Special Weather Statement, NWS Nashville, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
159 PM CDT WED JUL 4 2012

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPS HAVE PUSHED WELL INTO THE 90'S AT MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS
MIDDLE TENNESSEE WITH UPPER 80S ON THE PLATEAU. SHOULD SEE SOME
TEMPS TOP OUT AT A FEW LOCATIONS AROUND 100 INTERSTATE 65 WEST.
BEGINNING TO SEE ACTIVITY DEVELOPING OVER FAR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
AND FAR WESTERN KENTUCKY. I LOOK FOR THIS ACTIVITY TO MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD WITH SCATTERED DEVELOPMENT IN NORTHWEST MIDDLE
TENNESSEE AFTER 20Z. EXPECT WE WILL SEE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
STORMS IN THE VICINITY OF NASHVILLE BY 23Z IF NOT BEFORE. A FEW
STORMS COULD PRODUCE WET MICROBURSTS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS DUE
TO WATER LOADING. ALSO...BEGINNING TO SEE SOME DEVELOPMENT OVER
SOUTHEASTERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE DOWN INTERSTATE 24 IN GRUNDY COUNTY.

WE WILL HAVE A CHANCE FOR STORMS TONIGHT ALL AREAS BUT WILL RUN
A LITTLE HIGHER POPS OVER THE SOUTH AND EAST. WILL KEEP THE HEAT
ON THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STORMS EACH
PERIOD. HAVE INCREASED POPS BEGINNING ON SUNDAY AS FRONTAL SYSTEM
GETS CLOSER TO THE MID STATE AS IT DROPS DOWN INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY. THE FRONT IS STRETCHED WEST TO EAST ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN KENTUCKY AT 12Z MONDAY. MANUAL PROGS HAVE FRONT ALONG THE
ALABAMA BORDER BY 12Z TUESDAY. THE FRONT WILL KNOCK TEMPS DOWN
CLOSER TO THE 30-YEAR CLIMATIC NORMALS BEGINNING ON TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      74  99  75 100 /  20  20  20  10
CLARKSVILLE    73  98  73 100 /  20  20  20  05
CROSSVILLE     70  92  68  94 /  30  20  20  20
COLUMBIA       74  99  74  99 /  30  20  20  20
LAWRENCEBURG   72  99  73  99 /  30  20  20  20
WAVERLY        72  98  73 100 /  20  20  20  05

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

BOYD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
540 AM CDT WED JUL 4 2012

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-051045-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-BENTON-
HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-
SMITH-JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-
WILLIAMSON-MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-
CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-
GILES-
540 AM CDT WED JUL 4 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY WILL PRODUCE HEAT
INDICES OF 100 TO 105 DEGREES TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

HOT TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAT INDICES
OF 100 TO 105 DEGREES THROUGH FRIDAY. ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

EVEN THOUGH ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BRIEF AND
ISOLATED, SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND BE PREPARED TO CALL IN ANYTHING REACHING REPORTING
CRITERIA.

SPOTTER THUNDERSTORM REPORTING CRITERIA...
TORNADO
FUNNEL CLOUD
FLOODING
HAIL >= 1/2 INCH
WINDS > 50 MPH (MEASURED)
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE
TREES OR POWER LINES DOWN

04

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