Alert archive / New Jersey / Coastal Flood Warnings in 2012

Coastal Flood Warning 5, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

November 6, 20127 counties in New Jersey; Kent County, Sussex County, Delaware

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this coastal flood warning at Nov 6, 2012, 2:52 PM EST for 7 counties in New Jersey; Kent County, Sussex County, Delaware. It took effect at Nov 7, 2012, 11:00 AM EST. It was in force for 20 hr. 9 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Nov 6, 2012, 2:52 PM EST (19:52 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 7, 2012, 11:00 AM EST
Expired
Nov 8, 2012, 6:32 AM EST
In force
20 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Counties Kent County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Nov 7, 9:00 PM ESTFLOODBeachwood, NJFLOODING CLOSED ROUTE 166 SOUTH AT ROUTE 9.
Nov 7, 9:00 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGBayville, NJSOME TREES DOWN DUE TO SNOW.
Nov 7, 9:00 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGEatontown, NJWIRES DOWN ON ROUTE 36 NEAR ROUTE 35 DUE TO SNOW. ALL LANES CLOSED.
Nov 7, 9:00 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGFreehold Twp, NJDOWNED TREE ON THE ROUTE 33 EAST RAMP TO COUNTY ROAD 537.
Nov 7, 9:00 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGJackson Twp, NJDOWNED TREES... POLES AND WIRES. ESSENTIAL DRIVING ONLY BECAUSE OF DOWNED TREES AND WIRES IN JACKSON.
Nov 7, 9:00 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGMarlboro, NJDOWNED TREE ON ROUTE 18 NORTH NEAR ROUTE 79.
Nov 7, 9:00 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGNeptune Twp, NJDOWNED TREE ON ROUTE 18 NORTH NEAR EXIT 10. DOWNED TREE ON ROUTE 33 WEST NEAR ROUTE 18.
Nov 7, 9:30 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGColts Neck, NJTREES DOWN.
Nov 7, 9:30 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGJackson Twp, NJTREES DOWN.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD at 12:00Z on 2012-11-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD at 12:00Z on 2012-11-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 26 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1237 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
26 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

181 
WHUS41 KPHI 061952
CFWPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
252 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...A STRONG COASTAL STORM IS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BE LOCATED OFF THE
DELMARVA PENINSULA ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE NORTHWARD TO THE WATERS OFF NEW JERSEY AND LONG ISLAND ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO PULL AWAY TO THE
NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY.

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-071200-
/O.UPG.KPHI.CF.A.0002.121107T1600Z-121108T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.W.0005.121107T1600Z-121108T1300Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
252 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO 8 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING. IT IS IN EFFECT FROM 1100 AM WEDNESDAY UNTIL 800 AM
THURSDAY.

* LOCATION...COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE AND ALONG
  DELAWARE BAY.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MODERATE FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED AROUND THE
  TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WATER
  LEVELS MAY NOT RECEDE MUCH BETWEEN THE TWO HIGH TIDES.

* AT SANDY HOOK, NEW JERSEY (SANDY HOOK BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  118 PM WEDNESDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 212 AM THURSDAY,
  WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
  WATER.

* AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  1248 PM WEDNESDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 142 AM THURSDAY,
  WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
  WATER.

* AT ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  101 PM WEDNESDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 157 AM THURSDAY, WITH
  A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 135 PM
  WEDNESDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 231 AM THURSDAY, WITH
  A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT BREAKWATER HARBOR, DELAWARE (DELAWARE BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS
  AT 221 PM WEDNESDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 302 AM THURSDAY,
  WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER
  LOW WATER.

* AT REHOBOTH BEACH, DELAWARE (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  133 PM WEDNESDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 207 AM THURSDAY, WITH
  A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
  WATER.

* HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS, ALONG DELAWARE BAY AND ALONG
  RARITAN BAY OCCURS LATER THAN THE HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT.

* SEAS...WAVE HEIGHTS IN THE SURF ZONE ALONG THE COAST ARE
  EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE 6 TO 10 FOOT RANGE. WAVE HEIGHTS ON
  DELAWARE BAY SHOULD BE IN THE 2 TO 6 FOOT RANGE.

* IMPACTS...NUMEROUS ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD AND ADDITIONAL MINOR TO
  MODERATE PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. THE ELEVATED TIDES WILL
  HAVE A NEGATIVE IMPACT ON RECOVERY EFFORTS. THE TIDES AND THE
  WAVE ACTION WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH
  EROSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS COASTAL FLOOD WARNING INDICATES THAT MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING
IS IMMINENT. BE PREPARED FOR RISING WATER LEVELS AND TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. FOLLOW THE
RECOMMENDATIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING YOURSELF IN DANGER
AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED, LEADING TO COSTLY REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR
COUNTY, PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN LOWER
CASE).

&&

$$

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-071200-
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0023.121107T2100Z-121108T1500Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
252 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM WEDNESDAY TO 10 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY. IT IS IN EFFECT FROM 400 PM WEDNESDAY UNTIL 1000
AM THURSDAY.

* LOCATION...THE TIDAL PORTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER AND ITS
  TIDAL TRIBUTARIES.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED AROUND THE
  TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY
  EVENING AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE WORKS ITS WAY UP THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER
  BETWEEN ABOUT 400 PM AND 900 PM ON WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN BETWEEN
  AROUND 500 AM AND 1000 AM ON THURSDAY.

* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED ROADWAY FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS
ANTICIPATED. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING OFTEN RESULTS IN SOME ROAD
CLOSURES. USUALLY, THE MOST VULNERABLE ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD.

