Areal Flood Advisory 123, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
336 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST TONIGHT. A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON FRIDAY BUT REMAIN JUST
NORTH OF THE AREA BEFORE LIFTING NORTH ON SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, BECOMING SEMI
STATIONARY THROUGH AROUND MIDWEEK. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS
TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA ON TUESDAY. ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION AROUND THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
BOTH THE GFS AND WRF-NMMB INITIALIZATION LOOKED PRETTY GOOD OFF
THE 12Z SOUNDINGS WITH A SLIGHT NOD TO THE GFS.

FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING, THE
CONVECTION THAT HAS BEEN ABLE TO GENERATE SEEMS BEST TIED TO THE
GFS'S 850MB THETA E RDG WHICH IS FORECAST TO SLIDE EASTSOUTHEAST.
THERE IS A FORECAST AND OBSERVED ACARS CAP IN PLACE IN PHL AND
PLACES FARTHER TO THE NORTHEAST, SO WE WE HAVE MAINTAINED ISOLATED
POPS FROM CHESTER COUNTY SOUTHWARD EARLY.

AS FOR TONIGHT WE ARE EXPECTING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. WE MIGHT GET
SOME CIRRUS DEBRIS FROM THE GREAT LAKES CONVECTION.  WE ARE
EXPECTING LESS FOG COVERAGE NOW THAT WE ARE A DAY REMOVED FROM THE
PRECIPITATION. NO PATCHY FOG HAS BEEN INCLUDED FOR NOW. MIN TEMP
FORECAST BASED ON LIGHT WINDS AND NOT MUCH SKY COVER LEANS TOWARD
NAM MOS OVERALL AS ITS COOLER IN OUTLYING AREAS AND WARMER IN
URBANIZED LOCALES AND AT THE COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
AS PER THE HEAT: WE WERE ON THE EDGE OF FOR BOTH CRITERIA AND
CONFIDENCE LEVEL AS WE HAVE ISSUED AN ADVISORY FOR URBANIZED
LOCATIONS. WAS HOPING TO GLEAN A PREFERENCE IN THE GFS VS WRF-NMMB
(WHICH ARE 3C APART AT 925MB TOMORROW AFTN AT PHL) OFF THE
INITIALIZATION, BUT BOTH WERE PRETTY CLOSE. FROM THEN THEY DIVERGE
WITH MAYBE SOME OF THE UPGRADE BOUNDARY LAYER ISSUES (HIGHER
INITIALIZED SPECIFIC HUMIDITIES) STILL SHOWING A COOLING EFFECT.
(THIS IS ALSO POSSIBLY WHY THE GFS .01 ISOHYET BIAS HAS DEPROVED
SINCE 5/22). TAKING THE GFS SOUNDING MAXT TEMP MACRO AS IS, BRINGS
MID 90S INTO PHL. THAT'S THE TEMPS. AS FOR THE DEW POINTS. REALLY
OPPRESSIVE MID 70S DEWS ARE STILL IN NC. WHILE WE WILL HAVE AN
ONSHORE FLOW INTO THIS EVENING EAST, UPWIND DEW POINTS ELSEWHERE
WERE NOT RELATIVELY HIGH. OUR ADJMAV/MET PROCEDURES LOWER THE DEW
POINTS VS STAT GUIDANCE, ESPECIALLY THE NAM WHICH TAKES US AGAIN
NEAR THE EDGE OF THE 100F HEAT INDEX. GIVEN WE SHOULD HAVE A MOSTLY
SUNNY DAY, WE HAVE OPTED FOR THE HIGHER STAT GUIDANCE MAX TEMPS.
OVERALL THE OUTCOME FOR TOMORROW WILL HAVE A DOMINO EFFECT ON HEAT
HEADLINES FOR THIS WEEKEND (ADVISORIES VS WARNINGS) IN URBANIZED
AREAS.

FOR PLACES JUST NORTH OF THE PHL METRO AREA WHERE THE HEAT INDEX
VALUE FOR HEAT ADVISORIES START AT 100F, AFTER COLLABORATING WITH
NEIGHBORING OFFICES, WE ARE EXPECTING HI VALUES TO REACH THE UPPER
90S, JUST SHORT FOR HEAT HEADLINES. PLACES FARTHER TO THE SOUTH
SHOULD NOT NEAR THEIR HEAT INDEX VALUES (105F) NEEDED FOR
ADVISORIES. STAT GUIDANCE HAS BEEN PRETTY CONSISTENT OF HAVING
FRIDAY AS THE HOTTEST OF THE THREE ENSUING DAYS WITH MAX TEMPS. IF
TRUE, DAILY RECORDS MAY NOT BE BROKEN IN THIS HOT SPELL. ON FRIDAY
BASED ON FCST MAX TEMPS, MOST PLACES SHOULD FALL A COUPLE OF DEGREES
SHORT. AS FOR MAX TEMPS IN GENERAL, WE ARE CLOSER TO NAM MOS THAN
GFS MOS.

