Alert archive / Colorado / Winter Storm Watches in 2012

Winter Storm Watch 10, NWS Pueblo, CO

April 2, 2012El Paso County, Fremont County, Teller County, Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this winter storm watch at Apr 2, 2012, 4:20 AM MDT for El Paso County, Fremont County, Teller County, Colorado. It took effect at Apr 2, 2012, 9:00 PM MDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 2, 2012, 4:20 AM MDT (10:20 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 2, 2012, 9:00 PM MDT
Expired
Apr 2, 2012, 3:31 PM MDT
In force
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO

Counties El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Teller County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 00:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2012-04-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2012-04-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 42 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
5117 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
42 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
11 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

836 
WWUS45 KPUB 021020
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
420 AM MDT MON APR 2 2012

COZ072>075-079-080-021630-
/O.UPG.KPUB.WS.A.0009.120402T1800Z-120404T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.WS.W.0008.120402T1800Z-120404T0000Z/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...BLANCA PEAK...CUCHARA...
STONEWALL...WESTON...SPANISH PEAKS...RYE...GREENHORN MTN
420 AM MDT MON APR 2 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM MDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
NOON TODAY TO 6 PM MDT TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.


* LOCATION...THE WET MOUNTAINS AND SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS
  NEW MEXICO TODAY INTO TUESDAY. SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...FOR AREAS ABOVE 9000 FEET...ONE TO TWO FEET
  OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BELOW 9000 FEET
  WILL VARY CONSIDERABLY...RANGING FROM 4 INCHES TO 12 INCHES.

* WIND...NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 40 MPH.

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
  PASSES TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. VISIBILITY COULD BE REDUCED
  TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. HEAVY SNOW AND WIND COULD RESULT IN POWER
  OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ087-088-021630-
/O.UPG.KPUB.WS.A.0009.120402T1800Z-120404T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.WS.W.0008.120403T0000Z-120404T0000Z/
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
INCLUDING...WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD
420 AM MDT MON APR 2 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
MDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6
PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM MDT TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.


* LOCATION...THE UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN AND WESTERN LAS 
  ANIMAS COUNTY...WHICH INCLUDES WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD AND THE 
  SOUTHERN I-25 CORRIDOR. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS
  NEW MEXICO TODAY AND INTO TUESDAY. SNOW...ALONG WITH RAIN MIXED
  WITH SNOW...SHOULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL BECOME
  HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...ABOVE 7000 FEET...6 TO 10 INCHES. BELOW 7000
  FEET...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* WIND...NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 40 MPH.

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH HEAVY...WET AND
  SLUSHY SNOWFALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN I-25 CORRIDOR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ078-021630-
/O.NEW.KPUB.WS.W.0008.120403T0000Z-120404T0000Z/
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
INCLUDING...SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE
420 AM MDT MON APR 2 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
MDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 PM MDT TUESDAY.


* LOCATION...THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS
  NEW MEXICO TODAY AND INTO TUESDAY. SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...6 TO 10 INCHES IS EXPECTED.

* WIND...NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH.

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO
  ICY...SLUSHY AND SNOW COVERED ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ081-082-084-021630-
/O.NEW.KPUB.WS.A.0010.120403T0300Z-120404T0000Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...PIKES PEAK...BLACK FOREST...
AIR FORCE ACADEMY
420 AM MDT MON APR 2 2012

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. 


* LOCATION...NORTHERN EL PASO AND TELLER COUNTIES.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS
  NEW MEXICO TODAY AND INTO TUESDAY. SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...5 TO 10 INCHES IS EXPECTED. PIKES PEAK ABOVE
  9000 FEET COULD SEE IN EXCESS OF A FOOT.

* WIND...NORTH 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH OR HIGHER.

* IMPACT...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
  REDUCED VISIBILITY DUE TO BLOWING SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP.

WINTER STORMS MAY HAVE STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY DUE TO
HEAVY SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF OVER
6 INCHES ACROSS THE PLAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS OR OVER 8 INCHES IN
THE MOUNTAINS MAY OCCUR. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE
WATCH AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WATCH...LISTEN TO THE LATEST
WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY
ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN OR THROUGH THE WATCH AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WATCH...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT.

