High Wind Warning 2, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

761 
WWUS71 KPHI 070232
NPWPHI

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
932 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...A HIGH WIND WARNING AND A WIND ADVISORY ARE NOW IN EFFECT...

.AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST TONIGHT. THIS STORM WILL INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS NORTHWARD
ON WEDNESDAY...BECOMING A POWERFUL NOR'EASTER OFF THE NORTHERN
MID ATLANTIC COAST BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE STORM WILL THEN
MOVE SLOWLY AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.
AN INCREASING NORTHEAST TO NORTH WIND WILL OCCUR WITH THIS STORM
AND AFFECT THE REGION. THOSE AREAS THAT WERE SIGNIFICANTLY
AFFECTED BY SANDY LAST WEEK WILL BE MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE HIGH
WINDS.

DEZ003-004-NJZ013-014-020-022>027-071100-
/O.CON.KPHI.HW.W.0002.121107T1100Z-121108T1100Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...JACKSON...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST
932 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO
6 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH.

* THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...ESPECIALLY FOR 
  THE AREAS THAT WERE HARDEST HIT BY THE STORM LAST WEEK.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR FROM ABOUT WEDNESDAY 
  AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH THE HIGHER WINDS 
  OCCURRING CLOSER TO THE COAST.

* IMPACTS...STRUCTURES AND TREES WEAKENED BY THE STORM LAST WEEK 
  MAY BE FURTHER DAMAGED BY ANOTHER ROUND OF HIGH WINDS. THIS 
  CAN ALSO RESULT IN RENEWED POWER OUTAGES...PARTICULARLY IN 
  AREAS WHERE THE ELECTRICAL SYSTEM REMAINS IN A WEAKENED STATE. 
  DEBRIS FROM LAST WEEKS STORM COULD BECOME A HAZARD DURING THIS 
  NEW STORM... ESPECIALLY IF IT IS LIGHT ENOUGH TO BECOME 
  AIRBORNE.

$$

DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ008>010-012-015>019-021-
PAZ067>071-071100-
/O.CON.KPHI.WI.Y.0011.121107T1100Z-121108T1100Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MORRIS-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CUMBERLAND-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...ELKTON...
CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
MILLVILLE...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA
932 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM
EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* THIS IS A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS SITUATION...ESPECIALLY FOR THE 
  AREAS THAT WERE HARD HIT BY THE STORM LAST WEEK.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR FROM ABOUT WEDNESDAY 
  AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRUCTURES AND TREES WEAKENED BY THE STORM LAST WEEK 
  MAY BE FURTHER DAMAGED BY ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG WINDS. THIS 
  COULD ALSO RESULT IN RENEWED POWER OUTAGES...PARTICULARLY IN 
  AREAS WHERE THE ELECTRICAL SYSTEM REMAINS IN A WEAKENED STATE. 
  ANY LEFT OVER DEBRIS FROM LAST WEEKS STORM COULD BECOME A 
  HAZARD DURING THIS NEW STORM... ESPECIALLY IF IT IS LIGHT 
  ENOUGH TO BECOME AIRBORNE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS
WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH OR GREATER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS. IF POSSIBLE... NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING IN OR
SECURE OUTDOOR ITEMS THAT COULD BE BLOWN AROUND IN THE STRONG
WINDS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. LIGHT-WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS SUCH AS PATIO
FURNITURE AND GARBAGE CANS SHOULD BE SECURED.

&&

$$

860 
WWUS71 KPHI 070829
NPWPHI

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
329 AM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...A HIGH WIND WARNING AND WIND ADVISORY REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE EAST OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST EARLY
THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH TO A POSITION OFF THE NEW
JERSEY COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STORM WILL PULL AWAY
FROM THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. 

THE STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY
AND TONIGHT. THOSE AREAS THAT WERE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY SANDY
LAST WEEK WILL BE MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE HIGH WINDS.

DEZ003-004-NJZ013-014-020-022>027-072200-
/O.CON.KPHI.HW.W.0002.121107T1100Z-121108T1100Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...JACKSON...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST
329 AM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...ESPECIALLY FOR 
  THE AREAS THAT WERE HARDEST HIT BY THE STORM LAST WEEK.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND
  THIS EVENING...WITH THE HIGHER WINDS OCCURRING CLOSER TO THE
  COAST.