AS PER CONVECTION, THE LATEST MESOSCALE AND SYNOPTIC SCALE MODELS
ARE PRETTY WELL COLLABORATED THAT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, THE
GREATEST THERMODYNAMIC INSTABILITY AND FORECAST CONVERGENCE (AS WELL
AS H2.5 JET LOCATION) IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF OUR CWA. THE
ONLY PLACE WHERE THERE IS SOME COLLABORATION LATE IS IN THE POCONOS
AND WHERE OUR HIGHEST POPS WILL BE CENTERED. ELSEWHERE WE HAVE THE
CONUNDRUM OF VERY HIGH FORECAST CAPES, BUT AN EXTREMELY THIN LAYER
OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ABOVE THE SURFACE. LIKE TODAY, WE ARE
EXPECTING COVERAGE TO BE TOO SPARSE TO INCLUDE AT THIS TIME.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WITH THE BERMUDA HIGH SITTING OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST, WE SEE SOME
MORE WARM AND HUMID AIR REMAIN ACROSS OUR REGION.

ON SATURDAY, WE SHOULD WARM A BIT AT THE SURFACE AND SEE HIGHS RISE
INTO THE LOWER 90S. THE DIFFICULTY IN THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST LIES
WITH THE FRONT DROPPING SOUTHWARD INTO THE REGION. IF IT PUSHES FAR
ENOUGH SOUTH, WE SHOULD SEE A BIT OF COOLING, WHICH WILL HELP TO
KEEP US A LITTLE BIT COOLER AND LESS HUMID THAN WE EXPECT FOR
FRIDAY. FOR NOW WE DO NOT ANTICIPATE THE NEED FOR A HEAT HEADLINE
FOR SATURDAY AS THE HEAT INDEX VALUES CURRENTLY LOOK TO FALL SHORT
OF 100 BY A COUPLE OF DEGREES.

TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY START TO RISE AGAIN AS WE ARE WARM SECTORED
AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. 850MB TEMPS ARE AROUND 20C,
WHICH TRANSLATE TO LOW TO MID 90S AT THE SURFACE. WITH DEWPOINTS
STILL IN THE 70S, IT LOOKS TO BE A HOT AND HUMID KIND OF DAY. HEAT
HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED FOR SUNDAY AS HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE
AROUND 100 THROUGH THE PHILLY METRO AREA.

MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL SEE TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY COOL AS SOME
COOLER AND DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS TO THE NORTH OF THE
AREA.

OVERALL, AN UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL EXIST THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD
WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE NEARLY EVERY DAY. THE BEST
CHANCES FOR CONVECTION ARE ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY, IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND ITS PASSAGE THROUGH OUR AREA. THE
FRONT THEN STALLS ACROSS OUR AREA OR AT LEAST NEARBY AND HANGS
AROUND THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS THEN FORECAST TO
MOVE THROUGH ON THURSDAY. AS HAS BEEN THE CASE LATELY, PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES REMAIN AROUND 2 INCHES, WHICH INDICATES THAT HEAVY RAIN
WILL ONCE AGAIN BE A THREAT IN ANY STORM.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

A VFR TAF WAS ISSUED FOR ALL TAF SITES THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.
WE ARE SEEING SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS DEVELOP. COVERAGE AND
TRACK IS NOT HEADING TOWARD ANY OF OUR TERMINALS. LEAST CONFIDENCE
FOR KILG.

WINDS WERE STARTED FROM THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 TO 10 KTS,
BUT BACK MORE TO THE SOUTH AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES. A SEA BREEZE
FRONT HAS PASSED KACY AND NOT KMJX YET. TOUGH TO SEE ON RADAR.
THIS FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROGRESS DEEPER INTO NJ THE REST OF
THE AFTERNOON AND THEN BLEND WITH THE GENERAL SW FLOW TOWARD PHL AND
INTERSTATE 95 EARLY THIS EVENING. A BAY BREEZE HAS REACHED KILG AND
SOME BAY BREEZES HAVE FORMED IN DELMARVA WITH A CONVERGENCE ZONE
IN THE MIDDLE OF THE PENINSULA.

TONIGHT GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES ARE FORECAST EXCEPT FOR SOME CIRRUS
FROM THE GREAT LAKES FRONT'S TSTMS. WHAT WINDS THERE ARE SHOULD BE
LIGHT AND MAINLY FROM THE SOUTH. MOST TERMINALS SHOULD BECOME MVFR
TOWARD MORNING IN FOG. MORE RURAL AIRPORTS AS WELL AS OUR MORE
RURAL TERMINALS MIGHT ALSO GO TO IFR AROUND SUNRISE. CONFIDENCE
OVERALL IS AVERAGE, BUT NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN ANY
TERMINAL FORECASTS AS A PREVAILING GROUP PER THIS ISSUANCE.

MORE VFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN FORECAST FOR FRIDAY. ANY EVENTUAL
CONVECTION SHOULD NOT ARRIVE BEFORE 18Z (AND 00Z AT KPHL). WINDS
SHOULD BE MAINLY FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT SPEEDS REACHING CLOSE TO 10
KTS BY LATE IN THE MORNING.

OUTLOOK...
FRI NIGHT...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE EVENING.

