Special Marine Warning 44, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

385 
FZUS71 KPHI 291139
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
739 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

ANZ451>453-470-291148-
/O.EXP.KPHI.MA.W.0044.000000T0000Z-120629T1145Z/
739 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

...SPECIAL MARINE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 745 AM EDT...

THE AFFECTED AREAS WERE...
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OVER ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS...
LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OVER ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS...
MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM OVER ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS...
WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE FROM 20 TO 40 NM OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...

THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND MOVE OUT OF 
THE AREA, THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3934 7345 3877 7398 3913 7476 3928 7463
      3929 7463 3923 7473 3930 7480 3936 7457
      3931 7462 3931 7461 3945 7440 3945 7441
      3957 7454 3954 7431 3995 7420 4005 7406
      4006 7413 4007 7412 3982 7331
TIME...MOT...LOC 1138Z 260DEG 35KT 4021 7307 3976 7325
          3942 7360

$$

GORSE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
335 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS OUR AREA THIS MORNING. MEANWHILE, HIGH
PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN IN PLACE
THROUGH SUNDAY. A COOL FRONT WILL GRADUALLY SETTLE SOUTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY, HOWEVER IT WILL TEND TO
STALL ACROSS THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC REGION MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
THIS FRONT MAY THEN LIFT NORTHEASTWARD AS A WARM FRONT WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
NO CHANGES TO HEAT RELATED HEADLINES.

THE WRF-NMMB AND GFS INITIALIZATION WERE ABOUT THE SAME THIS MORNING
VS THE 00Z SOUNDING AND LOOKED MUCH BETTER AT 925MB NOW THAT THE
CORE OF THE HOT AIR MASS IS FARTHER TO THE EAST AND A LITTLE HIGHER
ABOVE THE SURFACE. THE ECMWF CONTINUES TO VERIFY 1-3C TOO WARM, MAKE
THAT HOT, WITH ITS 12HR 925MB FORECAST IN THE CENTRAL CONUS.

LAST NIGHT WE WERE WONDERING IF THE MCS WOULD HEAD NORTH
(KINEMATICS) OR SOUTH (THERMODYNAMICS). IN REALITY ITS LOOKING LIKE
NEITHER AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM ITS SURFACE BASED INFLOW, THE
THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER IS FOLLOWING MORE THE 700MB FLOW AND THUS
HIEST CHANCES EARLY ARE CENTRAL. THE LATEST HRRR HAS A PRETTY GOOD
HANDLE ON IT AS TO WHERE, EVEN IF ITS GEOGRAPHIC EXTENT IS A BIT TOO
MUCH. IMPRESSIVE BOW ECHO MOVING THROUGH STATE COLLEGE AREA, WE DID
CARRY SOME EARLY ENHANCED WORDING WEST. AT ONE TIME THIS CLUSTER HAD
ABOUT 1500 CG LTGNG STRIKES IN 15 MINUTES.

AFTER THIS SYSTEM OR WHAT IS LEFT OF IT MOVES THROUGH EARLY THIS
MORNING, MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS DEVELOP A CAP AND CONSIDERABLE CIN
THAT SHOULD NEGATE ANY ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL FOR THE REST
OF THE DAY.

BASED ON THE GFS AND NAM MOS PERFORMANCE TO OUR WEST, WE WENT WITH A
STAT GUIDANCE COMPROMISE. FOR PHL THE 00Z SAT FCST 1000-850MB GFS
FCST THICKNESS PRETTY MUCH MATCHES 100F TO OUR WEST. BECAUSE OF THE
CLOUDINESS DEBRIS EARLY, WE DID SLOW THE RISE OF TEMPS A BIT THIS
MORNING, BUT GIVEN THE DAYS DO NOT GET MUCH LONGER THAN NOW, WE DO
NOT BELIEVE THEY WILL PUT A DENT IN OUR MAX TEMP POTENTIAL.

