Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 330, NWS Paducah, KY

July 26, 2012Butler County, Ripley County, Missouri

NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 26, 2012, 6:16 PM CDT for Butler County, Ripley County, Missouri. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 26, 2012, 6:16 PM CDT (23:16 UTC)
Expired: Jul 26, 2012, 6:45 PM CDT
In force: 29 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Butler County, MO, Ripley County, MO

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 26, 1:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	10 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 199 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2289 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -69 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 941 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -30 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

711 
WUUS53 KPAH 262316
SVRPAH
MOC023-181-262345-
/O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0330.120726T2316Z-120726T2345Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
616 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
  SOUTHEASTERN RIPLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 645 PM CDT.

* AT 612 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF   
PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60   
MPH.  THE STORMS WERE LOCATED EXTENDING FROM NEAR HARVIELL...TO NEAR 
DONIPHAN...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
  QULIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER INDOORS. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR
THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9035 3649 9079 3650 9091 3668 9087
      3683 9039 3665 9038 3665 9014 3664 9014
      3659 9017 3656 9017 3650 9022 3649 9035
TIME...MOT...LOC 2316Z 261DEG 22KT 3665 9036
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 26, 3:13 PM CDT, 3 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 26, 3:13 PM CDT, 3 hours 3 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
313 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 237 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

UPDATED MAINLY TO RAMP UP THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS A LINE OR BROKEN LINE OF STORMS WORK THEIR WAY FROM N/W
TO S/E DURING THAT TIME FRAME. ALSO MENTIONED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS/LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL AS PWATS ARE RUNNING UP CLOSE
TO TWO INCHES. WILL GO WITH LIKELY CHANCES FOR NOW...MAINLY THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG N/W OF THE OHIO RIVER..AND THEN THIS EVENING
FARTHER S/E ACROSS MOST OF WRN KENTUCKY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 237 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

SEE ABOVE DISCUSSION FOR MORE INFO ON DEVELOPING STORMS IN OUR
AREA TODAY INTO TONIGHT. IT NOW LOOKS AS THOUGH ANOTHER STRONG
IMPULSE MAY AFFECT THE THE EASTERN HALF OF THE REGION ON FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AS WELL. SFC TEMPS WILL HEAT BACK INTO THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR
100 AHEAD OF THIS SHORT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. GIVEN THE
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS EXPECTED AND THE LARGE SCALE ASCENT POSSIBLY
GENERATED WITH THIS MID LEVEL FEATURE...STORMS COULD ERUPT ONCE
AGAIN IN THE AFTERNOON OVER WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHWEST
INDIANA. IF STORMS DO MANAGE TO FORM...THERMAL PROFILES SUGGESTS
DAMAGING DOWN DRAFTS WOULD BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH DIME TO
QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

FRONT SHOULD SWEEP RAPIDLY THROUGH BY FRI NIGHT...HOPEFULLY TAKING
THE EDGE OFF THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY...BUT ALSO TAKING AWAY RAIN
CHANCES HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY) I
ISSUED AT 237 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE PLAINS WILL RETROGRADE WESTWARD
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  THIS WILL SET UP OUR REGION IN NORTHWEST
FLOW... ALLOWING A FRONT TO LIFT BACK NORTH OVER THE REGION.  MODELS
ARE ALL OVER THE PLACE AS TO WHERE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
WILL SET UP AND WHERE THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE.  INCLUDED SOME
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS NORTH AND WEST PORTIONS OF THE PAH
FORECAST AREA FOR SUNDAY NIGHT.  WENT WITH DECENT CHANCES MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY...WITH THE SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCES ACROSS OUR SOUTHEAST
COUNTIES.  STUCK WITH MAINLY DAYTIME CHANCES WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY.

