Small Craft Advisory 14, NWS New York, NY

562 
WHUS71 KOKX 282034
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
334 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-290530-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0014.120129T0000Z-120129T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
334 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE LONG 
  ISLAND BAYS. 

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS LATE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-290530-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0014.120129T0000Z-120129T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
334 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...ATLANTIC OCEAN COASTAL WATERS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 7 FT.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS LATE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

853 
WHUS71 KOKX 290235
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
935 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THROUGH SUNDAY...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-291045-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120129T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
935 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE LONG 
  ISLAND BAYS. 

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS THROUGH AROUND 2 AM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-291045-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120129T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
935 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...ATLANTIC OCEAN COASTAL WATERS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. OCCASIONAL
  GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...5 TO 8 FT...HIGHEST EAST.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

503 
WHUS71 KOKX 290918
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
418 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...
...GALE FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-292130-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120129T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.A.0004.120129T2300Z-120130T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
418 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE BAYS OF
  LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT THIS
  MORNING...BECOME SW THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS INCREASE UP TO 30 KT
  THIS EVENING. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT
  POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT ON THE EASTERN SOUND.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-292130-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120129T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.A.0004.120129T2300Z-120130T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
418 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...BACK TO THE SW
  THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS LIKELY INCREASE UP TO 35 KT THIS
  EVENING...THEN WINDS BECOME W 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT
  LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

* SEAS/WAVES...3 TO 8 FT...HIGHEST EAST.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

MALOIT

429 
WHUS71 KOKX 290924 CCA
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
424 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...
...GALE FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-292145-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120129T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.A.0004.120129T2300Z-120130T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
424 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE BAYS OF
  LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT THIS
  MORNING...BECOME SW THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS INCREASE UP TO 30 KT
  THIS EVENING. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT
  POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT ON THE EASTERN SOUND.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-292145-
/O.COR.KOKX.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120129T2300Z/
/O.COR.KOKX.GL.A.0004.120129T2300Z-120130T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
424 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...BACK TO THE SW
  THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS LIKELY INCREASE UP TO 35 KT THIS
  EVENING...THEN WINDS BECOME W 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT
  LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

* SEAS/WAVES...3 TO 9 FT...HIGHEST EAST. THE SEAS WILL DECREASE
  SLIGHTLY THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN TONIGHT.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

MALOIT

756 
WHUS71 KOKX 290936 CCB
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
435 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...
...GALE FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-292215-
/O.COR.KOKX.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120129T2300Z/
/O.COR.KOKX.GL.A.0004.120129T2300Z-120130T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
435 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE BAYS OF
  LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT THIS
  MORNING...BECOME SW THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS INCREASE UP TO 30 KT
  THIS EVENING. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT
  POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

* SEAS...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT TONIGHT ON LONG ISLAND SOUND.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-292215-
/O.COR.KOKX.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120129T2300Z/
/O.COR.KOKX.GL.A.0004.120129T2300Z-120130T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
435 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...BACK TO THE SW
  THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS LIKELY INCREASE UP TO 35 KT THIS
  EVENING...THEN WINDS BECOME W 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT
  LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

* SEAS/WAVES...3 TO 9 FT...HIGHEST EAST. THE SEAS WILL DECREASE
  SLIGHTLY THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN TONIGHT.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

MALOIT

180 
WHUS71 KOKX 291803
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
103 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT... 
...GALE FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

ANZ335-338-345-355-300215-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120129T2300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.A.0004.120129T2300Z-120130T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
103 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM EST THIS EVENING
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...THE
  SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND...AND THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS
  SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND FROM SANDY HOOK TO FIRE ISLAND INLET. 

* WINDS...WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
  KT THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS TONIGHT 15 TO 25 KT
  WITH GUSTS 30 TO 35 KT. GUSTS UP TO 40 KT OVER OCEAN.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT ON THE OCEAN.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-300215-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120129T2300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.A.0004.120129T2300Z-120130T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
103 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM EST THIS EVENING
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

* LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND BAYS.

* WINDS...WEST WINDS AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT THIS
  AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS 30 TO
  35 KT TONIGHT.

