Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 11, NWS New York, NY

January 20, 2012

NWS New York, NY issued this small craft advisory at Jan 20, 2012, 4:16 PM EST. It took effect at Jan 21, 2012, 10:00 AM EST. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 20, 2012, 4:16 PM EST (21:16 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 21, 2012, 10:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 24, 2012, 3:19 PM EST
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

061 
WHUS71 KOKX 202116
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
416 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012

...INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS SATURDAY...

ANZ350-353-355-211000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.120121T2000Z-120122T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
416 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SATURDAY TO 5 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SATURDAY TO 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...3 TO 6 FT.

* TIMING...WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY
  ON SATURDAY. THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED SATURDAY
  NIGHT. THE ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH THE DAY ON
  SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
16 follow-up statements
340 
WHUS71 KOKX 210915
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
415 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

...INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS ON OCEAN AND EASTERN WATERS TODAY
INTO TONIGHT...

ANZ330-340-211715-
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.120121T1700Z-120122T0500Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
415 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND EASTERN BAYS.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TODAY. THE HIGHEST WINDS
  CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-211715-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.120121T1500Z-120122T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
415 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 AM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. OCCASIONAL
  GUSTS UP TO 35 KT POSSIBLE ON EASTERN OCEAN WATERS.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 7 FT...HIGHEST EAST.

* TIMING...WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TODAY. THE
  HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO
  TONIGHT. THE ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH THE DAY
  ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
162 
WHUS71 KOKX 211645
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1145 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ON OCEAN AND EASTERN WATERS THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...

ANZ350-353-355-220045-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120122T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1145 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. OCCASIONAL 
  GUSTS UP TO 35 KT POSSIBLE ON EASTERN OCEAN WATERS. 

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 7 FT...HIGHEST EAST.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS
  AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. THE ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED
  THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-220045-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.120121T1700Z-120122T0500Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
1145 AM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

* LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND EASTERN BAYS.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
  THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
517 
WHUS71 KOKX 212218
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
518 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

...GUSTY WINDS ON THE OCEAN AND EASTERN WATERS THIS EVENING...
...ROUGH SEAS ON THE OCEAN WATERS THROUGH MONDAY...

ANZ350-353-355-220630-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120122T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
518 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. OCCASIONAL
  GUSTS UP TO 35 KT ON THE EASTERN OCEAN WATERS THIS EVENING.

* SEAS/WAVES...5 TO 8 FT...HIGHEST EAST.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS
  EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-220500-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120122T0500Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
518 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

* LOCATION...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND EASTERN BAYS.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
875 
WHUS71 KOKX 220253
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
952 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS TO LINGER INTO MONDAY ON THE OCEAN WATERS...

ANZ330-340-220400-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120122T0500Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
952 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

ANZ350-353-355-221100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120122T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
952 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. 

* SEAS/WAVES...5 TO 9 FT...HIGHEST EAST.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS 
  EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
033 
WHUS71 KOKX 220255
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
955 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS TO LINGER ON THE OCEAN WATERS...

ANZ350-353-355-221100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120122T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
955 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...5 TO 9 FT...HIGHEST EAST.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
379 
WHUS71 KOKX 220911
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
411 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS TO LINGER ON THE OCEAN WATERS TODAY...

ANZ350-353-355-221715-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120122T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
411 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT...BECOMING E
  10 TO 15 KT LATE.

* SEAS/WAVES...5 TO 7 FT EARLY...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT LATE.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
389 
WHUS71 KOKX 221621
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1121 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS TO LINGER ON THE OCEAN WATERS TODAY...

ANZ350-353-355-222300-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120122T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1121 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT...BECOMING E 
  10 TO 15 KT LATE. 

* SEAS/WAVES...5 TO 7 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT LATE.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED EARLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
191 
WHUS71 KOKX 222053
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
353 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

ANZ350-353-355-231000-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120124T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
353 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...EAST TONIGHT...THEN SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP
  TO 30 KT MONDAY.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 6 FT.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR MONDAY AND MONDAY
  EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
931 
WHUS71 KOKX 230906
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
406 AM EST MON JAN 23 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT...

