Small Craft Advisory 87, NWS New York, NY

984 
WHUS71 KOKX 190124
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
924 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-191000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121019T2200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
924 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...BAYS OF LONG ISLAND...AND NEW 
  YORK HARBOR.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AND REMAIN ELEVATED INTO
  FRIDAY AFTERNOON...DIMINISHING FRIDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-191000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121020T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
924 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL ATLANTIC OCEAN WATERS EAST OF SANDY HOOK 
  AND SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET.

* TIMING...WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT. THE STRONGEST
  WINDS ARE FORECASTED FOR FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON. THE
  HIGHEST SEAS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

649 
WHUS71 KOKX 190727
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
327 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-192000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121019T2200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
327 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...BAYS OF LONG ISLAND...AND NEW 
  YORK HARBOR.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* TIMING...TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-192000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121020T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
327 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KT.

* SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONG WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY BEFORE
  DIMINISHING TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JMC

735 
WHUS71 KOKX 191510
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1110 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS...

ANZ335-338-191615-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121019T2200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
1110 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

$$

ANZ330-340-345-192200-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121019T2200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
1110 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE BAYS OF LONG
  ISLAND. 

* WINDS...SE 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. 

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-192315-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121020T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1110 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. 

* WINDS...S 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. 

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FT.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS INTO THIS AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

677 
WHUS71 KOKX 192018
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
418 PM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS...

ANZ330-340-345-192130-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121019T2200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
418 PM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

$$

ANZ350-353-200430-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121021T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
418 PM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS EAST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET.

* WINDS...S 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS INTO THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ355-200430-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121020T2200Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
418 PM EDT FRI OCT 19 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET.

* WINDS...S 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS INTO THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

423 
WHUS71 KOKX 200432
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1232 AM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...

ANZ355-201245-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121020T2200Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1232 AM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET...MAINLY IN A SE SWELL. ROUGH CONDITIONS
  AROUND INLETS.

* TIMING...HIGHEST SEAS INTO THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-201245-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121021T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1232 AM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS EAST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET...MAINLY IN A SE SWELL. ROUGH CONDITIONS
  AROUND INLETS.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING. HIGHEST SEAS
  THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MALOIT

350 
WHUS71 KOKX 200816
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
416 AM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT...

ANZ330-335-340-345-201800-
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.121020T2000Z-121021T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
416 AM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM
EDT SUNDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND AND BAYS.

* TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ355-201800-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121021T1000Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
416 AM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND BE STRONGEST
  TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-201800-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121021T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
416 AM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS EAST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND BE STRONGEST
  TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

028 
WHUS71 KOKX 201046
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
646 AM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT...
...DENSE FOG OVER ALL BUT LONG ISLAND SOUND THROUGH 9 AM...

ANZ350-353-355-201900-
/O.NEW.KOKX.MF.Y.0022.121020T1046Z-121020T1300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121021T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
646 AM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING.

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* VISIBILITY...1 NM OR LESS.

* TIMING...VISIBILITIES WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH 9 AM. SEAS WILL BE
  HIGHEST INTO THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON
  AND BE STRONGEST TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. 

&&

$$

ANZ340-345-201900-
/O.NEW.KOKX.MF.Y.0022.121020T1046Z-121020T1300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.121020T2000Z-121021T1000Z/
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
646 AM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING.

* LOCATION...BAYS OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* VISIBILITY...1 NM OR LESS.

* TIMING...VISIBILITIES WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH 9 AM. WINDS WILL
  BE THE STRONGEST FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. 

&&

$$

ANZ338-201300-
/O.NEW.KOKX.MF.Y.0022.121020T1046Z-121020T1300Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
646 AM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING.

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR

* VISIBILITY...1 NM OR LESS.

* TIMING...VISIBILITIES WILL BE LOW THROUGH 9 AM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. 

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-201900-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.121020T2000Z-121021T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
646 AM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND.

* TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MALOIT

092 
WHUS71 KOKX 201304
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
904 AM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT...

