Special Marine Warning 55, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

958 
FZUS71 KPHI 072350
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
750 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

ANZ450-451-470-080100-
/O.CON.KPHI.MA.W.0055.000000T0000Z-120708T0100Z/
750 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...A SPECIAL MARINE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT...

FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM OVER ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS...

AT 748 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR
GREATER FROM 8 NM NORTHEAST OF SEA GIRT REEF TO SEASIDE PARK...OR
FROM 8 NM NORTHEAST OF SEA GIRT REEF TO 3 NM SOUTHEAST OF SEASIDE
PARK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 KNOTS.

WIND GUSTS TO NEARLY 70 KNOTS HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH THE LINE OF 
STORMS OVER LAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...
AND HEAVY RAINS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL
THIS STORM PASSES.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
SUNDAY MORNING FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3967 7331 3958 7344 3987 7417 3993 7411
      3995 7420 3995 7412 4004 7406 4013 7410
      4010 7408 4021 7400 4032 7398 4032 7405
      4037 7399 4038 7401 4034 7409 4040 7402
      4025 7364 3986 7332
TIME...MOT...LOC 2350Z 296DEG 44KT 4023 7380 4008 7375
          4000 7382 3987 7400

$$

HAYES

602 
FZUS71 KPHI 080050
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
850 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

ANZ450-451-470-080100-
/O.EXP.KPHI.MA.W.0055.000000T0000Z-120708T0100Z/
850 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SPECIAL MARINE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 900 PM EDT...

THE AFFECTED AREAS WERE...
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM OVER ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS...
WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE FROM 20 TO 40 NM OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
INCLUDING AXEL CARLSON REEF...LAVALLETTE...MANASQUAN INLET...MONMOUTH
BEACH...SEA BRIGHT...SEA GIRT REEF...SEASIDE PARK AND SHARK RIVER
REEF...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE SPECIAL MARINE WARNING HAVE MOVED 
FURTHER OFFSHORE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
SUNDAY MORNING FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

LAT...LON 3967 7331 3958 7344 3987 7417 3993 7411
      3995 7420 3995 7412 4004 7406 4013 7410
      4010 7408 4021 7400 4032 7398 4032 7405
      4037 7399 4038 7401 4034 7409 4040 7402
      4025 7364 3986 7332
TIME...MOT...LOC 0050Z 296DEG 44KT 3990 7294 3975 7290
          3967 7297 3954 7315

$$

HAYES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
706 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY SOUTH FROM NEW YORK STATE AND
PASS THROUGH MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY. THE FRONT WILL
BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES
WITH SEVERAL WEAKER SYSTEMS MOVING ALONG IT THROUGH A GOOD PART OF
THE WEEK BEFORE DISSIPATING. MEANWHILE, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES AND NEW ENGLAND DURING THE LATTER HALF
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
WE SHAVED BACK SOME OF THE CONVECTIVE WATCH COUNTIES NORTH AND
WILL GO AHEAD AND CANCEL THE NON URBANIZED HEAT WARNINGS AND OR
ADVISORIES AS THE CURRENT HEAT INDICES HAVE DROPPED BELOW
ESTABLISHED CRITERIA.

THE SURFACE COLD FRONT, DRAPED ACROSS NEW YORK STATE AND EXTENDING
WESTWARD ACROSS LAKE ERIE, WILL EVER SO SLOWLY MOVE CLOSER TO OUR
AREA TONIGHT.

THE MCS MOVED ACROSS TO THE NORTH OF OUR AREA AND ONLY SOME LIGHT
RAIN WAS REPORTED ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY. A DECENT
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS BEEN PUSHING SOUTHWARD THROUGH NEW JERSEY THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS BOUNDARY WILL BRIEFLY COOL TEMPERATURES OFF A FEW
DEGREES AND BRING A BRIEF NORTHERLY WIND BUT IT WON'T LAST LONG.

THE EXCESSIVELY HOT AND HUMID AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION WILL REMAIN
THROUGH THIS EVENING AND WE WILL REMAIN VERY WARM DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 70S BUT IN THE
URBAN AND FAR SOUTHERN AREAS, TEMPERATURES MAY HOVER CLOSER TO 80.

