Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 68, NWS New York, NY
NWS New York, NY issued this small craft advisory at Aug 5, 2012, 4:05 AM EDT. It took effect at Aug 5, 2012, 2:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 22 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 5, 2012, 4:05 AM EDT (08:05 UTC)
- In effect from
- Aug 5, 2012, 2:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Aug 6, 2012, 12:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 22 hr
- Issued by
- NWS New York, NY
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
573 WHUS71 KOKX 050805 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 405 AM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...LOW VISIBILITY DUE TO DENSE FOG OVER THE EASTERN WATERS THIS MORNING... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS ON THE OCEAN WATERS THIS AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON... ANZ355-051615- /O.CAN.KOKX.MF.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-120805T1300Z/ /O.CAN.KOKX.SW.Y.0025.120805T1800Z-120806T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0068.120805T1800Z-120806T1800Z/ SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 405 AM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY. THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * LOCATION...WESTERN COASTAL OCEAN WATERS. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-051615- /O.CON.KOKX.MF.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-120805T1300Z/ /O.CAN.KOKX.SW.Y.0025.120805T1800Z-120806T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0068.120805T1800Z-120806T2200Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 405 AM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EDT MONDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EDT MONDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * LOCATION...CENTRAL AND EASTERN COASTAL OCEAN WATERS. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ335-338-050915- /O.CAN.KOKX.MF.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-120805T1300Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR- 405 AM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY REMAIN ABOVE 1 NM SO THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ ANZ330-340-345-051300- /O.CON.KOKX.MF.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-120805T1300Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 405 AM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN 1 NM AT TIMES. * TIMING...THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
7 follow-up statements
700 WHUS71 KOKX 051012 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 612 AM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...LOW VISIBILITY DUE TO DENSE FOG OVER THE EASTERN WATERS THIS MORNING... ...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS THIS AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON... ANZ350-353-051815- /O.CON.KOKX.MF.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-120805T1300Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0068.120805T1800Z-120806T2200Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 612 AM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATION...CENTRAL AND EASTERN COASTAL OCEAN WATERS. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-340-345-051300- /O.CON.KOKX.MF.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-120805T1300Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 612 AM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. * VISIBILITY...LESS THAN 1 NM AT TIMES. * TIMING...EARLY THIS MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ355-051815- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0068.120805T1800Z-120806T1800Z/ SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 612 AM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATION...WESTERN COASTAL OCEAN WATERS. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
801 WHUS71 KOKX 051247 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 847 AM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS THIS AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON... ANZ350-353-052100- /O.EXP.KOKX.MF.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-120805T1300Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0068.120805T1800Z-120806T2200Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 847 AM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EDT MONDAY... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATION...FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-340-345-051400- /O.EXP.KOKX.MF.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-120805T1300Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 847 AM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... VISIBILITY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE ON THE WATERS THIS MORNING. THE ADVISORY WILL THEREFORE BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. $$ ANZ355-052100- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0068.120805T1800Z-120806T1800Z/ SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 847 AM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2 PM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ JMC
488 WHUS71 KOKX 052002 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 402 PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS... ANZ330-335-340-345-060415- /O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0068.120805T2002Z-120806T1000Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 402 PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY. * LOCATION...THE LONG ISLAND SOUND AND BAYS SURROUNDING LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KT. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-060415- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-120806T2200Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 402 PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATION...FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ355-060415- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-120806T1800Z/ SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 402 PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ JMC
356 WHUS71 KOKX 060129 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 929 PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS... ANZ330-335-340-345-060930- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-120806T1000Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 929 PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATION...THE LONG ISLAND SOUND AND BAYS SURROUNDING LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-060930- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-120806T2200Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 929 PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATION...FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ355-060930- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-120806T1800Z/ SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 929 PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
053 WHUS71 KOKX 060758 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 358 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012 ...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE ATLANTIC OCEAN COASTAL WATERS... ANZ330-335-340-345-060900- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-120806T1000Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 358 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DECREASE AND REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS. $$ ANZ355-061400- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-120806T1400Z/ SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 358 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST THIS MORNING. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS PRIOR TO THE FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-061400- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-120806T1600Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 358 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY... * LOCATION...FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST THIS MORNING. * SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET. * TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS PRIOR TO THE FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
004 WHUS71 KOKX 061400 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1000 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012 ...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE ATLANTIC OCEAN COASTAL WATERS... ANZ355-061600- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-120806T1600Z/ SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 1000 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY... * LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...NORTH AROUND 10 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET. * TIMING...UNTIL NOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-061600- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-120806T1600Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 1000 AM EDT MON AUG 6 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY... * LOCATION...FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET. * TIMING...UNTIL NOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
859 WHUS71 KOKX 061605 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1205 PM EDT MON AUG 6 2012 ...LOWERING SEAS THIS AFTERNOON... ANZ350-353-355-061715- /O.EXP.KOKX.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-120806T1600Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 1205 PM EDT MON AUG 6 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 5 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Aug 5, 3:54 AM EDT, 11 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 5, 3:54 AM EDT, 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
354 AM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012
.SYNOPSIS...