DEW POINTS ON THE OTHER HAND ARE MORE OF A CONUNDRUM. THE FLOW IS
FORECAST TO BE NORTHWEST TO WEST AT THE SURFACE, USUALLY A DRYING
DIRECTION. BUT THE DEW POINTS TO OUR WEST ARE HIGHER. THE GFS MODEL
SFC DEW POINT PROGS YESTERDAY AFTN WERE 10F TOO HIGH, APPLYING THE
SAME CORRECTION TODAY, GIVES US MOST AFTERNOON DEW POINTS IN THE
60S, NOT THAT FAR FROM CURRENT STAT GUIDANCE. THUS THE CURRENT
ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS LOOK GOOD.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SATURDAY/...
ANOTHER VERY WARM NIGHT FOR OUR CWA. A WEAK FRONT WILL TRY TO SAG
SOUTH INTO OUR CWA WITH NOT MUCH COOLING EFFECT EXPECTED. THE
MESOSCALE MODELING IS PASSING ANOTHER REMNANT OF A MCS ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF OUR CWA LATE. JUST LIKE TONIGHT, IT WILL AT
THE LEAST BE UNSTABLE ENOUGH ALOFT TO SUPPORT ONGOING CONVECTION, SO
LOW POPS WERE STARTED. FOR MIN TEMPS, A STAT GUIDANCE COMPROMISE WAS
FOLLOWED.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN PLACE DURING THE
WEEKEND AND POSSIBLY INTO MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT REMAINS
OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL WITH
WIDESPREAD 90S IN MOST AREAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS DAILY
FAVORING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WITH MOSTLY SLGT CHC OR
LOW CHC POPS. SPC HAS PLACED MUCH OF OUR AREA IN SLGT CHC FOR SVR
ON DAY2 (12Z SAT - 12Z SUN).

UNSETTLED CONDITIONS REMAIN INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH THE
HIGH ALOFT RE-BUILDING BACK ACROSS THE WRN PART OF THE COUNTY AND
A TROUGH DIGGING ACROSS ERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST STATES. THIS
WILL BRING AN END TO THE EXCESSIVELY HOT CONDITIONS...WITH
READINGS RETURNING BACK CLOSER TO NORMAL. DAILY SCT SHOWERS/TSTMS
MON-WED IN THE GRIDS ATTM WITH LOW CONFID IN TIMING/PLACEMENT OF
ANY CONVECTION.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

THE 06Z TAFS ARE GIVING THE HIGHEST CHANCES OF THUNDER MAKING IT
INTO THE KPHL, KILG AND KRDG TERMINALS TOWARD MORNING WITH NEAR OR
MVFR CONDITIONS. WE WILL AMEND AND ADD CHANCE TO KABE, KTTN AND KPNE
TO THE MIX. IMPRESSIVE SMALL COMPLEX OF TSTMS IN NWRN PA IS
PRODUCING AROUND 500 CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES EVERY 5
MINUTES AT ITS PEAK EARLIER. THE AIR MASS IS NOT AS UNSTABLE ON OUR
SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS, SO WE WILL MONITOR ITS PROGRESS. LESS
CONFIDENCE ABOUT THE TSTMS MAKING IT INTO THE OTHER TERMINALS IF AT
ALL, SO WILL NOT BE INCLUDED.

ONCE THIS CLUSTER MOVES THROUGH, WE ARE EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS
FORM THE REST OF THE TAF PERIOD. IN FACT, AS HARD AS IT IS TO
FATHOM, WE MAY NOT REACH THE CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURE TODAY, SO
HARDLY ANY CUMULUS CLOUDS ARE FORECAST. WEST WINDS SHOULD AVERAGE
AROUND 10 TO 15 KTS AND KEEP THE SEA BREEZE FRONT EAST OF ALL OUR
NJ TERMINALS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE NOT SHOWING MUCH GUSTINESS.

FOR THIS EVENING, NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED OR VSBY
RESTRICTIONS FOR ANY OF OUR TERMINALS. WINDS SHOULD BECOME LIGHTER
AND GENERALLY FROM THE NORTHWEST.