* IMPACTS...STRUCTURES AND TREES WEAKENED BY THE STORM LAST WEEK
  MAY BE FURTHER DAMAGED BY ANOTHER ROUND OF HIGH WINDS. THIS CAN
  ALSO RESULT IN RENEWED POWER OUTAGES...PARTICULARLY IN AREAS
  WHERE THE ELECTRICAL SYSTEM REMAINS IN A WEAKENED STATE. DEBRIS
  FROM LAST WEEKS STORM COULD BECOME A HAZARD DURING THIS NEW
  STORM...ESPECIALLY IF IT IS LIGHT ENOUGH TO BECOME AIRBORNE.

$$

DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ008>010-012-015>019-021-
PAZ067>071-072200-
/O.CON.KPHI.WI.Y.0011.121107T1100Z-121108T1100Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MORRIS-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CUMBERLAND-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...ELKTON...
CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
MILLVILLE...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA
329 AM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* THIS IS A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS SITUATION...ESPECIALLY FOR THE 
  AREAS THAT WERE HARD HIT BY THE STORM LAST WEEK.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND
  THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRUCTURES AND TREES WEAKENED BY THE STORM LAST WEEK 
  MAY BE FURTHER DAMAGED BY ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG WINDS. THIS 
  COULD ALSO RESULT IN RENEWED POWER OUTAGES...PARTICULARLY IN 
  AREAS WHERE THE ELECTRICAL SYSTEM REMAINS IN A WEAKENED STATE. 
  ANY LEFT OVER DEBRIS FROM LAST WEEKS STORM COULD BECOME A 
  HAZARD DURING THIS NEW STORM... ESPECIALLY IF IT IS LIGHT 
  ENOUGH TO BECOME AIRBORNE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS
WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH OR GREATER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS. IF POSSIBLE... NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING IN OR
SECURE OUTDOOR ITEMS THAT COULD BE BLOWN AROUND IN THE STRONG
WINDS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. LIGHT-WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS SUCH AS PATIO
FURNITURE AND GARBAGE CANS SHOULD BE SECURED.

&&

$$

852 
WWUS71 KPHI 071457
NPWPHI

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
957 AM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...A HIGH WIND WARNING AND WIND ADVISORY REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE EAST OF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA THIS
MORNING IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH TO A POSITION OFF THE NEW
JERSEY COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STORM WILL PULL AWAY
FROM THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

THE STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY
AND TONIGHT. THOSE AREAS THAT WERE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY
SANDY LAST WEEK WILL BE MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE HIGH WINDS.

DEZ003-004-NJZ013-014-020-022>027-072300-
/O.CON.KPHI.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-121108T1100Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...JACKSON...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST
957 AM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...ESPECIALLY FOR 
  THE AREAS THAT WERE HARDEST HIT BY THE STORM LAST WEEK.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND
  THIS EVENING...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS OCCURRING CLOSER TO THE
  COAST.

* IMPACTS...STRUCTURES AND TREES WEAKENED BY THE STORM LAST WEEK 
  MAY BE FURTHER DAMAGED BY ANOTHER ROUND OF HIGH WINDS. THIS 
  CAN ALSO RESULT IN RENEWED POWER OUTAGES...PARTICULARLY IN 
  AREAS WHERE THE ELECTRICAL SYSTEM REMAINS IN A WEAKENED STATE. 
  DEBRIS FROM LAST WEEKS STORM COULD BECOME A HAZARD DURING THIS 
  NEW STORM...ESPECIALLY IF IT IS LIGHT ENOUGH TO BECOME 
  AIRBORNE.

$$

DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ008>010-012-015>019-021-
PAZ067>071-072300-
/O.CON.KPHI.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121108T1100Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MORRIS-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CUMBERLAND-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...ELKTON...
CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
MILLVILLE...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA
957 AM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* THIS IS A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS SITUATION...ESPECIALLY FOR THE 
  AREAS THAT WERE HARD HIT BY THE STORM LAST WEEK.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRUCTURES AND TREES WEAKENED BY THE STORM LAST WEEK 
  MAY BE FURTHER DAMAGED BY ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG WINDS. THIS 
  COULD ALSO RESULT IN RENEWED POWER OUTAGES...PARTICULARLY IN 
  AREAS WHERE THE ELECTRICAL SYSTEM REMAINS IN A WEAKENED STATE. 
  ANY LEFT OVER DEBRIS FROM LAST WEEKS STORM COULD BECOME A 
  HAZARD DURING THIS NEW STORM... ESPECIALLY IF IT IS LIGHT 
  ENOUGH TO BECOME AIRBORNE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS
WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH OR GREATER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS. IF POSSIBLE... NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING IN OR
SECURE OUTDOOR ITEMS THAT COULD BE BLOWN AROUND IN THE STRONG
WINDS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. LIGHT-WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS SUCH AS PATIO
FURNITURE AND GARBAGE CANS SHOULD BE SECURED.

