Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 100, NWS Charleston, WV

July 1, 2012Buchanan County, Dickenson County, Virginia

NWS Charleston, WV issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 1, 2012, 10:27 PM EDT for Buchanan County, Dickenson County, Virginia. It was in force for 33 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 1, 2012, 10:27 PM EDT (02:27 UTC)
Expired
Jul 1, 2012, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
33 min
Issued by
NWS Charleston, WV
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Buchanan County, VA, Dickenson County, VA

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 1, 9:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 2.5 hours before the alert went out and 248 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2012-07-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 611 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2012-07-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 65 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
611 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-137 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2544 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
65 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

396 
WUUS51 KRLX 020227
SVRRLX
VAC027-051-020300-
/O.NEW.KRLX.SV.W.0100.120702T0227Z-120702T0300Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1027 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  DICKENSON COUNTY IN VIRGINIA...
  SOUTHWESTERN BUCHANAN COUNTY IN VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 1100 PM EDT

* AT 1023 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10
  MILES NORTHWEST OF JOHN FLANNAGAN LAKE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25
  MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO  
  BREAKS INTERSTATE PARK...                  
  JOHN FLANNAGAN LAKE...                      CLINTWOOD...
  HAYSI...              DAVENPORT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR
DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY
INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE. 1-877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN
DO SO SAFELY.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE 
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EDT MONDAY
MORNING FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 8243 3703 8250 3706 8250 3713 8255
      3720 8256 3725 8243 3726 8236 3731 8228
      3705 8206 3703 8220 3699 8224 3700 8228
      3696 8236
TIME...MOT...LOC 0227Z 333DEG 21KT 3729 8249

$$
1 follow-up statement
443 
WWUS51 KRLX 020257
SVSRLX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1057 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

VAC027-051-020308-
/O.EXP.KRLX.SV.W.0100.000000T0000Z-120702T0300Z/
DICKENSON VA-BUCHANAN VA-
1057 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON
COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 1100 PM EDT...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EDT MONDAY
MORNING FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.

LAT...LON 3700 8243 3703 8250 3706 8250 3713 8255
      3720 8256 3725 8243 3726 8236 3731 8228
      3705 8206 3703 8220 3699 8224 3700 8228
      3696 8236
TIME...MOT...LOC 0258Z 333DEG 21KT 3713 8239

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 1, 8:01 PM EDT, 2 hours 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 1, 8:01 PM EDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
801 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES...WITH HEAT PREVAILING AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES PERSISTING THROUGH THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
FORECAST BROUGHT TO YOU BY RLX AT PBZ. THANKS TO PBZ FOR THE
ACCOMMODATIONS.

CONVECTIVE COMPLEX ALREADY UNDERWAY NORTHWEST OF CWA IN NORTHERN
ILLINOIS/INDIANA...AND LOOKS TO BE THE PROBLEM CHILD FOR THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT. HIGHLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT GIVING CAPE OVER
4000J/KG ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...ALTHOUGH MAY BE A LITTLE
INFLATED WITH NAM DEWPOINT BIASES. REGARDLESS...PLENTY OF
INSTABILITY TO BE FOUND...FOR PROPAGATING MCS TOWARDS THE MIDDLE
OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. STEERING WINDS ARE ABOUT
HALF THEY WERE A COUPLE DAYS AGO...AND DO NOT EXPECT AS QUICK OF A
FORWARD MOTION. BEST CAPE IN HAIL GROWTH ZONE...SO COULD SEE HAIL
THREAT ALONG WITH ANOTHER WIND THREAT. WITH THE CONVECTION ALREADY
BEGUN NORTHWEST OF HERE...THINK IT IS ONLY A MATTER OF TIME
BEFORE THE NEXT ROUND OF WEATHER FOR OUR AREA. WILL TRY TO UPDATE
AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE.

