Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 30, NWS New York, NY
NWS New York, NY issued this small craft advisory at Mar 2, 2012, 3:43 AM EST. It was in force for 48 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 2, 2012, 3:43 AM EST (08:43 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 4, 2012, 3:49 AM EST
- In force
- 48 hr
- Issued by
- NWS New York, NY
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
589 WHUS71 KOKX 020843 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 343 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012 ...ROUGH SEAS AND GUSTY WINDS ON THE WATERS TODAY THROUGH TOMORROW... ANZ350-353-355-022130- /O.CAN.KOKX.SW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-120303T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0030.120302T0843Z-120303T2300Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 343 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SATURDAY. * LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT TONIGHT...BECOMING WEST TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT TOMORROW MORNING. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...AN EASTERLY SWELL WILL KEEPS SEAS NEARLY STEADY THROUGH TODAY...THEN BEGIN TO INCREASE TONIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED MIDDAY TOMORROW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-340-022130- /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0030.120302T2300Z-120303T2300Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 343 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY. * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE EASTERN BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT...BECOMING WEST TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT TOMORROW MORNING. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED MIDDAY TOMORROW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ335-338-345-022130- /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0030.120303T1100Z-120303T2300Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 343 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY. * LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND SOUTHERN BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT...BECOMING WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT TOMORROW MORNING. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED MIDDAY TOMORROW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
8 follow-up statements
340 WHUS71 KOKX 022101 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 401 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012 ...ROUGH SEAS AND GUSTY WINDS ON THE WATERS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... ANZ350-353-355-031015- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-120304T1100Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 401 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-340-031015- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0030.120303T0600Z-120304T1100Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 401 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE EASTERN BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS WILL OCCUR SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ335-338-345-031015- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0030.120303T1100Z-120304T1100Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 401 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND SOUTHERN BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
549 WHUS71 KOKX 030218 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 918 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012 ...ROUGH SEAS AND GUSTY WINDS ON THE WATERS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... ANZ350-353-355-031100- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-120304T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0031.120303T0300Z-120304T1100Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 918 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-335-338-340-345-031100- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0030.120303T0300Z-120304T1100Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 918 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND SOUTHERN BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. WINDS MAY BRIEFLY DIMINISH TO SUB-SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH DAYBREAK SATURDAY BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN SATURDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
973 WHUS71 KOKX 030921 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 421 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 ...ROUGH SEAS AND GUSTY WINDS ON THE WATERS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... ANZ330-335-338-340-345-031800- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-120304T1100Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 421 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND THE LONG ISLAND BAYS. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-355-031800- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-120304T1100Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 421 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET. * TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
348 WHUS71 KOKX 031125 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 625 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 ...ROUGH SEAS AND GUSTY WINDS ON THE WATERS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... ...DENSE FOG ON THE WATERS THIS MORNING... ANZ330-335-338-340-345-031930- /O.NEW.KOKX.MF.Y.0004.120303T1125Z-120303T1400Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-120304T1100Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 625 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING. * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND THE LONG ISLAND BAYS. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * VISIBILITY...1 NM OR LESS. * TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-355-031930- /O.NEW.KOKX.MF.Y.0004.120303T1125Z-120303T1400Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-120304T1100Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 625 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING. * LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...7 TO 10 FEET. * VISIBILITY...1 NM OR LESS. * TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
447 WHUS71 KOKX 031336 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 836 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 ...ROUGH SEAS AND GUSTY WINDS ON THE WATERS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... ...DENSE FOG ON THE WATERS THIS MORNING... ANZ335-338-345-032145- /O.EXT.KOKX.MF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-120303T1500Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-120304T1100Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 836 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND THE SOUTHERN LONG ISLAND BAYS. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * VISIBILITY...1 NM OR LESS EARLY THIS MORNING. * TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-340-032145- /O.EXT.KOKX.MF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-120303T1700Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-120304T1100Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- 836 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE EASTERN LONG ISLAND BAYS. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * VISIBILITY...1 NM OR LESS THROUGH THIS MORNING. * TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ355-032145- /O.EXT.KOKX.MF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-120303T1500Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-120304T1100Z/ SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 836 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATION...THE WESTERN COASTAL OCEAN WATERS. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET. * VISIBILITY...1 NM OR LESS EARLY THIS MORNING. * TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-032145- /O.EXT.KOKX.MF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-120303T1700Z/ /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-120304T1100Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 836 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATION...THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN COASTAL OCEAN WATERS. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET. * VISIBILITY...1 NM OR LESS THIS MORNING. * TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
694 WHUS71 KOKX 032040 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 340 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 ...ROUGH SEAS AND GUSTY WINDS ON THE WATERS TONIGHT... ANZ350-353-355-040500- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-120304T1700Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 340 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST SUNDAY... * LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 9 FEET...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT SUNDAY MORNING. * TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ330-335-338-340-345-040500- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-120304T1100Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 340 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND THE LONG ISLAND BAYS. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
717 WHUS71 KOKX 040313 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1013 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 ...ROUGH SEAS AND GUSTY WINDS ON THE WATERS TONIGHT... ANZ330-335-338-340-345-041100- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-120304T1100Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 1013 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...AND THE LONG ISLAND BAYS. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ350-353-355-041100- /O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-120304T1700Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 1013 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST SUNDAY... * LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
205 WHUS71 KOKX 040849 MWWOKX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 349 AM EST SUN MAR 4 2012 ...ROUGH SEAS AND GUSTY WINDS ON THE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT... ANZ330-335-340-345-042200- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-120304T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0032.120305T0200Z-120305T1100Z/ LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- 349 AM EST SUN MAR 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST MONDAY. * LOCATION...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE LONG ISLAND BAYS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * TIMING...TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ338-041000- /O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-120304T1100Z/ NEW YORK HARBOR- 349 AM EST SUN MAR 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW 25 KT THEREFORE THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ ANZ350-353-355-042200- /O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-120305T1100Z/ MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 349 AM EST SUN MAR 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY... * LOCATION...THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS. * WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET. * TIMING...HIGHEST SEAS TODAY...HIGHEST WINDS TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Mar 2, 12:42 AM EST, 3 hours 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 2, 12:42 AM EST, 3 hours 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1242 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012
.SYNOPSIS...
