River Flood Warning 7, NWS Pittsburgh, PA

145 
WGUS81 KPBZ 301000
FLSPBZ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA..
  MONONGAHELA RIVER NEAR CHARLEROI AFFECTING FAYETTE...WASHINGTON 
  AND WESTMORELAND COUNTIES 
  MONONGAHELA RIVER NEAR ELIZABETH AFFECTING ALLEGHENY...WASHINGTON 
  AND WESTMORELAND COUNTIES 
  CONEMAUGH RIVER AT SEWARD AFFECTING INDIANA AND WESTMORELAND 
  COUNTIES 
  YOUGHIOGHENY RIVER AT CONNELLSVILLE AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 
  YOUGHIOGHENY RIVER AT SUTERSVILLE AFFECTING ALLEGHENY AND 
  WESTMORELAND COUNTIES 
 
.  WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 2.50 TO 4.00 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS THE AREA
FROM THE REMMNANTS OF HURRICANE SANDY IS CAUSING RISES ON THE
MONONGAHELA...CONEMAUGH...AND YOUGHIOGHENY RIVERS.
 
RISES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH OR EXCEED FLOOD STAGE AT THE FOLLOWING 5 FORECAST
POINTS TODAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER 
DEVELOPMENTS. 

&&

PAC051-301800-
/O.CON.KPBZ.FL.W.0005.121030T1437Z-121031T0600Z/
/CLLP1.1.ER.121030T1437Z.121030T1800Z.121031T0000Z.NO/
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YOUGHIOGHENY RIVER AT CONNELLSVILLE.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  5:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 12.9 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN THE VICINITY OF YOUGH 
  PARK

$$

PAC003-129-301800-
/O.CON.KPBZ.FL.W.0006.121030T2113Z-121031T1014Z/
/STSP1.2.ER.121030T2113Z.121031T0000Z.121031T0414Z.NO/
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YOUGHIOGHENY RIVER AT SUTERSVILLE.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  5:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.2 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...RESIDENTIAL BASEMENT FLOODING IN SUTERSVILLE
  BEGINS IN HOMES ALONG THE RIGHT BANK.  FLOODING ALSO BEGINS IN THE 
  WEST NEWTON BUSINESS DISTRICT 5 MILES UPSTREAM.

$$

PAC051-125-129-301800-
/O.CON.KPBZ.FL.W.0007.121031T0600Z-121031T1200Z/
/CHRP1.1.ER.121031T0600Z.121031T0600Z.121031T0600Z.NO/
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MONONGAHELA RIVER NEAR CHARLEROI.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  5:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AFTER 
  MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...IN MONONGAHELA...BACKWATER FLOODING ALONG 
  PIGEON CREEK BEGINS FROM THE INTERSECTION OF PARK WAY AND PARK 
  AVENUE.

$$

PAC003-125-129-301800-
/O.CON.KPBZ.FL.W.0008.121031T0600Z-121031T1200Z/
/ELZP1.1.ER.121031T0600Z.121031T0600Z.121031T0600Z.NO/
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MONONGAHELA RIVER NEAR ELIZABETH.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  5:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AFTER 
  MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...SMALL COMMUNITIES AROUND LOCK 3 AREA BEGIN 
  MINOR FLOODING.

$$

PAC063-129-301800-
/O.CON.KPBZ.FL.W.0009.121030T1315Z-121031T0336Z/
/SWDP1.1.ER.121030T1315Z.121030T1800Z.121030T2136Z.NO/
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONEMAUGH RIVER AT SEWARD.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO THIS EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  4:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

575 
WGUS81 KPBZ 301439
FLSPBZ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1039 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...
 
  MONONGAHELA RIVER NEAR CHARLEROI AFFECTING FAYETTE...WASHINGTON 
  AND WESTMORELAND COUNTIES
  MONONGAHELA RIVER NEAR ELIZABETH AFFECTING ALLEGHENY...WASHINGTON 
  AND WESTMORELAND COUNTIES
  YOUGHIOGHENY RIVER AT CONNELLSVILLE AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
PENNSYLVANIA...
 