DO NOT LEAVE YOUR VEHICLE AT A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL
FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING
YOURSELF IN DANGER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED, LEADING TO
COSTLY REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR COUNTY
PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN LOWER CASE).

&&

$$

IOVINO
6 follow-up statements
619 
WHUS41 KPHI 070826
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
326 AM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...A STRONG COASTAL STORM IS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE EAST OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST EARLY
THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH TO A POSITION OFF THE NEW
JERSEY COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STORM WILL PULL AWAY
FROM THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-072200-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0005.121107T1600Z-121108T1300Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
326 AM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS
MORNING TO 8 AM EST THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE AND ALONG 
  DELAWARE BAY.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MODERATE FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED AROUND THE
  TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TODAY AND TONIGHT. WATER LEVELS MAY NOT
  RECEDE MUCH BETWEEN THE TWO HIGH TIDES.

* AT SANDY HOOK... NEW JERSEY (SANDY HOOK BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  118 PM...WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 212 AM THURSDAY...
  WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
  WATER.

* AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS... NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS
  AT 1248 PM...WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 142 AM THURSDAY...
  WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
  WATER.

* AT ATLANTIC CITY... NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  101 PM...WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN
  LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 157 AM THURSDAY... WITH A
  FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT CAPE MAY... NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 135
  PM...WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN
  LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 231 AM THURSDAY... WITH A
  FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT BREAKWATER HARBOR... DELAWARE (DELAWARE BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS
  AT 221 PM... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 302 AM THURSDAY...
  WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER
  LOW WATER.

* AT REHOBOTH BEACH... DELAWARE (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  133 PM...WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN
  LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 207 AM THURSDAY...WITH A
  FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
  WATER.

* HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS...ALONG DELAWARE BAY AND ALONG
  RARITAN BAY OCCURS LATER THAN THE HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT.

* SEAS...WAVE HEIGHTS IN THE SURF ZONE ALONG THE COAST ARE 
  EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE 6 TO 10 FOOT RANGE. WAVE HEIGHTS ON 
  DELAWARE BAY SHOULD BE IN THE 2 TO 6 FOOT RANGE.

* IMPACTS...NUMEROUS ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD AND ADDITIONAL MINOR TO 
  MODERATE PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. THE ELEVATED TIDES WILL 
  HAVE A NEGATIVE IMPACT ON RECOVERY EFFORTS. THE TIDES AND THE 
  WAVE ACTION WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH 
  EROSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS COASTAL FLOOD WARNING INDICATES THAT MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING
IS IMMINENT. BE PREPARED FOR RISING WATER LEVELS AND TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. FOLLOW THE
RECOMMENDATIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING YOURSELF IN
DANGER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED... LEADING TO COSTLY
REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR
COUNTY... PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN
LOWER CASE).

&&

$$

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-072200-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0023.121107T2100Z-121108T1500Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
326 AM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE TIDAL PORTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER AND ITS 
  TIDAL TRIBUTARIES.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED AROUND THE
  TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
  AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE WORKS ITS WAY UP THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER
  BETWEEN ABOUT 400 PM AND 900 PM AND AGAIN BETWEEN AROUND 500 AM
  AND 1000 AM ON THURSDAY.

* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED ROADWAY FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS
ANTICIPATED. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING OFTEN RESULTS IN SOME ROAD
CLOSURES. USUALLY... THE MOST VULNERABLE ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD.

DO NOT LEAVE YOUR VEHICLE AT A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL
FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING
YOURSELF IN DANGER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED... LEADING TO
COSTLY REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR COUNTY
PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN LOWER CASE).

&&

$$
408 
WHUS41 KPHI 071704
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1204 PM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...A STRONG COASTAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT OUR REGION TODAY
AND TONIGHT...

.STRONG LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED WELL OFF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA
AROUND MIDDAY. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT TO THE NORTH
NORTHEAST REACHING THE WATERS OFF NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY.

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-080100-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-121108T1300Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
1204 PM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE AND ALONG
  DELAWARE BAY.

* COASTAL FLOODING...WIDESPREAD MINOR FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED
  AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE THIS AFTERNOON. MODERATE FLOODING
  IS EXPECTED AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT. WATER LEVELS
  MAY NOT RECEDE MUCH BETWEEN THE TWO HIGH TIDES.

* AT SANDY HOOK, NEW JERSEY (SANDY HOOK BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  118 PM, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 212 AM THURSDAY, WITH
  A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  1248 PM, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 6.5 TO 7.0 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 142 AM THURSDAY, WITH
  A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  101 PM, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 6.5 TO 7.0 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 157 AM THURSDAY, WITH
  A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 135 PM,
  WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
  WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 231 AM THURSDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE
  LEVEL NEAR 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT BREAKWATER HARBOR, DELAWARE (DELAWARE BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS
  AT 221 PM, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 6.5 TO 7.0 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 302 AM THURSDAY, WITH
  A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
  WATER.

* AT REHOBOTH BEACH, DELAWARE (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 133
  PM, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 6.5 TO 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN
  LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 207 AM THURSDAY, WITH A
  FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
  WATER.

* HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS, ALONG DELAWARE BAY AND ALONG
  RARITAN BAY OCCURS LATER THAN THE HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT.

* SEAS...WAVE HEIGHTS IN THE SURF ZONE ALONG THE COAST ARE
  EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE 6 TO 10 FOOT RANGE. WAVE HEIGHTS ON
  DELAWARE BAY SHOULD BE IN THE 2 TO 6 FOOT RANGE.