ANZ350-353-355-231715-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120124T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
406 AM EST MON JAN 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BECOMING SW TONIGHT.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 7 FT.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR LATE THIS AFTERNOON
  THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. THE HIGHEST SEAS WILL BE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
001 
WHUS71 KOKX 231655
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1155 AM EST MON JAN 23 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT...

ANZ350-353-355-240100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120124T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1155 AM EST MON JAN 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 7 FT.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR LATE THIS AFTERNOON 
  THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. THE HIGHEST SEAS WILL BE TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MALOIT
137 
WHUS71 KOKX 232106
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
406 PM EST MON JAN 23 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT...

ANZ350-353-355-241000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120124T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
406 PM EST MON JAN 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK
  POINT NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 7 FT.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
875 
WHUS71 KOKX 232229
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
529 PM EST MON JAN 23 2012

...DENSE FOG ON THE AREA WATERS TONIGHT...
...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT...

ANZ350-353-355-241000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.MF.Y.0002.120123T2229Z-120124T1000Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120124T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
529 PM EST MON JAN 23 2012

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK 
  POINT NY OUT 20 NM.

* VISIBILITY...WIDESPREAD 1 NM...AREAS LESS THAN 1 NM AT TIMES.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 7 FT.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. 

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-241000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.MF.Y.0002.120123T2229Z-120124T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
529 PM EST MON JAN 23 2012

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* LOCATION...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE LONG
  ISLAND BAYS.

* VISIBILITY...WIDESPREAD 1 NM...AREAS LESS THAN 1 NM AT TIMES.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. 

&&

$$
169 
WHUS71 KOKX 241014
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
514 AM EST TUE JAN 24 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS THROUGH THIS MORNING...

ANZ350-353-355-241500-
/O.EXP.KOKX.MF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120124T1000Z/
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120124T1500Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
514 AM EST TUE JAN 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK
  POINT NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 6 FT.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-241115-
/O.EXP.KOKX.MF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120124T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
514 AM EST TUE JAN 24 2012

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

VISIBILITIES HAVE IMPROVED THEREFORE THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS
BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$
721 
WHUS71 KOKX 241149
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
649 AM EST TUE JAN 24 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS TODAY...

ANZ350-353-242000-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120124T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
649 AM EST TUE JAN 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK 
  POINT NY OUT 20 NM. 

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 6 FT.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ355-241500-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120124T1500Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
649 AM EST TUE JAN 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO MONTAUK 
  POINT NY OUT 20 NM. 

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT.

* SEAS/WAVES...3 TO 5 FT.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
684 
WHUS71 KOKX 241457
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
957 AM EST TUE JAN 24 2012

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS TODAY...

ANZ355-241600-
/O.EXP.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120124T1500Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
957 AM EST TUE JAN 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

SEAS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 FEET AS WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KT
BECOME SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

ANZ350-353-242300-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120124T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
957 AM EST TUE JAN 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...COASTAL OCEAN WATERS FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET EAST TO MONTAUK
  POINT NY OUT 20 NM.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT THIS
  AFTERNOON.

* SEAS/WAVES...4 TO 6 FT.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
551 
WHUS71 KOKX 242019
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
319 PM EST TUE JAN 24 2012

...ALTHOUGH THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED WINDS AND SEAS MAY
APPROACH ADVISORY LEVELS TONIGHT...

.AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS NORTHWEST WINDS MIGHT
OCCASIONAL GUST TO 25 KT ON THE ATLANTIC OCEAN WATERS AS SEAS RANGE
FROM 3 TO 4 FT.

ANZ350-353-242130-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-120124T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
319 PM EST TUE JAN 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

ALTHOUGH THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...WINDS AND SEAS MAY
APPROACH ADVISORY LEVELS TONIGHT.

AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS NORTHWEST WINDS MIGHT
OCCASIONAL GUST TO 25 KT ON THE ATLANTIC OCEAN WATERS AS SEAS
RANGE FROM 3 TO 4 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 20, 4:13 PM EST, 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 20, 4:13 PM EST, 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
413 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA WILL MOVE TO THE EAST TONIGHT...ALLOWING
WEAK LOW PRESSURE TO APPROACH FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. THE LOW
WILL REACH THE MID ATLANTIC REGION SATURDAY MORNING...AND PASS
SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE STARTING TO
BUILD IN SATURDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA ON
SUNDAY WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE AND ALLOW FOR A SLOW MOVING FRONT TO
APPROACH THEN PASS THE REGION DURING THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.
FAIR WEATHER DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WILL BE FOLLOWED BY
UNSETTLED WEATHER FOR FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
HIGH PRESSURE RETREATS INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. CLEAR SKIES
INITIALLY TONIGHT WILL LEAD TO GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING WITH MOST
LOWS ACHIEVED BEFORE MIDNIGHT. CLOUDS WILL BE INCREASING AS WINDS
LIGHTEN AND BECOME MORE EASTERLY AS THE LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES.
THE FIRST PART WILL BE LOW TO MID LEVEL WAA WITH ISENTROPIC LIFT
WHICH WILL MARK THE ONSET OF PRECIP OUT AHEAD OF THE WARM FRONT
ESPECIALLY AFTER 6Z. TEMPS CLEARLY INDICATE SNOW AS PRECIP TYPE
WITH FURTHER COOLING IN BOUNDARY LAYER EXPECTED AS INITIAL PRECIP
WILL EVAPORATE BEFORE MAKING IT TO THE GROUND.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ISSUED FOR WHOLE AREA. MODELS HAVE GOOD
CONSENSUS OF AT 0.3 TO 0.5 LIQUID EQUIVALENT ACROSS THE AREA.
INTERIOR AREAS CONSIDERING 15 TO 1 LIQUID TO SNOW RATIOS MAKES
FOR A WIDE AREA OF BETWEEN 5 AND ISOLATED AREAS OF 6 INCHES OF
SNOW. LOWER AMOUNTS MAINLY IN THE 4 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW ELSEWHERE.

LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM TENNESSEE VALLEY AND MOVES OFF
DELMARVA COAST. NOT MUCH DEEPENING WITH THE LOW AS UPPER LEVEL
FLOW IS QUASI ZONAL WITHOUT MUCH MERIODIONAL COMPONENT TO FLOW AS
WELL AS A LACK OF PHASING BETWEEN UPPER AND LOWER LEVELS. NE FLOW
SHOULD RESULT IN SOME ENHANCEMENT ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS BUT NOT
CONFIDENT AS TO WHERE THIS ENHANCEMENT WILL TAKE PLACE. THE 0.3 TO
0.5 INCH LIQUID EQUIVALENT HAS SPATIAL VARIANCE WITHIN THE MODELS
AND ACCOUNTS FOR THIS EXTRA UNCERTAINTY. THEREFORE HAVE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TIME BEING. IF WAA ONSET OF SNOW RESULTS IN
QUICK ACCUMULATION OF SEVERAL INCHES ACROSS INTERIOR...SHORT FUSED
WINTER STORM WARNING MAY NEED TO BE REASSESSED. BEST SNOWFALL
WOULD BE STARTING EARLY SAT MORNING AND CONTINUING REST OF MORNING
AS WELL AS INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. 12Z SHOWN BY MODELS TO BE BEST
TIME OF LOW TO MID LEVEL FORCING WITH DECENT Q VECTOR CONVERGENCE
FROM 850 TO 500 MB.

BUFKIT INDICATES WARMING LOW LEVELS FROM 900 TO 850 MB TO NEAR TO
SLIGHTLY ABOVE 0 DEGREES C SAT MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
THIS WOULD LEAD TO SOME MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET ESPECIALLY NEAR THE
CITY AND COAST.