* SEAS/WAVES...2 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-300215-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120129T2300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.A.0004.120129T2300Z-120130T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
103 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM EST THIS EVENING
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE
  ISLAND INLET TO MONTAUK POINT.

* WINDS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT THIS
  AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS 35 TO
  40 KT TONIGHT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FT THIS AFTERNOON...AND 4 TO 8 FT TONIGHT.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

807 
WHUS71 KOKX 292135
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
435 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...ROUGH SEAS AND GALES TONIGHT...

ANZ330-340-300545-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120129T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0004.120129T2300Z-120130T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0007.120129T2300Z-120130T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
435 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND BAYS.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WIND 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT THIS
  EVENING...BECOMING WEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT LATER
  THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

* SEAS/WAVES...2 TO 5 FEET.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-300545-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120129T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0004.120129T2300Z-120130T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0007.120129T2300Z-120130T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
435 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE 
  ISLAND INLET TO MONTAUK POINT. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...BECOMING
  WEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT LATER THIS EVENING AND
  OVERNIGHT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS AFTER MIDNIGHT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-345-355-300545-
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0004.120129T2300Z-120130T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0007.120129T2300Z-120130T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
435 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...SOUTH
  SHORE BAYS...OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO FIRE ISLAND.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO
  25 KT EARLY THIS EVENING...BECOMING WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH
  GUSTS 35 TO 40 KT LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

* SEAS/WAVES...WAVES 2 TO 3 FT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS LATE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

896 
WHUS71 KOKX 292314
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
614 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...ROUGH SEAS AND GALES TONIGHT...

ANZ330-340-350-353-300715-
/O.EXP.KOKX.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120129T2300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120130T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
614 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND BAYS...OCEAN WATERS
  FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO MONTAUK POINT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...2 TO 5 FEET SOUND AND BAYS. 4 TO 7 FEET OCEAN
  WATERS.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-345-355-300715-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-120130T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
614 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

* LOCATION...WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...SOUTH 
  SHORE BAYS...OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO FIRE ISLAND. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...WAVES 2 TO 3 FT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS LATE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1116 AM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE AREA TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A COLD
FRONT PUSHING ACROSS THE TRI-STATE THIS EVENING...THEN HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO OUR SOUTH LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING INTO OUR SOUTH MONDAY. A WARM FRONT APPROACHES
FROM THE SOUTH MONDAY NIGHT...THEN PUSHES TO OUR NORTH
TUESDAY...THEN STALLS OUT JUST TO OUR NORTH TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. A SERIES OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS THEN IMPACT THE
REGION DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. UPDATED TO THE GRIDS THIS MORNING FOR
TRENDS IN THE TEMPERATURES...DEW POINTS...AND WINDS. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE AREA AT THIS TIME AND WINDS HAVE BECOME
LIGHT. AS THE HIGH CONTINUES TO SHIFT TO THE EAST A RETURN FLOW
WILL SET UP. THE HIGH SHIFTS OFF SHORE BY LATE IN THE DAY WITH
WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHING.

ASSOCIATED SUBSIDENCE WILL LIMIT MIXING TO AROUND 925 HPA. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE UNDER CUTTING THE RIDGE SHOULD PRODUCE SCT-POSSIBLY
BKN MID CLOUDS.

FOR TEMPERATURES BLENDED MAV/MET GUIDANCE WITH NAM 2-METER
TEMPERATURES AND A MIX DOWN FROM 925 HPA PER BUFKIT SOUNDINGS.
EXPECT HIGHS TO END UP AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AS A RESULT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
THE CORE OF A 700-500 HPA TROUGH PASSES BY TO OUR NORTH TONIGHT.
COULD SEE JUST ENOUGH FORCING AS ITS ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT
CROSSES THIS EVENING TO YIELD SOME ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS
NORTHERN INTERIOR ZONES THIS EVENING...WITH THE BEST CHANCE ACROSS
FAR NW ZONES. ACCUMULATIONS...IF ANY...SHOULD BE UNDER AN
INCH. BLENDED MAV/MET GUIDANCE FOR LOWS TONIGHT...WITH VALUES 5-10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL EXPECTED.

