Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 99, NWS New York, NY
NWS New York, NY issued this small craft advisory at Dec 9, 2012, 3:49 AM EST. It took effect at Dec 9, 2012, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 50 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 9, 2012, 3:49 AM EST (08:49 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 9, 2012, 1:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Dec 11, 2012, 3:08 PM EST
- In force
- 50 hr
- Issued by
- NWS New York, NY
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
096 WHUS71 KOKX 090849 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 349 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...ROUGH CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA WATERS LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... ANZ350-353-355-091700- /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.121209T1800Z-121210T2300Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 349 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST MONDAY. * LOCATION...WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK PT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 8 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. HIGHEST SEAS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-335-340-345-091700- /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.121209T2300Z-121210T1100Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 349 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST MONDAY. * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ PW
11 follow-up statements
404 WHUS71 KOKX 091136 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 636 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...ROUGH CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA WATERS LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... ANZ350-353-355-092115- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.121209T1800Z-121210T2300Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 636 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * LOCATION...WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK PT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. HIGHEST SEAS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-335-340-345-092115- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.121209T2300Z-121210T1100Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 636 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST MONDAY... * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
430 WHUS71 KOKX 092038 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 338 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...ROUGH CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA WATERS TONIGHT...CONTINUING ON THE OCEAN WATERS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... ANZ335-345-092145- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.121209T2300Z-121210T1100Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 338 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. A GUST OR TWO UP TO 25 KT WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...HOWEVER FREQUENT GUSTS TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 20 KT. $$ ANZ350-353-355-092200- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121211T1100Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 338 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY... * LOCATION...WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK PT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...EAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT...BECOMING S LATE TONIGHT...THEN W LATE MONDAY NIGHT. * SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS EXPECTED MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-340-092200- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.121209T2300Z-121210T1100Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 338 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY... * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE EASTERN BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...EAST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT...BECOMING S LATE. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR LATE THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
174 WHUS71 KOKX 100115 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 815 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...ROUGH CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA WATERS TONIGHT... CONTINUING ON THE OCEAN WATERS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... ANZ330-340-100915- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121210T1100Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 815 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY... * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE EASTERN BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-355-100915- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121211T1100Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 815 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY... * LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS EXPECTED MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ MALOIT
109 WHUS71 KOKX 100842 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 342 AM EST MON DEC 10 2012 ...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN... ANZ330-340-100945- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121210T1100Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 342 AM EST MON DEC 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS THIS MORNING. THE ADVISORY HAS THEREFORE BEEN CANCELLED. $$ ANZ350-353-355-101845- /O.NEW.KOKX.MF.Y.0025.121210T0842Z-121211T0100Z/ /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121211T2300Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 342 AM EST MON DEC 10 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING. * LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET. * VISIBILITY...1NM OR LESS THROUGH THIS EVENING. * TIMING...SOUTH WINDS TODAY WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR AFTER THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ JMC
569 WHUS71 KOKX 101621 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1121 AM EST MON DEC 10 2012 ...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ON THE COASTAL WATERS... ANZ330-335-338-340-345-110100- /O.EXA.KOKX.MF.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-121211T0100Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 1121 AM EST MON DEC 10 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING. * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND SURROUNDING BAYS. * VISIBILITY...1 NM OR LESS. * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-355-110100- /O.CON.KOKX.MF.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-121211T0100Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121211T2300Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 1121 AM EST MON DEC 10 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... * LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET. * VISIBILITY...1 NM OR LESS THROUGH THIS EVENING. * TIMING...SOUTH WINDS TODAY WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR AFTER THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
469 WHUS71 KOKX 110000 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 700 PM EST MON DEC 10 2012 ...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ON THE COASTAL WATERS... ANZ350-353-355-110800- /O.EXT.KOKX.MF.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-121211T0800Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121211T2300Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 700 PM EST MON DEC 10 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST TUESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... * LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET. * VISIBILITY...1 NM OR LESS. * TIMING...SOUTH WINDS TODAY WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR AFTER THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. VISIBILIES WILL IMPROVE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-335-338-340-345-110800- /O.EXT.KOKX.MF.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-121211T0800Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 700 PM EST MON DEC 10 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST TUESDAY... * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND SURROUNDING BAYS. * VISIBILITY...1 NM OR LESS. * TIMING...THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
