Severe Thunderstorm Warning 312, NWS Raleigh, NC

512 
WWUS52 KRAH 082011
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
411 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

NCC001-082020-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0312.000000T0000Z-120808T2045Z/
ALAMANCE NC-
411 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN ALAMANCE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED SOUTH INTO RANDOLPH 
AND CHATHAM COUNTIES...THEREFORE THE WARNING FOR ALAMANCE COUNTY HAS 
BEEN CANCELLED.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN EXITS 140 AND 154.

LAT...LON 3585 8005 3584 7924 3588 7925 3587 7918
      3558 7918 3557 7921 3557 8007
TIME...MOT...LOC 2010Z 306DEG 14KT 3582 7927 3570 7949
          3565 7994

$$

NCC037-151-082045-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0312.000000T0000Z-120808T2045Z/
CHATHAM NC-RANDOLPH NC-
411 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR RANDOLPH AND WESTERN CHATHAM COUNTIES...

AT 408 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF SILER CITY TO HASTY
TO MARTHA...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF
PITTSBORO TO SILER CITY TO 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ASHEBORO...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE...ULAH...COLERIDGE AND 
GOLDSTON.

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3585 8005 3584 7924 3588 7925 3587 7918
      3558 7918 3557 7921 3557 8007
TIME...MOT...LOC 2010Z 306DEG 14KT 3582 7927 3570 7949
          3565 7994

$$

VINCENT

178 
WWUS52 KRAH 082021
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
421 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

NCC037-151-082045-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0312.000000T0000Z-120808T2045Z/
CHATHAM NC-RANDOLPH NC-
421 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR RANDOLPH AND WESTERN CHATHAM COUNTIES...

AT 417 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A 
NEWLY DEVELOPED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES 
WEST OF ASHEBORO...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE...ASHEBORO...ULAH... 
RANDLEMAN...STALEY...RAMSEUR...FRANKLINVILLE...COLERIDGE...SILER 
CITY...AND HASTY.

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRODUCING AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF DEADLY 
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS NOW AND STAY AWAY 
FROM THE WINDOWS. IF YOU CANNOT SEEK SHELTER INDOORS TAKE COVER IN A 
VEHICLE. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH 
TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3585 8005 3584 7924 3588 7925 3587 7918
      3558 7918 3557 7921 3557 8007
TIME...MOT...LOC 2019Z 271DEG 12KT 3575 7991

$$

VINCENT

462 
WWUS52 KRAH 082036
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
436 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

NCC037-082045-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0312.000000T0000Z-120808T2045Z/
CHATHAM NC-
436 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN CHATHAM COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED...AND SEVERE 
WEATHER IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. THEREFORE...THE WARNING FOR CHATHAM 
COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH 515 PM IN WESTERN 
CHATHAM COUNTY.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 264 BETWEEN EXITS 378 AND 381.

LAT...LON 3585 8005 3584 7954 3557 7956 3557 8007
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 302DEG 10KT 3570 7990

$$

NCC151-082045-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0312.000000T0000Z-120808T2045Z/
RANDOLPH NC-
436 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT
FOR RANDOLPH COUNTY...

AT 431 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
ASHEBORO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... ULAH...STALEY...
RAMSEUR...FRANKLINVILLE AND COLERIDGE.

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3585 8005 3584 7954 3557 7956 3557 8007
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 302DEG 10KT 3570 7990

$$

VINCENT

666 
WWUS52 KRAH 082049
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
449 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

NCC151-082059-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0312.000000T0000Z-120808T2045Z/
RANDOLPH NC-
449 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR RANDOLPH COUNTY EXPIRES AT 445
PM EDT...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED...AND THE WARNING 
HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

LAT...LON 3585 8005 3584 7954 3557 7956 3557 8007
TIME...MOT...LOC 2036Z 302DEG 10KT 3570 7990

$$

VINCENT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
300 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. WEAK SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER
THE AREA ON THURSDAY BEFORE A STRONG SFC COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS
THE AREA FROM THE WEST LATE FRIDAY AND INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 PM WEDNESDAY...

TONIGHT:
AS ONE SHORTWAVE EXITS OFFSHORE...ANOTHER WELL DEFINED MID/UPPER
LEVEL SHORTWAVE VORT OVER WVA WILL PROGRESS SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS
NC AND VA BETWEEN 18Z TO 06 TONIGHT. STORMS HAVE FIRED QUICKLY ALONG
THE LEADING EDGE OF THE DPVA ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE AND IN THE
STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AXIS ALIGNED OVER WESTERN NC WHERE
DAYTIME HEATING HAS BEEN ABATED BY THE SLOW EROSION OF LOW CLOUDS TO
THE EAST. MODERATE INSTABILITY ON THE ORDER OF 2000-2500 J/KG HAS
DEVELOPED AND IS EXPANDING EASTWARD AS AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WARM
UNIFORMLY INTO THE UPPER 80S...FURTHER AIDED BY MODEST MID-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES BETWEEN 6.5-7.0 AS DRIER...AS SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR ALOFT
SPREADS INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST.

