Severe Thunderstorm Warning 203, NWS Blacksburg, VA

828 
WWUS51 KRNK 020521
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
121 AM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

NCC009-020529-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0203.000000T0000Z-120702T0530Z/
ASHE NC-
121 AM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN ASHE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT EARLIER PROMPTED THE WARNING FOR ASHE COUNTY 
HAVE MOVED SOUTH INTO WILKES COUNTY. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN AND 
OCCASIONAL CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ASHE 
COUNTY FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...BUT THE SEVERE THREAT HAS ENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF QUARTER OR LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL 
AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 
2 4.

&&

LAT...LON 3612 8181 3615 8173 3619 8157 3624 8146
      3603 8112 3602 8117 3602 8125 3599 8133
      3607 8142 3611 8155
TIME...MOT...LOC 0519Z 332DEG 24KT 3620 8135 3590 8188

$$

NCC189-193-020530-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0203.000000T0000Z-120702T0530Z/
WATAUGA NC-WILKES NC-
121 AM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN WATAUGA AND SOUTHWESTERN WILKES COUNTIES...

AT 116 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MAPLE SPRINGS TO 19 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
BLOWING ROCK...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WILBAR TO 12 MILES
SOUTH OF NEWLAND...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  DARBY...
  ELKVILLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO 
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. MOVE INDOORS 
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. 
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE 
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EDT MONDAY
MORNING FOR NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3612 8181 3615 8173 3619 8157 3624 8146
      3603 8112 3602 8117 3602 8125 3599 8133
      3607 8142 3611 8155
TIME...MOT...LOC 0519Z 332DEG 24KT 3620 8135 3590 8188

$$

RAB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1216 AM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT...RESPONSIBLE FOR THE ONGOING HEAT
WAVE...WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AND SHIFT SLIGHTLY FURTHER SOUTH
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. A SERIES OF UPPER-LEVEL
DISTURBANCES WILL TRACK FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AS A RESULT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE
NORMAL FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
AS OF 1205 AM EDT MONDAY...

SVR TSTM WATCH 452 HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO COVER OUR NC COUNTIES AND
EAST TO PITTSYLVANIA COUNTY VA.

POPS ARE INCREASED AS LINE OF STORMS SHIFTS EAST AT 40-50
MPH...AND THINK MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE MEASURABLE PRECIP THROUGH 4 AM.

PLAYED LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT CLOSE TO THE ADJMET WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES FROM THE MID 60S TO THE LOWER 70S.

ROUNDS OF SHRA/TSRA WILL DEVELOP AGAIN WITH POSSIBLE MCS AND
UPPER AIR DISTURBANCES DROPPING SOUTHEAST ACROSS OUR REGION.
SWODY2 KEEPS REGION IN SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
MONDAY. HIGH MONDAY WILL VARY FROM THE UPPER 80S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO
THE UPPER 90S IN THE SOUTHEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 305 PM EDT SUNDAY...

NW FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION AS A WEAK SFC WARM FRONT
SLOWLY LIFTS BACK TO THE NE UNDER EXPANDING HEIGHTS TO THE SOUTH.
THIS COMBO WITH A LEFTOVER LEE TROF SHOULD MAKE FOR MORE DAILY
ROUNDS OF SHRA/TSRA WITH POSSIBLE MCS FEATURES AGAIN DIVING SE INTO
THE REGION. TIMING OF THIS SCENARIO THOUGH QUITE IFFY AS
AFTERNOON/EVENING DEVELOPMENT MAY BE REDUCED SOME IF OVERNIGHT STORM
CLUSTERS DROP SE. THUS WILL RUN WITH HIGHER CHANCE POPS DURING THE
MORE DIURNALLY FAVORED TIMES...BUT LEAVE IN SOME POPS DURING THE
NIGHT PERIODS TO COVER. OTRW MORE WARM AND MUGGY GIVEN MOISTURE
AROUND BUT NOT QUITE AS HOT ESPCLY WEST WHERE MORE COOLING VIA
SHRA/TSRA SHOULD OCCUR. HOWEVER STILL WILL SEE ENOUGH HEATING FOR AT
LEAST LOW/MID 90S EAST AND PERHAPS A FEW UPPER 90S AGAIN BY THE 4TH.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 255 PM EDT SUNDAY...