  CONEMAUGH RIVER AT SEWARD AFFECTING INDIANA AND WESTMORELAND 
  COUNTIES 
  YOUGHIOGHENY RIVER AT SUTERSVILLE AFFECTING ALLEGHENY AND 
  WESTMORELAND COUNTIES 
 
.  WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 2.50 TO 4.00 INCHES OF FELL ACROSS THE LOWER
ELEVEATION...BUT MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT FELL IN THE UPPER MONONGAHELA
RIVER AND CHEAT RIVERS FELL AS SNOW.   THIS PREVENTED THAT PRECIPITATION FROM
RUNNING OFF AND CAUSING AS HIGH RISES FURTHER DOWNSTREAM.

MINOR FLOODING IS STILL EXPECTED AT THE CONEMAUGH RIVER AT SEWARD AND THE
YOUGHIOGHENY RIVER AT SUTERSVILLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER 
DEVELOPMENTS. 

&&

PAC063-129-302239-
/O.EXT.KPBZ.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-121031T0224Z/
/SWDP1.1.ER.121030T1630Z.121030T1800Z.121030T2024Z.NO/
1039 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONEMAUGH RIVER AT SEWARD.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 12.2 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

PAC051-301509-
/O.CAN.KPBZ.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-121031T0600Z/
/CLLP1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1039 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE YOUGHIOGHENY RIVER AT CONNELLSVILLE.
* AT 10:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WITH A VALUE OF 
  10.8 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS IN THE VICINITY OF YOUGH 
  PARK

$$

PAC003-129-302239-
/O.EXT.KPBZ.FL.W.0006.121030T2046Z-121031T0846Z/
/STSP1.1.ER.121030T2046Z.121031T0000Z.121031T0246Z.NO/
1039 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YOUGHIOGHENY RIVER AT SUTERSVILLE.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20.7 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...RESIDENTIAL BASEMENT FLOODING IN SUTERSVILLE
  BEGINS IN HOMES ALONG THE RIGHT BANK.  FLOODING ALSO BEGINS IN THE 
  WEST NEWTON BUSINESS DISTRICT 5 MILES UPSTREAM.

$$

PAC051-125-129-301509-
/O.CAN.KPBZ.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-121031T1200Z/
/CHRP1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1039 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MONONGAHELA RIVER NEAR CHARLEROI.
* AT 10:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WITH A VALUE OF 
  23.6 FEET THIS EVENING. 


$$

PAC003-125-129-301509-
/O.CAN.KPBZ.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-121031T1200Z/
/ELZP1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1039 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MONONGAHELA RIVER NEAR ELIZABETH.
* AT 10:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WITH A VALUE OF 
  17.2 FEET THIS EVENING. 


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
959 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
WITH HURRICANE SANDY MAKING LANDFALL TONIGHT...PRECIPITATION AND
WIND WILL PICK UP ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. ALTHOUGH MOST LOCATIONS
WILL ONLY RECEIVE RAIN...TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH IN THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS TO BRING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT 01 UTC...LOPRES CNTR OF SANDY WAS LOCATED IN S-CNTRL NJ AND WAS
MOVG WNWWD FASTER THAN MODEL PROGS. BACK EDGE OF WDSPRD PCPN HAS
BCM SHARP AS DRY AIR ALOFT WRAPS INTO THE CIRCULATION. WIND GUSTS
ARE INCRG THIS EVE ACRS WRN AND CNTRL PA AS THE PRES GRADIENT
INCRS.

CHGS WITH THE LATEST FCST INCLUDE SLGT ADJUSTMENTS TO WIND GUSTS
AND SNOW TOTALS. GUSTS WERE DECRD SLGTLY IN S-CNTRL PORTION OF
FCST AREA IN LINE WITH CONSISTENT MODEL TRENDS OF WEAKER WIND
SPEEDS IN THIS AREA. ALTHOUGH GUSTS ARE BLW LCL NUMERICAL
CRITERION FOR HIGH WIND WRNG...HIGHLY-SATURATED GROUND AND GUSTS
OF 40-45 KT XPCD TO YIELD WDSPRD THREAT OF DOWNED TREES. THUS...
WRNG WILL CONT BASED ON IMPACT.