&&

$$

328 
WWUS71 KPHI 072029
NPWPHI

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
329 PM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...A HIGH WIND WARNING AND WIND ADVISORY REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD OFF THE NEW
JERSEY COAST THROUGH TONIGHT. THE STORM WILL PULL AWAY FROM THE
REGION ON THURSDAY.

STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE REGION
THROUGH TONIGHT. THOSE AREAS THAT WERE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY
SANDY LAST WEEK WILL BE MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE HIGH WINDS.

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ008>010-PAZ067>071-072130-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121108T1100Z/
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-
SOMERSET-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...
EASTON...DENTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA
329 PM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
WIND ADVISORY.

THE STORM HAS MOVED FURTHER EAST OFF THE COAST AND STRONG WINDS
ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED OVER THESE AREAS.

$$

DEZ003-004-NJZ013-014-020-022>027-081100-
/O.CON.KPHI.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-121108T1100Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...JACKSON...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST
329 PM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...ESPECIALLY FOR 
  THE AREAS THAT WERE HARDEST HIT BY THE STORM LAST WEEK.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH THIS
  EVENING...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS OCCURRING CLOSER TO THE COAST.

* IMPACTS...STRUCTURES AND TREES WEAKENED BY THE STORM LAST WEEK 
  MAY BE FURTHER DAMAGED BY ANOTHER ROUND OF HIGH WINDS. THIS 
  CAN ALSO RESULT IN RENEWED POWER OUTAGES...PARTICULARLY IN 
  AREAS WHERE THE ELECTRICAL SYSTEM REMAINS IN A WEAKENED STATE. 
  DEBRIS FROM LAST WEEKS STORM COULD BECOME A HAZARD DURING THIS 
  NEW STORM...ESPECIALLY IF IT IS LIGHT ENOUGH TO BECOME 
  AIRBORNE.

$$

DEZ001-002-NJZ012-015>019-021-081100-
/O.CON.KPHI.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121108T1100Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CUMBERLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...NEW BRUNSWICK...
TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...
MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...MILLVILLE
329 PM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH.

* THIS IS A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS SITUATION...ESPECIALLY FOR THE 
  AREAS THAT WERE HARD HIT BY THE STORM LAST WEEK.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRUCTURES AND TREES WEAKENED BY THE STORM LAST WEEK 
  MAY BE FURTHER DAMAGED BY ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG WINDS. THIS 
  COULD ALSO RESULT IN RENEWED POWER OUTAGES...PARTICULARLY IN 
  AREAS WHERE THE ELECTRICAL SYSTEM REMAINS IN A WEAKENED STATE. 
  ANY LEFT OVER DEBRIS FROM LAST WEEKS STORM COULD BECOME A 
  HAZARD DURING THIS NEW STORM... ESPECIALLY IF IT IS LIGHT 
  ENOUGH TO BECOME AIRBORNE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS
WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH OR GREATER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS. IF POSSIBLE... NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING IN OR
SECURE OUTDOOR ITEMS THAT COULD BE BLOWN AROUND IN THE STRONG
WINDS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. LIGHT-WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS SUCH AS PATIO
FURNITURE AND GARBAGE CANS SHOULD BE SECURED.

&&

$$

921 
WWUS71 KPHI 072342
NPWPHI

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
642 PM EST WED NOV 7 2012

DEZ003-004-NJZ013-014-020-022>027-081100-
/O.CAN.KPHI.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-121108T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WI.Y.0012.121107T2342Z-121108T1100Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...JACKSON...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST
642 PM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. THE HIGH
WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH.

* THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...ESPECIALLY FOR 
  THE AREAS THAT WERE HARDEST HIT BY THE STORM LAST WEEK.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH THE EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRUCTURES AND TREES WEAKENED BY THE STORM LAST WEEK 
  MAY BE FURTHER DAMAGED BY ANOTHER ROUND OF HIGH WINDS. THIS 
  CAN ALSO RESULT IN RENEWED POWER OUTAGES...PARTICULARLY IN 
  AREAS WHERE THE ELECTRICAL SYSTEM REMAINS IN A WEAKENED STATE. 
  DEBRIS FROM LAST WEEKS STORM COULD BECOME A HAZARD DURING THIS 
  NEW STORM...ESPECIALLY IF IT IS LIGHT ENOUGH TO BECOME 
  AIRBORNE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. LIGHT-WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS SUCH AS PATIO
FURNITURE AND GARBAGE CANS SHOULD BE SECURED.

