Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 83, NWS New York, NY
NWS New York, NY issued this small craft advisory at Oct 10, 2012, 2:26 AM EDT. It took effect at Oct 10, 2012, 6:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 17 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 10, 2012, 2:26 AM EDT (06:26 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 10, 2012, 6:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 11, 2012, 10:42 AM EDT
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS New York, NY
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
872 WHUS71 KOKX 100626 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 226 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS INTO THURSDAY MORNING... ANZ338-345-101430- /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.121010T2200Z-121011T1000Z/ NEW YORK HARBOR- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 226 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT THURSDAY. * LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR AND THE LONG ISLAND SOUTH SHORE BAYS. * WINDS...W 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...WED NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-340-101430- /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.121010T2200Z-121011T1600Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 226 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT THURSDAY. * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE BAYS OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...W 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 6 FT ON EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. * TIMING...WED NIGHT INTO THU MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ335-101430- /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.121010T2200Z-121011T1400Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- 226 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT THURSDAY. * LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. * WINDS...W 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET...HIGHEST ON THE OPEN WATERS FARTHER EAST. * TIMING...WED NIGHT INTO MID MORNING THU. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-355-101430- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121011T1800Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 226 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS S OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...NE 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT INTO EARLY WED MORNING...THEN W 15 TO 25 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 8 FT. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS WED NIGHT. HIGHEST SEAS INTO EARLY WED MORNING...AND AGAIN WED NIGHT. SEAS MAY BRIEFLY FALL BELOW 5 FT WED AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GOODMAN
8 follow-up statements
156 WHUS71 KOKX 100748 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 348 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS INTO THURSDAY MORNING... ANZ350-353-355-101600- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121011T1800Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 348 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS S OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...W 20 TO 25 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 8 FT. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS TONIGHT. HIGHEST SEAS INTO EARLY THIS MORNING...AND AGAIN TONIGHT. SEAS MAY BRIEFLY FALL BELOW 5 FT THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ338-345-101600- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.121010T2200Z-121011T1000Z/ NEW YORK HARBOR- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 348 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR AND THE LONG ISLAND SOUTH SHORE BAYS. * WINDS...W 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-340-101600- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.121010T2200Z-121011T1600Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 348 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE BAYS OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...W 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 6 FT ON EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. * TIMING...TONIGHT INTO THU MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ335-101600- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.121010T2200Z-121011T1400Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- 348 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FT. * TIMING...TONIGHT INTO MID MORNING THU. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
526 WHUS71 KOKX 101601 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1201 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS INTO THURSDAY MORNING... ANZ350-353-355-110000- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121011T1800Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 1201 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS S OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...W 20 TO 25 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ338-345-110000- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.121010T2200Z-121011T1000Z/ NEW YORK HARBOR- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 1201 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR AND THE LONG ISLAND SOUTH SHORE BAYS. * WINDS...W 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-340-110000- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.121010T2200Z-121011T1600Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 1201 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE BAYS OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...W 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET. * TIMING...TONIGHT INTO THU MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ335-110000- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.121010T2200Z-121011T1400Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- 1201 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET. * TIMING...TONIGHT INTO MID MORNING THU. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
986 WHUS71 KOKX 101930 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 330 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS INTO THURSDAY MORNING... ANZ330-340-110400- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.121010T2200Z-121011T1800Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 330 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE BAYS OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...TONIGHT INTO THU MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ335-110400- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.121010T2200Z-121011T1000Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- 330 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-355-110400- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121011T1800Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 330 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ338-345-110400- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.121010T2200Z-121011T1000Z/ NEW YORK HARBOR- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 330 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR AND THE LONG ISLAND SOUTH SHORE BAYS. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
324 WHUS71 KOKX 102334 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 734 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS INTO THURSDAY MORNING... ANZ335-338-345-110830- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-121011T1000Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 734 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE LONG ISLAND SOUTH SHORE BAYS. * WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-340-110830- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-121011T1800Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 734 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE BAYS OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...INTO THURSDAY MORNING...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-355-110830- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121011T1800Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 734 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THURSDAY... * LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