SGFNT SNOW ACCUMS CONT ALONG RDGS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS. GIVEN
XPCD INCR IN WIND AND PRESENT LOW VSBYS...BLIZZARD WRNG CONTS.
SNOW AMTS OF 1-2 FT SNOW LKLY...SPCLY AT HIGHEST ELEVATIONS.

LOW-LVL DRY AIR NR KFKL AND KBTP LEADING TO A BRIEF MIX OF PCPN
TYPES OWING TO WET-BULB EFFECT. HOWEVER...GUSTY WIND AND WARMER
AIR WILL ARRIVE SHORTLY...WHICH SHOULD LMT ANY WINTRY PCPN IN
THESE AREAS.

THERE MAY BE A NEED TO DIMINISH WDSPRD NATURE OF POPS LATE TNGT IF
CURRENT RADAR TRENDS CONT. BUT GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SOUNDINGS BCM
DPLY SATURATED AGAIN ON TUE...WHENCE WDSPRD LGT RAIN COULD BE
PSBL. PREV DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

THE FIRST BAND OF HEAVIER PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE
SANDY HAS BEGUN MOVING INTO THE WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. ONE CONCERN AS THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO MOVE IN
IS THAT 12Z MODELS HAVE INCREASED PRECIP TOTALS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. CERTAINLY DO NOT HAVE ANY PLANNED CHANGES TO THE
FLOOD WATCH. THE BIGGEST IMPACT THAT THE BUMP IN EXPECTED
PRECIPITATION WOULD CAUSE IS INCREASED SNOWFALL IN THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS OF THE WV/MD RIDGES...AND THAT SLIGHTLY LOWER
ELEVATIONS THAN ANTICIPATED ARE ALSO RECEIVING SNOW. AS A
RESULT...HAVE MARKEDLY RAISED SNOW TOTALS IN THE ELEVATIONS ABOVE
2500 FT...AND HAVE ALSO ADDED SNOW ACCUMULATION DOWN TO AROUND
1500 FT. BLIZZARD WARNING WILL CONTINUE FOR THE THREE CURRENT
COUNTIES...ALONG WITH ADDING A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
RIDGES OF FAYETTE AND WESTMORELAND COUNTIES. WITH SUCH HEAVY...WET
SNOW EXPECTED...COULD BE SUBSTANTIAL IMPACTS IN THOSE
AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS.

AS FOR WIND CONCERNS...850MB WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE ANYWHERE
FROM 65 TO 80 KNOTS. VERY HARD TO SAY JUST HOW MUCH OF THESE WINDS
WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE...BUT SHOWERS SHOULD BE ABLE TO
TRANSPORT SOME OF THE HIGHEST SPEEDS TO THE SURFACE. WINDS APPEAR TO
PEAK AROUND MIDNIGHT AND SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH AFTER THAT.

THE CIRCULATION WITH HURRICANE SANDY AS IT BECOMES POST-TROPICAL IS
SUPPOSED TO WEAKEN AS IT HEADS TOWARDS THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. EVEN THOUGH THE CIRCULATION WILL BE APPROACHING...WIND
SPEEDS WILL BECOME CONSIDERABLY LOWER TOMORROW. PRECIPITATION
ACCUMULATION WILL ALSO COME DOWN...WITH ABOUT ANOTHER HALF INCH OF
RAIN EXPECTED TOMORROW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS REMNANTS OF SANDY MOVE TO THE NORTH...IT WILL CONTINUE TO BRING
RAIN AND SNOW TO THE REGION. SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WILL FLOW IN OFF
LAKE ERIE...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR AN EXPANSION OF SNOW INTO THE PA
RIDGES. STILL UNSURE OF JUST HOW MUCH SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGHOUT THE RIDGES IN ALL 3 STATES...AND WILL NOT ISSUE ANY
HEADLINES FOR THE TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY PERIOD AT THIS TIME.
CIRCULATION MAY FINALLY BE FAR ENOUGH AWAY FROM THE AIR FOR RAIN TO
DIMINISH ON THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL
THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
MORE RECENT GEFS AND ECMWF MODEL OUTPUT APPEAR SLOWER IN THE LATE
WEEK EXIT NORTH OF THE COLD UPPER LOW INTO CANADA. THIS WILL
PROMOTE LOWLEVEL COLD NORTHWEST WINDS TO LIKEWISE LINGER ACROSS
THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY.

