Winter Storm Watch 3, NWS New York, NY

761 
WWUS41 KOKX 251106
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
606 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE THIS MORNING...
...SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND ICE POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

NJZ004-103-105-251215-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-121225T1200Z/
EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
606 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY.

TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING...ENDING THE THREAT OF
FREEZING RAIN.

$$

NJZ002-252100-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-121225T1500Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.A.0003.121226T1800Z-121227T2100Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-
606 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN PASSAIC COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY

* HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING DRIZZLE THIS MORNING. HEAVY
  SNOW...SLEET AND ICE LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...VERY LIGHT ICE ACCRETION THIS MORNING. SEVERAL
  INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION...ALONG WITH SIGNIFICANT
  ICE ACCRETION LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES 
  WILL BE IN THE LOWER 30S LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...LIGHT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS ON UNTREATED 
  ROADWAYS WILL MAKE FOR ICY TRAVEL THIS MORNING. HEAVIER 
  ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS TRAVEL 
  LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

NYZ069-070-251500-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-121225T1500Z/
ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
606 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...ROCKLAND AND NORTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTIES IN
  SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING DRIZZLE.

* ACCUMULATIONS...VERY LIGHT ICE ACCRETION THIS MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* TIMING...THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ICY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED SURFACES WILL MAKE 
  TRAVELING HAZARDOUS EARLY THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

NYZ067-068-252100-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-121225T1500Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.A.0003.121226T1800Z-121227T2100Z/
ORANGE-PUTNAM-
606 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...PUTNAM AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING DRIZZLE THIS MORNING. HEAVY
  SNOW...SLEET AND ICE LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...VERY LIGHT ICE ACCRETION THIS MORNING. SEVERAL
  INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION...ALONG WITH SIGNIFICANT
  ICE ACCRETION LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES 
  WILL BE IN THE LOWER 30S LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...LIGHT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS ON UNTREATED 
  ROADWAYS WILL MAKE FOR ICY TRAVEL THIS MORNING. HEAVIER 
  ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS TRAVEL 
  LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

CTZ005>008-251500-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-121225T1500Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
606 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...INTERIOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

* HAZARD TYPES...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATION OF A TRACE TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS
  OF AN INCH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* TIMING...THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ICY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED SURFACES WILL MAKE
  TRAVELING HAZARDOUS THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

265 
WWUS41 KOKX 251432
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
932 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE ENDING THIS MORNING OVER SOUTHEASTERN
CONNECTICUT... 

...SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND ICE POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

NJZ002-NYZ067-068-252245-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-121225T1500Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.A.0003.121226T1800Z-121227T2100Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM-
932 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...PUTNAM AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW...SLEET AND ICE LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
  THURSDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WEDNESDAY
  EVENING...FOLLOWED BY A POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCRETION
  LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...NEAR FREEZING.

* IMPACTS...HEAVIER ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE WILL MAKE FOR
  DANGEROUS TRAVEL LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

CTZ005-NYZ069-070-251545-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-121225T1500Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
932 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY.

TEMPERATURES ARE JUST ABOVE FREEZING AND LIGHT PRECIPITATION HAS
ENDED.

$$

CTZ006>008-251545-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-121225T1500Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
932 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...INTERIOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

* HAZARD TYPES...LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE.

* ACCUMULATIONS...A TRACE OF ICE ACCUMULATION.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* TIMING...THROUGH 10 AM.

* IMPACTS...ICY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED SURFACES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

JST

240 
WWUS41 KOKX 252045
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
345 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND ICE POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

NJZ002-NYZ067-068-261100-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.A.0003.121226T1800Z-121227T2100Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM-
345 PM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...PUTNAM AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW...SLEET AND ICE LATE WEDNESDAY INTO 
  THURSDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING...FOLLOWED BY A POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCRETION 
  LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30.

* IMPACTS...HEAVIER ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE WILL MAKE FOR 
  DANGEROUS TRAVEL LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

120 
WWUS41 KOKX 260915
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
415 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...SNOW AND ICE EXPECTED LATE TODAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING...