&&

$$

DEZ001-002-NJZ012-015>019-021-080045-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-121108T1100Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CUMBERLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...NEW BRUNSWICK...
TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...
MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...MILLVILLE
642 PM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
WIND ADVISORY.

THE STORM HAS MOVED FURTHER EAST THAN EARLIER ANTICIPATED AND
WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO REACH ADVISORY CRITERIA ACROSS
THIS AREA.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1214 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER WESTERN NEW YORK STATE THIS MORNING WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...BEFORE MOVING INTO NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFF THE COAST OF THE
SOUTHEAST STATES TODAY WILL DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST...PASSING
EAST OF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY
MORNING. THE LOW THEN PASSES SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA LATER THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY
TO THE SOUTHEAST STATES FRIDAY WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND...BRINGING MILDER WEATHER.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO CONTROL OUR SENSIBLE WEATHER AS IT
CONTINUES TO ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. DECENT SUBSIDENCE INVERSION
WILL ALLOW FOR AMPLE SUNSHINE WITH A VERY DRY COLUMN. LIGHT
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL ENSUE BY LATER THIS MORNING AS THE HIGH
CENTERS ITSELF OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

WITH THE INVERSION IN PLACE NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF MIXING
SO THE WINDS SHOULD BE RELATIVELY LIGHT COMPARED TO MONDAY.
TEMPERATURE WISE WE SHOULD BE ABOUT AS WARM/COOL AS WE WERE ON
MONDAY, GIVEN THE ALMOST FULL SUNSHINE. IF WE WERE ABLE TO MIX A BIT
HIGHER THAN WHAT IS EXPECTED TODAY WE COULD CLIMB A FEW MORE
DEGREES...MID TO UPPER 40S ACROSS A MAJORITY OF THE REGION.

THIS AFTERNOONS UPDATE TO THE FORECAST REFLECT MINOR CHANGES WITH
SKY COVER AND TEMPERATURES. OVERALL INCREASED CLOUD COVER SOME
ACROSS THE SOUTH AND DECREASED TEMPERATURES A TOUCH FOR AREAS
NORTH AND WEST OF PHILLY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE MID-LEVEL
DISTURBANCE THAT WILL UNDERGO CYCLOGENESIS OFF THE NC COAST LATER
TODAY. THE SUPPORTING WAVE, WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY PHASE WITH THE SE
COAST WAVE, IS STILL ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AS A LARGE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE WEST.

AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AS THE LOW SLOWLY MOVES
TOWARDS THE NORTH AND DEEPENS A BIT. MODELS ARE SHOWING DECENT
FRONTOGENETIC FORCING IN THE MID-LEVELS THAT WE BRING CHANCE POPS IN
A FEW HOURS EARLIER THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. BY WEDNESDAY MORNING
OUR SOUTHERN ZONES SHOULD BE WARM ENOUGH FOR AN ALL RAIN EVENT BUT
THERE IS COLD AIR TO THE NORTH THAT MAY GET TRAPPED AGAINST THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS TO THE WEST...COLD AIR DAMMING. ALL DEPENDS ON THE
TIMING AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM TOMORROW MORNING.

WITH THE INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND WINDS OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE
SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER THAN THIS MORNING. A BLEND OF THE MET/MAVMOS
WORKED BEST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
DUE TO SURFACE LOW TRACK DIFFERENCES EARLY THIS MORNING...WE WILL BE
STANDING PAT ON THE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. PERHAPS THE BIGGEST CHANGE TO THE FORECAST WILL BE EXPANDING
THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH MASS FIELDS FOR WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE SHORT WAVE OVER SOUTHERN ALBERTA EARLY THIS
MORNING PHASES WITH THE CLOSING MID LEVEL SYSTEM OVER NORTHWEST
ALABAMA. THEY ARE SIMILAR WITH THE CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM WEDNESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...THERE ARE ENOUGH DIFFERENCES IN THE
WIND AND PRECIPITATION FIELDS TO RESULT IN A LOWER THAN AVERAGE
FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. BECAUSE OF THIS...THE HIGH
WIND WATCH WILL BE ALLOWED TO STAY IN PLACE WITH THE EARLY MORNING
FORECAST PACKAGE.