HENCE COLD INSTABILITY LAKE-ENHANCED UPSLOPE SHOWERS MAY LINGER INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY...PARTICULARLY THE
MOUNTAINS. TEMPERATURES MAY STILL BE COLD ENOUGH ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS FOR THERE STILL TO BE BOUTS OF WET SNOW.

WITH THE UPPER LEVEL JETSTREAM ACROSS THE NORTHERN U.S. BECOMING
MORE ZONAL THIS WEEKEND....EASTBOUND HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD PROVIDE A
DRY BREAK THIS WEEKEND. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM COMING EAST FROM
THE ROCKIES MAY SPREAD RAIN SHOWERS EASTWARD ACROSS THE UPPER OHIO
VALLEY LATE MONDAY.

PER RECENT GFS AND ECMWF MODEL OUTPUT...FORECASTED COLDER THAN
NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH SATURDAY WITH DAYTIME HIGHS 5 TO 8
DEGREES LOWER THAN NORMAL. HIGHS SUNDAY AND MONDAY COULD REBOUND TO
VALUES CLOSE TO NORMAL. IN GENERAL...NIGHTTIME LOWS WILL BE CLOSE OR
SLIGHTLY COLDER THAN NORMAL DUE TO THE PERSISTENT CLOUDS.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
INCOMING POST-TROPICAL STORM...HURRICANE SANDY...WILL MAINTAIN
LOW MVFR TO IFR RAIN AND FOG ACROSS THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY THROUGH
TUESDAY. STRONG WINDS MAY HELP KEEP VISIBILITY UP AT TIMES BELOW
THE STRATUS DECK.

THE RAIN WILL BECOME HEAVY TONIGHT WITH OCCASIONAL LIFR CONDITIONS.

INCREASING NORTHWEST WINDS WILL HAVE A MAJOR AVIATION IMPACT.
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 KTS TONIGHT WITH WIND GUSTS TO
50 KTS. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SOME LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR TONIGHT AS
NORTHWEST WINDS AT 2 KFT AGL CAN BE 70 KTS.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DECREASE TUESDAY...TO 15 KTS WITH GUSTS
TO 25 KTS BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.OUTLOOK.../TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
IFR CONDITIONS WITH RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THE COLD
UPPER LOW CENTER...HAVING ABSORBED POST-TROPICAL SANDY...WILL BE
SLOW TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD NEW YORK AND QUEBEC. WINDS ACROSS
THE AREA WILL BE 10-15KTS AFTER WEDNESDAY MORNING.

SHOWERS AND IFR RESTRICTIONS SHOULD BECOME LESS FREQUENT THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY...AS THE COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTER SLOWLY EXITS NORTH.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
CONCUR WITH RECENT HPC AND OHRFC FORECASTS RAIN AMOUNTS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BE GENERALLY 2 TO 3 INCHES. LOCATIONS NEAR
THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS CAN GET UP TO 4.5 INCHES...ALTHOUGH SOME
OF THIS WILL BE WET SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF WEST
VIRGINIA AND WESTERN MARYLAND. THE MUSKINGUM RIVER BASIN WILL GET
SLIGHTLY LESS...AT 1.5 TO 2 INCHES.

AS A RESULT OF THE CONTINUED FORECAST OF SUCH HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS...
A RIVER FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE
YOUGHIOGHENY...MONONGAHELA AND CONEMAUGH RIVERS.

IF THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE REALIZED...THE MORE SENSITIVE
HEADWATER POINTS ON THE CONEMAUGH AND YOUGHIOGHENY RIVERS COULD
REACH FLOOD STAGE BY MIDDAY TUESDAY.