634 WHUS71 KOKX 110744 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 244 AM EST TUE DEC 11 2012 ...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ON THE COASTAL WATERS... ANZ330-335-338-110845- /O.CAN.KOKX.MF.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-121211T0800Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR- 244 AM EST TUE DEC 11 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. DRIER AIR HAS FILTERED IN BEHIND A COLD FRONT RESULTING IN IMPROVED VISIBILITIES. THEREFORE...THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ ANZ350-353-355-111545- /O.EXT.KOKX.MF.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-121211T1000Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121211T2300Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 244 AM EST TUE DEC 11 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET. * VISIBILITY...1 NM OR LESS. * TIMING...DENSE FOG WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN IMPROVE RAPIDLY BEHIND A COLD FRONT AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTH. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR AFTER THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ340-345-111000- /O.EXT.KOKX.MF.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-121211T1000Z/ PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 244 AM EST TUE DEC 11 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND BAYS. * VISIBILITY...1 NM OR LESS. * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
287 WHUS71 KOKX 110833 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 333 AM EST TUE DEC 11 2012 ...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ON THE COASTAL WATERS... ANZ340-345-110945- /O.CAN.KOKX.MF.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-121211T1000Z/ PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 333 AM EST TUE DEC 11 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. DRIER AIR HAS FILTERED IN BEHIND A COLD FRONT RESULTING IN IMPROVED VISIBILITIES. THEREFORE...THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ ANZ350-353-355-111645- /O.CON.KOKX.MF.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-121211T1000Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121211T2300Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 333 AM EST TUE DEC 11 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * VISIBILITY...1 NM OR LESS. * TIMING...DENSE FOG WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING... THEN IMPROVE RAPIDLY BEHIND A COLD FRONT AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTH. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR AFTER THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
862 WHUS71 KOKX 110952 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 452 AM EST TUE DEC 11 2012 ...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS... ANZ350-353-355-111800- /O.EXP.KOKX.MF.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-121211T1000Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121211T2300Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 452 AM EST TUE DEC 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 5 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... * LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 8 FEET. * TIMING...THROUGH TODAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
742 WHUS71 KOKX 111443 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 943 AM EST TUE DEC 11 2012 ...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS... ANZ350-353-355-112245- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121211T2300Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 943 AM EST TUE DEC 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... * LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE MORNING ON TODAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ MALOIT
891 WHUS71 KOKX 112008 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 308 PM EST TUE DEC 11 2012 ...ROUGHS SEAS OVER THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS EAST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET INTO THIS EVENING...AND EAST OF MORICHES INLET THROUGH TONIGHT... ANZ350-120415- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121211T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.SW.Y.0035.121211T2008Z-121212T1000Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- 308 PM EST TUE DEC 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY. * LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS EAST OF MORICHES INLET. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...THE HIGHEST SEAS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELLS CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ ANZ353-112300- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121211T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.SW.Y.0035.121211T2008Z-121211T2300Z/ FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 308 PM EST TUE DEC 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. * LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF CENTRAL LONG ISLAND. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET. * TIMING...THE HIGHEST SEAS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELLS CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. && $$ ANZ355-112115- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-121211T2300Z/ SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 308 PM EST TUE DEC 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. CONDITIONS HAVE FALLEN BENEATH SMALL CRAFT THRESHOLDS...THEREFORE THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ MALOIT
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 9, 3:26 AM EST, 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 9, 3:26 AM EST, 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
326 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2012
.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS TO THE NORTH. THIS FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NORTH TONIGHT AND
MONDAY. A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. A WAVE OF
LOW PRESSURE MOVES ALONG THE COLD FRONT TO OUR SOUTHEAST
TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS HIGH THEN SLIDES TO OUR SOUTH THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY...AND THEN TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA FRIDAY
NIGHT. A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST ON SATURDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
CHALLENGING FORECAST IN THE NEAR TERM. SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT...RUNNING PARALLEL TO A WEAK SFC FRONT AS IT SAGS JUST TO THE
SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY. LIGHT WINDS AND A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER HAS
RESULTED IN FOG ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. IN THE MEANTIME...HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE NORTH...AND THERE COULD BE SOME BRIEF
CLEARING ACROSS INTERIOR ZONES THIS MORNING. MUCH OF THIS DEPENDS
ON IF LOWER CLOUDS AND FOG SCOUR OUT...AND THIS WILL NEED TO BE
MONITORED.
MODELS THEN CONTINUE TO SHOW RAIN CHANCES INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON
FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AS THE WARM FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE BACK TO
THE NORTH. INCREASING LOW LEVEL LIFT WILL RESULT IN RAIN LATER ON IN
THE DAY.
