Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 84, NWS Charleston, WV

July 1, 2012Buchanan County, Virginia; McDowell County, West Virginia

NWS Charleston, WV issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 1, 2012, 9:19 AM EDT for Buchanan County, Virginia; McDowell County, West Virginia. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 1, 2012, 9:19 AM EDT (13:19 UTC)
Expired
Jul 1, 2012, 10:00 AM EDT
In force
41 min
Issued by
NWS Charleston, WV
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Buchanan County, VA, McDowell County, WV

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 1.3 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2012-07-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1644 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2012-07-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 3 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1644 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-125 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1572 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
51 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

971 
WUUS51 KRLX 011319
SVRRLX
VAC027-WVC047-011400-
/O.NEW.KRLX.SV.W.0084.120701T1319Z-120701T1400Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
919 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON
HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  BUCHANAN COUNTY IN VIRGINIA...
  WEST CENTRAL MCDOWELL COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 1000 AM EDT

* AT 918 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 14 MILES
  NORTHWEST OF GRUNDY...OR 7 MILES NORTH OF BREAKS INTERSTATE PARK...
  AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  GRUNDY AND 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HURLEY BY 945 AM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL FREE AT...1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...
WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3725 8225 3728 8225 3731 8229 3746 8208
      3740 8166 3718 8178 3718 8182 3714 8188
      3712 8194
TIME...MOT...LOC 1319Z 293DEG 28KT 3738 8231

$$

GREIF
2 follow-up statements
217 
WWUS51 KRLX 011351
SVSRLX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
951 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

VAC027-WVC047-011400-
/O.CON.KRLX.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-120701T1400Z/
BUCHANAN VA-MCDOWELL WV-
951 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM EDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL MCDOWELL AND BUCHANAN COUNTIES...

AT 949 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR GRUNDY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL FREE AT...1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...
WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3725 8225 3728 8225 3731 8229 3746 8208
      3740 8166 3718 8178 3718 8182 3714 8188
      3712 8194
TIME...MOT...LOC 1351Z 293DEG 28KT 3730 8205

$$

GREIF
794 
WWUS51 KRLX 011358
SVSRLX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
958 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

VAC027-WVC047-011407-
/O.EXP.KRLX.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-120701T1400Z/
BUCHANAN VA-MCDOWELL WV-
958 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL MCDOWELL AND
BUCHANAN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1000 AM EDT...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS.
HOWEVER...THE STORM REMAINS STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE FREQUENT 
LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH. AN ADDITIONAL 
STRONG TO SEVERE STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 10:30 AND 11 AM EDT. 

TO REPORT DAMAGE FROM SEVERE WEATHER...CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...TOLL FREE AT...1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...WHEN YOU CAN
DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3725 8225 3728 8225 3731 8229 3746 8208
      3740 8166 3718 8178 3718 8182 3714 8188
      3712 8194
TIME...MOT...LOC 1357Z 293DEG 28KT 3728 8200

$$

GREIF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 1, 9:03 AM EDT, 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 1, 9:03 AM EDT, 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
903 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
WEAK MID LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MEANWHILE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL
PERSIST THROUGH NEXT WEEK FROM THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
CONVECTION UPSTREAM IS STARTING TO ENTER THE FAR WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THE MODELS IN GENERAL ARE
HAVING SIGNIFICANT DIFFICULTY RESOLVING THE SHORT WAVE ASSOCIATED
WITH IT...HOWEVER THE PREFERRED DEVELOPMENT SEEMS TO BE ALONG A
QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS FROM ROUGHLY CINCINNATI TO
CHARLESTON AT THE MOMENT. THE FORECAST HAS UPDATED TO INCREASE
POPS AND SKY COVER ALONG AND SOUTH OF THAT GENERAL AXIS THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. THE
REST OF THE FORECAST STILL LOOKS TO BE LARGELY ON TRACK. FRIES