LOCATIONS GETTING MORE THAN 2 INCHES OF THIS RAIN IN LESS THAN 12
HOURS MAY SEE SMALL STREAM FLOODING TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. HENCE THE
FLOOD WATCH FOR SMALL STREAMS CONTINUES ACROSS THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY
INTO LATE TUESDAY.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY FOR MDZ001.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR MDZ001.
     BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR MDZ001.
OH...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY FOR OHZ039>041-
     048>050-057>059-068-069.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR OHZ039>041-048>050-
     057>059-068-069.
PA...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY FOR PAZ007>009-
     013>016-020>023-029-031-073>076.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR PAZ007>009-013>016-
     020>023-029-031-073>076.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR PAZ074-076.
WV...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY FOR WVZ001>004-012-
     021>023-041.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR WVZ001>004-012-021>023-
     041.
     BLIZZARD WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR WVZ023-041.

&&

UPDATE...KRAMAR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
536 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-029-
031-073-075-WVZ001>004-012-021-022-301200-
TUSCARAWAS-CARROLL-COLUMBIANA-COSHOCTON-HARRISON-JEFFERSON OH-
MUSKINGUM-GUERNSEY-BELMONT-NOBLE-MONROE-MERCER-VENANGO-FOREST-
LAWRENCE-BUTLER-CLARION-JEFFERSON PA-BEAVER-ALLEGHENY-ARMSTRONG-
INDIANA-WASHINGTON-GREENE-WESTMORELAND-FAYETTE-HANCOCK-BROOKE-OHIO-
MARSHALL-WETZEL-MARION-MONONGALIA-
536 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA...SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...WEST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE OF
WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MDZ001-WVZ023-041-301200-
GARRETT-PRESTON-TUCKER-
536 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MARYLAND AND NORTHERN
WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.
   BLIZZARD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.
   BLIZZARD WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PAZ074-076-301200-
WESTMORELAND RIDGES-FAYETTE RIDGES-
536 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.
   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.
   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
924 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0850 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG LEEPER                  41.37N  79.30W
10/29/2012                   CLARION            PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON LENCER DR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1201089

RG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
953 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0334 PM     SNOW             DAVIS                   39.13N  79.47W
10/29/2012  M1.6 INCH        TUCKER             WV   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HEAVY WET SNOW FALLING. ROADS COVERED. VISIBILITY
            AROUND 1 4 MILE

0355 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 SE BUTLER             40.84N  79.87W
10/29/2012                   BUTLER             PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN

0410 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 SE FERNWAY            40.68N  80.12W
10/29/2012                   BUTLER             PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN

0428 PM     SNOW             OAKLAND                 39.41N  79.41W
10/29/2012  M3.0 INCH        GARRETT            MD   PUBLIC

0436 PM     HEAVY RAIN       GREENSBURG              40.30N  79.54W
10/29/2012  M1.50 INCH       WESTMORELAND       PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TOTAL SINCE LAST NIGHT

0444 PM     SNOW             CRANESVILLE             39.55N  79.49W
10/29/2012  M1.5 INCH        PRESTON            WV   TRAINED SPOTTER

0445 PM     SNOW             TERRA ALTA              39.44N  79.54W
10/29/2012  M2.0 INCH        PRESTON            WV   BROADCAST MEDIA

0455 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG CABOT                   40.76N  79.77W
10/29/2012                   BUTLER             PA   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWN ON STONY HOLLOW ROAD. ROAD IS CLOSED

0500 PM     HEAVY RAIN       WEST NEWTON             40.21N  79.77W
10/29/2012  M1.27 INCH       WESTMORELAND       PA   PUBLIC

0515 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG DAVIS                   39.13N  79.47W
10/29/2012                   TUCKER             WV   911 CALL CENTER

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ALONG RT. 32

0515 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG CANAAN HEIGHTS          39.10N  79.43W
10/29/2012                   TUCKER             WV   911 CALL CENTER

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ALONG RT. 32

0535 PM     SNOW             MCHENRY                 39.56N  79.35W
10/29/2012  M3.0 INCH        GARRETT            MD   PUBLIC

0545 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG CROSS CREEK             40.33N  80.41W
10/29/2012                   WASHINGTON         PA   911 CALL CENTER

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ON STOLZE RD

0545 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG CROSS CREEK             40.33N  80.41W
10/29/2012                   WASHINGTON         PA   911 CALL CENTER

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ON MAPLE RD

0545 PM     SNOW             DAVIS                   39.13N  79.47W
10/29/2012  M6.0 INCH        TUCKER             WV   BROADCAST MEDIA