SW FLOW ALOFT SUNDAY...WITH A PASSING 500 HPA VORTICITY MAXIMUM
SUNDAY AFTERNOON BRINGING INCREASING CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON. A
MAV/MET BLEND WAS USED FOR HIGHS...WITH VALUES AROUND 5 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FORECAST.

ANOTHER 500-700 HPA TROUGH CROSSES THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT. THE
CORE OF ITS DYNAMICS WILL BE A LITTLE FARTHER S THAN THE ONE THAT
PASSES THROUGH THIS EVENING...SO HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ALL
ZONES. LOW LEVEL THERMAL PROFILES SUPPORT MAINLY SNOW
SHOWERS...THOUGH THE BOUNDARY LAYER MAY JUST BE WARM ENOUGH ACROSS
NYC METRO/LONG ISLAND FOR SOME RAIN SHOWERS TO MIX IN AT THE
START. ONCE AGAIN ANY ACCUMULATION WILL BE LIGHT...UNDER AN
INCH...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY ACCUMULATION ACROSS NORTHERN
INTERIOR ZONES. WITH THE SURFACE COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO BE THROUGH
BEFORE SUNRISE...ALONG WITH SOME CLEARING...COULD SEE TEMPERATURES
FALL OFF RATHER QUICKLY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...SO USED LOWER OF
MAV/MET GUIDANCE FOR LOWS. EVEN GIVEN THAT...STILL EXPECT LOWS TO
BE AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

WNW-ZONAL FLOW SETS UP ALOFT MONDAY...SHOULD PROMOTE DECENT MIXING
TO AROUND 850 HPA PER BUFKIT SOUNDINGS. A BLEND OF MAV/MET
GUIDANCE WITH NAM 2-METER TEMPERATURES IS CONSISTENT WITH
THIS...WITH HIGHS NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL...EVEN WITH
ABUNDANT SUNSHINE...DUE TO 850 TEMPERATURES AROUND -10 TO -12C.

WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT DEVELOPS AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT MONDAY NIGHT.
ALSO WILL HAVE A PASSING 700-500 HPA SHORTWAVE - SOME SLIGHT
DIFFERENCES IN TIMING IN STRENGTH AMONGST THE GUIDANCE. DO EXPECT
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY CONDITIONS AT A MINIMUM...WITH MAYBE JUST ENOUGH
FORCING ACROSS NORTHERN INTERIOR ZONES TO SQUEEZE OUT SOME ISOLD
-SHSN. FOR LOWS BLENDED MEX/MEX ENSEMBLE MEAN GUIDANCE WITH HPC
GUIDANCE. EXPECT LOWS ONLY A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE ECMWF AND GFS ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR THROUGH AROUND 00Z
THURSDAY...THEN BEGIN TO DIVERGE...ESPECIALLY IN THEIR HANDLING OF
THE NORTHERN STREAM. FOR NOW USED A GFS/ECMWF BLEND AS BOTH
SOLUTIONS SEEM PLAUSIBLE...BUT LIMIT POPS AFTER WEDNESDAY TO
SLIGHT CHANCE DUE TO UNCERTAINTY. LOW LEVEL THERMAL FIELDS ARE NOT
TO DIFFERENT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...SO THE CONSEQUENCES OF
USING A BLEND ON TEMPERATURE IS NOT TOO BAD.

WEAK RIDGING BUILDS IN ALOFT TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH A WARM
FRONT PROGGED TO LIFT THROUGH TUESDAY...THEN STALL TO OUR NORTH
TUESDAY NIGHT. HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS NE 1/2 OF CWA
TUESDAY MORNING AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACROSS CT
ZONES AND RAIN ELSEWHERE...THEN DRY TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING
UNDER THE RIDGE. AN APPROACHING CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT WARRANTS MAINLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS...EXCEPT CHANCE FAR NW
ZONES. LOW LEVEL THERMAL PROFILES SUPPORT MAINLY RAIN...THOUGH
INTERIOR CT ZONES COULD SEE A MIX OF -SHRA/-SHSN.