THE 0000 UTC MODEL SUITE IS...FOR THE MOST PART...FURTHER EAST WITH
THE SURFACE DEVELOPMENT AND THE STRONGEST WINDS FIELD (THE 0000 UTC
NAM IS THE EXCEPTION HERE). WITH THE CONSENSUS OF THE MODEL
SOLUTIONS NOW JUST A BIT FURTHER OFFSHORE...THE CORE OF THE
STRONGEST LOW LEVEL WINDS (UP THROUGH 925 MB) REMAINS JUST OFFSHORE
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND NORTHEAST OF THE AREA. THE CHANGE WOULD
IMPLY THAT THE STRONGEST WINDS WOULD REMAIN EAST OF THE AREA...WITH
THE HIGH WIND POTENTIAL A LITTLE LOWER (BASED ON THE 0000 UTC
OUTPUT).

MODEL SOUNDINGS FROM BOTH THE NAM AND GFS SHOWS THE LOWERED
POTENTIAL...AS THE DEPTH OF THE MIXED LAYER MAY NOT BE AS DEEP AS
EARLIER THOUGH. THIS WOULD BE PRIMARILY DUE TO THE COOLER AND
SHALLOWER BOUNDARY LAYER. HOWEVER...GIVEN THAT THE TRACK IS STILL
PROBABLY NOT SET...THERE IS STILL ENOUGH UNCERTAINTY TOP LET THE
HIGH WIND WATCH REMAIN IN PLACE.

DRY AIR IN PLACE SHOULD SLOW THE INTRODUCTION OF PRECIPITATION
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE SURFACE SYSTEM STARTS TO RESPOND TO THE
CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM. AS THE MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING
ROTATES BACK TOWARD THE WEST AROUND THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM...BANDS OF
PRECIPITATION SHOULD MOVE WEST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THE DRY AIR
IN PLACE SHOULD SLOW THE PROCESS...AND COULD EVEN STOP THE WESTWARD
PROGRESS IN THE LEHIGH VALLEY AND SOUTHERN POCONOS DURING THE MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON.

PRECIPITATION TYPE COULD END UP BEING MORE INTERESTING THAT PREVIOUS
FORECASTS. THE 0000 UTC UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS THE COLD AIR IN
ALREADY IN PLACE...AND DOES NOT REALLY MOVE OUT WITH THE APPROACH OF
THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM. THERE IS EVAPORATIVE COOLING IN PLACE DURING
THE EARLY PART OF THE PRECIPITATION...AND DYNAMIC COOLING BECOMES
IMPORTANT LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY EVENING.

THE BOUNDARY LAYER MAY END UP BEING TOO WARM FOR SNOW TO ACCUMULATE
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY OUTSIDE OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. DUE TO
EVAPORATIVE COOLING AND PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY...HIGHS WERE
GENERALLY 2 TO 4 DEGREES BELOW THE MOS BLEND.

THE MAIN PRECIPITATION TYPE PROBLEM COULD OCCUR WEDNESDAY EVENING.
DURING THAT TIME...DYNAMIC COOLING WILL BE AT IT PEAK...WITH
LOWERING HEIGHTS RESULTING IN AN OVERALL COOLER COLUMN. MOST MODELS
SHOWS THE BEST MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING SETTING UP ACROSS NEW
JERSEY DURING THE EVENING. THIS IMPLIES THE BEST CHANCE OF
BANDING...AND THE BEST VERTICAL VELOCITY FIELDS. MODEL SOUNDINGS
SHOW THE BEST DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONES ACROSS NEW JERSEY DURING THE
EVENING AS WELL.

ALL OF THIS ADDS UP TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING
SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY DURING WEDNESDAY
EVENING. THIS IS THE AREA WITH THE BEST OVERLAPPING MID LEVEL
FORCING AND DENDRITIC GROWTH. IF THIS WERE A MONTH LATER...THERE
WOULD BE POTENTIAL FOR ADVISORY LEVEL SNOWFALL. HOWEVER...THE
BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES AND GROUND TEMPERATURES MAKE FORECASTING
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS HERE PROBLEMATIC. RIGHT NOW...IT WOULD APPEAR
COLDER SURFACES WOULD HAVE A BETTER CHANCE TO SEE SOME
ACCUMULATIONS...WITH TRAVEL SURFACES TOO WARM FOR MUCH IN THE WAY OF
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION.