WHILE THE DRIER AIR SHOULD LIMIT COVERAGE...ANY STORM THAT CAN
ACHIEVE A DEEP UPDRAFT WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
STRONG TO DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS...WITH SPC MESOANALYSIS
INDICATING 1000 TO 1200 J/KG OF DCAPE ACROSS WESTERN NC  AND
VIRGINIA. STORMS HAVE EXHIBITED LITTLE EASTWARD MOVEMENT AT THIS
TIME...BUT EXPECT THIS TO CHANGE AS FORCING BEGINS TO PIVOT
EASTWARD. CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON HOW MUCH DOWNSTREAM
DEVELOPMENT/SUSTAINMENT WE WILL SEE...WITH SOME OF THE NEW THE NEW
12Z WRF CAM MODELS NOW SHOWING A CONVECTIVE LINE/CLUSTER MOVING
THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH 03Z THIS EVENING.

WILL INCREASE POPS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH LIKELY POPS
IN THE WEST TO CHANCE POPS EVERYWHERE ELSE. STORMS SHOULD BE OUT OF
THE AREA BY OR BEFORE 06Z AS SHORTWAVE WAVE SHIFTS EAST OF THE AREA.

ANY DEBRIS CLOUDINESS SHOULD DIMINISH...GIVING WAY TO MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES OVERNIGHT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG/STRATUS TO DEVELOP
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT 69-73.

THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT:
CENTRAL NC WILL LIE BETWEEN SYSTEMS/SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ON THURSDAY...
AS LEAD SHORTWAVE ENERGY CURRENTLY OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST DIGS
SOUTHEAST INTO THE TN VALLEY DURING THE DAY. WITH ONLY AVAILABLE
FORCING IN THE MEANS OF STRONG DAYTIME HEATING...EXPECT NO MORE THAN
ISOLATED POPS THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES YIELDING
FULL SUN THICKNESSES IN THE LOWER 90S.

POPS WILL ACTUALLY BE ON THE INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING AS THE AFOREMENTIONED LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE TN
VALLEY ADVANCES EASTWARD...GETTING STRETCHED BY THE ANOMALOUSLY DEEP
CLOSED MID/UPPER LOW SETTLING OVER THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY.
RENEWED WARM MOIST AIR ADVECTION WILL SUPPORT AN AREA SHOWERS
OVERSPREADING CENTRAL NC FROM THE WEST/SOUTHWEST. WILL INCREASE POPS
INTO THE CHANCE CATEGORY...ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF
THE PIEDMONT TO SLIGHT ACROSS THE FAR NE COASTAL PLAIN. MINS
THURSDAY NIGHT 70 TO 75.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY /...
AS OF 250 PM WEDNESDAY...

FRIDAY:
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DIVE SOUTH OUT OF CANADA AND
DEEPEN FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE TN VALLEY FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR A COUPLE ROUNDS OF SEVERE STORMS
THIS WEEKEND.  THE LATEST DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK FROM SPC HAS ALL
OF CENTRAL IN A SLIGHT RISK ON FRIDAY.