WEAK 5H TROFFINESS ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN
AND SHIFT EAST BY THE WEEKEND AS THE LARGE MID LEVEL HIGH ACROSS THE
PLAINS ATTEMPTS TO EXTEND EAST. THIS MAY ACT TO DETER OVERALL
COVERAGE OF CONVECTION WHILE MAKING FOR MORE OF A NW FLOW MCS TYPE
SCENARIO LATER IN THE PERIOD AS IMPULSES DIVE SE AROUND THE RIDGE.
HOWVER WITH MOISTURE IN PLACE EXPECT MORE EPISODES OF MAINLY
AFTERNOON/EVENING SHRA/TSRA INTO FRIDAY BEFORE BECOMING MORE MCS
COMPLEX ORIENTED BY THE WEEKEND. STRONGER COLD FRONT TO THE NORTH
MAY MAKE A RUN BY SUNDAY PER LATEST GFS BUT GIVEN THE STRONGER
RIDGING WILL GO CLOSER TO THE EURO AND HOLD THE BOUNDARY TO THE
NORTH. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPS ABOVE NORMAL WITH MORE 90S EAST AND
CLOSE TO 90 OR WARMER WEST THRU THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 745 PM EDT SUNDAY...

FORECAST OVERALL WILL BE VFR BUT WILL BE DEALING AGAIN WITH
ORGANIZED STORM POTENTIAL LATER THIS EVENING AND AGAIN MONDAY.
ATTM...MODELS VARY TOO MUCH TO MAKE A CONFIDENT FORECAST. IN THE
NEXT 6 HOURS THE LATEST RAP MODEL SEEMS TO BE ON THE FAST EDGE OF
THE STORMS IN OHIO/NW WV...BUT DOING THE BEST IN PLACEMENT. WILL
HAVE A PERIOD OF VCTS COMING INTO LWB/BLF AT 0130Z THEN BCB/ROA BY
03Z...LASTING FOR 2-3 HRS. KEPT THE EAST FREE OF CONVECTON BUT THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR THIS SYSTEM OF STORMS TO MOVE INTO THIS AREA
AFTER MIDNIGHT. WITH ANY STORMS...THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE GUSTY NW
WINDS AND THE RAP MODEL IS SHOWING A BRIEF PERIOD 1-2 HRS OF GUSTY
NW WINDS IN THE MTNS.

KEPT SOME MINOR FOG ISSUES AFTER MIDNIGHT IN LWB BUT KEPT IT OUT ELSEWHERE.

FOR MONDAY...NOT CONFIDENT ON THE FORECAST BUT WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED FOR ANOTHER COMPLEX OF STORMS TO MOVE IN SOMETIME
BETWEEN DAWN AND MID AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF THIS IT WILL BE VFR.

EXECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY... THOUGH WILL LIKELY
SEE MORE AREAS OF MVFR/IFR VISIBILITY DUE TO FOG EARLY EACH
MORNING FROM TUESDAY ONWARD...ESPECIALLY AT KLWB AND KBLF.
ALSO...EXPECT TO SEE AN UPTICK IN AFTERNOON CONVECTION AND
ASSOCIATED SUB-VFR CONDITIONS AS THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM GRADUALLY WEAKENS AND DRIFTS WESTWARD TOWARD THE LOWER-MID
MS VALLEY. TERRAIN- INDUCED AFTERNOON CONVECTION CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED MONDAY- FRIDAY.