TEMPS REMAIN COOL...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPS THROUGH THE DAY. MOS
NUMBERS SEEM REASONABLE AND ARE ACCEPTED. EXPECT READINGS IN THE MID
AND UPPER 40S.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
MID WEST TROUGH MAKES EASTWARD PROGRESS...BUT MUCH OF THIS UPPER
ENERGY MOVES WELL TO THE NORTH AS NEXT TROUGH DIGS ACROSS THE MID
WEST. AT THE SFC...LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO OUR NW TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
A WARM FRONT APPROACHES TONIGHT...AND WILL LIKELY MOVE THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. I DO BELIEVE MODELS ARE A BIT QUICK MOVING THIS
THROUGH AS THEY OFTEN TIMES ARE AT NIGHT. AREA WILL BE WARM
SECTORED AS COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST LATE IN THE DAY
MONDAY.
FOR TONIGHT...PERIODS OF RAIN CONTINUE. FOG IS EXPECTED AS
INVERSION STRENGTHENS AND BOUNDARY LAYER REMAINS SATURATED.
RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE WARM FRONT MOVES TO THE NORTH MONDAY
MORNING...WITH AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE CONTINUING. THEN
SHOWERS BECOME LIKELY LATE IN THE DAY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL REACH THEIR MINS EARLY...THEN WILL LIKELY
HOLD STEADY OF RISE OVERNIGHT. VERY MILD TEMPS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY.
HOWEVER...SOUTH WINDS AND CLOUDS WILL BE INHIBITING FACTOR. 60S WILL
LIKELY OCCUR ANYWAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT MONDAY-MONDAY NIGHT...SO USED A
NAM/GFS/ECMWF/SREF BLEND. SOLID AGREEMENT AMONGST THE NON-
AMERICAN MODELS AND THE SREF THAT THE AREA WILL BE IMPACTED BY A
WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE THAT DEVELOPS ALONG A COLD FRONT OFFSHORE
TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...SO USED A BLEND OF THESE MODELS IN
THAT TIME FRAME. FROM WEDNESDAY-SATURDAY...GOOD OVERALL AGREEMENT
BETWEEN THE GFS/ECMWF/CMC-GLOBAL...SO FOLLOWED A BLEND FOR THE
FORECAST DURING THAT INTERVAL.
WILL CONTINUE WITH CAT POPS WITH THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE MONDAY
NIGHT. IT APPEARS THAT ENOUGH COLD AIR WORKS IN AT THE LOW LEVELS
LATE MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY MORNING TO RESULT IN A RAIN/SNOW MIX OVER
WESTERN ORANGE COUNTY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...IF PRECIPITATION IS
STILL OCCURRING.
THIS IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ECMWF AND NAM LOW LEVEL THERMAL FIELDS.
CHANCE/SLIGHT CHC POPS TUESDAY IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK COASTAL LOW
PASSING TO OUR SE AND A PASSING 700 HPA SHORTWAVE. DO HAVE LINGERING
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS EARLY TUESDAY EVENING OVER FAR EASTERN ZONES...AS
THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY ON EXACTLY HOW FAST COASTAL LOW WILL LIFT
TO THE NE.
OTHERWISE...SW FLOW ALOFT TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH A
PASSING 500-700 HPA TROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WITH LIMITED MOISTURE TO
WORK WITH...HAVE GONE WITH A DRY FORECAST. NEAR ZONAL FLOW ALOFT
THURSDAY-FRIDAY...AS A RIDGE BUILDS INTO OUR SOUTH...WITH CONTINUED
DRY CONDITIONS. SW FLOW ALOFT THEN SETS UP AHEAD OF A NORTHERN
STREAM CUTOFF LOW/SOUTHERN STREAM TROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
WITH A DAMMING HIGH TO THE NE SATURDAY...HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
IN...DUE TO POSSIBILITY OF OVER RUNNING PRECIPITATION AHEAD OF THIS
CUTOFF/TROUGH.
FOR TEMPERATURES...USED A BLEND OF MAV/MET GUIDANCE MON NIGHT AND
TUE.
FOR TUESDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY USED A BLEND OF MEX/MEX ENSEMBLE MEAN/HPC
GUIDANCE WITH TEMPERATURES STARTING OUT NEAR NORMAL...THEN TRENDING
TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
COLD FRONT JUST ABOUT TO MOVE INTO THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE TERMINAL FORECAST AREA FROM 06Z TO 09Z...FROM KSWF
TO KGON.
WIDESPREAD IFR CIGS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY LIFT AND
BECOME VFR WITHIN A COUPLE OF HOURS OF FRONTAL PASSAGE.
VFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND PERSIST INTO THE
LATE MORNING AND/OR EARLY AFT BEFORE CLOUDS QUICKLY LOWER AND
THICKEN WITH IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS RETURNING BY 21Z. GUIDANCE
CONTINUES TO TREND FASTER IN BRINGING THE OVERRUNNING CLOUDS AND
RAIN BACK INTO THE ARE IN THE AFT.
