Lake Wind Advisory 10, NWS Pocatello, ID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
318 AM MDT SAT JUN 16 2012

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. EXPECT UPPER LEVEL HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGING TODAY AND SUNDAY BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND
WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES. SUNDAY THE UPPER LEVEL JET MOVES
SOUTH AS A TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE CANADIAN BORDER. LOOK FOR
INCREASED WINDS ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY BY LATE MORNING LASTING
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON PARTICULARLY FOR THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN.
THUS...A LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE AMERICAN FALLS RESERVOIR HAS
BEEN ISSUED.

LOOK FOR ANOTHER TROUGH TO MOVE EVEN FARTHER SOUTH ON MONDAY WITH
GOOD JET SUPPORT. A WIND ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEED MONDAY
AFTERNOON FOR THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN. LOOK FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN FOR THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS
AND UPPER SNAKE HIGHLANDS. THIS TROUGH WILL DEVELOP INTO A UPPER
LEVEL CLOSED LOW MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. LOOK FOR CONTINUED
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT FOR THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND UPPER SNAKE
HIGHLANDS. EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON
MAINLY ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN. WEDNESDAY EXPECT LINGERING SHOWERS
PARTICULARLY IN THE MORNING ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND UPPER
SNAKE HIGHLANDS. EXPECT BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THURSDAY HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGING BUILDS BACK IN ACROSS THE AREA BRINGING BACK DRY CONDITIONS
AND WARMER TEMPERATURES. EXPECT NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ON
THURSDAY BECOMING ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. WYATT

&&

.AVIATION....A FEW HIGH CLOUDS WERE NOTED DRIFTING OVERHEAD EARLY
THIS MORNING AS PACIFIC MOISTURE WAS SPILLING OVER A FLAT RIDGE
POSITIONED ACROSS THE NW STATES. THE MODELS WERE SHOWING AN INCREASE
IN HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE TODAY THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY AS THE NEXT PAC
STORM SYSTEM ADVANCES INTO WRN CANADA SUNDAY MORNING. HUSTON

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ROTATING THROUGH THE GULF OF
ALASKA WILL SHEAR INTO WRN CANADA SUNDAY MORNING WITH AN
INCREASINGLY STRONG STORM TRACK SETTLING OVER THE REGION SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND MONDAY. LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE
EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH CRITICAL FUEL STATUS IN
ZONES 409 AND 412 SUPPORTING A FIRE WEATHER WATCH BELOW 4500 FEET
MSL. MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED TO MAINLY THE IDAHO PANHANDLE AND
MONTANA BORDER REGIONS MONDAY SLIPPING A BIT FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND UPPER SNAKE RIVER HIGHLANDS
TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY. DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS FOLLOW THROUGH THE
LATTER PORTION OF THE WEEK AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS
THE WEST IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT APPROACHING PACIFIC LOW. HUSTON

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY IDZ021.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON IDZ409-412.

&&

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