Frost Advisory 2, NWS Paducah, KY

Alexander County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Gibson County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, Perry County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO

605 
WWUS73 KPAH 072008
NPWPAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
308 PM CDT SUN OCT 7 2012

KYZ003-011-013-016-021-MOZ112-081000-
/O.EXA.KPAH.FR.Y.0002.121008T0700Z-121008T1300Z/
CARLISLE-LYON-CALDWELL-HOPKINS-MUHLENBERG-MISSISSIPPI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARDWELL...EDDYVILLE...PRINCETON...
MADISONVILLE...GREENVILLE...CHARLESTON
308 PM CDT SUN OCT 7 2012

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM CDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A FROST
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM CDT MONDAY. 

* EVENT...AREAS OF FROST CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...THE FROST COULD KILL SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS AND 
  OTHER VEGETATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT AREAS OF FROST ARE LIKELY. SENSITIVE
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED OUTDOORS.

&&

$$

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ004-005-007-010-014-015-
018>020-MOZ076-086-087-100-107>111-081000-
/O.CON.KPAH.FR.Y.0002.121008T0700Z-121008T1300Z/
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-LIVINGSTON-CRITTENDEN-UNION KY-
WEBSTER-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-
CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...
EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...
SMITHLAND...MARION...MORGANFIELD...DIXON...HENDERSON...
OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...
PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...
SIKESTON
308 PM CDT SUN OCT 7 2012

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM CDT
MONDAY...

A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM CDT MONDAY. 

* EVENT...AREAS OF FROST CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING. A WIDESPREAD FROST AND/OR POSSIBLE LIGHT
  FREEZE MAY TAKE PLACE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH DAWN IN SOME OF THE
  NORMALLY COLDER LOCATIONS...SUCH AS THE OZARK FOOTHILLS. 

* IMPACTS...THE FROST OR FREEZING TEMPERATURES COULD KILL SENSITIVE
  OUTDOOR PLANTS AND OTHER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS LIKELY. SENSITIVE PLANTS MAY
BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED OUTDOORS.

&&

$$

430 
WWUS73 KPAH 080743
NPWPAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
243 AM CDT MON OCT 8 2012

ILZ075>078-080>091-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ014-015-018>020-MOZ076-
086-087-100-107-081300-
/O.CAN.KPAH.FR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-121008T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KPAH.FR.Y.0003.121008T0900Z-121008T1300Z/
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER-UNION KY-
WEBSTER-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-
CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT BRANCH...
PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...
MORGANFIELD...DIXON...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...
PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN
243 AM CDT MON OCT 8 2012

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 8 AM CDT THIS 
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A FROST
ADVISORY...WHICH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 8 AM CDT THIS 
MORNING...FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND NORTHWEST KENTUCKY.

* EVENT...AREAS OF FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...THE FROST COULD KILL SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS AND
  OTHER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

ILZ092>094-KYZ003>005-007-010-011-013-016-021-MOZ108>112-080845-
/O.CAN.KPAH.FR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-121008T1300Z/
ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-LIVINGSTON-
CRITTENDEN-LYON-CALDWELL-HOPKINS-MUHLENBERG-RIPLEY-BUTLER-
STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...
BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...SMITHLAND...MARION...EDDYVILLE...
PRINCETON...MADISONVILLE...GREENVILLE...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...
BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON
243 AM CDT MON OCT 8 2012

...FROST ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS CANCELLED THE FROST
ADVISORY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF ILLINOIS AND WESTERN KENTUCKY.

PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER AND LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S TO
LOWER 40S WILL LIKELY PREVENT FROST FORMATION MOST AREAS.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
227 AM CDT SUN OCT 7 2012

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 227 AM CDT SUN OCT 7 2012

EARLY THIS MORNING...LIGHT RAIN SEEN ON RADAR OVER SW KENTUCKY.
YESTERDAYS MODELS WERE SOMEWHAT OVERDONE ON THE RAIN...AS THE
DRY LOW LEVEL AIR HAS WON OUT FOR THE MOST PART. WILL HAVE WHAT IS
LEFT OF ANY LIGHT RAIN ACTIVITY OUT OF THE AREA BY 12Z. TEMPS ARE
NOT FALLING AS FAST AS INHERITED FORECAST...SO ADJUSTED THEM
ACCORDINGLY. MAIN CHALLENGE IN THE SHORT TERM...IS WITH FROST
POTENTIAL TONIGHT.