WESTERN ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST THROUGH
TONIGHT...WHILE A COLD FRONT APPROACHES SLOWLY FROM THE WEST AND
MOVES ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
TUESDAY...THEN A WARM FRONT APPROACHES MID WEEK...FOLLOWED BY LOW
PRESSURE AND A COLD FRONT LATE IN THE WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A STRONG NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE...ENTERING THE NORTHERN GREAT
LAKES THIS MORNING...AND WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS THROUGH THE
GREAT LAKES INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO BY LATE TODAY. AT THE SURFACE...A
COLD FRONT WILL TRACK EAST THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY
TODAY...WITH AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT LIFTING THROUGH THE REGION
THIS MORNING AND PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH APPROACHING LATE TODAY.
MAIN STORY THIS MORNING IS STRATUS AND PATCHY FOG. WITH COOLER OCEAN
WATERS ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA...AREAS OF FOG EXPECTED
WHICH MAY BE LOCALLY DENSE. EXPECTATION IS FOR THE STRATUS/FOG TO
GRADUALLY MIX OUT THROUGH THE MORNING. TIMING WILL BE DETERMINED BY
HOW QUICKLY CONVECTIVE DEBRIS WORKS INTO THE REGION LATER THIS
MORNING. ALSO ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WITH A
WEAK WARM FRONTAL PASSAGE AS LLJ BEGINS TO STRENGTHEN.
THEN BREEZY...VERY WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS CONTINUE TODAY. EXACT
TEMPS WILL DEPEND ON TIMING/OPACITY OF CONVECTIVE DEBRIS MOVING IN
FROM THE WEST AS WELL AS CONVECTIVE TIMING/COVERAGE. GENERALLY
LOOKING FOR TEMPS IN THE MID 80S COAST AND SE SECTIONS...TO UPPER
80S NYC/NJ METRO AND NW INTERIOR. MOISTURE POOLING WILL HAVE
DEWPOINTS RUNNING QUITE HIGH...GENERALLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.
THE RESULT WILL BE MAX HEAT INDICES IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S ACROSS
MOST OF THE AREA. MAX HEAT INDICES IN MID 90S EXPECTED ACROSS NYC
METRO THIS AFTERNOON...BUT NO HEAT ADVISORY BECAUSE OF MARGINAL
EVENT YESTERDAY AND LOWER HEAT INDICES TOMORROW.
IN TERMS OF CONVECTION...CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED AND FOCUSED ALONG SEABREEZE BOUNDARIES...HIGHER ELEVATIONS
AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED CONVECTION COULD
BEGIN TO DEVELOP AS EARLY MIDDAY AS STRATUS DISSIPATES AND CIN
DISAPPEARS. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH
AT LEAST MODERATE INSTABILITY AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL WINDS/SHEAR.
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THREAT EXISTS WITH THE STRONGEST
DISCRETE STORMS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT IS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION EITHER WITH INCREASING HELICITY AND LOW LCL'S. OVERRIDING
THREAT THOUGH WITH ANY STORMS WILL BE TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS AND
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WITH BACK BUILDING/TRAINING
BASED ON THE LOW/MID LEVELS WINDS.
