Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 28, NWS New York, NY

February 26, 2012

NWS New York, NY issued this small craft advisory at Feb 26, 2012, 4:08 PM EST. It took effect at Feb 27, 2012, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 28 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 26, 2012, 4:08 PM EST (21:08 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 27, 2012, 12:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 28, 2012, 3:46 PM EST
In force
28 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

120 
WHUS71 KOKX 262108
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
408 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

...SOME ROUGH SEAS EAST OF MORICHES EARLY TONIGHT WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ON MONDAY AFTERNOON...


ANZ350-270515-
/O.EXP.KOKX.SC.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-120226T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SW.Y.0003.120226T2108Z-120227T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.120227T1700Z-120228T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
408 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM
EST THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR
MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 AM EST TUESDAY.

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM MORICHES INLET TO 
  MONTAUK POINT. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT FOR
  MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...AND BECOMING WESTERLY AFTER
  MIDNIGHT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...HIGHEST SEAS BEFORE 7 PM TONIGHT AND THEN HIGHEST SEAS
  AND WINDS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT SEAS OF 5 FT
OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL
CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELLS
CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS
NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS
THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN
EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ353-270515-
/O.EXP.KOKX.SC.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-120226T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.120227T1700Z-120228T1100Z/
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
408 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 AM EST
TUESDAY.

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO
  MORICHES INLET.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

* TIMING...MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-270515-
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.120227T1700Z-120227T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
408 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM EST MONDAY.

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND SOUTHERN
  AND EASTERN BAYS.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* TIMING...MONDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ355-270515-
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.120227T1700Z-120228T1100Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
408 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 AM EST
TUESDAY.

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO FIRE ISLAND
  INLET.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

* TIMING...MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
10 follow-up statements
763 
WHUS71 KOKX 262347
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
647 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

...STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW TO DEVELOP ON MONDAY...

ANZ350-271000-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-120227T0000Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.120227T1700Z-120228T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
647 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO
6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM MORICHES INLET TO MONTAUK 
  POINT. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT FOR 
  MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...AND BECOMING WESTERLY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...HIGHEST SEAS AND WINDS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
  NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-271000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.120227T1700Z-120227T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
647 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND SOUTHERN 
  AND EASTERN BAYS. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* TIMING...MONDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ353-355-271000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.120227T1700Z-120228T1100Z/
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
647 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO
6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO FIRE ISLAND 
  INLET. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...HIGHEST SEAS AND WINDS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
  NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
746 
WHUS71 KOKX 262355
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
655 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS TO DEVELOP ON MONDAY...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-271000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.120227T1700Z-120227T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
655 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND SOUTHERN 
  AND EASTERN BAYS. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* TIMING...MONDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-271000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.120227T1700Z-120228T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
655 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO
6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MONTAUK POINT
  OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

* TIMING...HIGHEST SEAS AND WINDS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 
  MONDAY NIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
595 
WHUS71 KOKX 270841
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
341 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TUESDAY...

ANZ335-338-355-272130-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.120227T1700Z-120228T1700Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
341 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET...NEW
  YORK HARBOR AND WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND.

* WINDS...10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. WINDS WILL SHIFT
  FROM SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON...TO WEST OVERNIGHT...THEN TO
  NORTHWEST BY TUESDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO
  TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-345-350-353-272130-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.120227T1700Z-120228T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
341 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS EAST OF FIRE ISLAND
  INLET...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. WINDS WILL SHIFT
  FROM SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON...TO WEST OVERNIGHT...THEN TO
  NORTHWEST BY TUESDAY MORNING.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL BE FROM LATE
  TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MALOIT
413 
WHUS71 KOKX 270914 CCA
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
414 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TUESDAY...

ANZ335-338-355-272215-
/O.COR.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.120227T1700Z-120228T1700Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
414 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET...NEW
  YORK HARBOR AND WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND.

* WINDS...10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. WINDS WILL SHIFT
  FROM SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON...TO WEST OVERNIGHT...THEN TO
  NORTHWEST BY TUESDAY MORNING.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FT ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS WEST OF FIRE ISLAND
  INLET. 

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO
  TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-345-350-353-272215-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.120227T1700Z-120228T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
414 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS EAST OF FIRE ISLAND
  INLET...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. WINDS WILL SHIFT
  FROM SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON...TO WEST OVERNIGHT...THEN TO
  NORTHWEST BY TUESDAY MORNING.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL BE FROM LATE
  TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MALOIT
604 
WHUS71 KOKX 272102
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
402 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY...

ANZ335-338-355-281100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120228T1700Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
402 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET...
  NEW YORK HARBOR AND WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. 