TODAY SHOULD BE A QUIET DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD
INTO THE AREA. MAY TAKE A LITTLE TIME TO CLEAR OUT...AS THE H5
S/WV IS STILL SEEN MOVING SOUTHEAST FROM IOWA AND NRN MISSOURI
AND NE KANSAS. WILL CARRY DECREASING CLOUDS THROUGH THE MORNING.

SEVERAL THINGS COMPLICATE HAVING A HIGH CONFIDENCE IN WIDESPREAD
FROST ALL COUNTIES TONIGHT. AT 00Z...ANOTHER H5 S/WV OVER KANSAS
WILL REACH THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION BY 12Z MON. A
CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF HIGH CLOUD COVER WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SRN
1/2 OF THE AREA ESPECIALLY PRIOR TO MIDNIGHT. FROM 09Z-12Z IS
WHEN THE BULK OF THE HIGH CLOUD COVER SHOULD MOVE OUT. THEREFORE
AM INCLINED BASED ON CONFIDENCE AND LOW TEMP FORECAST...TO GO
PATCHY FOR NOW ACROSS THE SRN/SE 1/4 OF THE AREA. FARTHER NORTH
WHERE CLOUDS WILL BE LESS PREDOMINANT...WITH AN EARLIER DEPARTURE
MEANS WILL CARRY AREAS OF FROST. LOCAL TOOL MODELED FOR FROST
OUTPUT YIELDS AREAS GIVEN FORECAST RH...T/TD SPREADS YIELDED
IN THE GRIDS. IT IS IN THIS AREA WE WILL GO AHEAD WITH A FROST
ADVISORY. BASICALLY THE NRN 3/4 OF THE AREA.

MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL BE DRY...WITH A MODERATION IN TEMPS.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 227 AM CDT SUN OCT 7 2012

A SERIES OF FRONTAL PASSAGES WILL OCCUR DURING THE LONG TERM
PERIOD...KEEPING A RATHER PROLONGED PERIOD OF RAIN CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON TUESDAY
NIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDER CANNOT BE
RULED OUT...BUT ELEVATED INSTABILITY APPEARS TOO LOW TO INTRODUCE
THUNDER INTO THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROGRESS RATHER QUICKLY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS. THE FAST
MOVING HIGH WILL ALREADY BE EAST OF OUR REGION THURSDAY...ALLOWING
FOR A SLIGHT WARM UP.

ON THURSDAY NIGHT...ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS OUR
REGION. THIS COLD FRONT WILL STALL JUST SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA...KEEPING CHANCES OF RAIN IN THE FORECAST FROM THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY. THE HIGHEST CHANCES ON FRIDAY WILL BE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN COUNTIES. GFS SHOWALTER INDICES FALL TO ZERO TO MINUS 4
AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...SO CONTINUED MENTION OF THUNDER WITH THIS
FRONT.

THE FRONT WILL MOVE BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY. THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR OF A RATHER
IMPRESSIVE STORM SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS SATURDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE WITH THE FRONT AS IT TRANSITS BACK NORTH.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 227 AM CDT SUN OCT 7 2012

MID CLOUDS WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL BE NNW
UP TO 10 KTS. HIGH CLOUDS POSSIBLE LATE TODAY AND 1ST HALF OF
TONIGHT BEFORE MOVING OUT. WINDS TONIGHT NEAR CALM.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...FROST ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM CDT MONDAY FOR ILZ075>078-
     080>094.

MO...FROST ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM CDT MONDAY FOR MOZ076-086-087-
     100-107>111.

IN...FROST ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM CDT MONDAY FOR INZ081-082-
     085>088.

KY...FROST ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM CDT MONDAY FOR KYZ004-005-007-
     010-014-015-018>020.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
241 AM CDT SAT OCT 6 2012

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-071000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
241 AM CDT SAT OCT 6 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

AREAS OF FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE FOUR STATE
REGION LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.