ONE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DISSIPATES OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
THIS EVENING...WHILE ANOTHER OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC TRACKS
FARTHER OFFSHORE. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL BUILD IN
LATE TONIGHT AND THEN OFFSHORE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A RAPIDLY
DEEPENING LOW TRACKS UP INTO THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO
EASTERN CANADA SATURDAY...SENDING A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
REGION. DRY WEATHER RETURNS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING. WEAKENING COLD FRONT APPROACHES SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES THROUGH MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FOR TUESDAY AND PUSHES OFFSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS OFFSHORE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO FORECAST.
WHILE PRECIP HAS ENDED IN THOSE AREAS...LINGERING LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL LIKELY LIMIT DRYING OF ROADS RESULTING IN SLICK
SPOTS AS TEMPS FALL BELOW FREEZING.
OTHERWISE...MODEL TIME HEIGHT CROSS SECTIONS SHOW SATURATED LOW
LEVELS BELOW 900 MB OVERNIGHT. THIS COUPLED WITH A DEVELOPING
INVERSION SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO MAINTAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. THIS
WILL PUT A CHECK ON TEMPERATURES WITH LOWS FORECAST TO DROP INTO
THE MID AND UPPER 20S SUBURBS...TO THE LOWER 30S NYC METRO. THESE
LOWS ARE CLOSE TO NORMAL.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING TRANSLATES EAST
AHEAD OF A RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW THAT TRACKS FROM THE MID MS
VALLEY IN THE MORNING...TO THE GREAT LAKES AT NIGHT. WINDS WILL
VEER AROUND TO THE SE AND STRENGTHEN IN THE AFTERNOON/EVE AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING WARM FRONT. THERE WILL BE SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUD
COVER DURING THE DAY FRIDAY BEFORE A SOLID OVERCAST RETURNS IN THE
EVENING. OVERRUNNING RAINS WILL DEVELOP FROM SW TO NE MAINLY IN
THE EVENING...OVERSPREADING THE AREA BY ABOUT MIDNIGHT. THERE MAY
EVEN BE A RUMBLE OF THUNDER TOWARD DAYBREAK SAT AS STRONG THERMAL
FORCING COINCIDES WITH DEEP LIFT. LOW-LEVELS WILL BE STRONGLY
INVERTED...SO ANY CONVECTION WILL BE ELEVATED AND NOT SURFACE
BASED.
ONSHORE FLOW AND PLENTY OF CLOUDS WILL KEEP HIGHS FRIDAY NEAR
NORMAL IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. TEMPS WILL THEN GRADUALLY RISE FRI
NIGHT WITH READINGS APPROACHING THE 50 DEGREE MARK BY DAYBREAK SAT
WITH THE PASSAGE OF A WARM FRONT.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SYSTEM FOR SATURDAY. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...LONGWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST...WITH A
CUTOFF LOW OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES REGION. THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVES EAST ON SATURDAY WHILE THE CUTOFF LOW HEADS INTO
SOUTHEASTERN CANADA. AT THE SURFACE...A WARM FRONT WILL BE IN THE
VICINITY OF THE CWA...MOVING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS
WILL BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY THE COLD FRONT LATE IN THE MORNING TO
EARLY AFTERNOON PERIOD. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT
AS VERTICAL PROFILES SHOW AT LEAST SOME MUCAPE ASSOCIATED WITH SOME
ELEVATED INSTABILITY. INVERSION SETS UP DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH
THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT...SO IT WILL BE DIFFICULT FOR ANY
SURFACE BASED CONVECTION TO GENERATE.
DRY CONDITIONS RETURN FOR SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...THEN A WEAKENING COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST...AS WELL AS THE TROUGH AXIS...SETTING OFF A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION. IT WILL BE WARM ENOUGH FOR ALL RAIN TO START...BUT
SNOW MAY BEGIN TO MIX IN SUNDAY NIGHT AND A CHANGEOVER TO ALL SNOW
FOR INLAND...WHILE COASTAL SECTIONS SEE A RAIN/SNOW MIX. THESE WILL
BE SHOWERY IN NATURE...AND LIGHT IN NATURE.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN AT THE SURFACE MONDAY NIGHT...AND DRY
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
STARTS TO MOVE OUT OF THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT...WITH HEIGHTS
BUILDING AND RIDGING ALOFT FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.