FOR NOW...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW IN THE
ABOVEMENTIONED AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BUT THERE IS STILL
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING AMOUNTS. LOWS WERE MAINLY BASED
ON THE MOS BLEND...AND DROPPED A TAD DUE TO THE COOL COLUMN.

MOS MODELS SHOW THE BEST PRESSURE GRADIENT AND AND STRONGEST 925 MB
WIND BETWEEN 0000 UTC AND 0600 UTC. AS MENTIONED EARLIER...MODELS
ARE STARTING TO HINT THAT THE BEST LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD MAY STAY
JUST OFFSHORE...BUT THERE IS TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY TO MAKE ANY
CHANGES TO THE HIGH WIND WATCH RIGHT NOW.

AS THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM TRUNDLES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY...THE
STEADIEST PRECIPITATION SHOULD END FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. THE
COLUMN MAY STILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION THURSDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER...WITH THE LOSS OF SIGNIFICANT UPWARD LIFT WITH THE
MID LEVEL SYSTEM...THE PRECIPITATION TYPE PROBLEMS PROBABLY SHIFT TO
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. DRIER AIR WILL TRY TO GET INTO THE REGION DURING
THE AFTERNOON...AND THIS MAY FINALLY ALLOW THE SHOWERS TO END
GRADUALLY DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN AREAS.

THE COLUMN GRADUALLY WARMS DURING THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BUT CLOUDS
AND PRECIPITATION IN THE MORNING SUGGEST THAT THERE WOULD NOT BE
MUCH IN THE WAY OF TEMPERATURE RECOVERY IN THE AFTERNOON. WITH THIS
IN MIND...HIGHS WERE GENERALLY BASED ON THE COLDER NAM MOS NUMBERS.

THE BEST GRADIENT SHOULD OCCUR IN THE MORNING HOURS...WITH WIND
GUSTS NEAR ADVISORY LEVELS STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN SECTION AS
WELL AS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE GRADIENT SLOWLY BACKS OFF IN
THE AFTERNOON...BUT THIS MAY END UP BEING MITIGATED BY DEEPER MIXED
LAYERS. IN ANY EVENT...THURSDAY AFTERNOON STILL LOOKS WINDY...BUT
GUSTS SHOULD DROP BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS ACROSS ALL AREAS.

DRYING SHOULD RETURN THURSDAY NIGHT...AS MID LEVEL HEIGHTS START TO
RISE IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY
INTO THE WEEKEND AS MID LEVEL HEIGHTS CONTINUE TO RISE...AND SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. THERE IS SOME
INDICATION THAT MOISTURE COULD TRY TO POOL ALONG A DEVELOPING
SURFACE WARM FRONT FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING...BUT
LITTLE CHANGE WAS MADE TO THE PART OF THE FORECAST.  850 MB
TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND SUGGEST HIGHS WELL INTO THE 60S...
WHICH WOULD 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS OUR TERMINALS FOR THIS TAF CYCLE.
SOME ALTOCU HAVE POPPED UP ACROSS ACY, MIV, AND INTO THE I-95
CORRIDOR TERMINALS AND HAVE MOVED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST. THERE
COULD BE A BROKEN DECK FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE IT GETS
SCATTERED OUT. LOOKS AS THOUGH THE TERMINALS OUTSIDE OF THE
LEHIGH VALLEY MAY GET A SCATTERED STRATOCU DECK TODAY DEPENDING IF
WE HIT THE CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURE...AGAIN VFR BASES.

AS THE HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES TO OUR EAST TODAY WE START TO PICK UP A
MORE NORTHEASTERLY WIND. EXPECT THE WINDS TO REMAIN LESS THAN 10
KNOTS THROUGH THE DAY. WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM OFF THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST LATER TODAY AND SLOWLY MOVE TOWARDS THE NORTH
TONIGHT. WE WILL START TO SEE THE INFLUENCE OF THIS SYSTEM LATER
TONIGHT WITH STRONGER NORTHEAST WINDS AND AN INCREASE IN CIRRUS
BLOW-OFF. RAIN MAY BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN TERMINALS AND THE WINDS INCREASE OUT OF THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST...GUSTS UPWARDS OF 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE. BASES COULD LOWER
TO MVFR BY LATE MORNING AS THE LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO NEAR AND
MORE RAIN MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY...VFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING...ESPECIALLY
NORTHWEST OF KMIV AND KACY. CONDITIONS SHOULD LOWER TO MVFR DURING
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FROM SOUTH TO NORTH...AND COULD REACH IFR BY
EVENING. NORTH WINDS COULD GUST TO 35 TO 40 KNOTS IN THE
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST OF KPHL.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THERE IS SOME MODEL SPREAD HERE...BUT MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM KPHL SOUTHEAST. FURTHER NORTHWEST...
MVFR CONDITIONS COULD GIVE WAY TO VFR CONDITIONS LATE. WINDS MAY
AGAIN BE THE BIG ISSUE...WITH NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING OVER
35 KNOTS.