THE FIRST SHOT OF CONVECTION DISSIPATED AS IT MOVED INTO AN AIRMASS
DOMINATED BY CIN IN THE LOWER TO MID LEVELS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
POCONOS AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY. WHILE THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH
INSTABILITY FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF MECHANICAL TRIGGER TO RELEASE THE INSTABILITY...AND
CONVECTION HAS BEEN SCARCE SINCE THE FIRST SHOT.

CONVECTION ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK STATE HAS INTENSIFIED AS IT MOVED
INTO MORE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS. THE CONVECTION...WHICH WAS THE
REMNANT OF AN OVERNIGHT MCS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...HAS MOVED INTO
AN AREA WHERE CIN HAS BEEN REMOVED...AND LOW TO MID LEVEL
INSTABILITY HAS INCREASED RAPIDLY. THE LATEST SPC MESO ANALYSIS
SHOWED THAT BULK SHEAR INCREASING AS WELL...AS A WEAK SHORT WAVE
ACCOMPANIES THE CONVECTION.

SIMPLE EXTRAPOLATION BRINGS THE CONVECTION INTO THE NORTH LEHIGH
VALLEY...SOUTHERN POCONOS AND POSSIBLY NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY BY ABOUT
2200 UTC. BY THAT TIME...THE AIRMASS IN PLACE SHOULD HAVE SHED MOST
OF ITS CONVECTIVE INHIBITION...AND THE ACTIVITY SHOULD BE ABLE TO
SURVIVE THE TRIP. THE INCREASING SHEAR SUGGESTS MULTIPLE CELL
STRUCTURE (AS WE ARE SEEING ON RADAR NOW).

THE MAIN CONVECTIVE MODE SHOULD BE STRONG TO POSSIBLY DAMAGING
WINDS. THIS IS BASED ON THE EXPECTED CAPE PROFILE...INCREASING WIND
SHEAR...AND DRY LOW LEVELS. LARGE HAIL MAY BE A TOUGH SELL...WITH
FREEZING LEVELS NEAR 15000 FEET AND HIGH WET BULB ZERO VALUES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
THE FRONT CONTINUES TO SLOW MARCH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY ON
SUNDAY. AREAS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL START TO COOL OFF A BIT AND
BEGIN TO DRY OUT, ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN THE
90S FOR ONE MORE DAY. AREAS SOUTH OF THE FRONT, MAINLY ACROSS
DELMARVA, WILL HOLD ONTO THE MOISTURE A BIT LONGER AND HAVE ANOTHER
HOT AND HUMID DAY ON TAP. HEAT INDEX VALUES LOOK TO BE AROUND
ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR ABOUT PHILADELPHIA AND SOUTH. HOWEVER, THE
VALUES LOOK MARGINAL AT BEST AT THE MOMENT AND WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY
ADDITIONAL HEADLINES WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE.

CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE LIMITED TO MAINLY NEAR THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY ON SUNDAY AND THEN MORE SO TO POINTS FROM PHILADELPHIA ON
SOUTH. CHANCES WILL DECREASE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE GFS INITIALIZATION WAS NOT AS SOLID AS THE WRF-NMMB AND ITS
VERIFICATION OF ONGOING CONVECTION WAS OFF TO A POOR START. COMBINED
WITH NO CORROBORATIVE SUPPORT FROM THE CAN GGEM OR UKMET, THE LONG
TERM LEANED MORE TOWARD THE WRF THAN THE GFS THRU THE END OF ITS
MODEL RUN AND MORE TOWARD CONTINUITY THAN THE 12Z GFS FOR THE REST
OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.

IN SUMMARY, THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL SOUTH OF OUR CWA WITH
WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG IT AND THEN A LIKELY BACKING OF THE
FRONT BEFORE IT DISSIPATES LATE IN THE PERIOD. GIVEN ITS JULY AND
HOW STUBBORNLY HOT THIS AIR MASS HAS BEEN WOULD EXPECT MORE OF A
SOUTHWARD STRUGGLING SOLUTION TO VERIFY. SO HIGHEST CONFIDENCE ABOUT
THE FORECAST OUTCOME NORTH AND SOUTH. LOWEST CENTRAL. WHILE SOME
DRIER AIR WILL BE ARRIVING, THE BACKING FLOW SHOULD MAKE IT MORE
HUMID LATE IN THE WEEK. ON THE OTHER HAND WE ARE NOT FORECASTING MAX
TEMPS TO REACH 90F.