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD HIGH BROKEN TODAY JULY 1ST FOR BLF WITH 90...WHICH BREAKS
THE OLD RECORD OF 88 IN 2005.

RECORD HIGHS:

FOR MONDAY/2ND
BLACKSBURG 95/1954
BLUEFIELD  87/2011
DANVILLE 100/1954
LYNCHBURG 99/1898
ROANOKE 100/1954

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RAB/WP
NEAR TERM...DS/KK/WP
SHORT TERM...JH
LONG TERM...JH
AVIATION...KK/WP
CLIMATE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1146 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>019-022>024-032>035-043-044-WVZ042>044-
030400-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES-
YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-
CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-
PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-MERCER-SUMMERS-
MONROE-
1146 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 452 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THESE STORMS MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE...MAINLY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH THE PERIOD.
QUARTER-SIZED HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS...AND FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-
GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

VAZ045>047-058-059-030400-
CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
1146 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT
WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE...MAINLY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH THE PERIOD.
QUARTER-SIZED HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS...AND FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-
GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ020-WVZ045-030400-
BATH-GREENBRIER-
1146 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER LOW AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE...MAINLY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH THE PERIOD.
QUARTER-SIZED HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS...AND FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-
GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1134 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RICHLANDS               37.10N 81.80W
07/01/2012                   TAZEWELL           VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            THE TAZEWELL COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE HAS REPORTED MULTIPLE
            TREES BLOWN DOWN IN THE COMMUNITY OF RICHLANDS.

1105 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TAZEWELL                37.12N 81.52W
07/01/2012                   TAZEWELL           VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            THE TAZEWELL COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE HAS REPORTED MULTIPLE
            TREES BLOWN DOWN IN THE COMMUNITY OF TAZEWELL.

&&

16

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1149 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1142 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNE SALTVILLE         36.89N 81.75W
07/01/2012                   SMYTH              VA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN NEAR SALTVILLE ON HWY 107 AND ON EAST MAIN
            STREET

&&

MBS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1200 AM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

VAZ011-018>020-023-WVZ043>045-020430-
ALLEGHANY VA-BATH VA-BOTETOURT VA-CRAIG VA-GILES VA-GREENBRIER WV-
MONROE WV-SUMMERS WV-
1200 AM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ALLEGHANY...BATH...BOTETOURT...
CRAIG...GILES...GREENBRIER...MONROE AND SUMMERS COUNTIES...

AT 1159 PM EDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE FROM 8 MILES
EAST OF NEOLA TO PIPESTEM...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. EXPECT FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING FROM THESE STORMS. DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN
OR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS
WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR CALLISON AROUND 1205 AM...INGALLS FIELD
AROUND 1210 AM...DOUTHAT STATE PARK AROUND 1215 AM...MONCOVE LAKE
STATE PARK AROUND 1220 AM...POTTS CREEK AROUND 1225 AM AND WAITEVILLE
AROUND 1230 AM.

LAT...LON 3785 7962 3779 7965 3736 8059 3759 8109
      3764 8107 3806 8000

DS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1212 AM EDT MON JUL 02 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1155 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 E NARROWS             37.33N 80.74W
07/01/2012                   GILES              VA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WIRES DOWN ON MAPLE AVENUE

&&

MBS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1220 AM EDT MON JUL 02 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1215 AM     TSTM WND GST     2 NE DUBLIN             37.14N 80.68W
07/02/2012  M64 MPH          PULASKI            VA   AWOS

            AT NEW RIVER VALLEY AIRPORT.

&&

WHP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1229 AM EDT MON JUL 02 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1224 AM     TSTM WND GST     2 SSE BLACKSBURG        37.21N 80.41W
07/02/2012  M51.00 MPH       MONTGOMERY         VA   MESONET

1226 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WSW BLACKSBURG        37.22N 80.45W
07/02/2012                   MONTGOMERY         VA   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWN AT FOXRIDGE APARTMENTS.

&&

WHP