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET ON THE OCEAN WATERS.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL BE LATE 
  TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-345-350-353-281100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120228T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
402 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS EAST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET... 
  EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. 

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET ON THE OCEAN WATERS.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL BE LATE 
  TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
554 
WHUS71 KOKX 272358
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
658 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012

...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY...

ANZ335-338-355-280800-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120228T1700Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
658 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET... 
  NEW YORK HARBOR AND WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. 

* WINDS...W 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FT.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR LATE
  TONIGHT INTO TUE MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-345-350-353-280800-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120228T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
658 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS EAST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET... 
  EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. 

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. A BRIEF GUST UP
  TO 35 KT IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT. 

* SEAS...4 TO 6 FT ON THE OCEAN. 

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS LATE TONIGHT INTO TUE
  MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
537 
WHUS71 KOKX 280543
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1243 AM EST TUE FEB 28 2012

...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY...

ANZ335-338-355-281000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120228T1700Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1243 AM EST TUE FEB 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET... 
  NEW YORK HARBOR AND WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR LATE 
  TONIGHT INTO TUE MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-345-350-353-281000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120228T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1243 AM EST TUE FEB 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS EAST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET... 
  EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS LATE TONIGHT INTO 
  TUE MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
814 
WHUS71 KOKX 280846
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
346 AM EST TUE FEB 28 2012

...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE TODAY...

ANZ335-338-355-281700-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120228T1700Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
346 AM EST TUE FEB 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET... 
  NEW YORK HARBOR AND WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR THIS
  MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-345-350-353-281700-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120228T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
346 AM EST TUE FEB 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS EAST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET... 
  EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR THIS
  MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MALOIT
354 
WHUS71 KOKX 281642
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1142 AM EST TUE FEB 28 2012

...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE TODAY...

ANZ335-338-355-281745-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120228T1700Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1142 AM EST TUE FEB 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS AND SEAS HAVE FALLEN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.
THEREFORE...THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BE CANCELLED.

$$

ANZ330-340-345-350-353-282300-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120228T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1142 AM EST TUE FEB 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS EAST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET... 
  EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR THIS 
  MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
304 
WHUS71 KOKX 282046
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
346 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2012


ANZ330-340-345-350-353-282200-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120228T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
346 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

WIND AND SEAS HAVE FALLEN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.
THEREFORE...THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Feb 26, 1:05 PM EST, 3 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 26, 1:05 PM EST, 3 hours 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
105 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL BUILD EAST TODAY...THEN
PASS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND LATE TONIGHT. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT
NORTH OF THE AREA EARLY MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT MONDAY
NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CANADA
THROUGH FRIDAY. MEANWHILE...A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...AND THEN YIELDS A SERIES OF
COASTAL LOWS PASSING TO THE SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY THE HIGH BUILDING DOWN FROM SOUTHEAST
CANADA INTO FRIDAY. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM THEN APPROACHES FOR
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
RIDGING ALOFT WITH AXIS OF HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHING THE AREA.
SUBSIDENCE HAS ALLOWED FOR SKIES TO REMAIN SUNNY WITH LIMITED
MIXING UP TO AROUND 900 MB. JUST ADJUSTED UP ONE DEGREE WITH TEMPS
WITH CURRENT TRENDS AND MADE SLIGHT CHANGES TO DEWPOINTS. GRADUAL
DECREASING NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH REMAINDER OF AFTERNOON. HIGHS
STILL EXPECTED TO MAX OUT WITHIN NEXT FEW HOURS...MAINLY IN THE
LOWER 40S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
HIGH PRES SOUTH OF THE AREA WILL RESULT IN CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT
WINDS FOR MUCH OF TONIGHT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR EXCELLENT
RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS AS A RESULT...WITH LOWS IN OUTLYING
AREAS DROPPING INTO THE UPPER TEENS/LOWER 20S AND LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S IN/AROUND NYC AND IN THE MID 20S ELSEWHERE.

RETURN FLOW DEVELOPS LATE TONIGHT AS WARM FRONT LIFTS INTO THE AREA
AND SHOULD BE NORTH OF THE REGION MONDAY MORNING. WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST FLOW INCREASING WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE FRONT...A
NON-DIURNAL TEMPERATURE CURVE IS POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
WITH TEMPS HOLDING STEADY OR SLOWLY RISING INTO DAYBREAK MONDAY. FOR
NOW...CONFIDENCE TOO LOW TO WARRANT RISING TEMPS OVERNIGHT...SO WILL
FOLLOW TEMP TIMING BASED ON LAMP GUIDANCE.