THURSDAY...MVFR CONDITIONS IN THE MORNING SHOULD BECOME MVFR IN THE
AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS COULD GUST TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS...ESPECIALLY
IN THE MORNING.

FRIDAY...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

SATURDAY...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...
WE WILL HAVE ONE MORE DAY OF SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS ACROSS OUR
WATERS TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTROL THE REGION THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS BEFORE A COASTAL STORM MOVES UP FROM THE SOUTH LATE
TONIGHT. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BEGIN TO TIGHTEN AS THIS LOW
PRESSURE BUTTS UP AGAINST THE DEPARTING HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR
NORTHEAST. A STRONGER NORTHEAST WIND WILL KICK IN AND SEAS BEGIN TO
BUILD.

CURRENTLY THE STORM WATCH GOES INTO AFFECT FOR OUR WATERS WEDNESDAY
MORNING, BUT WE COULD BEGIN TO SEE GALE FORCE GUSTS LATE TONIGHT.
THE TIMING OF GALES WAS TO CLOSE TO THE STORM WATCH SO TO AVOID ANY
CONFUSION WE DECIDED TO JUST KEEP THE WATCH BY ITSELF.

OUTLOOK...
DUE TO UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARD TO STORM TRACK AND THE WESTWARD
EXTENT OF THE STRONGEST WINDS...WE WILL HOLD ONTO THE STORM WATCH
FOR THIS PACKAGE.

THE 0000 UTC MODEL CONSENSUS IS TO BRING THE SURFACE LOW A BIT
FURTHER EAST. THIS WOULD BRING THE STRONGEST WINDS ON THE WEST SIDE
OF THE LOW JUST TO THE COASTAL WATERS. THE BEST PRESSURE GRADIENT
SHOULD OCCUR BETWEEN 1800 UTC WEDNESDAY AND 0600 UTC THURSDAY. RIGHT
NOW...BASED ON THE GRADIENT AND MODEL SOUNDINGS OVER THE OCEAN
WATERS...WINDS MAY COME UP JUST SHORT OF STORM FORCE. THERE IS A
BETTER CHANCE OF STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN OCEAN WATERS
DURING THE ABOVEMENTIONED TIMES...WITH A LESSER CHANCE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN OCEAN WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY.

SINCE THE SURFACE LOW TRACK IS STILL IN QUESTION...THE PREFERENCE
HERE THIS MORNING IS TO HOLD ONTO THE STORM WATCH...RATHER THAN
CONVERT TO A STRONG GALE WARNING. THIS COURSE OF ACTION WILL ALLOW
LATER SHIFTS TO A CHANCE TO FOLLOW MODEL TRENDS...AND UPGRADE TO A
STORM WARNING IF THE MODEL CONSENSUS IS TO BRING THE SURFACE LOW
BACK FURTHER WEST.

IN ANY EVENT...THE GRADIENT ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW WOULD
SUGGEST ALL WATERS PROBABLY SEE A PERIOD OF GALE FORCE NORTHWEST
WINDS IN TO THURSDAY MORNING. BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BOTH THE
GRADIENT AND MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST WINDS DROP BACK TO A STRONG
SMALL CRAFT.

THE WAVEWATCH MODEL BACKED OFF CONCERNING SEAS ON THE OCEAN. THIS IS
NOT SURPRISING...AS THE 0000 UTC GFS (WHOSE WINDS DRIVE THE
WAVEWATCH MODEL) IS FURTHEST EAST WITH THE SURFACE LOW TRACK. THE
PREVIOUS SEAS FORECAST WAS MODULATED A BIT BY THE 0000 UTC WAVEWATCH
OUTPUT. HOWEVER...THE SEAS WERE NOT DROPPED AS MUCH AS THE WAVEWATCH
WOULD SUGGEST...AS THE FINAL SURFACE LOW TRACK IS STILL IN DOUBT.