INCREASING CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE TODAY INTO THIS EVENING WITH
FALLING HEIGHTS AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS THOUGH IN THE LOCATION OF A PRE-FRONTAL
TROUGH BY LATE DAY. WITH AT LEAST A MODERATELY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS...MARGINAL DEEP LAYER SHEAR...AND 30-35 KT LOW-MID LEVEL
WINDS ALIGNING WITH THE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH...AN ORGANIZED LINE OF
STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION WITH A DAMAGING WIND THREAT IS QUITE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH. BUT IF THIS FEATURE ARRIVES
IN THE EVENING...SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY WILL BE WANING...AND THE
THE THREAT OF ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER DECREASING. GREATEST THREAT
OF ANY ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER CONTINUES TO APPEAR TO BE WEST OF
NYC...ACROSS NE NJ AND THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...AND PERHAPS EVEN
FURTHER WEST THAN THAT. DAYSHIFT SHOULD BE ABLE TO MONITOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF ANY PRE-FRONTAL TROUGHING AND CONVECTION TO THE WEST
AND ADJUST SEVERE THREAT AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES.
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY
WINDS AND BUILDING SURF.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL WEAKEN AS IT LIFTS THROUGH NEW
ENGLAND TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. AT THE SURFACE...PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH AND
COLD FRONT ENTER THE REGION TONIGHT AND THEN SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION
THROUGH MONDAY.
ANY STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION SHOULD START WEAKENING IN INTENSITY
THIS EVENING AS IT TRACKS EAST TOWARDS THE HUDSON RIVER/NYC WITH
MARITIME AIRMASS IN PLACE. BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXPAND EASTWARD TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO
MONDAY MORNING WITH THE SHORTWAVE APPROACH...RIGHT REAR JET
LIFT...AND CONVERGENCE ALONG THE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH/COLD FRONT
ENTERING AND CROSSING THE REGION. MAIN THREAT WILL BE SCATTERED
AREAS OF FLOODING TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING WITH PWATS INCREASING
TO 2.25 TO 2.5 INCHES AND TRAINING/BACK BUILDING POTENTIAL AS LO/MID
LEVEL WINDS NEARLY ALIGN WITH THE FRONT. IN FACT...MESOSCALE MODELS
ARE INDICATING THAT FRONT MAY BEGIN TO ALIGN IN MORE OF A WSW TO ENE
FASHION AS IT SLOWLY SAGS THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT...LIKELY DUE TO
THE WEAKENING OF THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY. THIS WOULD
INCREASE POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING OF CELLS. SEE HYDROLOGY SECTION FOR
MORE ON FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL. OTHERWISE...A FEW STRONG STORMS WITH
GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT DUE TO THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL WINDS
AND SHALLOW INVERSION.
HEAVIEST SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO PUSH EAST OF NYC BY
DAYBREAK AND EAST OF EASTERN SECTIONS BY AROUND MIDDAY AS LLJ PUSHES
EAST. THE COLD FRONT MAY LAG BEHIND AND NOT PUSH CLEANLY THOUGH
UNTIL LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. IN THIS CASE IT COULD ACT AS A FOCUS
FOR ISOLATED TSTM ACTIVITY...MAINLY ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS IN THE
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...GRADUAL DRYING CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT MON AFTERNOON/EVENING. TEMPS ON MONDAY EXPECTED TO
RUN NEAR SEASONABLE AND GRADUALLY LESS HUMID.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
GENERAL TROUGH AXIS REMAINS TO THE WEST WITH WEAK VORT ADVECTION
PIVOTING AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS TROUGH...BUT
REMAINING WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE CWA THROUGH MID WEEK. AT THE
SURFACE...COLD FRONT THAT WILL BREAK THE HEAT AND HIGH HUMIDITY
PUSHES WELL OFFSHORE...THEN BECOMES STATIONARY WELL TO THE SOUTH
ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS...AND TUESDAY
LOOKS TO BE A DRY...SEASONABLE DAY WITH LESS HUMIDITY AND PLENTY OF
SUN.