* IMPACTS...NUMEROUS ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD AND ADDITIONAL MINOR TO
  MODERATE PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY AROUND THE TIME
  OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT. THE ELEVATED TIDES WILL HAVE A NEGATIVE
  IMPACT ON RECOVERY EFFORTS. THE TIDES AND THE WAVE ACTION WILL
  RESULT IN ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS COASTAL FLOOD WARNING INDICATES THAT MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING
IS EXPECTED. BE PREPARED FOR RISING WATER LEVELS AND TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. FOLLOW THE
RECOMMENDATIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING YOURSELF IN
DANGER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED, LEADING TO COSTLY REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR
COUNTY, PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN LOWER
CASE).

&&

$$

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-080100-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0023.121107T2100Z-121108T1500Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
1204 PM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE TIDAL PORTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER AND ITS
  TIDAL TRIBUTARIES.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED AROUND THE
  TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
  AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE WORKS ITS WAY UP THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER
  BETWEEN ABOUT 400 PM AND 900 PM TODAY AND AGAIN BETWEEN AROUND
  500 AM AND 1000 AM ON THURSDAY.

* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED ROADWAY FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS
ANTICIPATED. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING OFTEN RESULTS IN SOME ROAD
CLOSURES. USUALLY, THE MOST VULNERABLE ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD.

DO NOT LEAVE YOUR VEHICLE AT A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL
FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING
YOURSELF IN DANGER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED, LEADING TO
COSTLY REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR COUNTY
PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN LOWER CASE).

&&

$$

IOVINO
375 
WHUS41 KPHI 072025
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
325 PM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...A STRONG COASTAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT OUR REGION INTO
TONIGHT...

.STRONG LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED WELL OFF THE DELAWARE COAST THIS
AFTERNOON. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST
REACHING THE WATERS OFF NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY.

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-080500-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-121108T1300Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
325 PM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE AND ALONG
  DELAWARE BAY.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR FLOODING OCCURRED AROUND THE TIME OF
  HIGH TIDE THIS AFTERNOON. MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND
  THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT. WATER LEVELS MAY NOT RECEDE MUCH
  BETWEEN THE TWO HIGH TIDES.

* AT SANDY HOOK, NEW JERSEY (SANDY HOOK BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  212 AM THURSDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  142 AM THURSDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  157 AM THURSDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 231 AM
  THURSDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN
  LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT BREAKWATER HARBOR, DELAWARE (DELAWARE BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS
  AT 302 AM THURSDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5
  FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT REHOBOTH BEACH, DELAWARE (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 207
  AM THURSDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS, ALONG DELAWARE BAY AND ALONG
  RARITAN BAY OCCURS LATER THAN THE HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT.

* SEAS...WAVE HEIGHTS IN THE SURF ZONE ALONG THE COAST ARE
  EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE 6 TO 10 FOOT RANGE. WAVE HEIGHTS ON
  DELAWARE BAY SHOULD BE IN THE 2 TO 6 FOOT RANGE.

* IMPACTS...NUMEROUS ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD AND ADDITIONAL MINOR TO
  MODERATE PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. THE ELEVATED TIDES WILL
  HAVE A NEGATIVE IMPACT ON RECOVERY EFFORTS. THE TIDES AND THE
  WAVE ACTION WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH
  EROSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS COASTAL FLOOD WARNING INDICATES THAT MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING
IS EXPECTED. BE PREPARED FOR RISING WATER LEVELS AND TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. FOLLOW THE
RECOMMENDATIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING YOURSELF IN
DANGER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED, LEADING TO COSTLY
REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR
COUNTY, PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN LOWER
CASE).

&&

$$

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-080500-
/O.EXT.KPHI.CF.Y.0023.121108T1000Z-121108T1500Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
325 PM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 10 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE TIDAL PORTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER AND ITS
  TIDAL TRIBUTARIES.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED AROUND THE
  TIME OF HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE WORKS ITS WAY UP THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER
  BETWEEN ABOUT 500 AM AND 1000 AM ON THURSDAY.

* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED ROADWAY FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS
ANTICIPATED. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING OFTEN RESULTS IN SOME ROAD
CLOSURES. USUALLY, THE MOST VULNERABLE ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD.

DO NOT LEAVE YOUR VEHICLE AT A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL
FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING
YOURSELF IN DANGER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED, LEADING TO
COSTLY REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR COUNTY
PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN LOWER CASE).

&&

$$

IOVINO
642 
WHUS41 KPHI 080112
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
812 PM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...A STRONG COASTAL STORM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR REGION
TONIGHT...

.STRONG LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED WELL OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST
THIS EVENING. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT TO THE NORTH
NORTHEAST REACHING THE WATERS OFF NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY.

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-081300-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-121108T1300Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
812 PM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE AND ALONG
  DELAWARE BAY.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND THE TIME
  OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT.

* AT SANDY HOOK, NEW JERSEY (SANDY HOOK BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  212 AM THURSDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  142 AM THURSDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  157 AM THURSDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 231 AM
  THURSDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN
  LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT BREAKWATER HARBOR, DELAWARE (DELAWARE BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS
  AT 302 AM THURSDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5
  FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT REHOBOTH BEACH, DELAWARE (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 207
  AM THURSDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS... ALONG DELAWARE BAY AND ALONG
  RARITAN BAY OCCURS LATER THAN THE HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT.