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE EXITING LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING EAST
FROM THE OHIO VALLEY COULD SUPPORT SMALL CRAFT WINDS INTO THURSDAY
NIGHT AND POSSIBLY FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS ON THE OCEAN DURING THE TIME
SHOULD BE IN THE PROCESS OF SORTING OUT THE SWELL...AND 5 FOOT SEAS
COULD LAST INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LIMITS FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE WATERS. AFTER SEAS DROP
BELOW 5 FEET FRIDAY MORNING...SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
WE WILL STAND PAT WITH THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS PLACE...WITH THE
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING TIDE CYCLE THE MORE LIKELY HIGH TIDE CYCLE TO
EXPERIENCE MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING.

THE FIRST HIGH TIDE CYCLE OF CONCERN IS EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
WHILE NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE...THERE MAY NOT BE
ENOUGH TIME FOR THE TIDAL DEPARTURES TO REACH THOSE NEEDED FOR
MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING. MOST OCEANFRONT LOCATIONS WOULD NEED CLOSE
TO A 3 FOOT DEPARTURE TO GET TO THE MODERATE FLOODING BENCHMARK...
AND THE LATEST EXTRATROPICAL STORM SURGE VALUES ARE NOT THAT HIGH.
BECAUSE OF THE TIMING OF THE TIDE...WE WILL PASS ON UPGRADING TO A
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING AT THIS TIME.

THE NEXT HIGH TIDE CYCLE OF CONCERN OCCURS EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
ASTRONOMICAL TIDES DURING THIS TIDE CYCLE IS ABOUT ONE-HALF FOOT
LOWER THAN THOSE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. BECAUSE OF THIS...MOST PLACES
WOULD NEED TO SEE DEPARTURES BETWEEN THREE AND THREE AND ONE-HALF
FEET FOR MODERATE FLOODING. AGAIN...THE LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WE
MAY NOT SEE DEPARTURES THIS HIGH. BECAUSE THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE IS
STILL ABOUT 48 HOURS AWAY...WE WILL FORGO A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING
FOR THIS TIDE CYCLE AS WELL.

MOST OF THE AVAILABLE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE UPPER DELAWARE BAY
AND TIDAL PORTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER WILL NOT REACH COASTAL FLOOD
WARNING TIDES...AND THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS MORE LIKELY HERE.
SINCE THE TIDE CYCLE IS MORE THAN 24 HOURS AWAY...WE WILL NOT ISSUE
ANY PRODUCTS FOR THIS TIDE CYCLE THIS MORNING. THE THURSDAY MORNING
HIGH TIDE CYCLE APPEARS AS THOUGH IT WILL COME IN UNDER THE MODERATE
COASTAL FLOODING BENCHMARK...AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND
SURFACE PRESSURE RISES. TRENDS ON THIS TIDE WILL BE FOLLOWED.

FINALLY...THE WIND DIRECTION IS NOT FAVORABLE FOR MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING ON THE CHESAPEAKE DURING EITHER HIGH TIDE CYCLE OF
INTEREST. CBOFS SUGGESTS THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE. THIS IS MORE IN LINE WITH THE TYPICAL
MAGNITUDE OF TIDAL FLOODING WITH THE EXPECTED STORM TRACK.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR PAZ067>071.
NJ...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR NJZ008>010-012>027.
     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR NJZ012>014-020>027.
DE...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR DEZ001>004.
     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR DEZ002>004.
MD...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR MDZ008-012-015-019-020.
MARINE...STORM WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
     FOR ANZ430-431-450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HAYES
NEAR TERM...GAINES/HEAVENER
SHORT TERM...HEAVENER
LONG TERM...HAYES
AVIATION...HAYES/HEAVENER
MARINE...HAYES/HEAVENER
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
335 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

NJZ001-007-PAZ054-055-060>062-070845-
SUSSEX-WARREN-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
335 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A STRONG COASTAL SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER TERRAIN SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED
WITH THE SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ008>010-015>019-PAZ067>071-070845-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MORRIS-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
335 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WATCH.

IN ADDITION...SNOW IS POSSIBLE DURING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IT IS TOO
EARLY TO DETERMINE IF ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE DURING THIS
TIME FRAME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-070845-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
335 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW JERSEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-070845-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
335 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.