OUTLOOK...
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE TERMINALS. DAYTIME HZ AND
PATCHY OVERNIGHT FOG MAY BRING SOME LOWER VSBYS AT TIMES. SCT
SHOWERS/TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING (MAINLY) THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. LOWER CIGS/VSBYS DURING TSTMS.

&&

.MARINE...
CONDITIONS ON OUR WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL PRIMARILY BE SOUTHWESTERLY
TODAY AND GO WEST FOR A WHILE TONIGHT AS THAT WEAK FRONT BACKS INTO
OUR AREA.

OUTLOOK...
SUB-SCA CONDITIONS OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. SEAS ON THE OCEAN WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 2-4 FT RANGE. SCT
TSTMS WITH LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS WILL BE THE
GREATEST HAZARD ON THE WATERS.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
GFS ETSS STILL MODELS POTENTIAL MINOR COASTAL FLOOD EPISODES HERE
WITH THE EVENING TIDE CYCLES BEGINNING SUNDAY OR MONDAY AND CONTG
THRU AT LEAST JULY 3 FULL MOON WHEN ASTRO TIDE IS WITHIN .3 FT OF
THE MINOR TIDAL INUNDATION THRESHOLD.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
LIKE YESTERDAY, MEAN RH(S) ARE EXPECTED TO DROP CLOSE TO 30 PERCENT
THIS AFTERNOON AND ALSO LIKE YESTERDAY, OVERALL WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO FALL SHORT OF RED FLAG CRITERIA. WE WILL MAKE MENTION IN THE FIRE
WEATHER FORECAST.

&&

.RIP CURRENTS...
WHILE THE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS APPEARS LOW FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS, THERE SHOULD BE SOME ENHANCEMENT OF THE RISK FOR RIP
CURRENTS. FIRST ASSOCIATED WITH AN INCREASING S SWELL TO 3 FEET
WITH A 8 SECOND PERIOD TODAY THAT CONTINUES INTO SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY
IF THE WIND AT BUOY 009 IS 180 OR 190 DEGREES, AND THEN WITH AN
INCREASINGLY LARGE RATE OF CHANGE IN TIDES AS WE MOVE TOWARD THE
FULL MOON EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH WELL INTO THE 90S FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY. BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AND MOST RECENT YEAR
OF OCCURRENCE FOR JUNE 29 THROUGH JULY 1 FOR OUR EIGHT CLIMATE SITES.

        JUNE 29       JUNE 30        JULY 1

PHL   102 - 1934    100 - 1964     102 - 1901

ACY    98 - 1991     98 - 1991      99 - 1968

ILG    98 - 1959     98 - 1964      97 - 1963

ABE    99 - 1934     97 - 1964      97 - 1963

TTN   100 - 1934     98 - 1964      98 - 1945

RDG    99 - 1943     98 - 1964     101 - 1901

GED    99 - 1969    101 - 1959      98 - 1964

MPO    89 - 1944     90 - 1964      88 - 1968

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     PAZ060>062.
     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR
     PAZ067>071.
NJ...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     NJZ007>010-012-013-016-020>023-027.
     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR
     NJZ015-017>019.
DE...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     DEZ002-003.
     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR
     DEZ001.
MD...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     MDZ008-012-015-019-020.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GORSE
NEAR TERM...GIGI
SHORT TERM...GIGI
LONG TERM...O'HARA
AVIATION...GIGI
MARINE...GIGI
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...GIGI
RIP CURRENTS...DRAG
CLIMATE...KLINE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
437 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

NJZ007>010-012-013-PAZ060>062-300845-
WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-BERKS-
LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
437 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE HEAT CONTINUES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, HOWEVER THE HUMIDITY MAY
BE JUST LOW ENOUGH IN THE AFTERNOON TO KEEP THE HEAT INDICES
REDUCED.