* SEAS...WAVE HEIGHTS IN THE SURF ZONE ALONG THE COAST ARE
  EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 10 FOOT RANGE. WAVE HEIGHTS ON
  DELAWARE BAY SHOULD BE IN THE 2 TO 6 FOOT RANGE.

* IMPACTS...NUMEROUS ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD AND ADDITIONAL MINOR TO
  MODERATE PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. THE ELEVATED TIDES WILL
  HAVE A NEGATIVE IMPACT ON RECOVERY EFFORTS. THE TIDES AND THE
  WAVE ACTION WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH
  EROSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS COASTAL FLOOD WARNING INDICATES THAT MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING
IS EXPECTED. BE PREPARED FOR RISING WATER LEVELS AND TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. FOLLOW THE
RECOMMENDATIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING YOURSELF IN
DANGER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED, LEADING TO COSTLY
REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR
COUNTY, PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN LOWER
CASE).

&&

$$

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-081500-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0023.121108T1000Z-121108T1500Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
812 PM EST WED NOV 7 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 10 AM
EST THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE TIDAL PORTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER AND ITS
  TIDAL TRIBUTARIES.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED AROUND THE
  TIME OF HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE WORKS ITS WAY UP THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER
  BETWEEN ABOUT 500 AM AND 1000 AM ON THURSDAY.

* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED ROADWAY FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS
ANTICIPATED. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING OFTEN RESULTS IN SOME ROAD
CLOSURES. USUALLY, THE MOST VULNERABLE ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD.

DO NOT LEAVE YOUR VEHICLE AT A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL
FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING
YOURSELF IN DANGER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED, LEADING TO
COSTLY REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR
COUNTY, PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN LOWER
CASE).

&&

$$

IOVINO
265 
WHUS41 KPHI 080813
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
313 AM EST THU NOV 8 2012

...A STRONG COASTAL STORM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT OUR REGION
EARLY THIS MORNING...

.STRONG LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR NANTUCKET ISLAND WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST TODAY.

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-081300-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-121108T1300Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
313 AM EST THU NOV 8 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATION...COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE AND ALONG 
  DELAWARE BAY.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND THE 
  TIME OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT.

* HIGH TIDE HAS OCCURRED OR IS OCCURRING ON THE OCEAN FRONT. MOST
  LOCATIONS WILL EXPERIENCE MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE TIDAL
  FLOODING EARLY THIS MORNING.

* HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS... ALONG DELAWARE BAY AND ALONG 
  RARITAN BAY OCCURS LATER THAN THE HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT.

* SEAS...WAVE HEIGHTS IN THE SURF ZONE ALONG THE COAST ARE 
  EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6 TO 10 FOOT RANGE. WAVE HEIGHTS ON 
  DELAWARE BAY SHOULD BE IN THE 2 TO 6 FOOT RANGE.

* IMPACTS...NUMEROUS ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD AND ADDITIONAL MINOR TO 
  MODERATE PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. THE ELEVATED TIDES WILL 
  HAVE A NEGATIVE IMPACT ON RECOVERY EFFORTS. THE TIDES AND THE 
  WAVE ACTION WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH 
  EROSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS COASTAL FLOOD WARNING INDICATES THAT MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING
IS EXPECTED. BE PREPARED FOR RISING WATER LEVELS AND TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. FOLLOW THE
RECOMMENDATIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING YOURSELF IN
DANGER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED... LEADING TO COSTLY
REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR
COUNTY... PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN
LOWER CASE).

&&

$$

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-081500-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0023.121108T1000Z-121108T1500Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
313 AM EST THU NOV 8 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATION...THE TIDAL PORTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER AND ITS 
  TIDAL TRIBUTARIES.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED AROUND THE TIME
  OF HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE WORKS ITS WAY UP THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER
  BETWEEN ABOUT 500 AM AND 1000 AM THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED ROADWAY FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS
ANTICIPATED. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING OFTEN RESULTS IN SOME ROAD
CLOSURES. USUALLY... THE MOST VULNERABLE ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD.

DO NOT LEAVE YOUR VEHICLE AT A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL
FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING
YOURSELF IN DANGER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED... LEADING TO
COSTLY REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR
COUNTY... PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN
LOWER CASE).

&&

$$
677 
WHUS41 KPHI 081132
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
632 AM EST THU NOV 8 2012

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-081245-
/O.CAN.KPHI.CF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-121108T1300Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
632 AM EST THU NOV 8 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE HAS PASSED...AND ALL LOCATIONS ARE BELOW FLOOD
LEVELS. THUS...THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-081500-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-121108T1500Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
632 AM EST THU NOV 8 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATION...THE TIDAL PORTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER AND ITS 
  TIDAL TRIBUTARIES.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED AROUND THE 
  TIME OF HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE WORKS ITS WAY UP THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER
  BETWEEN ABOUT 600 AM AND 1000 AM THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED ROADWAY FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS
ANTICIPATED. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING OFTEN RESULTS IN SOME ROAD
CLOSURES. USUALLY... THE MOST VULNERABLE ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD.

DO NOT LEAVE YOUR VEHICLE AT A LOCATION THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL
FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING
YOURSELF IN DANGER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED... LEADING TO
COSTLY REPAIRS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR
COUNTY... PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN
LOWER CASE).

