Special Weather Statement, NWS Norman, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1155 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-211000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1155 AM CDT SUN MAY 20 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
A FEW MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THROUGH
THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS.  LIMITED INSTABILITY WILL KEEP STORMS
BELOW SEVERE LEVELS...BUT A FEW STORMS WILL PRODUCE SMALL HAIL...
FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.

SUNSHINE AND BETTER INSTABILITY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS BY LATE AFTERNOON.  A WEAK COLD FRONT
AND DIFFERENTIAL HEATING MAY HELP WITH THE DEVELOP OF
STORMS...BUT LARGE SCALE FORCING WILL BE WEAK AT BEST.  IF
STORMS CAN FORM...A FEW MAY PRODUCE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
QUARTERS ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN.  STORM
INTENSITY WILL DECREASE BY THE MID-EVENING.

PROBABILITY TABLE... VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT MONDAY MAY 21.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...20 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES WILL PERSIST MONDAY AS THE FRONT STALLS ACROSS
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA ON MONDAY AND THEN BEGINS TO RETREAT
BACK TO THE NORTH MONDAY NIGHT. THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS
RELATIVELY LOW.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED
5 AM MONDAY.