SURFACE HIGH PUSHES OFFSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUES TO MOVE
EAST...ALLOWING FOR A RETURN SOUTHERLY FLOW THROUGH THURSDAY. SO
ABOVE NORMAL AND WARMING TEMPERATURES FROM FRIDAY.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST
NORTHEAST TO SOUTHEAST OF NOVA SCOTIA THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH
PRESSURE FROM SOUTHEAST CANADA GRADUALLY BUILDS SOUTHWARD BY FRIDAY
MORNING. WINDS TURN FROM NORTHERLY TO EVENTUALLY SOUTHEASTERLY
FRIDAY MORNING TO AFTERNOON GENERALLY AROUND OR BELOW 10 KT. SOME
GUSTS 16-22 KT THIS EVENING FOR EASTERN TERMINALS SHOULD SUBSIDE BY
LATE EVENING.
GREATEST UNCERTAINTY LIES WITH CEILING FORECAST TONIGHT WITH
TEMPORARY FLUCTUATIONS BETWEEN VFR AND MVFR FROM SCT TO BKN CLOUDS
BETWEEN 1000 AND 1500 FT. THE CEILING FORECAST IS LOW CONFIDENCE
RIGHT NOW WITH THESE VARIATIONS. THINKING THAT CLOUD DECK OVERNIGHT
INTO THE MORNING SHOULD STAY LOW END VFR ABOUT 4KFT. THIS COULD
TREND LOWER BETWEEN 1KFT TO 2KFT RANGE HOWEVER.
MORE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALLOWS FOR SCATTERING OF LOW LEVEL
CLOUDS ON FRIDAY AS SHOWN IN TAF...BUT THERE IS A DEGREE OF
UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS AS WELL WITH THE INCREASING SOUTHEAST FLOW.
MVFR WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES. THINK WITH TIME...MOISTURE INCREASES
ENOUGH IN LOW LEVELS TO GIVE MVFR CEILINGS BY END OF AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK FOR 00Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
.FRI NIGHT...MVFR-IFR IN DEVELOPING -RA. SE WINDS 10-15KT
.SAT...IFR IN RAIN EARLY. ISOLATED CONVECTION POSSIBLE.
IMPROVEMENT TO VFR AFT 18Z. W WINDS 15-25KT.
.SAT NIGHT...VFR.
.SUN-MON AFTN...LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE WITH POSSIBLE SUB VFR.
.MON...VFR.
.TUE...VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE EAST OF THE WATERS WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK FARTHER
AWAY INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...HOWEVER AN EASTERLY SWELL WILL
LINGER ACROSS THE WATERS. WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE IS ABOUT 2 FT TOO LOW
ALREADY AND CARRYING THIS INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH MAINTAIN SEAS
AT SCA LEVELS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WATERS BRIEFLY
IN THE MORNING...AND THEN TO THE EAST WITH A STRENGTHENING SE FLOW
FRIDAY AFT AND NIGHT AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST. WINDS
WILL APPROACH SCA CRITERIA TOWARDS DAYBREAK SAT AS A STRONG
FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES. THUS...SEAS WILL LIKELY REMAIN AT OR
JUST ABOVE SCA INTO SAT. A SCA FOR SEAS IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
OCEAN WATERS.
EXTENDED PERIOD OF WAVES AT OR ABOVE 5 FT THROUGH MONDAY...WITH
WINDS INCREASING SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH. WINDS
DIMINISH SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE SYSTEM PULLS AWAY. A WEAKENING COLD
FRONT APPROACHES SUNDAY NIGHT...AND COULD SET OFF SOME RAIN
SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW COULD MIX IN ON MONDAY
MORNING...CHANGING BACK TO PLAIN RAIN SHOWERS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD BE LIGHT HOWEVER. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FOR MONDAY NIGHT...ALLOWING FOR MORE TRANQUIL CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
LOW PRESSURE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WILL RESULT IN 1/2 TO ONE
INCH OF QPF. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. RIVER/STREAM
FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF LOCALIZED URBAN
FLOODING/PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS AND LOW LYING AREAS.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY FOR ANZ350-353-355.
&&
SYNOPSIS...DW
NEAR TERM...MAS
SHORT TERM...DW
LONG TERM...JP
AVIATION...JM
MARINE...JP/DW
HYDROLOGY...DWHazardous weather outlook, Mar 1, 9:07 PM EST, 6 hours 36 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 907 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012 CTZ005-009-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-030215- NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC- EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX- EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 907 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-030215- LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 907 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. CTZ006>008-010>012-030215- NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON- SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON- 907 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR PATCHY BLACK ICE HAS BEEN ISSUED. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING THIS EVENING...CAUSING ANY UNTREATED ROADS STILL WET FROM EARLIER PRECIPITATION TO BECOME ICY IN SPOTS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA.
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.