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this coastal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood warning went out at Nov 6, 12:14 PM EST, 2 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 6, 12:14 PM EST, 2 hours 38 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1214 PM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER WESTERN NEW YORK STATE THIS MORNING WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...BEFORE MOVING INTO NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFF THE COAST OF THE
SOUTHEAST STATES TODAY WILL DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST...PASSING
EAST OF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY
MORNING. THE LOW THEN PASSES SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA LATER THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY
TO THE SOUTHEAST STATES FRIDAY WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND...BRINGING MILDER WEATHER.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO CONTROL OUR SENSIBLE WEATHER AS IT
CONTINUES TO ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. DECENT SUBSIDENCE INVERSION
WILL ALLOW FOR AMPLE SUNSHINE WITH A VERY DRY COLUMN. LIGHT
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL ENSUE BY LATER THIS MORNING AS THE HIGH
CENTERS ITSELF OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

WITH THE INVERSION IN PLACE NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF MIXING
SO THE WINDS SHOULD BE RELATIVELY LIGHT COMPARED TO MONDAY.
TEMPERATURE WISE WE SHOULD BE ABOUT AS WARM/COOL AS WE WERE ON
MONDAY, GIVEN THE ALMOST FULL SUNSHINE. IF WE WERE ABLE TO MIX A BIT
HIGHER THAN WHAT IS EXPECTED TODAY WE COULD CLIMB A FEW MORE
DEGREES...MID TO UPPER 40S ACROSS A MAJORITY OF THE REGION.

THIS AFTERNOONS UPDATE TO THE FORECAST REFLECT MINOR CHANGES WITH
SKY COVER AND TEMPERATURES. OVERALL INCREASED CLOUD COVER SOME
ACROSS THE SOUTH AND DECREASED TEMPERATURES A TOUCH FOR AREAS
NORTH AND WEST OF PHILLY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE MID-LEVEL
DISTURBANCE THAT WILL UNDERGO CYCLOGENESIS OFF THE NC COAST LATER
TODAY. THE SUPPORTING WAVE, WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY PHASE WITH THE SE
COAST WAVE, IS STILL ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AS A LARGE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE WEST.

AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AS THE LOW SLOWLY MOVES
TOWARDS THE NORTH AND DEEPENS A BIT. MODELS ARE SHOWING DECENT
FRONTOGENETIC FORCING IN THE MID-LEVELS THAT WE BRING CHANCE POPS IN
A FEW HOURS EARLIER THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. BY WEDNESDAY MORNING
OUR SOUTHERN ZONES SHOULD BE WARM ENOUGH FOR AN ALL RAIN EVENT BUT
THERE IS COLD AIR TO THE NORTH THAT MAY GET TRAPPED AGAINST THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS TO THE WEST...COLD AIR DAMMING. ALL DEPENDS ON THE
TIMING AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM TOMORROW MORNING.

WITH THE INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND WINDS OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE
SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER THAN THIS MORNING. A BLEND OF THE MET/MAVMOS
WORKED BEST.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
DUE TO SURFACE LOW TRACK DIFFERENCES EARLY THIS MORNING...WE WILL BE
STANDING PAT ON THE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. PERHAPS THE BIGGEST CHANGE TO THE FORECAST WILL BE EXPANDING
THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH MASS FIELDS FOR WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE SHORT WAVE OVER SOUTHERN ALBERTA EARLY THIS
MORNING PHASES WITH THE CLOSING MID LEVEL SYSTEM OVER NORTHWEST
ALABAMA. THEY ARE SIMILAR WITH THE CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM WEDNESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...THERE ARE ENOUGH DIFFERENCES IN THE
WIND AND PRECIPITATION FIELDS TO RESULT IN A LOWER THAN AVERAGE
FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. BECAUSE OF THIS...THE HIGH
WIND WATCH WILL BE ALLOWED TO STAY IN PLACE WITH THE EARLY MORNING
FORECAST PACKAGE.

THE 0000 UTC MODEL SUITE IS...FOR THE MOST PART...FURTHER EAST WITH
THE SURFACE DEVELOPMENT AND THE STRONGEST WINDS FIELD (THE 0000 UTC
NAM IS THE EXCEPTION HERE). WITH THE CONSENSUS OF THE MODEL
SOLUTIONS NOW JUST A BIT FURTHER OFFSHORE...THE CORE OF THE
STRONGEST LOW LEVEL WINDS (UP THROUGH 925 MB) REMAINS JUST OFFSHORE
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND NORTHEAST OF THE AREA. THE CHANGE WOULD
IMPLY THAT THE STRONGEST WINDS WOULD REMAIN EAST OF THE AREA...WITH
THE HIGH WIND POTENTIAL A LITTLE LOWER (BASED ON THE 0000 UTC
OUTPUT).

MODEL SOUNDINGS FROM BOTH THE NAM AND GFS SHOWS THE LOWERED
POTENTIAL...AS THE DEPTH OF THE MIXED LAYER MAY NOT BE AS DEEP AS
EARLIER THOUGH. THIS WOULD BE PRIMARILY DUE TO THE COOLER AND
SHALLOWER BOUNDARY LAYER. HOWEVER...GIVEN THAT THE TRACK IS STILL
PROBABLY NOT SET...THERE IS STILL ENOUGH UNCERTAINTY TOP LET THE
HIGH WIND WATCH REMAIN IN PLACE.