ISSUED A HEAT ADVISORY FOR MUCH OF THE LOWLANDS MONDAY. NUMBERS
MAY NOT MAKE IT TO THE 100 NEEDED IN THE HEAT INDEX...BUT FIGURE
THAT WITH MANY PEOPLE IN THE AREA WITHOUT POWER...IT IS MORE THAN
JUSTIFIED AS WEST VIRGINIA AND OHIO TRY TO GET BACK ON THEIR FEET.
LEFT THE MOUNTAIN COUNTIES AND VIRGINIA COUNTIES OUT FOR NOW WITH
LOWER TEMPERATURES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
KEEPING THIS SHORT... HEAT CONTINUES ALTHOUGH MAYBE A COUPLE
NOTCHES BELOW NEAR TERM VALUES...WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
CONTINUING IN THE PREVAILING NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME. CANNOT LEAVE
POPS OUT DURING THE OVERNIGHT IN GOOD FAITH GIVEN THE VOLATILE
PATTERN...BUT HIGHEST CHANCES WILL BE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS EACH DAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
EXTENDED FORECAST FEATURES DIFFERENCES IN MODEL GUIDANCE THAT
LEADS TO DIFFERENCES IN TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF ANY PRECIPITATION.
ALL THINGS CONSIDERED...GOING WITH HPC GUIDANCE WHICH USES A BLEND
OF THE ECMWF AND GFS. CWA STAYS ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE
RIDGE KEEPING THE HOT TEMPERATURES IN PLACE...BUT ALSO PROVIDES SEVERAL
DISTURBANCES KEEPING THE LOW CHC POPS IN PLACE.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
IMPENDING CONVECTION IN THE TAFS WITH TEMPO TSRA AND WIND
GUSTS...IN SOME CASES ABOVE 45KTS. FIGURE THIS WILL BE IN PLACE
FOR A FEW MORE HOURS BEFORE CONVECTION WANES. CLEARING EXPECTED
LATE TONIGHT WHICH WOULD BRING ANY TERMINALS THAT RECEIVE RAIN TO
LIFR CONDITIONS QUICKLY. QUESTION WILL BE BKW AND SPLIT THE
DIFFERENCE WITH IFR VIS LATE.

MORE CUMULUS EARLY MONDAY...WITH CONVECTION IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: MAY NEED TO ADJUST CONVECTION TIMING.
FOG TIMING EVOLUTION COULD VARY.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

AFTER 00Z TUESDAY...
IFR POSSIBLE IN TSRA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY FOR WVZ005>011-
     013>019-024>029.
OH...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY FOR OHZ066-067-075-
     076-083>087.
KY...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY FOR KYZ101>103-105.
VA...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...26/TAX
NEAR TERM...26
SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM...TAX
AVIATION...26
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 1, 10:18 PM EDT, 9 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1018 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

VAZ003-004-WVZ030>040-046-047-030230-
DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-
FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
1018 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 452 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...CENTRAL
WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

WVZ020-030230-
DODDRIDGE-
1018 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>011-013>019-024>027-
029-030230-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-
JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-
JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-
CALHOUN-RITCHIE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-GILMER-
1018 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO AND MUCH OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

WVZ028-030230-
BRAXTON-
1018 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 452 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 1, 7:53 PM EDT, 2 hours 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
753 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0731 PM     TSTM WND GST     JUNCTION CITY           39.72N  82.30W
07/01/2012  M58 MPH          PERRY              OH   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1200001

WOODRUM
Special weather statement, Jul 1, 9:57 PM EDT, 30 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
957 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

VAZ003-004-WVZ024-025-033-034-020245-
BUCHANAN VA-DICKENSON VA-LOGAN WV-MCDOWELL WV-MINGO WV-WYOMING WV-
957 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...THUNDERSTORMS...

THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE THROUGH THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
DICKENSON...BUCHANAN...LOGAN...MCDOWELL...WYOMING AND MINGO...

AT 951 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR IN CHARLESTON
INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 18 MILES
NORTHWEST OF R.D. BAILEY LAKE TO 16 MILES NORTHWEST OF HURLEY TO 17
MILES NORTHWEST OF JOHN FLANNAGAN LAKE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LOGAN TO 9 MILES SOUTH OF WILLIAMSON TO 9
MILES SOUTHWEST OF PIKEVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  R.D. BAILEY LAKE...WAR...WELCH...BREAKS INTERSTATE PARK...
  CLINTWOOD...DAVENPORT...GRUNDY...HAYSI...HURLEY AND JOHN FLANNAGAN
  LAKE

KEEP AN EYE TO THE SKY AND MOVE TO A SAFE PLACE IF THUNDERSTORMS
APPROACH.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772.

INTENSE LIGHTNING IS REPORTED WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EDT MONDAY
MORNING FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA. A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST OHIO AND CENTRAL WEST
VIRGINIA.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Charleston, WV issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 1, 10:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBuchanan27 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Virginia, 2012Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.