SAT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

MON...VFR CONDITIONS DETERIORATING THROUGH THE DAY AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES INTO THE AREA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO MOVE
THROUGH THE TERMINALS DROPPING CONDITIONS TO MVFR, POSSIBLY IFR, AT
TIMES. CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.

TUE...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY IN THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING. CONFIDENCE
IS AVERAGE.

&&

.MARINE...
CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH FRIDAY. WE WILL SEE AN INCREASE IN THE UP
THE BAY FLOW INTO EARLY THIS EVENING THAT SHOULD DIMINISH LATER THIS
EVENING. OTHERWISE A GENERALLY SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST INTO
FRIDAY WITH MOST SUSTAINED WINDS LESS THAN 15 KNOTS AND MOST SEAS
THREE FEET OR LESS.

OUTLOOK...
CONDITIONS START OUT SUB-ADVISORY LEVELS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. THE GRADIENT STARTS TO TIGHTEN UP BETWEEN THE
HIGH TO OUR EAST AND APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE TO OUR WEST. THIS
GRADIENT WILL INCREASE SEAS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES LOOK POSSIBLE
ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY AND START TO PICK UP
LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS THE GRADIENT INCREASES AS THE COLD FRONT
STARTS TO MOVE INTO THE REGION. GUST UP TO 25-30 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT BUT SHOULD START TO SUBSIDE DURING THE DAY ON
MONDAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MUCH OF THE FORECAST,
WHICH MAY CAUSE LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
NOW THAT THE MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE HAS COMPLETED ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST, DEPARTURES BOUNCED UP TO AROUND 0.75 DURING IT. THE
MESOSCALE MODELING IS SHOWING A SEA BREEZE FORMING AND AN UP THE
DELAWARE BAY SOUTHEASTERLY PUSH. THIS APPEARS ENOUGH NOW TO POSSIBLY
GET SOME COASTAL AND BAY POINTS JUST TO MINOR TIDAL FLOODING LEVELS.
WE WILL NOT GO UP TO PHILADELPHIA AS THEY FELL A COUPLE OF TENTHS
SHORT OF THAT THRESHOLD LAST NIGHT. WE WILL ISSUE A STATEMENT BEFORE
THE NOON NEWS. THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE DROP OFF ON FRIDAY IS AROUND
TWO TENTHS OF A FOOT. THIS SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO KEEP US BELOW MINOR
TIDAL FLOODING THRESHOLDS.

&&

.RIP CURRENTS...
AFTER HEARING REPORTS FROM OUR BEACH NETWORK, WE UPDATED THE SURF
FORECAST FOR MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE REST OF TODAY.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR PAZ067>071.
NJ...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR NJZ015-017>019.
DE...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR DEZ001.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MEOLA
NEAR TERM...GIGI
SHORT TERM...GIGI
LONG TERM...MEOLA
AVIATION...GIGI/MEOLA
MARINE...GIGI/MEOLA
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...GIGI
RIP CURRENTS...GIGI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
341 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2012

NJZ001-007>010-012-PAZ054-055-060>062-031945-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-CARBON-MONROE-
BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
341 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-NJZ015-017>019-PAZ067>071-031945-
NEW CASTLE-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-
MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
341 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER
TOWARD THE BAY TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL APPROACH 100 DEGREES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ008-031945-
CECIL-
341 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER
TOWARD THE BAY TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL APPROACH 100 DEGREES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
AND MAY REACH 100 DEGREES SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ013-014-016-020>027-031945-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
341 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT ALONG RARITAN BAY, THE
DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY OCEAN FRONT AND IN DELAWARE BAY. NO TIDAL
ISSUES ARE EXPECTED ON OUR SIDE OF CHESAPEAKE BAY.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY APPROACH 100 DEGREES FRIDAY...SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-031945-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
341 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
306 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2012

DEZ003-004-022000-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-INLAND SUSSEX DE-
306 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT SUSSEX COUNTY...

AT 303 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES SOUTH OF GEORGETOWN...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 5 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR FRANKFORD AROUND 320 PM AND
SELBYVILLE AROUND 350 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS
WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 3845 7535 3845 7540 3848 7544 3859 7537
      3852 7507 3844 7511 3844 7535

FORECASTER: HEAVENER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
401 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2012

DEZ003-004-022100-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-INLAND SUSSEX DE-
401 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SUSSEX COUNTY...

AT 355 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF GEORGETOWN...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM COULD BE NEAR LEWES AROUND 500
PM IF IT CONTINUES TO MOVE AS IT APPEARS TO BE ALMOST STATIONARY.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS
WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 3864 7529 3878 7538 3887 7524 3879 7515
      3879 7511 3881 7509 3880 7507 3868 7506
      3868 7509 3868 7511 3867 7513

FORECASTER: HEAVENER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
433 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2012

DEZ002-022130-
KENT DE-
433 PM EDT THU AUG 2 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT KENT COUNTY...

AT 429 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DOVER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
5 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR HARRINGTON AROUND 515 PM AND
FELTON AROUND 530 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

EXPECT SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
FROM THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3889 7570 3899 7574 3904 7574 3905 7574
      3909 7560 3894 7552

FORECASTER: HEAVENER