THE MESOSCALE MODELING DID NOT HAVE THE INITIAL MCS AROUND NY/NJ/PA
AND THE HRRR VERSIONS THAT DID ARE TOO ROBUST BEYOND THEM. THEY ALL
HAVE ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PART OF OUR CWA ON
SUNDAY NIGHT. STRUCTURAL EVOLUTION ASIDE, THE SLOWING FRONT AND
STILL AMPLY HOT AIR MASS SHOULD AT THE VERY LEAST CONTINUE SCATTERED
CONVECTION. WE ARE NOT SEEING UPSTREAM CAPPING BEYOND TODAY FOR
THAT AREA. ELSEWHERE LESSER CHANCES OF ANY LINGERING PRECIPITATION.
MIN TEMPS WERE CONSERVATIVELY WARM AS NOT CONFIDENT ABOUT LOSING ALL
OF THE CLOUD COVER.

ON MONDAY FORECAST SOUNDINGS WERE SHOWING LESS OF A CAP SOUTH THAN
FARTHER TO THE NORTH WITH THE DELINEATION NEAR THE PA TURNPIKE AND
INTERSTATE 195 CORRIDOR. THIS IS CLOSE TO WHERE POPS WERE CUT OFF.
POPS PROGRESSIVELY BECOME HIGHER FARTHER SOUTH IN DELMARVA WITH LESS
CAPPING PREDICTED AND HIER CONFIDENCE OF REACHING THE CONVECTIVE
TEMPERATURE. EXPECTING A BIT MORE SUN THAN WHAT THE GFS IS
PREDICTING AND THUS MAX TEMPS LEANED TOWARD HIGHER NAM MOS.

ITS PRETTY MUCH A SIMILAR SCENARIO FOR MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY,
WHERE THE CAPPING OF CONVECTION IS GOING TO BE CLOSE TO THE PHL
METRO AREA. THE ENTRANCE REGION OF THE H250 JET REMAINS SUPPORTIVE
FOR CONVECTION SOUTH, NOT SO NORTH ALONG THE HIER TERRAIN AS THE
GFS HAS DEPICTED ON TUESDAY DAY. BECAUSE OF CLOUD DEBRIS REMAINED
CONSERVATIVE WITH MINS ON MONDAY NIGHT AND STAT GUIDANCE LOOKS
REASONABLE FOR HIGH TEMPS ON TUESDAY.

WE REALLY DID NOT CHANGE MUCH FROM THE ONGOING FORECAST FOR THE
REST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK AS THE 12Z MODEL RUNS DID NOT BRING MORE
CLARITY. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO BACK MORE TOWARD OUR
CWA BEFORE DISSIPATING AT THE END OF THE WEEK, SO WE DID UP POPS
ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY BASED ON THE CONSENSUS MODEL TIMING.
OTHERWISE THE REST OF THE LONG TERM WAS A BLEND OF LATEST HPC
GUIDANCE ON OUR OWN CONTINUITY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST AS A COLD
FRONT SLOWLY DROPS DOWN FROM THE NORTH. THE FRONT WILL NOT REACH THE
AREA UNTIL TONIGHT. AS THE FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION AND MAKES IT
WAY INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT, WINDS WILL SWING AROUND TO THE NORTH
NORTHWEST INTO SUNDAY.

SOME MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AT A FEW LOCATIONS EARLY SUNDAY,
MAINLY IN HAZE, AS THE HOT, MOIST AIRMASS REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA.
IF ANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVE THROUGH LATE IN THE EVENING IT
WILL JUST CONTRIBUTE TO THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND INCREASE THE
CHANCE FOR THESE CONDITIONS TO OCCUR. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED AGAIN ON SUNDAY. ANY CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS ON SUNDAY
LOOKS TO BE MOSTLY SOUTH OF KPHL. CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE THAT IT MAY
IMPACT ANY OF THE TAF SITES.

OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY NIGHT...REMAINING CONVECTION MAY AGAIN CAUSE SCATTERED
MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS AT SOUTHERN SITES. CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.

MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE, WHICH COULD PRODUCE SUB-VFR
CONDITIONS. THE GREATEST CHANCES OF THAT ARE FROM KPHL SOUTH.
CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.

&&

.MARINE...
SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT
SLOWLY DROPS SOUTHWARD INTO OUR AREA. THE FRONT SAGS SOUTHWARD INTO
THE NORTHERN WATERS LATE TONIGHT AND SLOWLY CONTINUES ON ITS WAY
THROUGH THE REMAINING COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY. SEAS
WILL REMAIN AROUND 1 FOOT ON THE DELAWARE BAY AND 2 TO 3 FEET ON THE
OCEAN. SOUTH WINDS WILL BECOME MORE NORTHERLY INTO SUNDAY.

OUTLOOK...
AS LONG AS NO SIGNIFICANT LOW DEVELOPS ALONG THE STALLED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY, THEN SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY. THE CHANCES OF SUCH A LOW DEVELOPING ARE SMALL,
BUT THE CHANCES OF LOW PRESSURE IMPULSES MOVING ALONG THE FRONT
AND CAUSING SOME RISE IN SEAS IS PRETTY GOOD AS THE PERIOD WEARS
ON.

&&

.CLIMATE...
BELOW ARE THE RECORD MAXES FOR OUR EIGHT CLI SITES FOR JULY 7TH...
SO FAR NEW RECORDS WERE SET AT GEORGETOWN AND ATLANTIC CITY AND
READING TIED THEIR RECORD HIGH.

KACY  98  1986,2010
KPHL 103  2010
KILG 103  2010
KABE  99  2010
KTTN 103  2010
KGED  97  2010
KRDG 101  2010
KMPO  95  1908

BELOW ARE ALL TIME RECORDS FOR OUR FOUR LCD SITES...

KABE 105  7/3/1966
KACY 106  6/28/1969
KPHL 106  8/7/1918
KILG 107  8/7/1918

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR PAZ067>071.
NJ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR NJZ015-
     017>019.
DE...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR DEZ001.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DELISI/GIGI
NEAR TERM...GIGI/HAYES/MEOLA/O'HARA
SHORT TERM...MEOLA
LONG TERM...GIGI
AVIATION...DELISI/GIGI/MEOLA
MARINE...DELISI/GIGI/MEOLA
CLIMATE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
620 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

NJZ007>010-012>014-PAZ061-062-082230-
WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
620 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 479 IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-082230-
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
620 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 477 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MDZ008-012-NJZ016-020>027-PAZ060-082230-
CECIL-KENT MD-SALEM-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-
620 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 479 IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND...SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA UNDER A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE
MAIN THREAT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ001-NJZ015-017>019-PAZ067>071-082230-
NEW CASTLE-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-
MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
620 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 479 IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA UNDER A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE
MAIN THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ004-082230-
DELAWARE BEACHES-
620 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.

ALSO, THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA UNDER A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN
THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA UNDER A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE
MAIN THREAT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ002-003-MDZ015-019-020-082230-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
620 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.

ALSO, THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA UNDER A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN
THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA UNDER A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE
MAIN THREAT.

ALSO, AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES SHOULD REACH BETWEEN 100F AND 105F.
IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES ABOUT REACHING 105F, A HEAT ADVISORY MAY BE
ISSUED LATER THIS EVENING OR ON SUNDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ450-082230-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
620 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 479 IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA UNDER A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE
MAIN THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ430-431-451>454-082230-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
620 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 479 IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA UNDER A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE
MAIN THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ455-082230-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
620 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA UNDER A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA UNDER A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE
MAIN THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
554 PM EDT SAT JUL 07 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SLATINGTON              40.75N  75.62W
07/07/2012                   LEHIGH             PA   PUBLIC

            DOWNED TREES

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200380

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
557 PM EDT SAT JUL 07 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WALNUTPORT              40.75N  75.60W
07/07/2012                   NORTHAMPTON        PA   PUBLIC

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200381

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
629 PM EDT SAT JUL 07 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     TSTM WND GST     ALLENTOWN               40.59N  75.48W
07/07/2012  M68 MPH          LEHIGH             PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200382

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
641 PM EDT SAT JUL 07 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SLATINGTON              40.75N  75.62W
07/07/2012                   LEHIGH             PA   PUBLIC

            DOWNED TREES

0545 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WALNUTPORT              40.75N  75.60W
07/07/2012                   NORTHAMPTON        PA   PUBLIC

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN.

