Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 299, NWS Paducah, KY

July 18, 2012Union County, Kentucky

NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 18, 2012, 5:15 PM CDT for Union County, Kentucky. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 18, 2012, 5:15 PM CDT (22:15 UTC)
Expired: Jul 18, 2012, 5:45 PM CDT
In force: 30 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Union County, KY

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 199 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2917 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -33 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 858 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 63 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

566 
WUUS53 KPAH 182215
SVRPAH
KYC225-182245-
/O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0299.120718T2215Z-120718T2245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
515 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL UNION COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 545 PM CDT.

* AT 514 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF
  PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
  MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MORGANFIELD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
  5 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL UNION COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER INDOORS. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR
THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

&&

LAT...LON 3758 8780 3752 8790 3762 8800 3771 8789
TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 320DEG 6KT 3761 8790
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

1 follow-up statement

865 
WWUS53 KPAH 182236
SVSPAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
536 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

KYC225-182245-
/O.CON.KPAH.SV.W.0299.000000T0000Z-120718T2245Z/
UNION KY-
536 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL UNION
COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY UNTIL 545 PM CDT...

AT 535 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
 THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTH OF BRECKINRIDGE CENTER...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

LAT...LON 3758 8780 3752 8790 3762 8800 3771 8789
TIME...MOT...LOC 2236Z 309DEG 7KT 3760 8788
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 18, 3:04 PM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 18, 3:04 PM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
304 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 230 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

SOME WELCOMED CHANGES STILL EXPECTED IN THE SHORT TERM.

UNFORTUNATELY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON THE COMBINATION OF HIGH
AND HUMIDITY WILL PRODUCE HEAT INDICES FROM AROUND 100 OVER THE
SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE CWA TO AROUND 110 OVER THE NORTHERN AND
WESTERN SECTIONS. CLOUD COVER WITH ANY CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS
MAY PREVENT SOME AREAS FROM REACHING THEIR FORECAST HEAT INDEX...BUT
IT SHOULD BE NO PROBLEM ELSEWHERE.

BY LATE THURSDAY THE UPPER RIDGE SHOULD BEGIN TO RETROGRADE
ENOUGH TO ALLOW AN UPPER LEVEL TROF TO DROP SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE
LOWER OHIO VALLEY ON FRIDAY. THE TROF IS EXPECTED TO PUSH A WEAK
COLD FRONT SLOWLY ACROSS OUR CWA...SO WE EXPECT A BIT MORE
CONVECTION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER. WEST OF THE MIGHTY MISSISSIPPI EXPECT LESS
DEVELOPMENT WITH THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE UPPER RIDGE POKING IN
ALONG WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES ALOFT.

PRECIP CHANCES MAY LINGER OVER THE SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE CWA
FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE AFOREMENTIONED TROF AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY
CLEAR THE AREA.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 230 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY DECENT AGREEMENT FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD. WITH
THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT ON FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK
IN FOR THE WEEKEND GIVING US A SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER COUPLE OF
DAYS. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD BACK OVER THE REGION FROM THE
WEST NEXT WEEK. THE RIDGE WILL BE WEAKEST OVER OUR EASTERNMOST
COUNTIES AND HAVE INCLUDED SLIGHT CHANCES OF DIURNAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE RISE TOPPING OUT IN THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER 90S BY WEDNESDAY. HEAT INDICES WILL BE BACK ABOVE
100 DEGREES BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 230 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON BUT NO CONFIDENCE
FOR WHERE OR WHEN THEY WILL DEVELOP AND IF THEY WILL OCCUR NEAR ONE
OF THE TAF SITES. HAVE SCATTERED CU AOA 4K THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. CU
SHOULD DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET AND WINDS WILL DIE DOWN AND BECOME
MORE VARIABLE. EXPECT PATCHY FOG AFTER 06Z AT MOST SITES. AFTER 14Z
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PICK BACK UP BETWEEN 5 AND 10 KTS.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR ILZ089>094.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 10 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR ILZ075>078-
     080>088.

MO...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR MOZ110>112-114.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 10 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR MOZ076-086-
     087-100-107>109.

IN...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 10 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR INZ081-082-
     085>088.

KY...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR KYZ001>008-010-011-
     013-015-016-020.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 10 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR KYZ014-018-
     019.

&&

SHORT TERM...JP
LONG TERM....ML

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 18, 3:46 AM CDT, 13 hours 29 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
346 AM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-191000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
346 AM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM FOR THE NORTHERN HALF
OF THE REGION...WHERE THE HEAT INDEX WILL PEAK AROUND 105. THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE REGION WILL PEAK AROUND 100. REFER TO THE
ADVISORY PRODUCT AND SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR DETAILS.

A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST
AS WELL. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT...BUT
A STRAY STORM MAY BRIEFLY PULSE UP TO NEAR SEVERE LEVELS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT...BUT A STRAY STORM MAY
BRIEFLY PULSE UP TO NEAR SEVERE LEVELS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MAINTAIN ALERT STATUS IN CASE THEIR ACTIVATION IS
REQUESTED.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 18, 2:13 PM CDT, 3 hours 2 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
213 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

KYZ009-012-017-021-022-190400-
CALLOWAY-TRIGG-CHRISTIAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURRAY...CADIZ...HOPKINSVILLE...
GREENVILLE...ELKTON
213 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

...HEAT INDICES FROM 100 TO 105 THIS AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE MID 90S TODAY AND THURSDAY OVER
THAT PART OF KENTUCKY GENERALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM
GREENVILLE TO MURRAY. HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THIS AREA WILL RANGE
FROM 100 TO 105 IN THE AFTERNOON. FOR AREAS IMMEDIATELY NORTH AND
WEST OF THIS AREA...A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 10 PM
THURSDAY FOR FORECAST HEAT INDEX VALUES NEAR 105.

HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH THURSDAY WITH
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. HOWEVER...HEAT
INDEX VALUES ARE STILL LIKELY TO CLIMB TO AT LEAST 100 ONCE AGAIN
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

TO MITIGATE THE IMPACT OF THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY...DO NOT SPEND EXCESSIVE
AMOUNTS OF TIME IN THE SUN. DRINK PLENTY OF EXTRA FLUIDS...AND TRY
TO STAY IN AN AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENT.

JP

Local storm report, Jul 18, 2:54 PM CDT, 2 hours 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
254 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0252 PM     HAIL             7 N PEMBROKE            36.88N 87.36W
07/18/2012  E0.75 INCH       CHRISTIAN          KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DLL

Local storm report, Jul 18, 4:12 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
412 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0409 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HOPKINSVILLE            36.85N 87.49W
07/18/2012                   CHRISTIAN          KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ON ANTIOCH ROAD NORTH OF HOPKINSVILLE. A
            POWERLINE DOWN ON BUTLER ROAD

&&

DLL

Local storm report, Jul 18, 5:09 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
509 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 S HOPKINSVILLE        36.77N 87.49W
07/18/2012                   CHRISTIAN          KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LATE REPORT. TREE AND MULTIPLE 5 INCH LIMBS DOWN ALONG
            LONG POND ROAD. CORN FLATTENED.

&&

SMITTY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 18, 1:37 PM CDT	Excessive Heat Warning	PAH	Daviess, Henderson, Union	29 hr
Jul 18, 2:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Christian, Todd	44 min
Jul 18, 3:16 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PAH	Christian, Todd	70 min
Jul 18, 3:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Christian	53 min
Jul 18, 3:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Trigg	40 min
Jul 18, 4:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Christian	22 min
Jul 18, 6:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Calloway	27 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2012 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.