	54 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in North Carolina, 2012 Every special weather statement in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.