&&

$$
ROSE
2 follow-up statements
840 
WWUS45 KPUB 021559
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
959 AM MDT MON APR 2 2012

COZ072>075-079-080-022200-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0008.120402T1800Z-120404T0000Z/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...BLANCA PEAK...CUCHARA...
STONEWALL...WESTON...SPANISH PEAKS...RYE...GREENHORN MTN
959 AM MDT MON APR 2 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT
TUESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT TUESDAY. 

* LOCATION...THE WET MOUNTAINS AND SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STRONG SPRING STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
  SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO TODAY INTO TUESDAY. THE
  MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR LIGHT SNOW TO DEVELOP
  ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...IS
  EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WHICH WILL THEN CONTINUE
  THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...FOR AREAS ABOVE 9000 FEET...ONE TO TWO FEET
  OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW
  ACCUMULATIONS BELOW 9000 FEET WILL VARY CONSIDERABLY...RANGING
  FROM 8 INCHES TO 14 INCHES.

* WIND...NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 40 MPH.

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL IS EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
  PASSES TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. VISIBILITY COULD BE REDUCED
  TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY...WET SNOW
  AND WIND COULD RESULT IN TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ078-087-088-022200-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0008.120403T0000Z-120404T0000Z/
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
INCLUDING...SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD
959 AM MDT MON APR 2 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM MDT TUESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM MDT TUESDAY. 

* LOCATION...THE UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN AND WESTERN LAS 
  ANIMAS COUNTY...WHICH INCLUDES WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD AND THE 
  SOUTHERN I-25 CORRIDOR. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STRONG SPRING STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
  SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO TODAY INTO TUESDAY. THE
  MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW TO
  DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW...HEAVY AT
  TIMES...IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WHICH WILL CONTINUE
  THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...ABOVE 7000 FEET...6 TO 10 INCHES. BELOW
  7000 FEET...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* WIND...NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 40 MPH.

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH HEAVY...WET AND
  SLUSHY SNOWFALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN I-25 CORRIDOR. HEAVY...WET
  SNOW AND WIND COULD RESULT IN TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ081-082-084-022200-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.A.0010.120403T0300Z-120404T0000Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...PIKES PEAK...BLACK FOREST...
AIR FORCE ACADEMY
959 AM MDT MON APR 2 2012

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATION...NORTHERN EL PASO AND TELLER COUNTIES.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STRONG SPRING STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
  SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO TODAY INTO TUESDAY. THE
  MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW TO
  DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW...HEAVY AT
  TIMES...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WHICH WILL
  CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...5 TO 10 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. PIKES PEAK
  ABOVE 9000 FEET COULD SEE IN EXCESS OF A FOOT. 

* WIND...NORTH 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH OR HIGHER.

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH HEAVY...WET AND
  SLUSHY SNOWFALL ACROSS ROADWAYS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY DUE TO
  SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY...WET SNOW AND WIND COULD RESULT IN
  TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP.

WINTER STORMS MAY HAVE STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY DUE TO
HEAVY SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF OVER
6 INCHES ACROSS THE PLAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS OR OVER 8 INCHES IN
THE MOUNTAINS MAY OCCUR. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE
WATCH AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WATCH...LISTEN TO THE LATEST
WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY
ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN OR THROUGH THE WATCH AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WATCH...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT.

&&

$$
624 
WWUS45 KPUB 022131
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
331 PM MDT MON APR 2 2012

COZ081-082-084-030345-
/O.UPG.KPUB.WS.A.0010.120403T0300Z-120404T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KPUB.WS.W.0008.120403T0300Z-120404T0000Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...PIKES PEAK...BLACK FOREST...
AIR FORCE ACADEMY
331 PM MDT MON APR 2 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
MDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 PM MDT TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.


* LOCATION...NORTHERN EL PASO AND TELLER COUNTIES.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STRONG SPRING STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
  SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO TODAY INTO TUESDAY.
  SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES... WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION LATER THIS
  EVENING WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...6 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. PIKES PEAK
  ABOVE 10000 FEET COULD SEE IN EXCESS OF A FOOT.