THE STORMS PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERS TOMS ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-300845-
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
437 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE STORMS PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERS TOMS ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ016-020>023-027-300845-
SALEM-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
437 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 434 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   HEAT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE HEAT CONTINUES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, HOWEVER THE HUMIDITY MAY
BE JUST LOW ENOUGH IN THE AFTERNOON TO KEEP THE HEAT INDICES
REDUCED.

THE STORMS PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERS TOMS ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ001-NJZ015-017>019-PAZ067>071-300845-
NEW CASTLE-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-
MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
437 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 434 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.

THE STORMS PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERS TOMS ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ002-003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-300845-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
437 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 434 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
   HEAT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE HEAT CONTINUES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AND DEPENDING ON THE DEW
POINTS, THE HEAT INDICES COULD APPROACH 105 DEGREES EACH
AFTERNOON.

THE STORMS PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERS TOMS ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ430-431-451>455-300845-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
437 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 434 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE STORMS PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERS TOMS ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ450-300845-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
437 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE STORMS PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERS TOMS ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ004-NJZ024>026-300845-
DELAWARE BEACHES-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-
437 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 434 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A CHANCE THAT SEA AND WIND CONDITIONS WILL PRODUCE A
MODERATE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE NEW JERSEY
COAST TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF MINOR TIDAL INUNDATION FLOODING NEAR THE
TIME OF THE EVENING HIGH TIDE NEXT MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING ALONG BOTH THE DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY ATLANTIC COASTS.

THE STORMS PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERS TOMS ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ014-300845-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-
437 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE THAT SEA AND WIND CONDITIONS WILL PRODUCE A
MODERATE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE NEW JERSEY
COAST TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF MINOR TIDAL INUNDATION FLOODING NEAR THE
TIME OF THE EVENING HIGH TIDE NEXT MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING ALONG BOTH THE DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY ATLANTIC COASTS.

THE STORMS PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERS TOMS ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
351 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

DEZ001-NJZ007-009-010-015>019-PAZ054-060>062-067>071-290845-
BERKS PA-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-CARBON PA-CHESTER PA-DELAWARE PA-
GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-LEHIGH PA-MERCER NJ-MONTGOMERY PA-
NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHAMPTON PA-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
PHILADELPHIA PA-SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ-WARREN NJ-
351 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

...SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT
BERKS...BUCKS...BURLINGTON...CAMDEN...CARBON...CHESTER...DELAWARE...
GLOUCESTER...HUNTERDON...LEHIGH...MERCER...MONTGOMERY...NEW
CASTLE...NORTHAMPTON...PHILADELPHIA...SALEM...SOMERSET AND WARREN
COUNTIES...

AT 345 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES
WEST OF LEHIGHTON TO READING TO LANCASTER...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.
THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR EMERALD...NEW MAHONING AROUND 400
AM...WALNUTPORT...BEERSVILLE AROUND 415 AM...OLD ORCHARD...GLENDON
AROUND 430 AM...LAMBERTVILLE AND LANGHORNE MANOR AROUND 445 AM.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. THESE STORMS
COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS
WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 4034 7598 4062 7601 4065 7599 4074 7577
      4088 7597 4091 7600 4092 7599 4057 7474
      3997 7467 3960 7513 3986 7602 3988 7600
      3998 7599 4003 7594 4011 7595 4014 7589
      4026 7607

TFG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
514 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0503 AM     TSTM WND GST     SPRING CITY             40.18N  75.55W
06/29/2012  E60 MPH          CHESTER            PA   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200248

TG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
547 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ELVERSON                40.16N  75.83W
06/29/2012                   CHESTER            PA   PUBLIC

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN

0436 AM     HAIL             DUBLIN                  40.37N  75.20W
06/29/2012  M0.75 INCH       BUCKS              PA   PUBLIC

0442 AM     HAIL             RISING SUN              39.70N  76.06W
06/29/2012  M0.88 INCH       CECIL              MD   PUBLIC

0450 AM     HAIL             WEST CHESTER            39.96N  75.61W
06/29/2012  M1.00 INCH       CHESTER            PA   PUBLIC