STRONG WAA DEVELOPS MONDAY DUE TO AN INCREASING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FLOW
BEHIND THE WARM FRONT. THE DAY WILL START OUT SUNNY TO MOSTLY
SUNNY...BUT MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL BUILD EAST AS A COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK LOW PRES MOVING FROM THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES
MOVES INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND SOUTHERN QUEBEC APPROACHES THE
REGION LATE MONDAY.

HIGHS ON MONDAY RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS...TOPPING OFF IN THE
LOWER 50S ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...BUT DOWN SLOPING AND URBAN
EFFECTS WILL RESULT IN HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS NYC AND
NE NJ.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT MONDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY NIGHT...SO USED A
NAM/GFS/SREF/ECMWF BLEND IN THAT TIME FRAME.

A NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSES THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT.
BASED ON BEST DYNAMICS FORECAST TO STAY TO THE NORTH...HAVE GONE
WITH A DRY FORECAST...MAIN IMPACT WILL BE SOME SCT MID TO HIGH
CLOUDS. FOR LOWS MONDAY NIGHT TOOK A BLEND OF MAV/MET GUIDANCE AND
NAM 2-METER TEMPERATURES...WITH VALUES AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

WEAK RIDGING EVOLVING TO ZONAL FLOW ALOFT TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT. IT APPEARS IMPACT FROM STORM SYSTEM OVER THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL BE FAR ENOUGH AWAY TO KEEP THIS TIME FRAME
DRY...THOUGH SHOULD SEE INCREASING HIGH AND POSSIBLY MID CLOUDS
TUESDAY NIGHT. USED A BLEND OF TWO PARTS EACH A MIX DOWN FROM 875
HPA PER BUFKIT SOUNDINGS AND MAV GUIDANCE AND 1 PART EACH MET
GUIDANCE AND NAM 2-METER TEMPERATURES FOR HIGHS TUESDAY.
FORECASTING VALUES A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. FOR LOWS TUESDAY
NIGHT TOOK A MEX/MEX ENSEMBLE MEAN AVERAGE AND BLENDED IN HPC
GUIDANCE...WITH READINGS ABOUT 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FORECAST.

THE GFS HAS TRENDED TOWARDS THE ECMWF/CMC-GLOBAL WITH THE SYSTEM
IMPACTING THE REGION WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY. THE ECMWF HAS TRENDED A
TAD COLDER AS WELL. WHAT HAPPENS IN TERMS OF SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL
IN LARGE PART BE DETERMINED BY THE STRENGTH AND AMOUNT OF DAMMING
FROM THE AROUND 1032 HPA HIGH FORECAST TO BE OVER QUEBEC IN THIS
TIME FRAME. WITH ALL MODELS NOW AGREEING THAT THE MULTIPLE COASTAL
LOWS IN THIS TIME FRAME WILL PASS TO THE S OF LONG ISLAND...AND
TRENDING COLDER...THERE IS THE INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR SOME
ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN INTERIOR ZONES FROM WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. IT DOES APPEAR THOUGH THAT LOW LEVEL THERMAL
PROFILES WOULD SUPPORT SOME MIXING IN OF SLEET AND POSSIBLY RAIN
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WHAT IS LESS CERTAIN IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES...AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
AND POSSIBLY LOW LEVEL THERMAL PROFILES CURRENTLY FAVOR MAINLY RAIN
OR MAYBE A WINTRY MIX THERE. WITH THE MULTIPLE WAVES OF LOW
PRESSURE DO NOT EXPECT STEADY PRECIPITATION IN THIS TIME FRAME BUT
MORE OF A PERIODIC NATURE. REGARDLESS OF ITS NATURE WOULD EXPECT
PRECIPITATION TO COME TO AN END BY THURSDAY EVENING...POSSIBLY AS
SNOW SHOWERS EVERYWHERE...AS THE SUPPORTING 500 HPA SHORT WAVE
PASSES TO THE EAST.

WENT WITH A DRY FORECAST FRIDAY WITH RIDGING BUILDING IN AT ALL
LEVELS...DID NOT BUY INTO ECMWF IDEA OF LINGERING DEFORMATION AXIS
PRECIPITATION INTO FRIDAY.

NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES FOR THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEKEND...ONCE
AGAIN GFS MORE PROGRESSIVE THAN THE ECMWF...DID SLOW DOWN BY 6
HOURS CHANCE POPS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT...AND HAVE CONTINUED CHANCE
POPS FOR SATURDAY. APPEARS GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THIS STORM WILL BE
AN INSIDE RUNNER UP/JUST N OF THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER
VALLEY...SO TRANSITIONED PRECIPITATION TO ALL RAIN DURING THE DAY
ON SATURDAY...APPEARS LOW LEVELS COULD BE COLD ENOUGH AT THE ONSET
FOR PRECIPITATION TO START AS EITHER A WINTRY MIX OR SNOW LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

FOR TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...PRIMARILY FOLLOWED
HPC GUIDANCE WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY...THOUGH DID TWEAK DOWN A TAD
REFLECTING SLIGHTLY COLDER ECMWF SOLUTION. FROM THURSDAY NIGHT-
SATURDAY BLENDED A MEX/MEX ENSEMBLE MEAN BLEND WITH HPC GUIDANCE.
OUTSIDE OF HIGHS WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY WHICH SHOULD BE BELOW
NORMAL...FORECAST ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THIS TIME FRAME.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRES BUILDS IN FROM THE OH VALLEY TONIGHT...AND THEN EAST ON
MONDAY.

VFR WITH UNLIMITED CIGS/VSBYS FOR THE TAF PERIOD.

GUSTY W-NW WINDS AND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH 20Z.
WINDS WILL VARY BETWEEN 290 AND 320 TRUE...BUT GRADUALLY BACKING
LEFT OF 300 AFTER 20Z.

TRANQUIL CONDS TONIGHT...THEN SW FLOW INCREASES MONDAY MORNING AS
PRES GRADIENT INCREASES ONCE AGAIN AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z MON THROUGH FRI...
.MON AFT-TUE NIGHT...VFR. GUSTY NW WINDS POSSIBLE MON NIGHT-TUE
MORNING FOLLOWING COLD FRONT.
.WED-WED NIGHT...IFR CONDITIONS LIKELY IN SNOW TRANSITIONING TO
RAIN. GUSTY E WINDS.
.THU...SUB-VFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN ANY RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
DECREASING WINDS TODAY BUT SEAS WILL BE SLOWER TO DIMINISH. MOST
COASTAL ZONES ARE BELOW SCA CONDITIONS. HOWEVER...SEAS WILL
REMAIN 4 TO 6 FT FOR OUTER PORTIONS OF OCEAN ZONES EAST OF FIRE
ISLAND INLET...SO SCA REMAINS A LITTLE LONGER UNTIL 21Z TODAY.

TRANQUIL CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. COLD
FRONT APPROACHES LATE MONDAY...AND A TIGHTENING SW GRADIENT WILL
RESULT IN SCA CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON.

SCA CONDITIONS MONDAY NIGHT BOTH AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...THEN
BEHIND IT INTO TUESDAY MORNING IN RESPONSE TO LOW LEVEL COLD
ADVECTION. IT APPEARS WINDS/SEAS SHOULD SUBSIDE TO BELOW SCA
LEVELS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND REMAIN SO TUESDAY NIGHT.

MARINE FORECAST IS PROBLEMATIC FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...WITH MULTIPLE WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE FORECAST TO PASS
JUST TO THE S OF THE WATERS. FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE WINDS
BEING E TO NE...THE QUESTION IS THE STRENGTH. WITH THE MULTIPLE
LOWS LIKELY NOT ALLOWING FOR A CONSOLIDATION OF ENERGY...WENT SUB-
SMALL CRAFT WINDS WITH SMALL CRAFT LEVEL SEAS ON THE OCEAN WATERS.
HOWEVER...DEPENDING ON EXACTLY HOW THE COASTAL STORMS EVOLVE...THE
POTENTIAL FOR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AND EVEN GALE FORCE WINDS
CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
DRY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION OF AT LEAST 1/2 AN INCH LIQUID EQUIVALENT FROM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
THE CENTRAL PARK ASOS HAS HAD INTERMITTENT FAILURES OVER THE LAST
24 HRS. TEMPERATURE...DEWPOINT...AND BAROMETRIC PRESSURE READINGS
WERE BEING TAKEN FROM BACK-UP SENSORS LOCATED VERY NEAR THE ASOS
IN CENTRAL PARK. TECHNICIANS WILL ATTEMPT TO REPAIR THE ASOS
DURING THE DAY TODAY.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ANZ350-
     353.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MALOIT/MPS
NEAR TERM...JM
SHORT TERM...MPS
LONG TERM...MALOIT
AVIATION...NV
MARINE...MALOIT/JM/MPS
HYDROLOGY...MALOIT/MPS
EQUIPMENT...
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 26, 4:14 AM EST, 11 hours 54 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
414 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-270915-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
414 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-353-355-270915-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
414 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ350-270915-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
414 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

MALOIT

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 26, 12:59 AM ESTGale WarningOKX9 hr
Feb 26, 12:59 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryOKX15 hr
Feb 26, 4:08 PM ESTSmall Craft Advisory for Hazardous SeasOKX3 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.