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION ON HEAT AND AFTERNOON DEVELOPMENT FOLLOWS...
THE REGION WILL BE IN THE SAME PATTERN AS LAST FEW DAYS AGAIN FOR
THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE RIDGE...WITH
YET AGAIN ANOTHER HOT AND HUMID DAY. STRONG INSTABILITY DEVELOPING
ONCE AGAIN ALONG WITH MODERATE SHEAR AND SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BRING THE POSSIBILITY OF AFTERNOON STORMS, WITH THE
BETTER CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEST OF THE OHIO RIVER. WITH GFS/NAM
INDICATING 850 TEMPS WARMING TO 20-22C, HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 90S ACROSS THE KY/OH/WV TRI-STATE AREA TO THE LOWER 90S
ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL WV. ANOTHER HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...MAINLY FOR THE CRW- HTS VCNTY ON WEST AS HEAT
INDICES WARM INTO THE 100-105 RANGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
WITH NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUING ACROSS THE REGION...EXPECT TRAIN OF
CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES/UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES TO CONTINUE. TIMING AND
LOCATION OF EACH INDIVIDUAL COMPLEX IS VERY TOUGH. BLENDED TOWARDS
THE NAMDNG5...WHICH AT LEAST SHOWS SOME PROGRESSION OF INDIVIDUAL
SYSTEMS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...BUT AGAIN...CONFIDENCE IS FAIRLY
LOW IN SPECIFICS AT THIS POINT...AND FURTHER REFINEMENT WILL LIKELY
BE NEEDED AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK. WITH THE CENTRAL US RIDGE
STAYING IN PLACE...EXPECT TO SEE THE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
CONTINUE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM...ALTHOUGH IT DOES NOT LOOK TO BE AS
HOT AS PREVIOUS FEW DAYS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
UPPER RIDGE TO HOLD ON PLACE OVER CENTRAL CONUS WITH CWA STILL
POSSIBLE TO HANG ONTO 500MB FLOW...AND THUS DISTURBANCES ALOFT.
THEREFORE...PATTERN WILL LINGER FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE WITH
HOT WEATHER IN PLACE...BUT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS.
CARRYING THE BETTER CHANCES DURING THE DAYS BUT NOT ELIMINATING
THEM AT NIGHT. NO RELIEF IN SIGHT WITH THE TEMPERATURES HOLDING IN
THE 90S FOR THE LOWLANDS AND 80S IN THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED THIS MRNG OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHERN OHIO...TO THE NORTH OF STALLED SFC BOUNDARY...AND IN
ASSOCIATION WITH WEAK SHORTWAVE IN THE WNW FLOW ALOFT.  MENTION OF
MORNING PCPN WL THUS BE INCLUDED IN HTS AND CRW TAFS IN THE FORM OF
TEMPO GROUPS.

OTHERWISE...AREAS OF MVFR...AND ISOLATED IFR IF FOG WILL QUICKLY
IMPROVE TO VFR AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES.  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
MAY IMPOSE MORE RESTRICTIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE THROUGH 00Z MONDAY...MEDIUM.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE:  ***LOW/MEDIUM/HIGH***

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS:

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

AFTER 12Z MONDAY...
NO PERSISTENT OR WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR WVZ005>007-013>015-024>026.
OH...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR OHZ086-087.
KY...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR KYZ101>103-105.
VA...NONE.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 1, 4:03 AM EDT, 5 hours 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
403 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

OHZ076-085-VAZ003-004-WVZ008>011-016>020-027>040-046-047-020815-
WASHINGTON-MEIGS-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-
ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-
HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-
UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
403 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

OHZ066-067-075-083-084-020815-
PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-JACKSON OH-VINTON-
403 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ086-087-WVZ005>007-013>015-024>026-020815-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-
MASON-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-
403 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND WESTERN WEST
VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 1, 4:55 AM EDT, 4 hours 24 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
455 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

WVZ015-027-036-037-010930-
CLAY WV-FAYETTE WV-KANAWHA WV-NICHOLAS WV-
455 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...THUNDERSTORMS...

THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE THROUGH THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
KANAWHA...CLAY...NICHOLAS AND FAYETTE...

AT 453 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR IN CHARLESTON
INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS 19 MILES WEST OF SUMMERSVILLE...OR ABOUT 10
MILES SOUTHWEST OF CLAY...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL GENERATE BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLY SOME
SMALL HAIL.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  SUMMERSVILLE

KEEP AN EYE TO THE SKY AND MOVE TO A SAFE PLACE IF THUNDERSTORMS
APPROACH.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772.

15

The office that day

Everything else NWS Charleston, WV issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 1, 9:46 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBuchanan, Dickenson44 min
Jul 1, 10:06 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBuchanan39 min
Jul 1, 10:29 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBuchanan, Dickenson18 min
Jul 1, 3:29 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryRLXBoone, Braxton, Cabell, Calhoun, Clay, Doddridge and 18 more28 hr
Jul 1, 7:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXCabell, Mason, Wood63 min
Jul 1, 7:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXPleasants, Ritchie, Tyler, Wirt, Wood78 min
Jul 1, 7:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Braxton, Cabell, Calhoun, Clay, Gilmer and 8 more62 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Virginia, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in West Virginia, 2012Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.