PRECIP SHOULD TAPER OFF DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AS LOW PUSHES
EAST AND FORCING DECREASES...BUT LOW CLOUDS WILL REMAIN...AND
THERE COULD BE A PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE FOR COASTAL SECTIONS
AND LIGHT SLEET AND SNOW SHOWERS INLAND AS MID LEVEL DRYING
STARTS. HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO BUILD IN FROM NORTH LATER SATURDAY
NIGHT WITH SKIES STARTING TO CLEAR OUT. COLD LOWS EXPECTED
RANGING MAINLY FROM LOWER TEENS TO LOWER 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRES RIDGES OVER THE CWA ON SUN. DRY WEATHER WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
CONDITIONS. CLOUDS INCREASE RAPIDLY LATE IN THE DAY AND OVERNIGHT AS
SLY FLOW INCREASES. MOISTURE TRANSPORT VECTORS INDICATE GULF
MOISTURE BEGINNING TO PUMP INTO THE REGION. LIGHT PCPN LIKELY...WITH
TH ONSHORE FLOW RESULTING IN -RA COASTS BUT SOME FZRA AND SLEET
INTERIOR. COULD BE AN ADVY EVENT ACROSS THE INTERIOR IF THE LLVL
COLD AIR HANGS IN LONG ENOUGH FOR THE FZRA. PCPN TURNS TO RAIN MON
AS THE DEEP H5 TROF OVER THE MIDWEST APPROACHES AND THE WARM FRONT
JUMPS INTO CNTRL NEW ENGLAND. MOISTURE CONVERGENCE OVER THE AREA
ASSISTS WITH RAINFALL CHANCES...DESPITE THE UPR LVL FORCING
REMAINING W OF THE CWA. FOG POSSIBLE WITH WAA OVER THE EXPECTED
SNOWPACK. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT COMES THRU MON NIGHT. 12Z MODELS ALL
INLINE WITH THIS TIMING. A PERIOD OF MDT TO LOCALLY HVY RAIN CAN BE
EXPECTED. WEATHER DRIES OUT ON TUE AND HAVE REMOVED CHANCES FOR PCPN
TUE DUE TO THE IMPROVED MODEL AGREEMENT. NW FLOW WITH SOME CAA...BUT
TEMPS APPEAR TO BE ABV CLIMO ATTM. DRY WED AND THU WITH A MODERATING
RIDGE OF HIGH PRES OVER THE CWA. SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES WITH THE
INTENSITY OF THE HIGH...WITH THE 12Z GFS IN THE 1030S BEFORE
WEAKENING...AND THE 12Z ECMWF IN THE MID 1020S. A WEAK SHORTWAVE
WILL LIKELY PASS AT SOME POINT WED AND THU...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
FEW SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES...BUT THE TIMING IS SO UNCERTAIN THAT THE
FCST HAS BEEN LEFT DRY. NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES THU NGT AND FRI.
BASED ON THE CURRENT FCST TRACK...LOOKS LIKE A MAINLY RAIN MAKER
ATTM...ALTHOUGH WITH THE NIGHTTIME ONSET OF PCPN COULD BE A MIX TO
START. CHANCE POPS HAVE BEEN INCLUDED FOR THIS SYSTEM.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VFR INTO EARLY TONIGHT. MVFR/IFR AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...WITH POSSIBLY
PERIODS OF LIFR TOMORROW MORNING AS PRECIP MOVES INTO THE REGION.
CURRENT THINKING IS PRECIP WILL BEGIN AS SNOW AND REMAIN SNOW
THROUGH THE NIGHT. HAVE INCLUDED SLEET IN FOR KJFK AND KEWR AS THERE
LOOKS TO BE A CHC OF SOME SLEET MIXING IN WITH SNOW RIGHT ALONG THE
COAST AFTER 18Z. INCLUDED A TEMPO GROUP TO INDICATE TIMING OF THE
HEAVIER PRECIP...WHICH SHOULD OCCUR BETWEEN 12Z AND 18Z. BETWEEN 1
TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME. OVERALL SNOW
STORM TOTAL IS CURRENTLY LOOKING TO BE BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES NEAR
THE COAST AND AROUND 5 INCHES INLAND.

WINDS GO LIGHT AND VARIABLE FOR THE EVENING THROUGH AROUND
MIDNIGHT...THEN TURN EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY FOR THE MORNING
HOURS. WINDS PICK UP IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW TOMORROW AFTERNOON...SO
HAVE INCLUDED GUSTS IN WITH THE COASTAL 30 HR TAF SITES...TIMING MAY
NEED TO BE ADJUSTED TO SOONER IN THE DAY.

HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING IN...WITH SCT TO BKN SKIES CURRENTLY.
SHOULD SEE DIMINISHING CIGS AND VIS BY SAT MORNING...WITH BEST
CHANCE OF IFR AFTER 09Z AND POSSIBLE LIFR BETWEEN 12 AND 18Z.

  ...NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...

DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS CAN
BE FOUND AT:  HTTP:/WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS MAY BE NEEDED TO ADJUST TIMING
AND STRENGTH OF GUSTS.

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS MAY BE NEEDED TO ADJUST TIMING
AND STRENGTH OF GUSTS.

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS MAY BE NEEDED TO ADJUST TIMING
AND STRENGTH OF GUSTS. WINDS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MAINLY RIGHT OF 310
LINE TODAY...THOUGH MAY OCCASIONALLY GO TO THE LEFT SIDE THROUGH
00Z.

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS MAY BE NEEDED TO ADJUST TIMING
AND STRENGTH OF GUSTS.

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS MAY BE NEEDED TO ADJUST TIMING
AND STRENGTH OF GUSTS.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
SAT AFTERNOON...IFR EARLY IN ANY WINTRY PRECIP...BECOMING MVFR BY
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. VFR OVERNIGHT.
SUNDAY...VFR.
MONDAY...SUB-VFR POSSIBLE IN MAINLY RAIN.
TUESDAY...SUB VFR EARLY...THEN BECOMING VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
SUB SCA CONDITIONS UNTIL SYSTEM PASSES SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND AND
STRONG NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OCCURS AS THE LOW STRENGTHENS AS IT
PASSES OFFSHORE AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN FROM NORTH. THEN WIND
GUSTS WILL EXCEED 25 KT AND SCA ISSUED TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS. SEAS
ALSO BUILD TO AT LEAST 5 FT BY LATE SAT AFTERNOON.

CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE ON SUN AS HIGH PRES BUILDS OVER THE WATERS.
SCA SEAS IN THE MORNING ON THE OCEAN WILL SUBSIDE TO BLW SCA LVLS
DURING THE DAY. SLY FLOW INCREASES LATE SUN NIGHT AS THE HIGH SLIDES
OFFSHORE AND LOW PRES TO THE W SLOWLY TRACKS TOWARDS THE WATERS. SCA
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY MON FOR WINDS ON ALL WATERS...AND LIKELY SUN
NGT AND MON ON THE OCEAN FOR HIGH SEAS. THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NW MON NGT AS THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PASSES. SCA CONDITIONS THEN
POSSIBLE INTO WED WITH BRISK NW FLOW...ESPECIALLY ERN WATERS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
AROUND 1/2 INCH QPF EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO SAT AFTERNOON...
MAINLY AS SNOW. MODERATE RAIN OVER ANY RESIDUAL SNOWPACK MAY
RESULT IN AREAS OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING MON AND MON
NGT.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
TIDAL DEPARTURES OF AROUND 1 1/2 FT NEEDED FOR MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING DURING THE MORNING HIGH TIDES SAT AND SUN. TIDAL DEPARTURES
SHOULD BE MINIMAL SAT MORNING WITH EASTERLY GRADIENT JUST
BEGINNING TO PICK UP. IDAL DEPARTURES WILL LIKELY INCREASE FOR SUN
MORNING HIGH TIDES IN THE WAKE OF LOW PRESSURE...BUT WATER LEVELS
CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW MINOR COASTAL FLOOD THRESHOLDS
DUE TO MAINLY NORTHERLY TRAJECTORY OF WINDS.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     CTZ005>012.
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179.
NJ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 PM SATURDAY TO 5 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
     ANZ350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JM
NEAR TERM...JM
SHORT TERM...JM
LONG TERM...JMC
AVIATION...SEARS
MARINE...JMC/JM
HYDROLOGY...JM
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 20, 3:44 PM EST, 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
344 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-212045-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
344 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-212045-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
344 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

JMC

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 20, 3:41 AM ESTWinter Storm WatchOKXOrange, Putnam, Rockland, Westchester12 hr
Jan 20, 3:41 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryOKXBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Orange, Putnam and 5 more36 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.