NJZ002-NYZ067-262200-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0003.121226T1800Z-121227T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0003.121226T1800Z-121227T1600Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-
415 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW AND ICE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN PASSAIC COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY AND ORANGE COUNTY IN
  SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW...SLEET AND ICE LATE TODAY INTO
  THURSDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...ALONG WITH
  AROUND ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF OF AN INCH OF ICE.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 2OS TO LOWER 30S THIS AFTERNOON INTO
  THURSDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS
  TRAVEL LATE TODAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...STRONG
  WINDS COULD DOWN SNOW AND ICE COVERED TREE LIMBS...POWER LINES
  AND HOLIDAY DECORATIONS...AND CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE. POWER
  OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NYZ068-262200-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0003.121226T1800Z-121227T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0010.121226T1800Z-121227T1100Z/
PUTNAM-
415 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND ICE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...PUTNAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW...SLEET AND ICE LATE TODAY INTO
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...ALONG WITH
  UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
  THURSDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS
  TRAVEL LATE TODAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. IN
  ADDITION...STRONG WINDS COULD DOWN SNOW AND ICE COVERED TREE
  LIMBS...POWER LINES AND HOLIDAY DECORATIONS...AND CAUSE MINOR
  PROPERTY DAMAGE. POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

CTZ005-006-NJZ103-NYZ069-070-262200-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0010.121226T1800Z-121227T1100Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN BERGEN-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
415 AM EST WED DEC 26 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND ICE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...AS
  WELL AS WESTERN BERGEN COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY...AND ROCKLAND AND
  NORTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND ICE LATE TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 4 INCHES...ALONG WITH
  AROUND A TRACE TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE.

* WINDS...EAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
  TONIGHT.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS
  TRAVEL LATE TODAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. IN
  ADDITION...STRONG WINDS COULD DOWN SNOW AND ICE COVERED TREE
  LIMBS...POWER LINES AND HOLIDAY DECORATIONS...AND CAUSE MINOR
  PROPERTY DAMAGE. POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
359 AM EST TUE DEC 25 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL PULL AWAY TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE NOSES INTO THE
REGION FROM ONTARIO. A NOR'EASTER WILL IMPACT THE AREA LATE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE RETURNING IN ITS
WAKE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. ANOTHER COASTAL STORM MAY IMPACT THE
AREA THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
MID/UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE SLIDES FROM NORTHERN NY INTO NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND THIS MORNING...WITH SURFACE LOW PRESSURE...SOUTH OF
LI...TRACKING OFFSHORE. LINGERING DRIZZLE/LIGHT RAIN SHOULD
GRADUALLY TAPER FROM W TO E THIS MORNING AS THAT OCCURS. LOW-LEVEL
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL LIKELY HOLD TEMPS AROUND FREEZING ACROSS INTERIOR
TROUGH THE EARLY MORNING...WITH LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING
DRIZZLE INLAND...SO WILL CONTINUE ADVY THERE UNTIL 10 AM.

GUSTY NW FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON BETWEEN THE
DEPARTING LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE NOSE IN FROM ONTARIO...WHICH SHOULD
ALLOW FOR LATE DAY CLEARING CONDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/...
SHORTWAVE RIDGING SURFACE/ALOFT WORKS OVER THE AREA TONIGHT. TEMPS
WILL EB TRICKY TONIGHT AS LIGHT N FLOW AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ALLOWS
TEMPS TO FALL QUICKLY ACROSS OUTLYING AREAS THIS EVENING. BUT
INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE NIGHT...SHOULD
STABILIZE OR EVEN ALLOW TEMPS TO RISE IN SPOTS. OVERALL...TEMPS WILL
BE NEAR SEASONABLE...WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S INVOF NYC...20S MOST
ELSEWHERE...AND SOME TEENS WELL INLAND.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
***A NOR'EASTER IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY***

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH AN UPPER TROUGH DIGGING THROUGH THE
DEEP SOUTH TODAY...AND INTENSIFYING AS IT SWINGS THROUGH THE TENNESSEE
RIVER VALLEY AND TOWARDS THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO WED NIGHT. AS A
RESULT...LOW PRESSURE OVER TX THIS MORNING WILL INTENSIFY AS IT
TRACKS THROUGH THE LOWER MS AND OHIO VALLEYS THROUGH WED. SECONDARY
CYCLOGENESIS WILL TAKE PLACE ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COASTAL
PLAIN...WITH MODELS FAIRLY WELL CLUSTERED IN TRACKING LOWER PRESSURE
JUST S OF THE AREA THU MORNING INTO THU AFTERNOON. MODEL GUIDANCE
ALSO APPEARS TO HAVE SPED UP SLIGHTLY...SO HAVE ADJUSTED POPS
SLIGHTLY EARLIER...BY ABOUT 3 HRS.

CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN THE MAIN IMPACTS CONSISTING OF STRONG EASTERLY
WINDS...HEAVY PRECIPITATION AND COASTAL FLOODING LATE WED THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING.

IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION...THE EVENT CONTINUES TO LOOK AS MAINLY A
RAIN EVENT FOR THE COAST WITH A STRONG EASTERLY COMPONENT TO THE
FLOW. WITH MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH LOW PRESSURE TRACKING JUST
SE OF THE REGION...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING IN A WINTRY MIX FOR THE
INTERIOR. HIGHEST IMPACT LOOKS TO BE ACROSS FAR NW ZONES OF ORANGE
PUTNAM AND WESTERN PASSAIC WHERE A PERIOD OF HEAVY WET SNOW COULD
DROP SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW BEFORE A TRANSITION TO SLEET AND A FEW
TENTHS OF AN INCH OF FREEZING RAIN. WILL ISSUE WINTER STORM WATCH FOR
THOSE ZONES. A FEW INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET AND COUPLE TENTHS OF
INCH ICE IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NEXT TIER SOUTH OF ZONES. ALONG THE
COAST ONLY A BRIEF START AS SNOW OR SLEET IS EXPECTED LATE WED.

IN TERMS OF WINDS....ELY WINDS INCREASE DURING WED AFTN WITH A 55-65
KT LLJ DEVELOPING IN THE EVENING INTO OVERNIGHT. 25 TO 40 MPH
SUSTAINED EASTERLY WINDS AND GUSTS OF 50-60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WED
EVENING INTO WED NIGHT. HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG THE COAST WITH
ANTICIPATED STEPPER LAPSE RATES. WILL ISSUE HIGH WIND WATCH TO
ADDRESS THIS POTENTIAL FOR THE CITY AND COAST. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
FROM SW TO NE EARLY THUS MORNING. NW WINDS BEHIND THE STORM WILL NOT
BE AS STRONG. STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH SATURATED GROUNDS AND/OR
WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND POWER
OUTAGES.

SEE HYDROLOGY AND TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS ON
THOSE THREATS.

STORM SYSTEM PULLS AWAY THU NIGHT WITH PRECIP ENDING W TO E. THEN
FAIR AND DRY WEATHER THROUGH SAT MORNING AS HIGH PRES
RETURNS.

LONG RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR
ANOTHER HIGH IMPACT EVENT THIS WEEKEND. GFS REMAINS
WELL OFFSHORE...AS DOES ALL MEMBERS OF THE GEFS. YESTERDAYS 18Z
RUN TRACKED IT NEAR THE 40N 70 W BENCHMARK. 12Z EC CONTINUES TO
TREND SOUTHWARD WITH THE CENTER OF THE LOW PASSING JUST S OF LONG
ISLAND. LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST...BUT THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
ANOTHER NOR'EASTER.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
***HIGH IMPACT EVENT WED AFTERNOON THRU THURS...SEE OUTLOOK BELOW***

LOW PRESSURE MOVES SOUTH AND EAST OF LONG ISLAND THIS MORNING WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTH AND WEST LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.

THE MOST UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST IS THE TIMING OF THE
CATEGORICAL CHANGES THIS MORNING. INTERMITTENT PRECIPITATION THIS
MORNING WILL REMAIN VERY LIGHT AND IN THE FORM OF DRIZZLE FOR CITY
AND COASTAL TERMINALS AND FREEZING DRIZZLE FOR MOST INTERIOR
TERMINALS. VERY LIGHT SNOW WILL PERSIST AT KSWF FOR THE NEXT FEW
HOURS BUT WILL BECOME MOSTLY FREEZING DRIZZLE TOWARDS SUNRISE.

THERE WILL BE SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE A CATEGORY LOWER OR HIGHER
THAN IN THE TAF AT TIMES. GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED TO START
BETWEEN 13Z-15Z AND THEN CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF TUESDAY
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME MORE NORTHERLY AND REMAIN LESS THAN 10
KT THROUGH THE PERIOD.

...NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...

DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS CAN
BE FOUND AT:  HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: VARIABLE FLIGHT CATEGORIES EXPECTED THIS
MORNING...IMPROVEMENT TO VFR EXPECTED BETWEEN 16Z AND 18Z.

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: VARIABLE FLIGHT CATEGORIES EXPECTED THIS
MORNING...IMPROVEMENT TO VFR EXPECTED BETWEEN 16Z AND 18Z.

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: VARIABLE FLIGHT CATEGORIES EXPECTED THIS
MORNING...IMPROVEMENT TO VFR EXPECTED BETWEEN 16Z AND 18Z.

THE AFTERNOON KEWR HAZE POTENTIAL FORECAST IS GREEN...WHICH IMPLIES
SLANT RANGE VISIBILITY 7SM OR GREATER OUTSIDE OF CLOUD.

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: VARIABLE FLIGHT CATEGORIES EXPECTED THIS
MORNING...IMPROVEMENT TO VFR EXPECTED BETWEEN 16Z AND 18Z.

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: VARIABLE FLIGHT CATEGORIES EXPECTED THIS
MORNING...IMPROVEMENT TO VFR EXPECTED BETWEEN 16Z AND 18Z.