A LEAD SHORTWAVE...CURRENTLY NEAR THE DAKOTAS WILL SWING SOUTH
TOWARD THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THURSDAY...WITH MODELS SHOWING THE
REMNANT SHEARED VORT LOBE CROSSING CENTRAL NC MID TO LATE DAY
FRIDAY.  SOME ONGOING WARM ADVECTION SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVER THE FOOTHILLS AND WESTERN PIEDMONT FRIDAY MORNING...WITH AN
EASTWARD SHIFT IN ACTIVITY DURING THE DAY AS DPVA OVERRUNS A MOIST
AND INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER THE PIEDMONT AND COASTAL
PLAIN.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW PW VALUES APPROACHING 2 INCHES EAST
OF THE TRIAD WITH CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER TO START THE DAY.
THUS...THE DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION WILL BE SOMEWHAT IN
QUESTION...ALTHOUGH WARM ADVECTION WILL AID IN PUSHING TEMPS INTO
THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S...AND SREF PROBS SUGGEST 1000-2000 J/KG
OF MLCAPE WILL BE ATTAINABLE.  MID LEVEL FLOW WILL BE STEADILY
INCREASING FROM THE WEST AS THE UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS WEST OF THE
MOUNTAINS...AND 0-6KM BULK SHEAR MAY REACH 30 KTS FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP LAYER FLOW SHOULD FAVOR MAINLY MULTICELL
CLUSTERS AND A DAMAGING WIND THREAT.  HAVE LEFT CHANCE POPS OVER THE
WEST AND TRIMMED BACK POPS IN THE EAST PRIOR TO 18Z....WITH LIKELY
POPS IN THE AFTERNOON.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT:
POPS SHOULD TREND DOWNWARD FRIDAY NIGHT....DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY
CONVECTION EVOLVES FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AS THE INITIAL FORCING
DEPARTS.   THE COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO BE WELL WEST OF THE
MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT AS THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS SWINGS THROUGH THE OH/TN
VALLEYS. SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY BEGIN TO REDEVELOP SATURDAY MORNING
AS THE FRONT AND/OR PREFRONTAL TROUGH EMERGE OVER THE WESTERN
PIEDMONT.  STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE AGAIN ON SATURDAY
AS THE FRONTAL FORCING AND STRONGER DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS CROSS
CENTRAL NC.  ONGOING CONVECTION AND CLOUD COVER MAY LIMIT CAPE
DEVELOPMENT AND COVERAGE OF SEVERE STORMS...BUT OVERALL COVERAGE OF
CONVECTION COULD STILL BE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS AS PW VALUES HOVER
NEAR W INCHES...ESPECIALLY OVER THE COASTAL PLAIN.

HIGHS SATURDAY ARE TRICKY DEPENDING ON THE TIMING OF THE
FRONT/CONVECTION....BUT A STRONGER THAN NORMAL WEST TO EAST GRADIENT
SHOULD BE EXPECTED...AND THE CURRENT FORECAST WILL SHOW LOW TO MID
80S WEST AND UPPER 80S EAST.

MODELS HAVE SHOWN A SLOWING TREND WITH THE FRONT...AND THE 12Z IS
EVEN A BIT SLOWER THAN ITS PREVIOUS RUN.  THE ECMWF WOULD SUGGEST
THE FRONT WILL MAKE IT ALL THE WAY TO THE COAST...BUT IF IT HANGS UP
NEAR THE EASTERN PIEDMONT AND COASTAL PLAIN LIKE THE GFS
SHOWS...CONVECTION MAY BE POSSIBLE WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.
LOWS UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM WEDNESDAY...

THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE COAST AND EVENTUALLY WASH
OUT AS HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION AND RELATIVELY
ZONAL FLOW DEVELOPS ALOFT.  DRIER AIR WITH DEWPOINTS POTENTIALLY IN
THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S IS FORECAST TO FILTER INTO THE AREA
BEHIND THE FRONT ON SUNDAY.  MODELS SHOW A SHORTWAVE CROSSING THE
MIDWEST AND APPALACHIANS LATE MONDAY OR TUESDAY...THOUGH ITS
UNCERTAIN HOW QUICKLY THE POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS WILL RECOVER BY
THEN.  WE WILL KEEP POPS AT SLIGHT CHANCE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS
THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH HIGHS RETURNING TO AROUND NORMAL BY
MIDWEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 150 PM WEDNESDAY...

SLOW WEST TO EAST EROSION OF LOW CLOUDS STILL HAS KRWI AND KFAY
HANGING ON TO SOME MVFR CEILINGS FOR THE MOMENT...BUT EXPECT
CEILINGS TO IMPROVE TO VFR VERY SOON.

THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY
EVENING...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PROGRESS EAST THROUGH
CENTRAL NC THROUGH 06Z TONIGHT...PROVIDING AMPLE LIFT TO SUPPORT
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS. IN FACT...SOME OF THE NEWER MODEL
GUIDANCE FILTERING IN SUGGESTS CONVECTION COULD BE MORE WIDESPREAD
AND COULD POSSIBLY IMPACT ALL TAF SITES BETWEEN 18Z IN THE WEST...TO
AROUND 03Z ACROSS THE EAST/SOUTHEAST. FOR NOW WILL INCLUDE THUNDER
AT KINT AND KGSO ONLY...AND WILL MONITOR LATEST RADAR TRENDS BEFORE
ADDING THE MENTION OF THUNDER AND ASSOCIATED SUB-VFR CONDITIONS TO
ANY OTHER TAF SITES.