WIDESPREAD IFR/LIFR CIGS LIKELY AFTER 00Z MON...POSSIBLY SOONER WITH
APPROACH OF WARM FRONT FROM THE SOUTH.
A LIGHT W/SW WIND TONIGHT BACKS TO THE NW FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE...AND THEN BECOMES E/NE IN THE MORNING. EASTERLY FLOW
GRADUALLY STRENGTHENS IN THE AFT TO 7 TO 12 KT AS HIGH PRESSURE
PASSES TO THE NORTH AND A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
.SUN NIGHT...MVFR OR LOWER IN RAIN.
.MON...S GUSTS 20-25 KT. MVFR OR LOWER IN RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SOME POTENTIAL FOR MVFR OR LOWER DURING THE FIRST HALF
OF MON NIGHT. NW GUSTS AROUND 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE-THU...VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
WINDS SHIFT BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT THIS MORNING. A GUST OR TWO TO
20 TO 25 KTS CANNOT BE RULED OUT OVER THE OCEAN ZONES...BUT EXPECT
WINDS TO TEMPORARILY DIMINISH AS THEY TURN TOWARD THE EAST. THIS IS
SHORT LIVED AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE NORTH...RESULTING IN A
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT. EAST WINDS INCREASE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...AND INTO TONIGHT. SCA HAS BEEN POSTED WITH THE OCEAN
ZONES OBSERVING SCA CONDITIONS FIRST.
AS WINDS TURN TOWARD THE SE TONIGHT...THEN SOUTH MONDAY...GUSTS WILL
BECOME LESS FREQUENT AS TEMPS WARM ALOFT.
WILL THEREFORE END SCA BEGINNING MONDAY FOR THE NON OCEAN WATERS.
SOUTH WINDS TURN TOWARD THE NW BEHIND A COLD FRONT MONDAY NIGHT. THEN
A GRADUALLY RELAXING PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY SHOULD PROMOTE SUB-SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ON ALL WATERS.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
VERY LIGHT AMOUNTS OF RAIN EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. 3/4 TO 1 1/2
INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AS
A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. THERE IS SOME
UNCERTAINTY TO WHERE THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS OF RAIN WILL
OCCUR...BASED ON THE EXACT TRACK/TIMING OF WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION TUESDAY INTO
TUESDAY EVENING...OTHERWISE DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THE END OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
TIDAL DEPARTURES OF 1 1/4 TO 1 3/4 FT ARE NEEDED FOR MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING DURING THE EARLY MONDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE. WITH THE
APPROACH OF A NEW MOON ON WEDNESDAY AND MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WARM FRONT...A FEW OF THE MORE VULNERABLE
AREAS MAY TOUCH OR SLIGHTLY EXCEED THEIR RESPECTIVE MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING BENCHMARKS.
TUE MORNINGS HIGH TIDE CYCLE WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED AS WELL WITH
A MODERATE SW FLOW AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. SOME
LOCATIONS MAY REACH THEIR MINOR BENCHMARKS AGAIN.
BY WED...TIDAL DEPARTURES DECREASE TO AROUND 1 FT ON
AVERAGE...ALTHOUGH THE FLOW WILL BE OFFSHORE BY THIS TIME.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST MONDAY
FOR ANZ330-335-340-345.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST
MONDAY FOR ANZ350-353-355.
&&
SYNOPSIS...PW
NEAR TERM...PW
SHORT TERM...PW
LONG TERM...MALOIT/PW
AVIATION...
MARINE...PW
HYDROLOGY...PW
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 8, 3:35 PM EST, 12 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 335 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2012 ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108- NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-092045- LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-NORTHERN FAIRFIELD- NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON- SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX- SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON- WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX- WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 335 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Dec 8, 11:10 PM EST, 4 hours 39 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1110 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2012 CTZ005>008-090800- NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON- 1110 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2012 PATCHY FOG WILL IMPACT INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING. WHILE VISIBILITIES WILL MAINLY BE FROM 1 TO 2 MILES...THEY WILL OCCASIONALLY FALL TO BELOW 1 MILE AT TIMES. A COLD FRONT WILL CLEAR THE AREA BETWEEN 2 AND 4 AM ALLOWING FOR IMPROVING VISIBILITIES. MOTORIST SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR RAPID CHANGES IN VISIBILITY... AND WHEN ENCOUNTERING FOG...USE LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS AND REDUCE SPEED AS NECESSARY.
The office that day
Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 3:39 PM EST | Coastal Flood Statement | OKX | Bronx, Kings, Nassau, Queens, Suffolk, Westchester | 17 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.