BY WEDNESDAY...FRONT TO THE SOUTH WILL BEGIN TO MOVE BACK NORTHWARD
AS A WARM FRONT...AS ANOTHER WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST. AS THIS OCCURS...INSTABILITY SLOWLY RISES...AND WOULD
ANTICIPATE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DIURNAL CONVECTION WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. WILL ONLY INCLUDE MINIMAL POPS EACH AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT AND IN THE MORNING
COINCIDING WITH MORE STABLE TIME OF DAY.
MUCH MORE VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE DIVES OUT OF CENTRAL CANADA AND ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES BY FRIDAY. FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS IN OUR VICINITY
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT APPROACHING
AHEAD OF THIS SHORTWAVE BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. WILL MAINTAIN
POPS THIS TIME FRAME...AND HIGH CHANCE POPS ARE WARRANTED SOMETIME
LATE FRIDAY OR SATURDAY...DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TIMING. BOTH GFS
AND ECMWF HOLD OFF ON FRONTAL APPROACH FOR OUR AREA UNTIL SATURDAY.
AS FOR TEMPS...NEAR NORMAL TUESDAY...THEN A SLIGHT WARMUP EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH TEMPS AVERAGING A FEW DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A COLD FRONT OVER THE MIDWEST WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE REGION
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
MVFR CIGS MOVING INTO COASTAL TERMINALS. KGON ALREADY DROPPED TO
VLIFR...AND VLIFR CONDS EXPECTED THROUGH MORNING.
OTHERWISE...CIGS WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TO MVFR...THEN TO IFR
AFTER DAYBREAK...WITH LIFR POSSIBLE TOWARDS DAYBREAK. STILL SOME
UNCERTAINTY OF VSBYS FALLING TO IFR OR BELOW. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AND AMEND IF NECESSARY.
CONDS IMPROVE TO VFR THIS MORNING.
SCT TSRA POSSIBLE ANYTIME AFTER 16Z...BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO
WARRANT MENTIONING IN THE TAFS. WILL CARRY A PROB30 GROUP AT KSWF
FOR THE AFTERNOON...AS CHANCES WILL BE BEST THERE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SOUTHERLY FLOW INCREASES TO 15-20 KT SUSTAINED IN THE AFTERNOON.
SOME 20-25 KT GUSTS POSSIBLE.
HEAVY RAIN AND TSRA WILL OVERSPREAD THE TERMINALS SUNDAY NIGHT.
WILL INCLUDE TSRA AND CBS IN A TEMPO GROUP. TIMING OF ANY STORMS
MAY BE OFF BY A FEW HOURS DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY THE FRONT
APPROACHES THE REGION. EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS WITH
THE STORMS.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...TSTMS WITH +RA. IFR/LIFR VSBYS EXPECTED.
.MONDAY...IMPROVING CONDS FROM WEST TO EAST IN THE MORNING...VFR
BY AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY...VFR.
.THURSDAY...MVFR OR LOWER POSSIBLE.
&&
.MARINE...
MOIST AND HUMID AIRMASS OVER THE WATERS HAS LEAD TO FOG FORMATION
ACROSS THE EASTERN WATERS. FOG WITH VISIBILITIES UNDER 1NM HAS
ALREADY DEVELOPED IN THE FAR EASTERN OCEAN WATERS...BUT CONFIDENCE
NOT HIGH THAT IT WILL EXPAND WESTWARD WITH WATER TEMPS RUNNING AT OR
ABOVE DEWPOINTS. WILL KEEP THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY UP ON THE EASTERN
WATERS...AND WILL TAKE THE ADVISORY DOWN ACROSS THE WESTERN WATERS.
DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES TODAY AND INCREASE AS A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY APPROACHES. DO THINK THERE WILL BE A SHORT PERIOD OF GUSTS
REACHING 25 KT ON THE OCEAN WATERS AND SEAS WILL RANGE IN THE 5-7 FT
RANGE. THEREFORE...HAVE CONVERTED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR SEAS TO
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS AND SEAS. THE SMALL CRAFT WILL START
THIS AFTERNOON AT 18Z...AND RUN THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY...MAINLY FOR
SEAS ON MONDAY. SOME SMALL CRAFT SEAS...MAINLY ACROSS EASTERN
WATERS...MAY LINGER INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PASS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE WATERS MONDAY
NIGHT...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING TO THE WEST FOR TUESDAY.
THEREAFTER...THE FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE TOWARD THE WATERS AS A WARM
FRONT WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF TORRENTIAL RAINS THIS AFTERNOON
INTO MONDAY MORNING. URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL BE A
THREAT WITH ANY CONVECTION...WITH A THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING FROM
BACK BUILDING OR TRAINING STORMS. HIGHEST THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING
WILL BE TONIGHT. BASIN AVERAGE RAINFALL OF 3/4 TO 1 INCH EXPECTED
FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY MORNING...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES. HOURLY RAINFALL RATES OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR
ARE POSSIBLE WITH HEAVIER CONVECTION.
BASED ON ABOVE AND AFTER COLLAB WITH NEIGHBORING OFFICES...WILL
ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION FOR
THIS AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE LOCALIZED THIS AFTERNOON...WITH AN INCREASING
CHANCE TONIGHT. WITH LATER EXPECTED START TIME OF HEAVY CONVECTION
ACROSS EASTERN AREAS...MAINLY TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING...WILL
HOLD OFF ON FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR NOW AND LET DAYSHIFT EXPAND
EASTWARD IF NEEDED.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING FOR CTZ005-006-009.
NY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING FOR NYZ067>075-176>179.
NJ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING FOR NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
MARINE...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR ANZ330-340-
345-350-353.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2 PM EDT
MONDAY FOR ANZ355.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EDT
MONDAY FOR ANZ350-353.
&&
SYNOPSIS...NV
NEAR TERM...NV
SHORT TERM...NV
LONG TERM...PW
AVIATION...BC
MARINE...BC
HYDROLOGY...NVHazardous weather outlook, Aug 4, 7:34 PM EDT, 8 hours 31 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 734 PM EDT SAT AUG 4 2012 CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>074-078-079-176-177-051600- NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC- EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX- EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU- 734 PM EDT SAT AUG 4 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE STARTING LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE BETTER CHANCE OF SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SUNDAY EVENING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY SEVERE STORMS. THE GREATEST SEVERE THREAT WILL BE FOR AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF NYC. ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF TORRENTIAL RAINS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING CAUSING URBAN...POOR DRAINAGE...AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. NYZ075-080-081-178-179-051600- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 734 PM EDT SAT AUG 4 2012 ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE STARTING LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE BETTER CHANCE OF SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SUNDAY EVENING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY SEVERE STORMS. THE GREATEST SEVERE THREAT WILL BE FOR AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF NYC. ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF TORRENTIAL RAINS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING CAUSING URBAN...POOR DRAINAGE...AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-051600- LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 734 PM EDT SAT AUG 4 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG AND AHEAD OF A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS AND WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 34 KT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA.
The office that day
Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 9:28 PM EDT | Marine Dense Fog Advisory | OKX | 12 hr | |
| Aug 5, 4:00 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | OKX | Bronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Orange, Putnam and 4 more | 17 hr |
| Aug 5, 1:56 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | Orange | 64 min |
| Aug 5, 2:45 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | Orange, Putnam | 30 min |
| Aug 5, 5:32 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | Orange | 58 min |
| Aug 5, 6:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Orange, Putnam, Rockland, Westchester | 59 min |
| Aug 5, 6:45 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, Richmond, Westchester | 60 min |
| Aug 5, 7:03 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | OKX | 87 min | |
| Aug 5, 7:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, Richmond | 43 min |
| Aug 5, 7:58 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | Nassau | 62 min |
| Aug 5, 1:33 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 42 min | |
| Aug 5, 2:13 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 47 min | |
| Aug 5, 4:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Naugatuck Valley Planning Region | 46 min |
| Aug 5, 7:28 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | 62 min |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.