AFTER ONLY SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY...A RETURN
OF SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS FOR THE
WORK WEEK.  TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB BACK TO THE MIDDLE 90S WITH DEW
POINTS BACK IN THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 DEGREES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1232 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

HRRR/4.0KM WRF MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO INITIATE AROUND 20Z OVER SRN IL/SE
MO AND SW IN. IF THESE STORMS DO INDEED FORM...THEY WILL LIKELY
MOVE SOUTH SOUTHEAST AS A LINE OR BROKEN LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
THEY ALSO WOULD ENCOUNTER VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS IN MOIST/SOLAR
HEATED AIR NEAR THE SURFACE. THUS... STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE
AT TIMES. BEST ESTIMATE/CHCS FOR STORMS LOOK TO BE FROM 22Z
THROUGH 02Z AT MOST TAF SITES ALONG THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY.-

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
     ILZ075>078-080>094.

MO...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MOZ076-
     086-087-100-107>112-114.

IN...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR INZ081-
     082-085>088.

KY...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
     KYZ001>022.

&&

UPDATE...MEFFERT
SHORT TERM...MEFFERT
LONG TERM....RST
AVIATION...MEFFERT

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 26, 4:52 PM CDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
452 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-271000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
452 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 7 PM TODAY. AREAS
THAT HAVE NOT SEEN THUNDERSTORMS YET THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE
TO HAVE HEAT INDICES NEAR 105 DEGREES UNTIL AROUND SUNSET. SEE THE
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING PRODUCT FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE TODAY AND
TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY HAZARD WILL BE LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.
ISOLATED STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK
APPEARS HIGHEST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
THE RISK IS MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN KENTUCKY...AND ALONG AND EAST OF
THE WABASH RIVER. ONCE AGAIN...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE
PRIMARY CONCERN...WITH ISOLATED STORMS PRODUCING DIME TO QUARTER
SIZED HAIL. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON AND OFF MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
EVENING. ACTIVATION MAY ALSO BE REQUIRED OVER WESTERN KENTUCKY AND
SOUTHWEST INDIANA FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 26, 5:38 PM CDT, 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
538 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GREENVILLE              37.13N 90.45W
07/26/2012                   WAYNE              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES. HALF OF COMMUNITY WITHOUT
            POWER. WINDS ESTIMATED 60 TO 70 MPH.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Jul 26, 5:39 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
539 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HEAVY RAIN       GREENVILLE              37.13N 90.45W
07/26/2012  M1.50 INCH       WAYNE              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAINFALL ACCUMULATION WITHIN 20 MINUTES.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Jul 26, 5:54 PM CDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
554 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0553 PM     HAIL             DONIPHAN                36.62N 90.82W
07/26/2012  M0.75 INCH       RIPLEY             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN THE COMMUNITY.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Jul 26, 5:55 PM CDT, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
555 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0554 PM     TSTM WND GST     BENTON                  38.01N 88.92W
07/26/2012  E55 MPH          FRANKLIN           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED WITH THIS STORM.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Jul 26, 5:58 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
558 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0558 PM     TSTM WND GST     HERRIN                  37.80N 89.03W
07/26/2012  E60 MPH          WILLIAMSON         IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALSO...LOTS OF HEAVY RAIN

&&

DLL

Local storm report, Jul 26, 6:02 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
602 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     TSTM WND GST     DUDLEY                  36.79N 90.09W
07/26/2012  E70 MPH          STODDARD           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PARKED SEMI TRAILERS BLOWN OVER.

&&

SMITTY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 26, 3:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Perry	48 min
Jul 26, 3:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Scott, Wayne	31 min
Jul 26, 3:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Scott	45 min
Jul 26, 4:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Scott, Stoddard	30 min
Jul 26, 4:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Bollinger, Butler, Stoddard, Wayne	39 min
Jul 26, 4:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Scott, Stoddard	31 min
Jul 26, 4:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Scott	32 min
Jul 26, 5:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Wayne	46 min
Jul 26, 5:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Bollinger	35 min
Jul 26, 5:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Bollinger, Butler, Scott, Stoddard, Wayne	50 min
Jul 26, 5:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Butler, Carter, Ripley, Wayne	34 min
Jul 26, 5:46 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PAH	Bollinger, Butler, Carter, Ripley, Stoddard, Wayne	3 hr
Jul 26, 6:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Butler, Mississippi, New Madrid, Scott, Stoddard	42 min
Jul 26, 6:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Butler, New Madrid, Scott, Stoddard	19 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2012 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.