THE CORE OF THE CLIPPER PASSES TO OUR N WEDNESDAY...WITH CHANCE
POPS N AND SLIGHT CHANCE POPS S. SINCE IN WARM SECTOR...IT MAKES
SENSE THAT LOW LEVEL MODEL THERMAL FIELDS IN BOTH GFS AND ECMWF
SUGGEST MAINLY -SHRA...THOUGH STILL COULD SEE SOME -SHSN MIXED IN
WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS INTERIOR NE CT ZONES.

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE GFS/ECMWF NOW COME INTO PLAY...WITH FOR
VARIOUS REASONS ONE MODEL OR THE OTHER SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR
MANLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY NIGHT-FRIDAY. AS NOTED BEFORE
CONFIDENCE IN ANY GIVEN SOLUTION IS LOW...SO WENT WITH SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS. BOTH THE ECMWF AND THE GFS IN THE MEAN REFLECT MEAN
TROUGH OVER THE NE US DURING THE TIME FRAME...THEY JUST GO ABOUT
ACHIEVING IT DIFFERENTLY. BECAUSE THEY BOTH HAVE THIS TROUGH IN
THE MEAN...THEIR LOW LEVEL THERMAL FIELDS ARE NOT TOO
DIFFERENT...SO ACTUALLY HAVE A BIT MORE CONFIDENCE IN TEMPERATURE
FORECAST IN THIS TIME FRAME...THAN ANY CALL ON PRECIPITATION. BUT
EVEN THAT CONFIDENCE IS RELATIVELY LOW...AS THESE FAST FLOW
REGIMES DO NOT BEGET A LOT OF CONFIDENCE MUCH BEYOND 3 DAYS OR SO.

FOR TEMPERATURES BLENDED MEX/MEX ENSEMBLE MEAN WITH HPC GUIDANCE
THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD...WITH MAINLY ABOVE NORMAL VALUES
EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A COLD
FRONT PASSING THROUGH TONIGHT.

VFR. MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN WIND SPEED AND DIRECTION
TURNING MORE SOUTHERLY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS VARIABLE THIS MORNING
WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS MOVING ACROSS. WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON LIKELY FAVORING NORTH OF 220 MAGNETIC FOR KLGA AND
KEWR...AND SOUTH OF IT AT KJFK. OCCASIONAL GUSTS AROUND 20 KT ARE
POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS 00Z.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW -SHSN AT KSWF THIS EVENING...WHICH
MAY BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF SUB-VFR CONDITIONS.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

SUN: VFR.
SUN NIGHT: POSSIBLE SUB-VFR AND LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE. W GUSTS
           AROUND 25 KT.
MON: VFR. GUSTS AROUND 20 KT AM.
TUE: VFR.
WED: SUB-VFR POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
SEAS ON THE OCEAN WATERS HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW 5 FT AND THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER WITH WINDS
AND SEAS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO SMALL CRAFT LEVELS ON ALL THE
FORECAST WATERS THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WILL POST THE
ADVISORY AT THIS TIME.

A COLD FRONT WILL THEN APPROACH LATE IN THE DAY TODAY...AND PASS
THROUGH THE WATERS TONIGHT WITH A QUICK SHOT OF COLD AIR
ADVECTION.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT THEN MOVES THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...KICKING WINDS
AND SEAS BACK UP TO SCA CONDITIONS. A FEW GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE NOT
EVEN OUT OF THE QUESTION OVER THE OCEAN WATERS...BUT CONFIDENCE IS
NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO EVEN INCLUDE A MENTION IN THE HWO AT THIS TIME.

WINDS AND SEAS SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH MONDAY...WITH A PERIOD OF
SUB-SCA CONDITIONS PROBABLE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SCA CONDITIONS
COULD BE POSSIBLE AGAIN OVER AT LEAST THE OCEAN WATERS ON WEDNESDAY
AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES IN RESPONSE TO LOW PRESSURE
PASSING TO THE NORTH.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION - OVER 1/4 AN INCH - IS EXPECTED
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY
     FOR ANZ350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...JC/JM
MARINE...MET
HYDROLOGY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
444 AM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-
NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-290945-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-
WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-
WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
444 AM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST
NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

MALOIT