DRY AIR IN PLACE SHOULD SLOW THE INTRODUCTION OF PRECIPITATION
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE SURFACE SYSTEM STARTS TO RESPOND TO THE
CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM. AS THE MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING
ROTATES BACK TOWARD THE WEST AROUND THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM...BANDS OF
PRECIPITATION SHOULD MOVE WEST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THE DRY AIR
IN PLACE SHOULD SLOW THE PROCESS...AND COULD EVEN STOP THE WESTWARD
PROGRESS IN THE LEHIGH VALLEY AND SOUTHERN POCONOS DURING THE MID TO
LATE AFTERNOON.

PRECIPITATION TYPE COULD END UP BEING MORE INTERESTING THAT PREVIOUS
FORECASTS. THE 0000 UTC UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS THE COLD AIR IN
ALREADY IN PLACE...AND DOES NOT REALLY MOVE OUT WITH THE APPROACH OF
THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM. THERE IS EVAPORATIVE COOLING IN PLACE DURING
THE EARLY PART OF THE PRECIPITATION...AND DYNAMIC COOLING BECOMES
IMPORTANT LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY EVENING.

THE BOUNDARY LAYER MAY END UP BEING TOO WARM FOR SNOW TO ACCUMULATE
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY OUTSIDE OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. DUE TO
EVAPORATIVE COOLING AND PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY...HIGHS WERE
GENERALLY 2 TO 4 DEGREES BELOW THE MOS BLEND.

THE MAIN PRECIPITATION TYPE PROBLEM COULD OCCUR WEDNESDAY EVENING.
DURING THAT TIME...DYNAMIC COOLING WILL BE AT IT PEAK...WITH
LOWERING HEIGHTS RESULTING IN AN OVERALL COOLER COLUMN. MOST MODELS
SHOWS THE BEST MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING SETTING UP ACROSS NEW
JERSEY DURING THE EVENING. THIS IMPLIES THE BEST CHANCE OF
BANDING...AND THE BEST VERTICAL VELOCITY FIELDS. MODEL SOUNDINGS
SHOW THE BEST DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONES ACROSS NEW JERSEY DURING THE
EVENING AS WELL.

ALL OF THIS ADDS UP TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING
SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY DURING WEDNESDAY
EVENING. THIS IS THE AREA WITH THE BEST OVERLAPPING MID LEVEL
FORCING AND DENDRITIC GROWTH. IF THIS WERE A MONTH LATER...THERE
WOULD BE POTENTIAL FOR ADVISORY LEVEL SNOWFALL. HOWEVER...THE
BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES AND GROUND TEMPERATURES MAKE FORECASTING
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS HERE PROBLEMATIC. RIGHT NOW...IT WOULD APPEAR
COLDER SURFACES WOULD HAVE A BETTER CHANCE TO SEE SOME
ACCUMULATIONS...WITH TRAVEL SURFACES TOO WARM FOR MUCH IN THE WAY OF
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION.

FOR NOW...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW IN THE
ABOVEMENTIONED AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BUT THERE IS STILL
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING AMOUNTS. LOWS WERE MAINLY BASED
ON THE MOS BLEND...AND DROPPED A TAD DUE TO THE COOL COLUMN.

MOS MODELS SHOW THE BEST PRESSURE GRADIENT AND AND STRONGEST 925 MB
WIND BETWEEN 0000 UTC AND 0600 UTC. AS MENTIONED EARLIER...MODELS
ARE STARTING TO HINT THAT THE BEST LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD MAY STAY
JUST OFFSHORE...BUT THERE IS TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY TO MAKE ANY
CHANGES TO THE HIGH WIND WATCH RIGHT NOW.

AS THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM TRUNDLES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY...THE
STEADIEST PRECIPITATION SHOULD END FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. THE
COLUMN MAY STILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION THURSDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER...WITH THE LOSS OF SIGNIFICANT UPWARD LIFT WITH THE
MID LEVEL SYSTEM...THE PRECIPITATION TYPE PROBLEMS PROBABLY SHIFT TO
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. DRIER AIR WILL TRY TO GET INTO THE REGION DURING
THE AFTERNOON...AND THIS MAY FINALLY ALLOW THE SHOWERS TO END
GRADUALLY DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN AREAS.

THE COLUMN GRADUALLY WARMS DURING THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BUT CLOUDS
AND PRECIPITATION IN THE MORNING SUGGEST THAT THERE WOULD NOT BE
MUCH IN THE WAY OF TEMPERATURE RECOVERY IN THE AFTERNOON. WITH THIS
IN MIND...HIGHS WERE GENERALLY BASED ON THE COLDER NAM MOS NUMBERS.

THE BEST GRADIENT SHOULD OCCUR IN THE MORNING HOURS...WITH WIND
GUSTS NEAR ADVISORY LEVELS STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN SECTION AS
WELL AS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE GRADIENT SLOWLY BACKS OFF IN
THE AFTERNOON...BUT THIS MAY END UP BEING MITIGATED BY DEEPER MIXED
LAYERS. IN ANY EVENT...THURSDAY AFTERNOON STILL LOOKS WINDY...BUT
GUSTS SHOULD DROP BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS ACROSS ALL AREAS.