* WIND...NORTH 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH OR HIGHER THROUGH
  TUESDAY MORNING...DECREASING TO 15 TO 30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH HEAVY...WET AND
  SLUSHY AND SNOW PACKED ROADWAYS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY DUE TO
  SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY...WET SNOW AND WIND COULD RESULT IN
  TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ072>075-079-080-030345-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120404T0000Z/
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...BLANCA PEAK...LA VETA PASS...PONCHA PASS...CUCHARA...
STONEWALL...WESTON...SPANISH PEAKS...RYE...GREENHORN MTN
331 PM MDT MON APR 2 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT
TUESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT TUESDAY. 

* LOCATION...THE WET MOUNTAINS AND SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STRONG SPRING STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
  SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW...HEAVY
  AT TIMES...WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WHICH WILL THEN
  CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...FOR AREAS ABOVE 9000 FEET...ONE TO TWO FEET
  OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW
  ACCUMULATIONS BELOW 9000 FEET WILL VARY CONSIDERABLY...RANGING
  FROM 9 INCHES TO 16 INCHES.

* WIND...NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 40 MPH TONIGHT...DECREASING TO
  NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL IS EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
  PASSES TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. VISIBILITY COULD BE REDUCED TO NEAR
  ZERO AT TIMES IN HEAVY SNOW AND SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
  HEAVY...WET SNOW AND WIND COULD RESULT IN TREE DAMAGE AND POWER
  OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ078-087-088-030345-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0008.120403T0000Z-120404T0000Z/
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
INCLUDING...SILVER CLIFF...WESTCLIFFE...WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD
331 PM MDT MON APR 2 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM MDT TUESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM MDT TUESDAY. 

* LOCATION...THE UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN AND WESTERN LAS 
  ANIMAS COUNTY...WHICH INCLUDES WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD AND THE 
  SOUTHERN I-25 CORRIDOR AND THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STRONG SPRING STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
  SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO THROUGH TUESDAY.
  SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT
  WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...ABOVE 7000 FEET...6 TO 12 INCHES. BELOW 7000
  FEET...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* WIND...NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 40 MPH TONIGHT...BECOMING NORTH 10
  TO 20 MPH ON TUESDAY.  

* IMPACT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH HEAVY...WET AND
  SLUSHY SNOWFALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN I-25 CORRIDOR. ROADS WILL
  BECOME SNOW PACKED TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 7000 FEET. HEAVY...WET
  SNOW AND WIND COULD RESULT IN TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DUE TO HEAVY
SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ066>068-030345-
/O.NEW.KPUB.WW.Y.0018.120403T0000Z-120404T0000Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...NORTH PASS...SOUTH FORK...CREEDE...CUMBRES PASS...
WOLF CREEK PASS
331 PM MDT MON APR 2 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 PM MDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM MDT TUESDAY.


* LOCATION...THE LA GARITA AND EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE
  10000 FEET...AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STRONG SPRING STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
  SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO THROUGH TUESDAY.
  SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT
  WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...6 TO 12 INCHES ABOVE 9000 FEET...WITH 4 TO 8
  INCHES ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS.

* WIND...NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH THIS EVENING...BECOMING
  NORTH AROUND 10 MPH ON TUESDAY.  

* IMPACT...HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL CAUSE SLICK AND SNOW PACKED ROADS
  TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.


&&

$$

COZ058-060>063-076-077-030345-
/O.NEW.KPUB.WW.Y.0018.120403T0300Z-120404T0000Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX...INDEPENDENCE PASS...MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE...
GRANITE...SALIDA...BUENA VISTA...COALDALE...COTOPAXI...HILLSIDE...
HOWARD...SWISSVALE...TEXAS CREEK
331 PM MDT MON APR 2 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 PM MDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 PM MDT TUESDAY.


* LOCATION...THE MOSQUITO RANGE ABOVE 11000 FEET...ALL OF CHAFFEE
  COUNTY...AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN FREMONT COUNTY.  

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STRONG SPRING STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
  SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO THROUGH TUESDAY.
  SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT
  WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 12
  INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIER AMOUNTS ACROSS SOUTHERN
  CHAFFEE COUNTY.  

* WIND...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH TONIGHT...BECOMING
  NORTH AROUND 10 MPH ON TUESDAY.