467 WHUS71 KOKX 110548 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 148 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...STRONG WINDS INTO THE MORNING AND ROUGH SEAS INTO EARLY AFTERNOON... ANZ330-340-111400- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-121011T1600Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 148 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY... * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE BAYS OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...NW 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FT ON EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. * TIMING...THROUGH THE MORNING. STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS BEFORE DAYBREAK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ335-111300- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-121011T1300Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- 148 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. * WINDS...W 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * TIMING...UNTIL ABOUT MID MORNING. STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS BEFORE DAYBREAK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ338-345-111000- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-121011T1000Z/ NEW YORK HARBOR- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 148 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING... * LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR AND THE LONG ISLAND SOUTH SHORE BAYS. * WINDS...NW 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * TIMING...UNTIL DAYBREAK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-355-111400- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121011T1800Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 148 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...NW 15 TO 25 KT. FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. A BRIEF GUST UP TO 35 KT POSSIBLE. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FT. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS BEFORE DAYBREAK. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO RETURN LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AS W TO SW FLOW INCREASES AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
320 WHUS71 KOKX 110745 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 345 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...STRONG WINDS INTO THE MORNING AND ROUGH SEAS INTO EARLY AFTERNOON... ANZ338-345-110845- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-121011T1000Z/ NEW YORK HARBOR- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 345 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... WIND GUSTS HAVE DROPPED JUST BELOW 25 KT...THEREFORE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ ANZ330-340-111300- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-121011T1300Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 345 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE BAYS OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET ON EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. * TIMING...EARLY THIS MORNING. STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS BEFORE DAYBREAK. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ335-111300- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-121011T1300Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- 345 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...EARLY THIS MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-355-111545- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121011T1800Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 345 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...NW 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS BEFORE DAYBREAK. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO RETURN LATE TONIGHT AS W TO SW FLOW INCREASES AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ GOODMAN
818 WHUS71 KOKX 111056 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 656 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...STRONG WINDS THROUGH THIS MORNING AND ROUGH SEAS INTO EARLY AFTERNOON... ANZ338-345-111500- /O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121011T1500Z/ NEW YORK HARBOR- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 656 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING. * LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...AROUND 2 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS THROUGH MID MORNING. CONDITIONS SUBSIDE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-335-340-111500- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-121011T1500Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 656 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE BAYS OF EASTERN LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS EARLY THIS MORNING...DIMINISHING BY EARLY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-355-111500- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121011T1800Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 656 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS EARLY THIS MORNING. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO RETURN LATE TONIGHT AS W TO SW FLOW INCREASES AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
597 WHUS71 KOKX 111442 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1042 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...ROUGH OCEAN CONDITIONS INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON... ANZ338-345-111545- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121011T1500Z/ NEW YORK HARBOR- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 1042 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WIND GUSTS HAVE DECREASED BELOW 25 KT. $$ ANZ330-335-340-111545- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0083.000000T0000Z-121011T1500Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 1042 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WIND GUSTS HAVE DECREASED BELOW 25 KT. $$ ANZ350-353-355-111800- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0082.000000T0000Z-121011T1800Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 1042 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET. * TIMING...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA WINDS AND SEAS INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BUT LOWERING FOR REMAINDER OF AFTERNOON. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO RETURN LATE TONIGHT AS W TO SW FLOW INCREASES AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 10, 2:21 AM EDT, 5 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 10, 2:21 AM EDT, 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
221 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012
.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION OVERNIGHT...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY RETREATS TO THE
NORTHEAST. THIS TROUGH WILL LIFT THROUGH THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...FOLLOWED BY BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE
LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
GENERALLY BE IN CONTROL FROM LATE THIS WEEK INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...AS A SERIES OF FAST MOVING FRONTAL SYSTEMS MOVE ACROSS.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
00Z SOUNDINGS SHOWED NEAR SATURATION UP TO AROUND 800-750 HPA...
