Alert archive / New Jersey / Areal Flood Advisories in 2012

Areal Flood Advisory 226, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

October 4, 2012Sussex County, New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this areal flood advisory at Oct 4, 2012, 3:32 PM EDT for Sussex County, New Jersey. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 4, 2012, 3:32 PM EDT (19:32 UTC)
Expired: Oct 4, 2012, 5:04 PM EDT
In force: 92 min
Issued by: NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Sussex County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 135 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 474 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -28 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Oct 4, 1:10 PM EDT, 2 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 4, 1:10 PM EDT, 2 hours 22 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 4, 9:30 AM EDT, 6 hours 2 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
930 AM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-051330-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-
CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
930 AM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-051330-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
930 AM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 4, 12:56 PM EDT, 2 hours 36 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1256 PM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

PAZ054-055-060-061-041800-
BERKS PA-CARBON PA-LEHIGH PA-MONROE PA-
1256 PM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

...SHOWERS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT BERKS...LEHIGH...MONROE
AND CARBON COUNTIES...

AT 1254 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SHOWERS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF WILKES-BARRE TO 19 MILES NORTH OF READING...MOVING EAST
AT 20 MPH. THE SHOWERS WILL BE NEAR WEATHERLY...SHOEMAKERSVILLE...
LANSFORD...HAMBURG AROUND 100 PM...SUMMIT HILL...NESQUEHONING AROUND
105 PM...NEW MAHONING...LENHARTSVILLE AROUND 115 PM...WANAMAKERS AND
ARROWHEAD LAKE AROUND 120 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE SHOWERS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER
TO POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS.

LAT...LON 4125 7533 4081 7553 4078 7560 4072 7557
      4050 7567 4044 7626 4054 7619 4058 7602
      4065 7599 4074 7577 4088 7597 4091 7598
      4093 7596 4101 7575 4109 7577 4113 7570
      4113 7564 4123 7554

ROBERTSON

Special weather statement, Oct 4, 1:55 PM EDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
155 PM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

PAZ054-055-060>062-041845-
BERKS PA-CARBON PA-LEHIGH PA-MONROE PA-NORTHAMPTON PA-
155 PM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

...SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
AFFECT BERKS...LEHIGH...MONROE...CARBON AND NORTHAMPTON COUNTIES...

AT 150 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SCRANTON TO 6 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF LEHIGHTON TO 13 MILES NORTH OF READING...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20
MPH. THE SHOWERS WILL BE NEAR PENN FOREST RESERVOIR...EMERALD AROUND
200 PM...TRACHSVILLE...POCONO RACEWAY...JONAS...SLATINGTON AROUND
205 PM...TOBYHANNA...SUN VALLEY...MERWINSBURG AND LONG POND AROUND
210 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE SHOWERS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER
TO POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING...AS WELL AS LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO
OCCUR.

LAT...LON 4126 7514 4115 7514 4114 7510 4085 7522
      4077 7531 4051 7564 4046 7612 4068 7592
      4074 7577 4077 7583 4113 7570 4113 7564
      4122 7556 4123 7549

ROBERTSON

Special weather statement, Oct 4, 2:49 PM EDT, 43 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
249 PM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

NJZ007-009-PAZ062-042000-
HUNTERDON NJ-NORTHAMPTON PA-WARREN NJ-
249 PM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

...AN AREA OF SHOWERS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT WARREN...
HUNTERDON AND NORTHAMPTON COUNTIES...

AT 245 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN
AREA OF SHOWERS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL 5 MILES WEST OF EASTON...
MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THE SHOWER WILL BE NEAR FORKS...TATAMY...
WILSON...WEST EASTON AROUND 255 PM...EASTON...BANGOR...ROSETO AROUND
300 PM...PHILLIPSBURG...BANGOR AND EAST BANGOR AROUND 305 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS SHOWER...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING...AS WELL AS LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS COULD ALSO
OCCUR.

LAT...LON 4098 7489 4054 7492 4060 7520 4061 7520
      4060 7522 4064 7540 4083 7537 4087 7528
      4088 7527

ROBERTSON

Special weather statement, Oct 4, 3:07 PM EDT, 25 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
307 PM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

NJZ001-042000-
SUSSEX NJ-
307 PM EDT THU OCT 4 2012

...AN AREA OF SHOWERS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT SUSSEX
COUNTY...

AT 300 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN
AREA OF SHOWERS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
NEWTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THE SHOWER WILL BE NEAR
OGDENSBURG AROUND 320 PM...FRANKLIN AROUND 325 PM...HAMBURG AROUND
330 PM...SUSSEX AROUND 335 PM...HIGHLAND LAKE AROUND 345 PM AND
VERNON VALLEY AROUND 350 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS SHOWER...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING...AS WELL AS LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS COULD ALSO
OCCUR.

LAT...LON 4129 7454 4121 7437 4119 7437 4100 7460
      4092 7475 4101 7487

ROBERTSON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 4, 2:49 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	PHI	Warren	71 min
Oct 4, 3:07 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	PHI	Sussex	53 min
Oct 4, 3:41 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	PHI	Morris	79 min
Oct 4, 4:05 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PHI	Morris	94 min
Oct 4, 12:56 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	PHI	Carbon	64 min
Oct 4, 1:55 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	PHI	Carbon, Lehigh, Monroe	50 min

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in New Jersey, 2012 Every areal flood advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.