* IMPACT...HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL CAUSE SLICK AND SNOW PACKED ROADS
  TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL
  CONDITIONS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$

COZ083-085-086-030345-
/O.NEW.KPUB.WW.Y.0018.120403T0600Z-120403T1800Z/
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
INCLUDING...CANON CITY...PENROSE...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO
331 PM MDT MON APR 2 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
NOON MDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON MDT TUESDAY.


* LOCATION...SOUTHERN EL PASO...PUEBLO...AND EASTERN FREMONT
  COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...AND
  CANON CITY.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STRONG SPRING STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
  SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO THROUGH TUESDAY.
  SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT
  WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 TO 6 INCHES WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS NEAR
  THE MOUNTAINS...GENERALLY NORTH AND WEST OF THE CITY OF COLORADO
  SPRINGS...AND SOUTH AND WEST OF THE CITY OF PUEBLO. SOME MELTING OF
  THE SNOW WILL OCCUR ON THE WARM SURFACES AT TIMES.

* WIND...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 40 MPH.  

* IMPACT...HEAVY WET SNOW WILL FALL LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
  MORNING RESULTING IN POOR VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. ROADWAYS MAY
  BECOME SLUSHY AND SNOW PACKED AT TIMES UNDER THE HEAVIER SNOW
  SHOWERS. DUE TO THE WARM GROUND...SNOWFALL MAY MELT OFF AT
  TIMES...PARTICULARLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST EL PASO AND EASTERN PUEBLO
  COUNTIES.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.



&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Apr 1, 11:43 PM MDT, 4 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 1, 11:43 PM MDT, 4 hours 37 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1143 PM MDT SUN APR 1 2012

.AVIATION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE PALMER DIVIDE LATER
TONIGHT...LIKELY AFFECTING KCOS AND KPUB BETWEEN 09Z AND 10Z.
NORTHERLY GUSTS BEHIND THE FRONT COULD BE AROUND 50 KTS. EXPECTING
VFR CONDITIONS AT KPUB TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. KPUB WILL LIKELY THEN
SEE SOME PCPN DEVELOP MON EVENING WITH CIGS POSSIBLY BECOMING IFR
OR MVFR AFTER 04Z. KCOS MAY SEE CIGS IN THE MVFR CATEGORY BY 14Z
OR 15Z MON WITH SOME SHOWERS IN THE VCNTY THRU THE DAY. THEN MON
EVENING THERE WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE FOR SNOW AFTER 03Z WITH CIGS
THEN PROBABLY BECOMING IFR. KALS SHOULD HAVE VFR CONDITIONS
TONIGHT AND MONDAY. GUSTY EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AT KALS AROUND MIDMORNING MONDAY WITH 30-35 KT GUSTS. MON
EVENING SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WITH CIGS BECOMING
IFR...PROBABLY AFTER 05Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 809 PM MDT SUN APR 1 2012/

UPDATE...

WINDS HAVE DECREASED ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AND THUS THE RED
FLAG WARNING WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 8 PM.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 348 PM MDT SUN APR 1 2012/

SHORT TERM...
(TONIGHT AND MONDAY)

.STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT...THEN INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN
AND SNOW ON MONDAY...

SPRING LIKE PATTERN ADVERTISED IN MODELS WITH UNSEASONABLY WARM AND
DRY CONDITIONS AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM TODAY...TRANSITIONING TO
COOLER AND WETTER (FOR SOME) CONDITIONS ON MONDAY AS A SHARP COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.  WINDS HAVE INCREASED ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA TODAY...THOUGH HAS BEEN SLOWER TO GET GOING THAN PREVIOUSLY
THOUGHT.  STARTING TO SEE RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
VALLEYS...AND PORTIONS OF THE I-25 CORRIDOR AS WELL AS SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS.  SUSPECT IN THE NEXT HOUR...SHOULD
SEE RED FLAG CONDITIONS (HUMIDITIES BELOW 15 PERCENT...GUSTS ABOVE
25 MPH) SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE PLAINS...WITH CONDITIONS
CONTINUING INTO THE EARLY EVENING.  WINDS SHOULD DECREASE BY
AROUND 02Z...ALTHOUGH HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN LOW.