DRYING SHOULD RETURN THURSDAY NIGHT...AS MID LEVEL HEIGHTS START TO
RISE IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY
INTO THE WEEKEND AS MID LEVEL HEIGHTS CONTINUE TO RISE...AND SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. THERE IS SOME
INDICATION THAT MOISTURE COULD TRY TO POOL ALONG A DEVELOPING
SURFACE WARM FRONT FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING...BUT
LITTLE CHANGE WAS MADE TO THE PART OF THE FORECAST.  850 MB
TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND SUGGEST HIGHS WELL INTO THE 60S...
WHICH WOULD 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS OUR TERMINALS FOR THIS TAF CYCLE.
SOME ALTOCU HAVE POPPED UP ACROSS ACY, MIV, AND INTO THE I-95
CORRIDOR TERMINALS AND HAVE MOVED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST. THERE
COULD BE A BROKEN DECK FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE IT GETS
SCATTERED OUT. LOOKS AS THOUGH THE TERMINALS OUTSIDE OF THE
LEHIGH VALLEY MAY GET A SCATTERED STRATOCU DECK TODAY DEPENDING IF
WE HIT THE CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURE...AGAIN VFR BASES.

AS THE HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES TO OUR EAST TODAY WE START TO PICK UP A
MORE NORTHEASTERLY WIND. EXPECT THE WINDS TO REMAIN LESS THAN 10
KNOTS THROUGH THE DAY. WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM OFF THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST LATER TODAY AND SLOWLY MOVE TOWARDS THE NORTH
TONIGHT. WE WILL START TO SEE THE INFLUENCE OF THIS SYSTEM LATER
TONIGHT WITH STRONGER NORTHEAST WINDS AND AN INCREASE IN CIRRUS
BLOW-OFF. RAIN MAY BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN TERMINALS AND THE WINDS INCREASE OUT OF THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST...GUSTS UPWARDS OF 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE. BASES COULD LOWER
TO MVFR BY LATE MORNING AS THE LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO NEAR AND
MORE RAIN MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY...VFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING...ESPECIALLY
NORTHWEST OF KMIV AND KACY. CONDITIONS SHOULD LOWER TO MVFR DURING
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FROM SOUTH TO NORTH...AND COULD REACH IFR BY
EVENING. NORTH WINDS COULD GUST TO 35 TO 40 KNOTS IN THE
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST OF KPHL.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THERE IS SOME MODEL SPREAD HERE...BUT MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM KPHL SOUTHEAST. FURTHER NORTHWEST...
MVFR CONDITIONS COULD GIVE WAY TO VFR CONDITIONS LATE. WINDS MAY
AGAIN BE THE BIG ISSUE...WITH NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING OVER
35 KNOTS.

THURSDAY...MVFR CONDITIONS IN THE MORNING SHOULD BECOME MVFR IN THE
AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS COULD GUST TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS...ESPECIALLY
IN THE MORNING.

FRIDAY...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

SATURDAY...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...
WE WILL HAVE ONE MORE DAY OF SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS ACROSS OUR
WATERS TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTROL THE REGION THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS BEFORE A COASTAL STORM MOVES UP FROM THE SOUTH LATE
TONIGHT. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BEGIN TO TIGHTEN AS THIS LOW
PRESSURE BUTTS UP AGAINST THE DEPARTING HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR
NORTHEAST. A STRONGER NORTHEAST WIND WILL KICK IN AND SEAS BEGIN TO
BUILD.

CURRENTLY THE STORM WATCH GOES INTO AFFECT FOR OUR WATERS WEDNESDAY
MORNING, BUT WE COULD BEGIN TO SEE GALE FORCE GUSTS LATE TONIGHT.
THE TIMING OF GALES WAS TO CLOSE TO THE STORM WATCH SO TO AVOID ANY
CONFUSION WE DECIDED TO JUST KEEP THE WATCH BY ITSELF.

OUTLOOK...
DUE TO UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARD TO STORM TRACK AND THE WESTWARD
EXTENT OF THE STRONGEST WINDS...WE WILL HOLD ONTO THE STORM WATCH
FOR THIS PACKAGE.

THE 0000 UTC MODEL CONSENSUS IS TO BRING THE SURFACE LOW A BIT
FURTHER EAST. THIS WOULD BRING THE STRONGEST WINDS ON THE WEST SIDE
OF THE LOW JUST TO THE COASTAL WATERS. THE BEST PRESSURE GRADIENT
SHOULD OCCUR BETWEEN 1800 UTC WEDNESDAY AND 0600 UTC THURSDAY. RIGHT
NOW...BASED ON THE GRADIENT AND MODEL SOUNDINGS OVER THE OCEAN
WATERS...WINDS MAY COME UP JUST SHORT OF STORM FORCE. THERE IS A
BETTER CHANCE OF STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN OCEAN WATERS
DURING THE ABOVEMENTIONED TIMES...WITH A LESSER CHANCE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN OCEAN WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY.

SINCE THE SURFACE LOW TRACK IS STILL IN QUESTION...THE PREFERENCE
HERE THIS MORNING IS TO HOLD ONTO THE STORM WATCH...RATHER THAN
CONVERT TO A STRONG GALE WARNING. THIS COURSE OF ACTION WILL ALLOW
LATER SHIFTS TO A CHANCE TO FOLLOW MODEL TRENDS...AND UPGRADE TO A
STORM WARNING IF THE MODEL CONSENSUS IS TO BRING THE SURFACE LOW
BACK FURTHER WEST.

IN ANY EVENT...THE GRADIENT ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW WOULD
SUGGEST ALL WATERS PROBABLY SEE A PERIOD OF GALE FORCE NORTHWEST
WINDS IN TO THURSDAY MORNING. BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BOTH THE
GRADIENT AND MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST WINDS DROP BACK TO A STRONG
SMALL CRAFT.

