Red Flag Warning 40, NWS Pocatello, ID

065 
WWUS85 KPIH 052012 CCA
RFWPIH

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
208 PM MDT WED SEP 5 2012

...CORRECTED FOR INCORRECT DATA IN IMPACT STATEMENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE ZONES 413...

IDZ413-060300-
/O.COR.KPIH.FW.W.0040.120905T2008Z-120906T0300Z/
CARIBOU RANGE/CARIBOU NF-
208 PM MDT WED SEP 5 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE ZONE 413...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN POCATELLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN IDAHO...FIRE ZONE 413 CARIBOU RANGE/CARIBOU 
  NF.

* TIMING: NOON TODAY THROUGH 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

* WIND: GUSTY WEST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH...ESPECIALLY ACROSS MID
  AND UPPER SLOPES.

* HUMIDITY: 8 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS: THE COMBINATION OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
  WILL SUPPORT LARGE FIRE GROWTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/POCATELLO

563 
WWUS85 KPIH 060253
RFWPIH

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
853 PM MDT WED SEP 5 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHEAST IDAHO FIRE ZONE 413...


IDZ413-060400-
/O.EXP.KPIH.FW.W.0040.000000T0000Z-120906T0300Z/
CARIBOU RANGE/CARIBOU NF-
853 PM MDT WED SEP 5 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE ZONE 413...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

* AFFECTED AREA: IN IDAHO...FIRE ZONE 413 CARIBOU RANGE/CARIBOU 
  NF.


$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/POCATELLO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
352 AM MDT WED SEP 5 2012

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
EXPECT VERY DRY CONDITIONS TODAY AS NORTHERN TROF PUSHES INTO
PANHANDLE AND WEAK RIDGE BUILDS TO SOUTHWEST AND REGION IN BETWEEN
NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAMS. AS TROF PUSHES SOUTH THURSDAY NAM
SHOWING SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION IN THE UPPER SNAKE HIGHLANDS AND
ADDED SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
PRECIPITATION SHOULD SLIP SOUTH FRIDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS
OVER THE WESTERN PART OF IDAHO. EXPECT SLIGHTLY ABOVE OR NEAR
NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH FRIDAY WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER
CONDITIONS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. WILL HAVE SOME OCCASIONAL BREEZY
CONDITIONS TODAY AND THURSDAY.
GK

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
UPPER RIDGE MOVES EAST SATURDAY AND BOTH THE EUROPEAN AND GFS
MODELS MOVE THROUGH A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM SUNDAY AND EXPECT
SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY ON SUNDAY. OVERALL SHOULD
BE PRETTY DRY MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND ONLY HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE
IN HIGH ELEVATIONS. EXPECT GENERALLY ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD.
GK

&&

.AVIATION...A DRY NW FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL OVER SE IDAHO TODAY.
BREEZY SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN THIS
AFTERNOON. SMOKE FROM AREA FIRES MAY IMPACT VISIBILITY NORTH OF KSUN
TO THE MONTANA BORDER. HUSTON
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION
TODAY WITH BREEZY SW WINDS WITHIN THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN THIS
AFTERNOON...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE ARCO DESERT WHERE LOCALIZED WIND
SPEEDS MAY APPROACH RED FLAG CONDITIONS. A PACIFIC DISTURBANCE
DIGGING SE OVER THE NRN CANADIAN ROCKIES WILL WORK INTO MONTANA LATE
TONIGHT PRODUCING BREEZY WEST WINDS WITHIN THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN
ONCE AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. TO COMPLICATE MATTERS...A MODEST LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM POSITIONED OFF THE NRN CALIFORNIA COAST WILL LOFT
SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO SRN IDAHO TO PROMOTING ISOLATED
CONVECTION MAINLY ACROSS THE SRN/SE HIGHLANDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
THE MONTANA DISTURBANCE SHIFTS RAPIDLY EAST FRIDAY AS THE RIDGE
ACROSS NEVADA GRADUALLY EXPANDS NORTHWESTWARD INTO SE OREGON
RESULTING IN A NE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT (LIGHT NE WINDS) AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES. BY SATURDAY...THE LOW THAT WAS OFF THE
CALIFORNIA COAST BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH ALONG THE OREGON COAST WITH
THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS SHIFTING OVERHEAD AND A CORRESPONDING
TRANSITION BACK TO SW FLOW ALOFT OVER THE REGION. THE MODELS REMAIN
FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH THE IDEA OF DRIVING THE TROUGH INLAND ALONG
THE CANADIAN BORDER SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY WITH AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE
COLD FRONT TRACKING ACROSS SRN IDAHO LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON/EVE.
ATTENDING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND BREEZY SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
ACCOMPANY THE FRONT ACROSS THE REGION. THE GFS AND ECMWF MODELS BOTH
AGREE THAT A SECONDARY TROUGH WILL PRESS EAST ALONG THE CANADIAN
BORDER MONDAY...THE GFS BEING THE WEAKER OF THE TWO SOLUTIONS. THE
POTENTIAL FOR YET ANOTHER WIND EVENT MAY ACCOMPANY THIS WAVE AS IT
MAKES ITS WAY EAST MONDAY FOLLOWED BY DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS
THROUGH MID-WEEK. HUSTON
&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
426 AM MDT WED SEP 5 2012

IDZ017>025-031-032-061030-
EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY-SAWTOOTH MOUNTAINS-UPPER SNAKE HIGHLANDS-
UPPER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-LOWER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-CARIBOU HIGHLANDS-
CACHE VALLEY/IDAHO PORTION-WASATCH MOUNTAINS/IDAHO PORTION-
BIG AND LITTLE WOOD RIVER REGION-LOST RIVER/PAHSIMEROI-
426 AM MDT WED SEP 5 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN IDAHO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MAY SEE OCCASIONAL GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

MAY SEE SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THURSDAY AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WE ASK TRAINED SPOTTERS AND CITIZENS TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. THESE CONDITIONS MAY
INCLUDE HAIL...TORNADOES...STRONG WIND...DUST STORMS...SNOWFALL...
EXTREME COLD TEMPERATURES...FREEZING RAIN OR HEAVY RAIN...DENSE
FOG...AND FLOODING OR ICE JAMS. INFORMATION ABOUT THESE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE CALLED INTO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN POCATELLO USING THE 1-800 SEVERE WEATHER HOTLINE...OR
208-233-0834.