ANZ350-353-355-202115-
/O.EXP.KOKX.MF.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-121020T1300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121021T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
904 AM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...SEAS WILL BE HIGHEST INTO THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL
  INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND BE STRONGEST TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ340-345-202115-
/O.EXP.KOKX.MF.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-121020T1300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.121020T2000Z-121021T1000Z/
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
904 AM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* LOCATION...BAYS OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BE THE STRONGEST FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
  THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ338-201415-
/O.EXP.KOKX.MF.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-121020T1300Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
904 AM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

VISIBILITIES WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES.


$$

ANZ330-335-202115-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.121020T2000Z-121021T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
904 AM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND.

* TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

416 
WHUS71 KOKX 201932
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
332 PM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT...

ANZ330-335-340-345-210815-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.121020T1932Z-121021T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
332 PM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-210815-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121021T1600Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
332 PM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...SEAS WILL BE HIGHEST TONIGHT...THEN WILL SUBSIDE
  SUNDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGEST TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

840 
WHUS71 KOKX 210252
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1052 PM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT...

ANZ345-210400-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121021T1000Z/
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
1052 PM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED AS WINDS HAVE FALLEN BELOW SMALL
CRAFT LEVELS AND ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SO.

$$

ANZ330-335-340-211000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121021T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
1052 PM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE EASTERN BAYS OF LONG
  ISLAND.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-211100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121021T1600Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1052 PM EDT SAT OCT 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...SEAS WILL BE HIGHEST TONIGHT...THEN WILL SUBSIDE 
  SUNDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGEST TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

721 
WHUS71 KOKX 210732
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
332 AM EDT SUN OCT 21 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE EASTERN OCEAN WATERS TODAY...

ANZ330-335-340-210845-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121021T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
332 AM EDT SUN OCT 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS...THEREFORE THE
ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

ANZ355-210845-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121021T1600Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
332 AM EDT SUN OCT 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS AND SEAS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS...THEREFORE
THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

ANZ353-211800-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121021T1800Z/
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
332 AM EDT SUN OCT 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE
  ISLAND TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 KT. GUSTS UP TO 25 KT EARLY.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...SEAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-211800-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121021T2200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
332 AM EDT SUN OCT 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND EAST OF
  MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...WEST AROUND 15 KT. GUSTS UP TO 25 KT EARLY.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...SEAS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

478 
WHUS71 KOKX 211755
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
155 PM EDT SUN OCT 21 2012

...CONDITIONS HAVE DIMINISHED ON THE EASTERN OCEAN WATERS...

ANZ350-211900-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121021T2200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
155 PM EDT SUN OCT 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

CONDITIONS THAT WARRANTED THE ADVISORY HAVE FALLEN BELOW CRITERIA
LEVELS. 

$$

ANZ353-211900-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0087.000000T0000Z-121021T1800Z/
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
155 PM EDT SUN OCT 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

CONDITIONS THAT WARRANTED THE ADVISORY HAVE FALLEN BELOW CRITERIA
LEVELS. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
221 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE EAST OF NEW ENGLAND DRIFT FARTHER EAST THIS
AFTERNOON. A WARM FRONT WILL APPROACH TONIGHT AND SLOWLY MOVE
ACROSS FRIDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. A WEAK
FRONT MAY APPROACH MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
FORECAST ON TRACK THIS AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST
TODAY. MEANWHILE...A LARGE CUT OFF LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT
PLAINS TO SLOWLY MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST INTO THE WESTERN GREAT
LAKES REGION CAUSING A SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE BY MIDDAY...RESULTING IN A GRADUAL INCREASE
IN CLOUD COVER. DESPITE THE INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER...CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN DRY TODAY. FOLLOWED A MAV/MET BLEND FOR HIGH TEMPS
TODAY...REACHING THE UPPER 60S IN NYC AND NE NJ...AND THE LOWER
AND MID 60S ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION...WITH ITS
ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT APPROACHING AND MOVING OVER THE
REGION ON FRIDAY.

CLOUDS CONTINUE TO THICKEN AND LOWER TONIGHT WITH RAIN DEVELOPING
ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA AROUND 10PM/02Z AND
OVERSPREADING THE REGION THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

INCREASING LIFT ALONG WITH AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM A
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET WILL RESULT IN A PERIOD OF CATEGORICAL
POPS ON FRIDAY. WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION THUNDER IN THE FORECAST
WITH CAPE VALUES AROUND 1000 J/KG AND 30 TO 35 KT OF DEEP LAYER
SHEAR.

DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF CONVECTION...FLASH FLOODING CAN NOT BE
RULED OUT. CONFIDENCE NOT QUITE HIGH ENOUGH THAT WARNINGS WOULD BE
NEEDED SO WILL NOT HIGHLIGHT IT IN HWO. PLEASE REFER TO THE
HYDROLOGY SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS ON POTENTIAL FLOODING IMPACTS.

A MAV/MET BLEND WAS USED FOR TEMPERATURES IN THE SHORT TERM.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
CLOSED LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL MOVE TOWARD SOUTHEAST
CANADA THIS WEEKEND. THIS CLOSED LOW SETTLES WELL TO THE NORTH AS
RIDGE BUILDS AND SLOWLY MAKES IT/S WAY EASTWARD IN TIME. THE RIDGE
IS EXPECTED TO FLATTEN SOMEWHAT BY MID WEEK AS WESTERN TROUGH TRACKS
ACROSS THE ROCKIES.

MODEL SPREAD NOT QUITE AS LARGE WITH REGARD TO INITIAL CLOSED
LOW...BUT DO SEE DIFFERENCES WITH UPSTREAM TROUGH BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD.

FOR FRIDAY NIGHT...GFS APPEARS TO BE A FASTER OUTLIER WITH REGARD TO
THE COLD FRONT. IN CONTRAST...00Z NAM MUCH SLOWER. ATTEMPTED TO
COMPROMISE BY INITIALIZING THE DATABASE WITH SREF DATA...AND FINE
TUNED THE DETAILS WITH AVAILABLE MOS GUIDANCE.

SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY EVENING MAKE EASTWARD
PROGRESS OVERNIGHT. THE BULK OF THE RAIN SHOULD PUSH EAST BY
SATURDAY...THEN A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST A
FEW DAYS. ON SATURDAY...CLOSED LOW MOVING NORTHWEST OF THE AREA
SHOULD RESULT IN MORE SC CLOUDS ACROSS THE INTERIOR. AN ISOLATED
SHOWER IS POSSIBLE.

THEN GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES ARE ANTICIPATED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY AS
CLOSED LOW TRACKS WELL TO THE NORTH AND RIDGE BUILDS.

AT THE SFC...A WEAK FRONT MAY APPROACH FROM THE NORTH TUESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY AS THE HIGH REMAINS SOUTH ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC. AN
ISOLATED SHOWER AT BEST WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT...WITH LITTLE
SUPPORT ALOFT AND PLENTY OF DRY AIR TO OVERCOME. THIS SHOWN ON MODEL
PLANE FIELDS...QPF.

TEMPS WILL BE SEASONABLE SATURDAY DUE TO SLOW MOVEMENT OF
FRONT...AND WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND THE LOW IN SW TO W FLOW.
COOLER AIR ALOFT SETTLES ACROSS THE NORTHEAST SUNDAY...WITH NEAR TO
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPS EXPECTED. THEN TEMPS REBOUND AS THE
RIDGE BUILDS EARLY NEXT WEEK. THESE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS NOTED IN
EXTENDED ECMWF MOS AND LATEST MEX MOS NUMBERS. A BLEND USED.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE E OF NEW ENGLAND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FARTHER E
THIS AFTERNOON. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST
TONIGHT...AND IMPACT THE AREA INTO FRI AFTERNOON.

STRATOCU FIELD THINNING OUT IN MOST PLACES...WITH JUST SOME BKN
MVFR CIGS EARLY ON AT KISP. S-SE FLOW SHOULD GUST TO 15-18 KT AT
TIMES...HIGHEST IN NYC METRO AND ALONG THE COAST.

LOWERING VFR CIGS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL SYS TO THE WEST
SHOULD BEGIN MOVING IN AFTER 00Z...WITH RAIN AND MVFR CIGS
POSSIBLY BY LATE EVENING AND MORE LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
IFR CONDS IN MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED JUST BEFORE
DAYBREAK...ALONG WITH LLWS AS SSE WINDS AT 2KFT AGL INCREASE TO
AT LEAST 45 KT...AND POSSIBLY A TSTM. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR
A BAND OF VERY HEAVY RAIN WITH LIFR CONDS FRI MORNING...AND
STRONGER SE SFC WINDS 15-20G25KT AND LLWS TO 50-60 KT FOR NYC
METRO AND POINTS EAST...BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT RUNNING HIGH ENOUGH
TO MENTION THIS YET IN TAF.

...NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...

DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS CAN
BE FOUND AT:  HTTP:/WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: A BRIEF GUST UP TO 20 KT IS POSSIBLE LATE
THIS AFTN.

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: A BRIEF GUST UP TO 20 KT IS POSSIBLE LATE
THIS AFTN.

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: A BRIEF GUST UP TO 20 KT IS POSSIBLE LATE
THIS AFTN.

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z FRI THROUGH MON...

.FRI AFTERNOON...LINGERING MVFR OR LOWER CIGS EXPECTED.

.FRI NIGHT...LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST. MVFR OR LOWER CONDS POSSIBLE
DEPENDING ON THE SPEED OF THE EXITING FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

.SAT...MVFR OR LOWER POSSIBLE EARLY IN THE MORNING...
OTHERWISE VFR.

.SUNDAY-TUE...VFR UNDER BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE.

&&

.MARINE...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS ON THE OCEAN
WATERS DUE TO LEFTOVER LONG PERIOD SWELLS FROM EX-TROPICAL
CYCLONE RAFAEL. THIS SCA WILL NEED TO BE EXTENDED IN TIME/COVERAGE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WHICH WILL IMPACT THE AREA
WATERS ON FRIDAY. SEAS WILL REMAIN AROUND 5 FT ON THE OCEAN WATERS
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...THEN INCREASE TO 6-8 FT ON FRIDAY. IN
ADDITION...WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 KT WILL BE LIKELY ON ALL
THE AREA WATERS DURING THE DAY FRIDAY WITH A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET
OVER THE AREA WATERS AND AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT WILL TURN
TOWARD THE WEST/SW SATURDAY AS THE FRONT PIVOTS EAST AND LOW
PRESSURE TRACKS TO THE NORTH OF THE WATERS. THEREAFTER...A GENERAL
WESTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA WATERS AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS AND REMAINS JUST TO THE SOUTH.

ROUGH SEAS FRIDAY NIGHT...SEEN ON WAVE WATCH III OUTPUT...SLOWLY
SUBSIDE OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS LOOKS QUITE
REASONABLE. THE SHELTERED BAYS/HARBORS AND SOUND WILL FOLLOW
WIND/WAVE CLIMO FOR SEA/WAVE HEIGHT FCST.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
DRY CONDITIONS TODAY.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1-2 INCHES ARE FORECAST FOR THE RAIN EVENT
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. SINCE THIS IS A RELATIVELY
LONG DURATION EVENT...THE MOST LIKELY IMPACT WILL BE MINOR
URBAN/POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING FOR SOME LOCATIONS. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY FROM LATE FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING. BECAUSE OF THIS...HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND LOCALIZED
RAIN TOTALS OF OVER 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING OR SIGNIFICANT URBAN/POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS AS THE
HEAVY RAIN MAY COINCIDE WITH THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
ALTHOUGH TIDES ARE COMING OFF ASTRONOMICAL HIGHS AND ARE ON A
TREND DOWNWARD...WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR WATER LEVELS FOR THE
AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE CYCLE. AT THIS POINT IT APPEARS THAT WATER
LEVELS COULD ONCE AGAIN APPROACH MINOR FLOODING BENCHMARKS LATE
THIS MORNING/AFTERNOON ACROSS THE MOST VULNERABLE LOCATIONS ALONG
THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF NYC/LI AND WESTERN LI SOUND.

WITH TIDAL DEPARTURES OF ONLY AROUND 1 TO 1 1/2 FT NEEDED FOR
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING DURING FRI AFTERNOON HIGH TIDES...AND THE
EXPECTATION OF STRONG S/SE WINDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL
SYSTEM...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY ACROSS VULNERABLE
LOCATIONS ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF LI/NYC AND WESTERN/CENTRAL
LI SOUND. BASED ON EXPECTED TIMING OF RAINFALL WITH THIS
SYSTEM...THIS FLOODING MAY WELL BE EXACERBATED BY HEAVY RAIN
COINCIDING WITH TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY
     FOR ANZ350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BC/PW
NEAR TERM...BC/SEARS/PW
SHORT TERM...BC
LONG TERM...PW
AVIATION...GOODMAN
MARINE...BC/PW
HYDROLOGY...BC
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
350 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-190900-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
350 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-190900-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
350 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.