DEBRIS CLOUDINESS SHOULD CLEAR/SCATTER OUT BY MIDNIGHT...GIVING WAY
TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS AND CONTINUED
HIGH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME
FOG/STRATUS...ESPECIALLY IN THE EAST WHERE NEAR SURFACE MOISTURE
IS HIGHER.

ANY STRATUS/FOG SHOULD LIFT VERY QUICKLY THURSDAY MORNING(BY 13-14Z)
WITH PREDOMINATELY VFR CONDITIONS AND ONLY ISOLATED SHOWER/STORMS
POSSIBLE. A STRONGER MID LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE
BOUNDARY WILL BRING INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND T-STORMS
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING...CONTINUING  FRIDAY AFTERNOON
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY LINGER INTO THE COASTAL PLAIN THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. A TRANSITION TO A MORE TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN
ANTICIPATED FOR SUNDAY.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CBL
NEAR TERM...CBL
SHORT TERM...BLS
LONG TERM...BLS
AVIATION...CBL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1204 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

NCZ007-008-021>025-038>041-074>076-083-084-091615-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-DAVIDSON-
RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-ANSON-RICHMOND-
1204 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON. ONE OR TWO STORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
FRIDAY NIGHT. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
159 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

NCZ021-081900-
FORSYTH-
159 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN FORSYTH
COUNTY THROUGH 300 PM EDT...

AT 157 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES
NORTHWEST OF DONNAHA...OR ABOUT OVER EAST BEND...MOVING SOUTH AT 20
MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...
DONNAHA...HUNTSVILLE...LEWISVILLE...AND CLEMMONS.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS AROUND 50 MPH.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN EXITS 182 AND 188.

IF THUNDERSTORMS MOVE NEARBY OR OVERHEAD...MOVE INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STRONG WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL
TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS. STAY TUNED TO
THIS STATION FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3612 8050 3612 8046 3614 8044 3621 8045
      3622 8044 3626 8046 3627 8035 3600 8031
      3597 8040 3599 8043 3601 8042 3606 8047
      3604 8048 3605 8051 3609 8052
TIME...MOT...LOC 1757Z 352DEG 17KT 3626 8052

DJF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
211 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

NCZ022-023-081915-
ALAMANCE-GUILFORD-
211 PM EDT WED AUG 8 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN GUILFORD
AND ALAMANCE COUNTIES THROUGH 315 PM EDT...

AT 210 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 11 MILES
NORTHWEST OF MONTICELLO...OR ABOUT OVER WENTWORTH...MOVING SOUTH AT
15 MPH.

IF THE STORMS HOLD TOGETHER AS THEY MOVE SOUTH...LOCATIONS IN THE
PATH OF THE STORMS INCLUDE MONTICELLO...LAKE TOWNSEND...AND
MCLEANSVILLE.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS AROUND 40 MPH.

DON'T WAIT UNTIL YOU SEE THE FIRST LIGHTNING FLASH BEFORE HEADING TO
SAFETY. MOVE INDOORS AT THE FIRST SIGN OF THREATENING SKIES OR THE
FIRST SOUND OF THUNDER. MAKE SURE THAT LIGHTNING IS WELL AWAY FROM
YOUR LOCATION BEFORE RESUMING OUTDOOR ACTIVITY. REMEMBER THAT TREES
OFFER NO PROTECTION FROM LIGHTNING. STAY TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR
THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3625 7967 3625 7939 3624 7936 3609 7936
      3609 7993 3626 7996
TIME...MOT...LOC 1810Z 345DEG 13KT 3633 7977

DJF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
323 PM EDT WED AUG 08 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0302 PM     LIGHTNING        3 NNE GREENSBORO        36.13N  79.81W
08/08/2012                   GUILFORD           NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LIGHTNING STRUCK TREE

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200830

SEC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
325 PM EDT WED AUG 08 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0238 PM     LIGHTNING        1 SSE COLFAX            36.11N  80.01W
08/08/2012                   GUILFORD           NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN DUE TO LIGHTNING STRIKE

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200831

SEC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
337 PM EDT WED AUG 08 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WSW GIBSONVILLE       36.09N  79.56W
08/08/2012                   GUILFORD           NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN AT NC61 AND CONE CLUB ROAD... TIME ESTIMATED
            BY RADAR

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200832

SEC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
341 PM EDT WED AUG 08 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SW GIBSONVILLE        36.09N  79.56W
08/08/2012                   GUILFORD           NC   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREE DOWN AT NC61 AND KIVETTE HOUSE ROAD... TIME
            ESTIMATED BY RADAR

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200833

SEC