THEN DRY FARTHER ALOFT. THIS COUPLED WITH ONSHORE FLOW UP TO
AROUND 900 HPA TOPPED BY SW FLOW IS A TYPICAL SET UP FOR PATCHY
DRIZZLE. ALSO HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE TO LOW CHANCE POP FOR LIGHT
RAIN...IN NYC METRO AND ACROSS LONG ISLAND AT FIRST...EVENTUALLY
EXPANDING NORTHWARD THROUGHOUT DURING THE MORNING...AND THEN
LIFTING NORTH/EAST OF NYC THIS AFTERNOON AS THE ASSOCIATED
INVERTED TROUGH ALSO LIFTS TO THE NE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT.
AFTER LATE NIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S INLAND TO MID 50S IN NYC...
EXPECT HIGHS MAINLY IN THE LOWER AND MID 60S...PERHAPS MID AND UPPER
60S IN NYC METRO AND LONG ISLAND AS WINDS TURN WESTERLY IN THE
WAKE OF THE TROUGH PASSAGE.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
COLD FROPA NOW LOOKS TO BE DURING WED EVENING...A LITTLE SLOWER
THAN PREVIOUSLY FCST. SKIES SHOULD CLEAR FAIRLY QUICKLY AFTER
FROPA...AND GUSTY NW WINDS WILL USHER IN COOLER/DRIER AIR. FCST
TEMPS ARE A LITTLE BELOW COMPOSITE MOS GUIDANCE...WITH LOWS WED
NIGHT IN THE UPPER 30S AND 40S...AND HIGHS ON THU ONLY IN THE
UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
GLOBAL MODELS ARE ALL IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN
AND LACK OF DEEP AMPLIFICATION. A SERIES OF FRONTAL SYSTEMS WILL
TRACK THROUGH THE AREA...WITH LITTLE MORE THAN A CHANGE OF AIR MASS.
NONE OF THE SYSTEMS FEATURE MUCH UPPER SUPPORT AND MOISTURE TO
PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION. IN BETWEEN THESE FAST MOVING
SYSTEMS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GENERALLY BE THE RULE.
THE FIRST IN THE SERIES OF BOUNDARIES WILL BE A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
ON FRIDAY THAT WILL BRING A QUICK SHOT OF DRY...COOL AIR FOR THE
FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND. THERE MAY BE A FEW SHOWERS ACCOMPANYING
THE FRONT ON FRIDAY...BUT A GUSTY NW FLOW MAY BE THE MOST NOTICEABLE
WEATHER ELEMENT...AS WELL AS THE BELOW NORMAL TEMPS ON SAT. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA FRI NIGHT INTO SAT...EXITING BY SUNDAY
AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM WILL FEATURE A ROBUST
LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES THAT LIFTS NE INTO CANADA THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK...FIRST SENDING A WARM FRONT ACROSS THE AREA ON SUN....AND
THEN A COLD FRONT ON MON. ONCE AGAIN...AT THIS TIME THIS PASSAGE
LOOK TO BE NON-EVENTFUL WITH A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MORE
IMPORTANTLY...STRONG WARM ADVECTION ON SUN WILL SEND HIGHS TO AROUND
70 BOTH SUN AND MON...WITH READINGS ONLY SLIGHTLY COOLER ON TUE AS
THE BOUNDARY RESIDES JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA.
THE LATTER SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRENDING STRONGER WITH THE SHORT WAVE
TROUGH MOVING EAST MON AND TUE...WHICH MAY BECOME A BETTER SYSTEM AS
FAR AS PRECIPITATION GOES. THE 12Z ECMWF IS CLEARLY THE STRONGEST OF
THE MODELS WITH STRONG SHORT WAVE AT THE BASE OF THE TROUGH PIVOTING
ACROSS THE AREA MON NIGHT...IN CONJUNCTION WITH A TRIPLE POINT LOW.
THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED WITH SUBSEQUENT MODEL RUNS.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE PASSES TO THE SOUTHEAST THE REST OF THE TONIGHT AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST...PASSING THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON.
MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE ON CONTINUING MVFR CIGS EARLY THIS
MORNING...MAINLY IN THE 1000 TO 2000 FT RANGE. EXPECTING THE MVFR
CIGS TO PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE...WITH CIGS THEN IMPROVING TO VFR BY LATE AFTERNOON.
POSSIBLE REDUCED VIS THIS MORNING...MAINLY ONLY DOWN TO AROUND 5
SM. LIGHT DRIZZLE AND RAIN CURRENTLY OVER THE AREA THROUGH 12Z.
PCPN AMTS WILL REMAIN LOW. PSBL PCPN THEN THROUGH THE MORNING AND
EARLY...BUT WITH LOW CONFIDENCE ON TIMING AND COVERAGE...WILL
REMAIN WITH VCSH.
WINDS GENERALLY NE 5-10 KT...BECMG SELY AHEAD OF THE FRONT LATER
THIS MORNING AND INCREASING TO AROUND 10 KT. MODERATE CONFIDENCE
OF TIMING OF THE WIND SHIFT MID DAY...COULD BE QUICKER 1 TO 2
HOURS. GUSTS THEN THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT WITH A STRONG NWLY
FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...VFR.
.THURSDAY...VFR. GUSTY NW WINDS IN THE MORNING.
.FRIDAY-SATURDAY...VFR.
.SUNDAY...CHC CIGS BELOW 3000FT IN THE MORNING.
&&
.MARINE...
SEAS ARE STILL RUNNING 7-9 FT AT THE OCEAN BUOYS...AND GIVEN FLOW
STILL RUNNING 20G25KT WILL BE HARD PRESSED TO SEE SEAS FALL BELOW
5 FT THROUGH THE MORNING...AND POSSIBLY EVEN THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH LATEST WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE RUNNING 1-2 FT
TOO LOW.
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WINDS SHOULD
INCREASE TO SCA LEVELS ON ALL WATERS TONIGHT. THINK MODEL FCST
WINDS AND GUSTS ARE TOO LOW GIVEN CAA OVER RELATIVELY MILD OCEAN
WATERS...WHICH STILL MAKES MINIMAL OCEAN GALES A POSSIBILITY WED
NIGHT. WILL ISSUE SCA WITH MENTION OF OCNL GUSTS ATTM...AND LEAVE
ROOM FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A SHORTER FUSED GALE WARNING TO BE
ISSUED LATER TODAY.
A SERIES OF FRONTAL SYSTEMS WILL IMPACT THE WATERS LATE IN THE
WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND. THE FIRST OF WHICH WILL BE A COLD FROPA
ON FRI...AND THE SECOND A WARM FROPA ON SUNDAY. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR MARGINAL SCA LEVEL GUSTS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT LATE
FRI INTO FRI NIGHT. A STRONG SW FLOW ON SUNDAY LOOKS TO PRODUCE
SCA CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL WATERS...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...AND
OCEAN SEAS UP TO 7 FT.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY FOR ANZ338-345.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT
THURSDAY FOR ANZ330-340.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT
THURSDAY FOR ANZ335.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR ANZ350-353-
355.
&&
SYNOPSIS...GOODMAN/MET
NEAR TERM...GOODMAN
SHORT TERM...GOODMAN
LONG TERM...MET
AVIATION...SEARS/PW
MARINE...GOODMAN/MET/DW
HYDROLOGY...GOODMAN/METHazardous weather outlook, Oct 9, 3:50 AM EDT, 22 hours 36 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 350 AM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012 ANZ330-335-338-340-345-CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075- 078>081-176>179-101000- LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC- EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX- EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 350 AM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. ANZ350-353-355-101000- MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 350 AM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. WIND GUSTS UP TO GALE FORCE MAY BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AFTER A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA.
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.