Severe Thunderstorm Warning 384, NWS Norman, OK

951 
WWUS54 KOUN 150259
SVSOUN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 957 PM 
CDT THU JUN 14 2012

OKC009-055-057-065-129-TXC155-197-275-150330-
/O.CON.KOUN.SV.W.0384.000000T0000Z-120615T0330Z/
HARMON OK-BECKHAM OK-GREER OK-JACKSON OK-ROGER MILLS OK-FOARD TX-
HARDEMAN TX-KNOX TX-
959 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM 
CDT FOR HARMON...BECKHAM...GREER...SOUTHWESTERN JACKSON...SOUTHERN 
ROGER MILLS...FOARD...HARDEMAN AND KNOX COUNTIES...

AT 952 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED 
THE LEADING EDGE OF A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF 
PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THE LEADING GUST FRONT 
WAS EXTENDED ALONG A LINE FROM ERICK TO JUST EAST OF GOODLETT TO 8 
MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUTHRIE TEXAS...MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ELK CITY...QUANAH...SAYRE...MANGUM...HOLLIS...MUNDAY...KNOX CITY...
CROWELL...ERICK...CHILLICOTHE...CHEYENNE...BENJAMIN...WILLOW...AND 
TEXOLA. 

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 38.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 3423 10005 3424 10001 3423 10000 3557 10000
      3577 9939 3463 9945 3340 9962 3340 9997
      3398 10005
TIME...MOT...LOC 0252Z 245DEG 37KT 3524 9991 3434 9985 3353 10024 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
638 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2012

.AVIATION...
15/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST
CYCLE. MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MVFR CIGS MAY OCCUR TOWARD AND AFTER 12Z ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF
OKLAHOMA BEFORE MIXING ALLOWS CIGS TO LIFT AND BREAK. AS FAR AS
STORM CHANCES...MOST SHORT-TERM MODEL SOLUTIONS ALLOW STORMS OVER
PANHANDLES TO APPROACH KGAG/KWWR BY 03Z BEFORE DISSIPATING
ALTOGETHER. MAIN FOCUS FOR ORGANIZED STORMS WILL BE ACTIVITY OVER
KANSAS THAT IS EXPECTED TO BUILD SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD KPNC BY 05Z.
WILL INCLUDE PROB30 AT KOKC/KOUN LATE TONIGHT WITH SOME MODEL
SOLUTIONS ALLOWING MCS COLD POOL TO SUPPORT TSRA THAT FAR SOUTH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  72  90  71  91 /  30  20  20  10
HOBART OK         71  92  70  93 /  30  20  20  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  72  94  72  94 /  10  10  10  10
GAGE OK           70  90  69  94 /  40  20  30  20
PONCA CITY OK     72  87  73  90 /  50  40  20  20
DURANT OK         71  91  71  91 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1155 AM CDT THU JUN 14 2012

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-151000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1155 AM CDT THU JUN 14 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA FROM THE EARLY EVENING INTO THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS OF FRIDAY.

LOCATION...
THE RISK AREA IS ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM STILLWATER
TO EL RENO TO HOBART AND CROWELL...TEXAS.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM
7 PM UNTIL 2 AM.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS
RISK AREA SHOULD BE READY FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS.

DISCUSSION...
VERY WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE IN PLACE ACROSS THE WESTERN
TWO-THIRDS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS.  STRONG HEATING THIS AFTERNOON
MAY RESULT IN A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BUT A BETTER
OPPORTUNITY FOR ORGANIZED STORMS WILL BE ACROSS KANSAS AND
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM ACROSS THE TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES BY LATE AFTERNOON...AS AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY MOVE
INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA DURING THE EARLY EVENING WITH A RISK
OF GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS TO 65 MPH.

FARTHER NORTH IN KANSAS...ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED AS
A COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTHWARD.  THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS KANSAS
MAY ORGANIZE INTO A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX AND PUSH SOUTHWARD
INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA BY MID TO LATE EVENING. THE STRONGER
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF HAIL NEAR THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS
AND WINDS OVER 65 MPH.  VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING
WILL ALSO BE A HAZARD.  THUNDERSTORM INTENSITY AND COVERAGE IS
EXPECTED TO DECREASE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT FRIDAY JUN 15.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...80 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...60 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING ACROSS PART OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
AND PERHAPS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. ANOTHER
OPPORTUNITY FOR THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED
BY 5 AM FRIDAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
830 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2012

OKZ021-033-034-036-TXZ083-084-087-150200-
HARMON OK-GREER OK-JACKSON OK-BECKHAM OK-HARDEMAN TX-FOARD TX-KNOX
TX-
830 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HARMON...WESTERN GREER...
SOUTHWESTERN JACKSON...SOUTHWESTERN BECKHAM...HARDEMAN...FOARD AND
NORTHWESTERN KNOX COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 827 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM ALANREED...TO 20 MILES WEST OF CHILDRESS...TO NEAR MATADOR...
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. IF THE STORMS MAINTAIN STRENGTH...SEVERE WIND
GUSTS AND POSSIBLY LARGE HAIL COULD MOVE INTO FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA
AND ADJACENT PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
POTENTIALLY SEVERE WINDS GUSTING OVER 55 MPH...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY. BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED OR IF STORMS THREATEN YOU.

&&

LAT...LON 3420 10005 3424 10001 3423 10000 3513 10000
      3519 9960 3423 9955 3350 9999 3383 10000
      3384 10005 3398 10005
TIME...MOT...LOC 0127Z 286DEG 21KT 3518 10070 3443 10065 3383 10098

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
856 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2012

OKZ021-033-034-036-TXZ083-084-087-150230-
HARMON OK-GREER OK-JACKSON OK-BECKHAM OK-HARDEMAN TX-FOARD TX-KNOX
TX-
856 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HARMON...WESTERN GREER...
SOUTHWESTERN JACKSON...SOUTHWESTERN BECKHAM...HARDEMAN...
NORTHWESTERN FOARD AND NORTHWESTERN KNOX COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

AT 854 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE WERE
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES WEST OF DOZIER...TO 15 MILES
WEST OF CHILDRESS...TO AFTON... MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. IF STORMS
MAINTAIN THEIR INTENSITY...WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED FOR WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
POTENTIALLY SEVERE WINDS GUSTING OVER 55 MPH...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE SITUATION CLOSELY. BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED OR IF STORMS THREATEN YOU.

&&

LAT...LON 3423 10005 3424 10001 3423 10000 3527 10000
      3531 9957 3452 9958 3360 9990 3364 9999
      3383 10000 3384 10005
TIME...MOT...LOC 0154Z 275DEG 19KT 3512 10050 3447 10051 3376 10084