MEANWHILE...UPPER TROF IS CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE GREAT
BASIN...AND IS FORECAST TO CUT OFF JUST SOUTH OF THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION BY 12Z MON...THEN SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL NM ON WED.
STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE 12Z MODEL RUNS WITH REGARD TO STORM
TRACK.  NAM WAS STILL THE OUTLIER WITH THE FARTHER SOUTH TRACK AND
VERY LITTLE QPF ACROSS THE AREA.  GFS/ECMWF HAVE REMARKABLE
RUN-TO-RUN CONTINUITY AND IS THE FAVORED SOLUTION BY HPC. HAVE
LEANED ON THE NAM FOR THE FIRST 12 HOURS OF THE FORECAST PACKAGE
(DUE TO HIGHER RES/BETTER TERRAIN RESOLUTION)...THEN FAVORED THE GFS
FOR THE LATTER PORTION OF THE SHORT TERM WHERE MODELS BEGIN TO
DIVERGE.

AS FOR SENSIBLE WEATHER...FIRST CONCERN WILL BE FOR HIGH WINDS SOUTH
OF THE PALMER DIVIDE TONIGHT AS STRONG COLD FRONT BLASTS THROUGH.
BUFKIT SOUNDINGS OFF NAM12 AND GFS SHOW 50 KTS NOT FAR OFF THE
SURFACE ACROSS EL PASO COUNTY.  12Z LOCAL 4 KM WRF RUN SHOW GUSTS TO
AROUND 50 KTS EXTENDING AS FAR SOUTH AS NORTHERN PUEBLO...AND AS FAR
EAST AS CROWLEY COUNTY.  IT COULD END UP BEING A MARGINAL EVENT AS
FAR AS WIND GUSTS GO...BUT SUSTAINED 40 MPH WINDS FOR AN HOUR SHOULD
BE ACHIEVABLE.  HAVE SEEN PLENTY OF CASES SIMILAR TO THIS...WHERE
STRONG PRESSURE/TEMP GRADIENT ASSOC WITH COLD FRONT ACCELERATE WINDS
SOUTH OF THE PALMER DIVIDE RESULTING IN GUSTS STRONGER THAN MODELS
SUGGEST.  THEREFORE WILL GO OUT WITH A HIGH WIND WARNING FOR EL
PASO...PUEBLO...CROWLEY...AND OTERO COUNTIES FROM 4 AM UNTIL 2 PM.
MAIN THREAT TIME WILL BE FROM 6 AM TO NOON.

MEANWHILE...EXPECT SNOW TO SPREAD INTO THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE
REGIONS AROUND MIDNIGHT...SPREADING INTO THE PIKES PEAK REGION
TOWARDS 6 AM.  COULD BE SOME MODERATE TO BRIEFLY HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE
PALMER DIVIDE HITTING AROUND THIS TIME WHICH COULD CAUSE HAZARDS FOR
THE MORNING COMMUTE...ESPECIALLY WHEN FACTORING IN THE STRONG
WINDS.  HOWEVER...MODELS REALLY DON'T PAINT MORE THAN AN INCH OR TWO
OF ACCUMULATION FOR THIS REGION...AND WITH WARM GROUND...THINK THAT
INITIAL MELTING SHOULD PREVENT SNOW FROM BLOWING AROUND TOO MUCH.
FURTHERMORE...TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO WARM TO ABOVE FREEZING (UPPER
30S/LOWER 40S) FOR THE PALMER DIVIDE DUE TO MIXING...WHICH SHOULD
ALSO SERVE TO LIMIT ACCUMS.  THUS...APPEARS NO WINTER WEATHER
HIGHLIGHTS NEEDED AT THIS TIME FOR THIS AREA...BUT THIS WILL BE
MONITORED CLOSELY WITH FUTURE MODEL RUNS.  18Z NAM (WHICH HAS COME
CLOSER IN LINE WITH GFS)...ALONG WITH GFS SPREAD STRONG NORTHEAST H7
WINDS 30-40 KTS BEHIND THE FRONT...WHICH OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCES
SNOWFALL ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS (NE FACING SLOPES OF THE
WETS/SANGRES) DURING THE AFTERNOON. AS SOUNDINGS SATURATE...WET BULB
ZEROS DROP TO AROUND 7500 FEET BY LATE MON AFTN...WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS ABOVE THIS ELEVATION ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
MOUNTAINS.  GIVEN THE CONTINUED PERSISTENT UNCERTAINTY IN THE STORM
TRACK...AND PER COORD WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES...WILL HOLD ON TO THE
GOING WINTER STORM WATCHES FOR NOW AS EVOLUTION OF THE EVENT IS
STILL YET TO BE DETERMINED IN THE LATER PERIODS(SEE DISCUSSION
BELOW).  SUSPECT THE 00Z RUNS WILL BRING BETTER CLARITY TO THE
PREDICTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. -KT

LONG TERM...
(MONDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY)

.WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW/RAIN STILL ON TRACK ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...

MONDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY NIGHT...LATEST GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUING TO
INDICATE AN UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO MONDAY
AFTERNOON WHICH CONTINUES TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTH AND EAST ACROSS
NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS
THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY. THE LATEST NAM CONTINUES TO BE THE
FURTHEST SOUTH WITH THE LOW TRACKING ACROSS CENTRAL NEW MEXICO AND
INTO WESTERN TEXAS THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH THE 12Z GFS ENSEMBLE
MEAN TRACKING JUST A TAD FURTHER SOUTH THAN THE OPERATIONAL GFS AND
ECMWF.

HAVE CONTINUED TO TREND THE FORECAST TO A BLEND OF THE OPERATIONAL
GFS AND ECMWF...WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW
ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO AND NEW MEXICO BORDER LATE MONDAY
AFTERNOON...SPREADING NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MTS AND
ADJACENT PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT WITH DEFORMATION BAND AND STRONG
ISENTROPIC LIFT MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO. BANDED
PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE ALL OF
SOUTHEAST COLORADO TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON AS UPPER LOW TRACKS
ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST COLORADO. PRECIPITATION THEN LOOKS TO
DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST TUESDAY EVENING AND NIGHT AS UPPER LOW
CONTINUES INTO SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS WITH SOME WRAP AROUND PRECIP
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR SE PLAINS INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATING WET BULB ZEROS LOWERING AROUND 4500 FEET
MONDAY NIGHT...WITH SNOW POSSIBLY MIXING DOWN TO 4000 FEET THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...WITH SNOW LEVELS THEN RISING BACK TO BETWEEN
7000-8000 FEET THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. GLOBAL MODELS QPF REMAINS
IMPRESSIVE WITH BETWEEN 1/4 AND 1 INCH LIQUID THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH WET AND HEAVY SNOWFALL OF 12 TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
SE MTS ABOVE 9K FEET AND WIDELY VARYING ACCUMS BELOW.

HOWEVER...WITH MODELS CONTINUING TO SLOW DOWN ONSET OF PRECIPTIATION
AND AFTER COORDINATION WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES...HAVE DECIDED TO
KEEP CURRENT WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST
MTS...THOUGH HAVE ADDED ZONES 87 AND 88 (SOUTHERN I-25 CORRIDOR)
AND EXTENDED THE WATCH THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. IF THE 00Z
MODELS REMAIN ON TRACK...THESE WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE UPGRADED TO
WARNINGS.

WEDNESDAY-SUNDAY...WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER CONTINUES TO BE PROGGED
WEDNESDAY WITH SHORT WAVE RIDGING MOVING ACROSS THE REGION.
SOUTHWEST FLOW THEN PROGGED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
WITH STRONG SOUTHWEST TO WEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY...AS ANOTHER SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND ACROSS THE ROCKIES. THIS CONTINUES TO
LOOK LIKE A DRY FRONT...WITH MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO IN THE DRY AND WINDY SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM...LEADING TO
POSSIBLE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS...DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION
FALLS ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO EARLIER IN THE WEEK. -MW

AVIATION...

SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KTS WILL CONTINUE AT TAF SITES
UNTIL 02Z.  STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BLAST SOUTH OF THE PALMER DIVIDE
LATE TONIGHT...AFFECTING KCOS AND KPUB TAF SITES BETWEEN 09Z-10Z.
NORTHERLY WIND GUSTS BEHIND THE FRONT COULD HIT AROUND 50 KTS MONDAY
MORNING AT KCOS AND KPUB...WITH THE TIME WINDOW FOR THE STRONGEST
GUSTS GENERALLY BETWEEN 12-18Z.  MEANWHILE...SNOW WITH IFR CIGS WILL
SPREAD INTO THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE REGION AROUND 06Z.  MVFR TO IFR
CIGS AND -SHSN WILL SPREAD INTO THE NRN SLOPES OF THE PALMER DIVIDE
TOWARDS 12Z...AFFECTING THE KCOS TAF SITE DURING THE MORNING.  KPUB
AND KALS WILL SEE VFR CIGS SPREAD SOUTHWARD DURING THE LATE
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON.  MTN OBSCURATIONS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AFTER 18Z AS SHSN SPREADS INTO THE NORTHEAST
FACING SLOPES OF THE WETS/SANGRES DURING THE AFTERNOON. -KT

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 4 AM TO 2 PM MDT MONDAY FOR COZ084>086-
089-093.

WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR COZ072>075-079-080-087-088.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 1, 7:52 PM MDT, 8 hours 28 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
752 PM MDT SUN APR 1 2012

COZ058>089-093>099-030200-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
752 PM MDT SUN APR 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE TOWARD THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
LATE TONIGHT. THIS WILL SPREAD SNOW INTO THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE
REGION BY MORNING. ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL HIT THE PALMER DIVIDE LATE TONIGHT...
SPREADING STRONG GUSTY WINDS INTO THE AREA AFTER 4 AM. NORTH
WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS EL PASO...PUEBLO...CROWLEY...AND OTERO COUNTIES LATE
TONIGHT AS WINDS ACCELERATE DOWN THE PALMER DIVIDE. THESE WIND
GUSTS COULD CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES WHICH HAVE LEAFED OUT EARLY THIS
YEAR...AS WELL AS POSE HAZARDS TO HIGH PROFILE AND LIGHT WEIGHT
VEHICLES TRAVELING ON EAST WEST ORIENTED HIGHWAYS.

SOME SNOWFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE BY MONDAY MORNING OVER THE
PALMER DIVIDE...BUT THE MAJORITY OF ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IS
EXPECTED TO HOLD OF UNTIL ABOUT MIDMORNING. IF SNOW DOES
OCCUR...IT WILL BE HEAVILY WIND DRIVEN AND COULD RESULT IN POOR
VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL OVER MONUMENT HILL EARLY ON
MONDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SNOW MONDAY MORNING ACROSS THE PALMER DIVIDE SHOULD BE LIMITED TO
AN INCH OR TWO...MAINLY ON GRASSY SURFACES...HOWEVER THE SNOW
COMBINED WITH STRONG NORTH WINDS MAY MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT OVER
THE PALMER DIVIDE FOR A BRIEF TIME.

STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS DURING THE DAY MONDAY.
THESE WINDS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE. HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES...ESPECIALLY ON EAST WEST ORIENTED HIGHWAYS...WILL LIKELY
HAVE PROBLEMS CONTENDING WITH THESE STRONG NORTH WINDS MONDAY
MORNING. THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED IN EL PASO...PUEBLO...
CROWLEY AND OTERO COUNTIES.

SNOW WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE EAST FACING SLOPES OF THE WET
MOUNTAINS AND SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EAST AND NORTHEAST
FACING SLOPES OF THE WETS...AND SANGRES...WHERE ACCUMULATIONS OF A
FOOT OR MORE OF SNOW MAY OCCUR ABOVE 9000 FEET. LESSER AMOUNTS OF
2 TO 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN I-25
CORRIDOR...ESPECIALLY MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING AS SNOW
LEVELS DROP DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE EXACT STORM TRACK IS
STILL A BIT UNCERTAIN...SO STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS
CONCERNING THIS DEVELOPING SPRING STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE LATE TONIGHT...
AS WELL AS IN EL PASO...PUEBLO...CROWLEY...AND OTERO COUNTIES
AFTER 3 AM.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 2, 4:20 AM MDTWinter Storm WarningPUBAlamosa, Chaffee, Costilla, Custer, El Paso, Fremont and 5 more43 hr
Apr 2, 3:31 PM MDTWinter Weather AdvisoryPUBChaffee, Conejos, Custer, El Paso, Fremont, Lake and 6 more23 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Watches in Colorado, 2012Every winter storm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.