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: VARIABLE FLIGHT CATEGORIES EXPECTED THIS
MORNING...IMPROVEMENT TO VFR EXPECTED BETWEEN 16Z AND 18Z.

.OUTLOOK FOR 06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
.TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY...VFR.
.WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS IN
RAIN/SNOW. PRECIP CHANGES TO ALL RAIN FOR SOUTHERN TERMINALS
WEDNESDAY EVENING...WHILE SNOW OR A WINTRY MIX IS LIKELY FOR THE
INTERIOR...MAINLY AT KSWF. PRECIPITATION WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES.
EAST WINDS 25-35 KT WITH 40-50 KT GUSTS LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT ...THEN WEST TO NW WINDS 15-20 KT WITH 25-30 KT
GUSTS ON THURSDAY. CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR LATE THURSDAY.
.FRIDAY...VFR. NW WINDS 15-20 KT WITH 20-30 KT GUSTS.
.SATURDAY...VFR...LOWERING TO MVFR AND LOWER LATE AS ANOTHER STORM
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST.

&&

.MARINE...
BUOY NOTE...WINDS AT 44025 ARE OTS UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

SUBS SCA CONDS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. NW WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 20
KT EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF DEPARTING LOW
PRESSURE...SUBSIDING TONIGHT.

A NOREASTER IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WATERS LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH THE
DAY...WITH STORM FORCE WINDS LIKELY ON ALL WATERS FROM LATE WED INTO
THU MORNING. THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY HIGH OCEAN SEAS...AND WAVES
OF 4 TO 7 FT ON LI SOUND.

WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO SCA OR LESS AS THE CENTER OF THE LOW PASSES
JUST S OF LI AND LLJ PASSES NE...BUT INCREASE OUT OF THE NW TO SCA
OR MARGINAL GALES BEHIND IT. SCA TO GALES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
FRI. TRANQUIL WEATHER THEN EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
STORM TOTAL PRECIPITATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...IS
EXPECTED ON AVERAGE FROM WED AFTN/EVE THROUGH THU EVE. THE
POSSIBILITY FOR URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING EXISTS.

LATEST ENSEMBLE RIVER FORECASTS AND RFC FORECASTS KEEP OUR RIVERS
FORECAST POINTS ACROSS OUR AREA AT ACTION STAGE OR BELOW.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
AN APPROACHING COASTAL STORM LATE WED INTO WED NIGHT WILL BRING A
THREAT OF COASTAL FLOODING. TIDAL SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FT IS LIKELY...BUT THE
TIMING OF THE SURGE WILL DETERMINE IF MODERATE STORM TIDE BENCHMARKS
ARE REACHED. 2 1/2 TO 3 FT DEPARTURES ARE NEEDED TO REACH MINOR
BENCHMARKS WED EVE...AND 2 TO 2 1/2 FT FOR THE THURSDAY MORNING HIGH
TIDE. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT MODERATE BENCHMARKS COULD BE REACHED
ACROSS WESTERN LI SOUND WITH WED NIGHT HIGH TIDE. IF THE STORM SLOW
DOWN...MODERATE BENCHMARKS COULD BE REACHED ACROSS THE NYC
METRO...SOUTH SHORE BAYS...AND TWIN FORKS OF LI.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
     NIGHT FOR CTZ009>012.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     CTZ005>008.
NY...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
     NIGHT FOR NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR NYZ069-
     070.
     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR NYZ067-068.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     NYZ067-068.
NJ...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
     NIGHT FOR NJZ006.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR NJZ002-
     004-103-105.
     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR NJZ002.
MARINE...STORM WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
     NIGHT FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NV
NEAR TERM...NV
SHORT TERM...NV
LONG TERM...NV
AVIATION...BC
MARINE...NV
HYDROLOGY...NV
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...NV

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
539 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012

CTZ009>012-NJZ006-104-106>108-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-252245-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON-EASTERN BERGEN-EASTERN ESSEX-
WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
539 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A NOR'EASTER IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. HIGH WINDS...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AND HEAVY
PRECIPITATION...WHICH COULD BE A WINTRY MIX NORTH AND WEST OF
METRO NY/NJ...COASTAL CT AND LONG ISLAND...ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NJZ002-004-103-105-NYZ069-070-252245-
WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
539 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

A NOR'EASTER IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. STRONG WINDS AND A SIGNIFICANT WINTRY MIX OF
PRECIPITATION ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ005>008-NYZ067-068-252245-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-ORANGE-PUTNAM-
539 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

A NOR'EASTER IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. STRONG WINDS AND A SIGNIFICANT WINTRY MIX OF
PRECIPITATION ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-252245-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
539 PM EST MON DEC 24 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A NOR'EASTER IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. STRONG GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS ARE
LIKELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.