Areal Flood Advisory 82, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1247 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAKENING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WILL CONTINUE TO
SAG SLOWLY SOUTHEAST TODAY. A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE
INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AND SUNDAY FROM NEW ENGLAND AND LINGER ON
MONDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND PASS THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA LATER TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT
WILL TRY TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON THURSDAY WITH ANOTHER
REINFORCING COLD FRONT APPROACHING ON FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SAG TO OUR SOUTH AND SHOULD BE SOUTH OF
DELMARVA BY EARLY AFTERNOON SUPPORTED BY AN APPROACHING MID-LEVEL
SHORTWAVE. AMPLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AS THE
FRONT STALLS TO OUR SOUTH LATER THIS MORNING AND A WAVE OF LOW
PRESSURE FORM ALONG THE FRONT AND RIDES TO THE EAST TODAY.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED ACROSS THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AND SEEM TO BE MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT A DECENT CLIP.
WE HAVE INCREASED POPS TO LIKELY ACROSS NORTHERN TO CENTRAL NJ AND
BACK INTO EASTERN PA TO REFLECT THE CURRENT ACTIVITY. EXPECT
ADDITIONAL STORMS TO CONTINUE TO POP UP THROUGH THE REST OF THIS
AFTERNOON.

DIABATIC HEATING DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS ALLOWS
THE ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME UNSTABLE AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE
ALOFT. WITH A FAST MID-LEVEL FLOW IN PLACE PROVIDING NEARLY 30 KNOTS
OF 0-6KM SHEAR, CAPES AROUND 2000J/KG, L.I.S AROUND -4C AND DECREASING
500MB HEIGHTS, THIS IS A GOOD COMBINATION FOR MORE ORGANIZED
CONVECTION TO FIRE UP IN. NOT LOOKING FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE
CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, BUT GIVEN THE MOIST
LOW-LEVELS AND AMPLE INSTABILITY THERE COULD BE POCKETS OF GUSTY
WINDS AND TORRENTIAL RAINS WITH ANY OF THE STORMS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY/...
A CONTINUATION OF THE STORMS FROM THE AFTERNOON WILL MOVE DOWN INTO
THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA IN THE EARLY EVENING TIME FRAME. STILL
HAVE A CHANCE TO SEE STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS AIDED BY THE
INTENSE LIFTING WITH THE SHORTWAVE PASSAGE AND PLENTY OF SURFACE
INSTABILITY TO WORK WITH. THE SHORTWAVE WILL LIFT TOWARDS THE
NORTHEAST SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO
NOSE IN FROM THE WEST AND SHOULD PUT AN END TO MOST, IF NOT ALL OF
THE CONVECTION IN THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF OUR CWA. AS FOR THE
EASTERN SIDE OF THE CWA, THE STALLED FRONT TO THE SOUTH AND ANOTHER
SURFACE WAVE WILL LIFT TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST LATE TONIGHT KEEPING
THE UNSETTLED WEATHER AROUND.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A MID-LEVEL SHORT WAVE AND SURFACE LOW ARE FORECAST TO PUSH OFF THE
COAST ON SUNDAY. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT SHOULD MEANDER SOUTH OF US
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD NOSE
ITSELF INTO THE AREA FOR MONDAY.

THE WARM FRONT SOUTH OF US IS FORECAST TOP MOVE BACK INTO THE CWA
TUESDAY NIGHT AND HANG AROUND UNTIL SOME TIME ON THURSDAY BEFORE
MOVING OFF THE COAST ON FRIDAY.

THAT SAID, THERE AREN'T TOO MANY PERIODS IN THIS LONG TERM FORECAST
THAT ARE DRY. WE'LL GO WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS SUNDAY AND MONDAY AND
BUMP THINGS UP TO CHANCE ON TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. BACK TO SLIGHT
CHANCE ON FRIDAY.

THE TROFFING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE U.S. WILL HELP TO KEEP
TEMPERATURES COOLER THAN THEY'VE BEEN. LOOKS LIKE THE REGION WILL
SEE NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL ON THURSDAY, THEN NEAR NORMAL ON FRIDAY. A COMBO OF
HPC GRIDS AND GFS MOS LOOKS SLIGHTLY BETTER THAN THE LOWER ECMWF
MOS FOR BOTH MIN AND MAX TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

PRIMARILY A VFR FORECAST FOR TODAY. LOW CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES
HAVE CLEARED OUT THIS MORNING AND SKIES SHOULD SCATTER OUT A BIT
MORE. A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION AND BE SITTING JUST SOUTH OF DELMARVA BY EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND
MOVE TOWARDS THE EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS WILL MAKE
IT TRICKY WITH THE WINDS TODAY DEPENDING ON WHERE THE ACTUAL LOW
PASSAGE IS BUT WINDS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT...LESS THAN 8 KNOTS.
A TREND MORE TOWARDS THE EAST- NORTHEAST BY TOMORROW IS EXPECTED
AS THE LOW MOVES OFF THE COAST TO THE SOUTH OF OUR TERMINALS.

AS FOR CONVECTION, WE HAVE A MUCH BETTER CHANCE AT SEEING WIDESPREAD
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY...WHEN COMPARED
TO FRIDAY. THERE IS STILL PLENTY OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AROUND FOR
THE STORMS FEED OFF OF AND WITH THE LOW PASSING BY, THIS WILL BE THE
TRIGGER NEEDED TO GET THE STORMS GOING. WE MAINTAIN THE PROB30 THUNDER
TIMING IN THE TAFS AND WILL MAKE SUBSEQUENT CHANGES OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF TAF CYCLES. ONCE THE STORMS MOVE OUT BY LATE TONIGHT WE
COULD SEE A DECREASE IN VSBYS AND CIGS WITH EVEN MORE LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE DEPOSITED NEAR THE TERMINALS.

OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE MAINLY EACH AFTERNOON.

TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY VFR, BUT INCREASING POCKETS OF MVFR
AND POSSIBLY BRIEF IFR AS MORE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...
SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS OUR
WATERS. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE EAST AS A WAVE OF
PRESSURE FORMS ALONG A STALLING FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE SOUTH OF OUR
WATERS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS NOT ALL THAT TIGHT SO WINDS WILL BE
AROUND 10 KNOTS TODAY AND TONIGHT...SEAS WILL BE AROUND 3 FEET.

OUTLOOK...
SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO NOSE ITS WAY SOUTHWARD FROM NEW
ENGLAND EARLY IN THE OUTLOOK PERIOD. LATER ON TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY, THE SOUTHWEST RETURN FLOW SHOULD INCREASE ACROSS THE
MARINE WATERS. WIND SPEEDS AND GUSTS COULD COME CLOSER TO SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA.

&&

.RIP CURRENTS...
ALTHOUGH THE WIND IS FORECAST TO BE LIGHT AND WAVE HEIGHTS SHOULD
BE IN THE 1 TO 3 FOOT RANGE, A 12 SECOND WAVE PERIOD IS EXPECTED
TO RESULT IN A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GIGI/HEAVENER/KRUZDLO/MEOLA
NEAR TERM...HEAVENER/KLINE/MEOLA
SHORT TERM...HEAVENER
LONG TERM...KRUZDLO
AVIATION...HEAVENER/KRUZDLO/MEOLA
MARINE...HEAVENER/KRUZDLO
RIP CURRENTS...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
157 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

DEZ001>003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015>023-027-
PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071-291800-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
157 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 535 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-291800-
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
157 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 535 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-291800-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
157 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 535 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
146 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

NJZ015-018-019-PAZ069-071-281845-
BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-MERCER NJ-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
PHILADELPHIA PA-
146 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BUCKS...BURLINGTON...CAMDEN...
MERCER AND PHILADELPHIA COUNTIES...

AT 145 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF CAMDEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
20 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR RIVERTON...PALMYRA AROUND 200
PM...RIVERSIDE...DELANCO AROUND 215 PM...EDGEWATER PARK...BURLINGTON
AROUND 230 PM...FLORENCE AND TULLYTOWN AROUND 245 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3986 7511 3989 7515 4000 7523 4001 7521
      4002 7521 4006 7514 4005 7510 4008 7508
      4014 7502 4029 7476 4006 7457

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
152 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

NJZ008>010-281845-
HUNTERDON NJ-MORRIS NJ-SOMERSET NJ-
152 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT HUNTERDON...MORRIS AND SOMERSET
COUNTIES...

AT 149 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF SOMERVILLE...MOVING EAST AT
15 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR CALIFON...LEBANON AROUND 200
PM...LONG VALLEY AROUND 215 PM...PEAPACK AND GLADSTONE...CHESTER
AROUND 230 PM...MENDHAM AND BERNARDSVILLE AROUND 245 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 4072 7438 4068 7445 4057 7494 4069 7501
      4072 7496 4079 7489 4096 7447 4074 7436

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
203 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

NJZ001-007-281900-
SUSSEX NJ-WARREN NJ-
203 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SUSSEX AND WARREN COUNTIES...

AT 202 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF NEWTON...MOVING EAST AT 15
MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR CRANDON LAKES...FIVE POINTS AROUND
215 PM...BRANCHVILLE...NEWTON AROUND 230 PM...SUSSEX AND HAMBURG
AROUND 300 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 4125 7444 4115 7441 4110 7448 4099 7499
      4106 7502 4108 7497 4110 7500 4111 7499
      4117 7489 4127 7485 4133 7463

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
208 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

NJZ001-008-281915-
MORRIS NJ-SUSSEX NJ-
208 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MORRIS AND SUSSEX COUNTIES...

AT 206 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES EAST OF NEWTON...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.
THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR OGDENSBURG...FRANKLIN AROUND 215 PM...
GREEN POND AROUND 230 PM...HIGHLAND LAKE AND BUTLER AROUND 245 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 4121 7437 4119 7437 4109 7449 4105 7449
      4106 7445 4103 7442 4100 7432 4090 7465
      4104 7477 4122 7439

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
213 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

NJZ024-281915-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-
213 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CAPE MAY COUNTY...

AT 210 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CAPE MAY...MOVING EAST AT 15
MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR CAPE MAY POINT...NORTH CAPE MAY
AROUND 230 PM...CAPE MAY AROUND 245 PM...WILDWOOD CREST AND WILDWOOD
AROUND 300 PM.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

EXPECT SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
FROM THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3894 7498 3898 7497 3899 7488 3900 7487
      3901 7478 3899 7478 3893 7487 3892 7491
      3892 7497

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
218 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

NJZ001-PAZ055-281915-
MONROE PA-SUSSEX NJ-
218 PM EDT SAT JUL 28 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MONROE AND SUSSEX COUNTIES...

AT 215 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOUNT POCONO...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR ALPINE MOUNTAIN...
HENRYVILLE AROUND 230 PM...MOUNTAINHOME...CANADENSIS AROUND 245 PM...
HIDDEN LAKE AROUND 300 PM...WERRY LAKE AND FLATBROOKVILLE AROUND 315
PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

EXPECT SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
FROM THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 4123 7512 4115 7514 4115 7508 4109 7503
      4113 7494 4119 7488 4110 7483 4107 7494
      4109 7497 4105 7502 4097 7537 4113 7546
      4126 7518 4126 7513

HAYES