0546 PM     HEAVY RAIN       FAIRMONT                39.48N  80.15W
10/29/2012  M1.15 INCH       MARION             WV   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TOTAL SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING

0600 PM     HEAVY RAIN       GREENSBURG              40.30N  79.54W
10/29/2012  M1.20 INCH       WESTMORELAND       PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FROM 9 AM TO 6PM

0630 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG NEW CASTLE              41.00N  80.35W
10/29/2012                   LAWRENCE           PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN COUNTY WIDE

0630 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG SANDY LAKE              41.35N  80.08W
10/29/2012                   MERCER             PA   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWN ON LAKE STREET

0630 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG SANDY LAKE              41.35N  80.08W
10/29/2012                   MERCER             PA   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWN ON HAMILTON RD

0635 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG HERMITAGE               41.23N  80.44W
10/29/2012                   MERCER             PA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREE DOWN ON NORTH WATER AVE

0635 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG HERMITAGE               41.23N  80.44W
10/29/2012                   MERCER             PA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREE DOWN ON SUPERIOR AVE

0643 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BLOOMFIELD              40.46N  79.95W
10/29/2012                   ALLEGHENY          PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN NEAR THE BLOOMFIELD BRIDGE

0830 PM     SNOW             TERRA ALTA              39.44N  79.54W
10/29/2012  M7.0 INCH        PRESTON            WV   TRAINED SPOTTER

0830 PM     HEAVY RAIN       DONORA                  40.17N  79.86W
10/29/2012  M2.00 INCH       WASHINGTON         PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TOTAL FROM THIS MORNING

0830 PM     SNOW             OAKLAND                 39.41N  79.41W
10/29/2012  M4.0 INCH        GARRETT            MD   911 CALL CENTER

0834 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WEST MIDDLESEX          41.17N  80.46W
10/29/2012                   MERCER             PA   911 CALL CENTER

0838 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 NE MCDONALD           40.38N  80.22W
10/29/2012                   ALLEGHENY          PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON OAKRIDGE RD

0839 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG EDGEBROOK               40.39N  80.01W
10/29/2012                   ALLEGHENY          PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON TIMBERLAND AVE

0840 PM     SNOW             1 E AVILTON             39.65N  79.02W
10/29/2012  M6.0 INCH        GARRETT            MD   PUBLIC

0844 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG STRABANE                40.25N  80.20W
10/29/2012                   WASHINGTON         PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN ON BROWNLEE RD

0849 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG CURLLSVILLE             41.10N  79.45W
10/29/2012                   CLARION            PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN

0850 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG LEEPER                  41.37N  79.30W
10/29/2012                   CLARION            PA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON LENCER DR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1201057 PBZ1201065 PBZ1201064 PBZ1201058 PBZ1201059
PBZ1201060 PBZ1201062 PBZ1201061 PBZ1201079 PBZ1201067 PBZ1201068
PBZ1201063 PBZ1201069 PBZ1201070 PBZ1201072 PBZ1201066 PBZ1201071
PBZ1201076 PBZ1201077 PBZ1201078 PBZ1201074 PBZ1201075 PBZ1201073
PBZ1201080 PBZ1201081 PBZ1201082 PBZ1201084 PBZ1201085 PBZ1201087
PBZ1201086 PBZ1201083 PBZ1201088 PBZ1201089

RG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1003 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 PM     HEAVY RAIN       IRWIN                   40.32N  79.70W
10/29/2012  M2.15 INCH       WESTMORELAND       PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1201090

WOODRUM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1005 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1003 PM     HEAVY RAIN       GREENSBURG              40.30N  79.54W
10/29/2012  M2.40 INCH       WESTMORELAND       PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TOTAL RAINFALL SINCE 9AM

&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1201091

WOODRUM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1007 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1004 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG FRANKLIN                41.39N  79.84W
10/29/2012                   VENANGO            PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            20 TREES DOWN IN THE COUNTY...POWER OUTAGES REPORTED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1201092

WOODRUM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1008 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1008 PM     SNOW             2 SE REEDSVILLE         39.49N  79.77W
10/29/2012  M8.0 INCH        PRESTON            WV   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1201094

WOODRUM