Special Weather Statement, NWS Nashville, TN

Benton County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Clay County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Davidson County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Macon County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, White County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
416 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2012

.DISCUSSION...
FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE OH VALLEY SINKING SLOWLY SOUTH...WITH
PRETTY HEALTHY LEWP AHEAD DROPPING SOUTHEAST IN NORTHWEST ML FLOW.
THIS TREND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE LATE MORNING...WITH
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CLIPPING THE EXTREME NORTH AND EAST COUNTIES
EARLY THIS MORNING. LINE THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SOME 12-18Z...BECOMING
MORE SCT IN NATURE THIS AFTERNOON. AIRMASS REMAINS PLENTY UNSTABLE
AND ISO SEVERE STILL IN THE EQUATION LATER TODAY. BEST CHANCE REMAINS
ACROSS THE NORTH AND EAST.

THIS TREND HOLDS INTO THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK AS RIDGES ACROSS
THE REGION REMAIN DIRTY...WITH SERIES OF PASSING IMPULSES. THIS
COMBINED WITH WEAK SFC VICINITY BOUNDARY AND UNSTABLE AIR WILL
KEEP ISO-SCT TSTMS GOING THRU 12Z MON.

LATER MON...THINGS BECOME LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AS COLD FRONT
DROPS INTO THE MS RIVER VALLEY AS SFC LOW CROSSES THE MIDWEST.
THIS WILL INCREASE LL FORCING AS WELL AS MOISTURE ADVECTION AHEAD
ALLOWING STORMS TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE NORTH/WEST.
ML/UL FLOW NOT ESPECIALLY STRONG THUS COLD FRONT WILL BE SLOW TO
MOVE ACROSS THE MID-STATE. COLD FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE INTO THE CWA
AROUND 12Z TUE...THEN TAKE MOST OF THE DAY TO PUSH EAST. THIS WILL
KEEP SHWRS/STMS QUITE WIDESPREAD MON NIGHT THRU TUE.

SHWRS/STORMS DECREASE DRASTICALLY TUE NIGHT BEHIND FRONT...BUT
PASSING ML/UL TROUGH AXIS POSSIBLY SETTING OFF A FEW SHOWERS
NORTHEAST ON WED.

BEHIND FRONT AND UPPER TROUGHS...DRY AND COOLER WEATHER EXPECTED
TO RETURN WED NIGHT WHICH AT THIS POINT LOOKS TO HOLD INTO THE
FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      89  68  88  69 /  40  20  30  30
CLARKSVILLE    89  66  88  67 /  30  20  30  30
CROSSVILLE     84  61  83  63 /  50  20  20  30
COLUMBIA       90  67  88  68 /  30  20  30  30
LAWRENCEBURG   90  67  88  66 /  20  20  30  40
WAVERLY        90  66  88  67 /  30  20  30  30

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

07

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
407 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2012

TNZ005>011-023-025>034-051000-
CHEATHAM-CLAY-DAVIDSON-DICKSON-FENTRESS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-MACON-
MONTGOMERY-OVERTON-PICKETT-PUTNAM-ROBERTSON-SMITH-STEWART-SUMNER-
TROUSDALE-WILSON-
407 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CHEATHAM...CLAY...DAVIDSON...
DICKSON...FENTRESS...HOUSTON...JACKSON...MACON...MONTGOMERY...
OVERTON...PICKETT...PUTNAM...ROBERTSON...SMITH...STEWART...SUMNER...
TROUSDALE AND WILSON COUNTIES...

AT 402 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS ARE TRACKING
A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY ALIGNED WEST TO
EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN KENTUCKY. A GUST FRONT HAS PUSHED AHEAD OF THE
MAIN LINE OF STORMS AND WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE NORTHERN TIER OF
COUNTIES OF ROBERTSON AND SUMNER AROUND 5 AM CDT.

WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

LAT...LON 3629 8479 3629 8487 3615 8491 3617 8503
      3613 8513 3624 8774 3664 8773 3661 8479
      3641 8466

BOYD

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