0555 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ALLENTOWN               40.59N  75.48W
07/07/2012                   LEHIGH             PA   POST OFFICE

            SEPARATE REPORT... LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN.

0600 PM     TSTM WND GST     ALLENTOWN               40.59N  75.48W
07/07/2012  M68 MPH          LEHIGH             PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200380 PHI1200381 PHI1200383 PHI1200382

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
703 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

NJZ016>022-027-080000-
ATLANTIC NJ-CAMDEN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-SALEM NJ-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
703 PM EDT SAT JUL 7 2012

...GUST FRONT FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT
ATLANTIC...BURLINGTON...CAMDEN...CUMBERLAND...GLOUCESTER...OCEAN AND
SALEM COUNTIES...

AT 700 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
GUST FRONT FROM WEAKENING THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
8 MILES SOUTH OF TRENTON TO 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PHILADELPHIA TO 11
MILES WEST OF PHILADELPHIA...MOVING SOUTH AT 40 MPH. THE GUST FRONT
WILL BE NEAR WESTAMPTON...MOORESTOWN-LENOLA AROUND 700
PM...WRIGHTSTOWN...FORT DIX AROUND 715 PM...PRESIDENTIAL
LAKES...CHATSWORTH AROUND 730 PM...WADING RIVER AND PENN STATE
FOREST AROUND 745 PM.

WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS GUST FRONT,
ESPECIALLY IN THE LOCAL PHILADELPHIA AREA. PLEASE BE ALERT FOR
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND DO NOT WAIT FOR LIGHTNING TO TAKE PREVENTATIVE
MEASURES. WEAK TREE LIMBS AND LAWN FURNITURE CAN BE TOSSED AROUND.

LAT...LON 3943 7488 3941 7523 3982 7539 3985 7533
      3985 7526 3988 7515 3997 7512 4007 7494
      4008 7487 4013 7482 4013 7474 4015 7471
      4018 7471 4014 7459 4008 7455 4009 7452
      3972 7420

TFG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
721 PM EDT SAT JUL 07 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SLATINGTON              40.75N  75.62W
07/07/2012                   LEHIGH             PA   PUBLIC

            DOWNED TREES

0545 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WALNUTPORT              40.75N  75.60W
07/07/2012                   NORTHAMPTON        PA   PUBLIC

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN.

0555 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ALLENTOWN               40.59N  75.48W
07/07/2012                   LEHIGH             PA   POST OFFICE

            SEPARATE REPORT... LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN.

0556 PM     TSTM WND GST     ALLENTOWN AIRPORT       40.65N  75.44W
07/07/2012  M50 MPH          LEHIGH             PA   ASOS

0600 PM     TSTM WND GST     ALLENTOWN               40.59N  75.48W
07/07/2012  M68 MPH          LEHIGH             PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0618 PM     TSTM WND GST     BREINIGSVILLE           40.54N  75.63W
07/07/2012  E50 MPH          LEHIGH             PA   PUBLIC

0635 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FLEMINGTON              40.51N  74.86W
07/07/2012                   HUNTERDON          NJ   PUBLIC

            TREES DOWN

0645 PM     TSTM WND GST     TRENTON AIRPORT         40.28N  74.81W
07/07/2012  M55 MPH          MERCER             NJ   ASOS

0645 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SKILLMAN                40.42N  74.72W
07/07/2012                   SOMERSET           NJ   PUBLIC

            TREES DOWN.

0701 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MONROE TWP              40.32N  74.43W
07/07/2012                   MIDDLESEX          NJ   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200380 PHI1200381 PHI1200383 PHI1200384 PHI1200382
PHI1200385 PHI1200387 PHI1200386 PHI1200388 PHI1200389

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