THE WAVEWATCH MODEL BACKED OFF CONCERNING SEAS ON THE OCEAN. THIS IS
NOT SURPRISING...AS THE 0000 UTC GFS (WHOSE WINDS DRIVE THE
WAVEWATCH MODEL) IS FURTHEST EAST WITH THE SURFACE LOW TRACK. THE
PREVIOUS SEAS FORECAST WAS MODULATED A BIT BY THE 0000 UTC WAVEWATCH
OUTPUT. HOWEVER...THE SEAS WERE NOT DROPPED AS MUCH AS THE WAVEWATCH
WOULD SUGGEST...AS THE FINAL SURFACE LOW TRACK IS STILL IN DOUBT.

THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE EXITING LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING EAST
FROM THE OHIO VALLEY COULD SUPPORT SMALL CRAFT WINDS INTO THURSDAY
NIGHT AND POSSIBLY FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS ON THE OCEAN DURING THE TIME
SHOULD BE IN THE PROCESS OF SORTING OUT THE SWELL...AND 5 FOOT SEAS
COULD LAST INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LIMITS FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE WATERS. AFTER SEAS DROP
BELOW 5 FEET FRIDAY MORNING...SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
WE WILL STAND PAT WITH THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS PLACE...WITH THE
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING TIDE CYCLE THE MORE LIKELY HIGH TIDE CYCLE TO
EXPERIENCE MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING.

THE FIRST HIGH TIDE CYCLE OF CONCERN IS EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
WHILE NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE...THERE MAY NOT BE
ENOUGH TIME FOR THE TIDAL DEPARTURES TO REACH THOSE NEEDED FOR
MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING. MOST OCEANFRONT LOCATIONS WOULD NEED CLOSE
TO A 3 FOOT DEPARTURE TO GET TO THE MODERATE FLOODING BENCHMARK...
AND THE LATEST EXTRATROPICAL STORM SURGE VALUES ARE NOT THAT HIGH.
BECAUSE OF THE TIMING OF THE TIDE...WE WILL PASS ON UPGRADING TO A
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING AT THIS TIME.

THE NEXT HIGH TIDE CYCLE OF CONCERN OCCURS EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
ASTRONOMICAL TIDES DURING THIS TIDE CYCLE IS ABOUT ONE-HALF FOOT
LOWER THAN THOSE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. BECAUSE OF THIS...MOST PLACES
WOULD NEED TO SEE DEPARTURES BETWEEN THREE AND THREE AND ONE-HALF
FEET FOR MODERATE FLOODING. AGAIN...THE LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WE
MAY NOT SEE DEPARTURES THIS HIGH. BECAUSE THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE IS
STILL ABOUT 48 HOURS AWAY...WE WILL FORGO A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING
FOR THIS TIDE CYCLE AS WELL.

MOST OF THE AVAILABLE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE UPPER DELAWARE BAY
AND TIDAL PORTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER WILL NOT REACH COASTAL FLOOD
WARNING TIDES...AND THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS MORE LIKELY HERE.
SINCE THE TIDE CYCLE IS MORE THAN 24 HOURS AWAY...WE WILL NOT ISSUE
ANY PRODUCTS FOR THIS TIDE CYCLE THIS MORNING. THE THURSDAY MORNING
HIGH TIDE CYCLE APPEARS AS THOUGH IT WILL COME IN UNDER THE MODERATE
COASTAL FLOODING BENCHMARK...AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND
SURFACE PRESSURE RISES. TRENDS ON THIS TIDE WILL BE FOLLOWED.

FINALLY...THE WIND DIRECTION IS NOT FAVORABLE FOR MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING ON THE CHESAPEAKE DURING EITHER HIGH TIDE CYCLE OF
INTEREST. CBOFS SUGGESTS THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE. THIS IS MORE IN LINE WITH THE TYPICAL
MAGNITUDE OF TIDAL FLOODING WITH THE EXPECTED STORM TRACK.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR PAZ067>071.
NJ...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR NJZ008>010-012>027.
     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR NJZ012>014-020>027.
DE...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR DEZ001>004.
     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR DEZ002>004.
MD...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR MDZ008-012-015-019-020.
MARINE...STORM WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
     FOR ANZ430-431-450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HAYES
NEAR TERM...GAINES/HEAVENER
SHORT TERM...HEAVENER
LONG TERM...HAYES
AVIATION...HAYES/HEAVENER
MARINE...HAYES/HEAVENER
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 6, 3:35 AM EST, 11 hours 17 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
335 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

NJZ001-007-PAZ054-055-060>062-070845-
SUSSEX-WARREN-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
335 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A STRONG COASTAL SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER TERRAIN SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED
WITH THE SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ008>010-015>019-PAZ067>071-070845-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MORRIS-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
335 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WATCH.

IN ADDITION...SNOW IS POSSIBLE DURING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IT IS TOO
EARLY TO DETERMINE IF ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE DURING THIS
TIME FRAME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-070845-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
335 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW JERSEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-070845-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
335 AM EST TUE NOV 6 2012

...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 6, 2:52 PM ESTCoastal Flood AdvisoryPHIBurlington, Camden, Gloucester, Salem43 hr
Nov 6, 3:38 PM ESTGale WarningPHI48 hr
Nov 6, 3:38 PM ESTStorm WarningPHI27 hr
Nov 6, 3:41 PM ESTHigh Wind WarningPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Monmouth, Ocean27 hr
Nov 6, 3:41 PM ESTWind AdvisoryPHIBurlington, Camden, Cumberland, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer and 4 more27 hr

Nearby

Coastal Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2012Coastal Flood Warnings in Delaware, 2012Every coastal flood warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.