0500 AM     HAIL             BOYERTOWN               40.33N  75.64W
06/29/2012  M0.75 INCH       BERKS              PA   PUBLIC

0500 AM     HAIL             POTTSTOWN               40.25N  75.64W
06/29/2012  M0.88 INCH       MONTGOMERY         PA   PUBLIC

0503 AM     TSTM WND GST     SPRING CITY             40.18N  75.55W
06/29/2012  E60 MPH          CHESTER            PA   NWS EMPLOYEE

0505 AM     TSTM WND DMG     COATESVILLE             39.98N  75.82W
06/29/2012                   CHESTER            PA   POST OFFICE

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN

0506 AM     TSTM WND GST     PHILADELPHIA            39.95N  75.16W
06/29/2012  E50 MPH          PHILADELPHIA       PA   PUBLIC

0515 AM     TSTM WND DMG     NORRISTOWN              40.12N  75.34W
06/29/2012                   MONTGOMERY         PA   PUBLIC

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN

0515 AM     TSTM WND DMG     UPPER PROVIDENCE        39.96N  75.42W
06/29/2012                   DELAWARE           PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AT LEAST ONE TREE DOWN.

0530 AM     HAIL             WOODSTOWN               39.65N  75.33W
06/29/2012  M0.88 INCH       SALEM              NJ   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200249 PHI1200250 PHI1200251 PHI1200252 PHI1200253
PHI1200254 PHI1200248 PHI1200255 PHI1200256 PHI1200257 PHI1200259
PHI1200258

TG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
606 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ELVERSON                40.16N  75.83W
06/29/2012                   CHESTER            PA   PUBLIC

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN

0436 AM     HAIL             DUBLIN                  40.37N  75.20W
06/29/2012  M0.75 INCH       BUCKS              PA   PUBLIC

0442 AM     HAIL             RISING SUN              39.70N  76.06W
06/29/2012  M0.88 INCH       CECIL              MD   PUBLIC

0450 AM     HAIL             WEST CHESTER            39.96N  75.61W
06/29/2012  M1.00 INCH       CHESTER            PA   PUBLIC

0500 AM     HAIL             BOYERTOWN               40.33N  75.64W
06/29/2012  M0.75 INCH       BERKS              PA   PUBLIC

0500 AM     HAIL             POTTSTOWN               40.25N  75.64W
06/29/2012  M0.88 INCH       MONTGOMERY         PA   PUBLIC

0503 AM     TSTM WND GST     SPRING CITY             40.18N  75.55W
06/29/2012  E60 MPH          CHESTER            PA   NWS EMPLOYEE

0505 AM     TSTM WND DMG     COATESVILLE             39.98N  75.82W
06/29/2012                   CHESTER            PA   POST OFFICE

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN

0506 AM     TSTM WND GST     PHILADELPHIA            39.95N  75.16W
06/29/2012  E50 MPH          PHILADELPHIA       PA   PUBLIC

0515 AM     TSTM WND DMG     NORRISTOWN              40.12N  75.34W
06/29/2012                   MONTGOMERY         PA   PUBLIC

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN

0515 AM     TSTM WND DMG     UPPER PROVIDENCE        39.96N  75.42W
06/29/2012                   DELAWARE           PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AT LEAST ONE TREE DOWN.

0520 AM     HAIL             HAVERTOWN               39.98N  75.31W
06/29/2012  M1.00 INCH       DELAWARE           PA   PUBLIC

0530 AM     HAIL             WOODSTOWN               39.65N  75.33W
06/29/2012  M0.88 INCH       SALEM              NJ   PUBLIC

0550 AM     HAIL             CLEMENTON               39.80N  74.99W
06/29/2012  M0.88 INCH       CAMDEN             NJ   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1200249 PHI1200250 PHI1200251 PHI1200252 PHI1200253
PHI1200254 PHI1200248 PHI1200255 PHI1200256 PHI1200257 PHI1200259
PHI1200260 PHI1200258 PHI1200261

TG