River Flood Advisory 4, NWS Nashville, TN

836 
WGUS84 KOHX 061213
FLSOHX
FLOOD ADVISORY 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 
613 AM CST MON FEB 6 2012

 
...THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE TENNESSEE RIVER...

  TENNESSEE RIVER AT CLIFTON AFFECTING DECATUR...HARDIN...PERRY AND WAYNE 
  COUNTIES 
 
.THE TENNESSEE RIVER AT CLIFTON IS EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW ACTION STAGE THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER INFORMATION 
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

TNC039-071-135-181-061800-
/O.CON.KOHX.FL.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-120206T1800Z/
/CLNT1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
613 AM CST MON FEB 6 2012

THE FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
  THE TENNESSEE RIVER AT CLIFTON
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 370.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO NEAR 361.8 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* AT 366.0 FEET...IN HARDIN COUNTY...WATER INUNDATES LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL 
  AREAS AND ACCESS ROADS IN THE COBB FARM AREA OF NANCE BEND...INCLUDING SENATOR
  COBB ROAD AND COLONEL HARDIN ROAD.
* AT 365.0 FEET...IN DECATUR COUNTY...LOW LYING AREAS OF THE RIVERSTONE MARINA 
  BECOME INUNDATED.
* AT 364.5 FEET...IN DECATUR COUNTY...WATER BEGINS TO INUNDATE PORTIONS OF 
  SCENIC LANE IN THE RUSS FARM AREA AND ACCESS MAY BE LIMITED TO SOME HOUSES 
  ALONG THE RIVER.
* AT 364.0 FEET...IN WAYNE COUNTY...IN THE BEECH CREEK AREA WATER BEGINS TO 
  INUNDATE LOW LYING AREAS ON THE NORTH END OF BEECHVIEW DRIVE AND THE BEECH 
  LAKE CAMPGROUND ON BEECH LAKE ROAD. IN HARDIN COUNTY...WATER BEGINS TO 
  INUNDATE THE LOW LYING AREAS OF COBB FARM IN NANCE BEND.


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
331 PM CST SUN FEB 5 2012

.DISCUSSION...REMAINS OF THE FRONTAL SYSTEM ARE LOCATED OVER THE
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN US WITH A WEAK SFC TROUGH EXTENDING WWD
ACROSS TN/AR. SFC RIDGE IS CENTERED OVER THE PLAINS.

THE RIDGE WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE MIDSTATE ON MONDAY AS ANOTHER
FRONTAL SYSTEM SWEEPS SEWD ACROSS THE OH/TN VALLEYS LATE TUE/TUE NGT.
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT WILL YIELD A CHANCE OF RAIN
FOR TUE NGT AND WED.

DRY AIR TAKES HOLD FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS A STRONG SFC RIDGE
CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON WED EVE MOVES EWD ACROSS THE
AREA ON THU/THU NGT.

AT THIS POINT THE GFS AND ECM SOLUTIONS DIVERGE. THE GFS DEVELOPS
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND SOUTH TX. THE
GFS SPREADS THE ASSOCIATED MOISTURE NEWD ACROSS THE DEEP
SOUTH...INCLUDING THE MIDSTATE. THE GFS MOVES THIS LARGE BLOB OF
MOISTURE ACROSS THE SERN STATES ON FRI NGT THROUGH SUN.
IN THE MEANTIME...THE ECM PUSHES A LARGE COLD HIGH PRESSURE AREA
SEWD FROM THE GREAT PLAINS ON FRI WITH THE RIDGE SITTING OVER THE
OH VALLEY LATE SAT.

THE CONSENSUS SEEMS TO BE WITH THE ECM ON THIS ONE. THATS FINE
WITH ME...SINCE THE ECM HAS A BETTER RECORD IN THE 4-7 DAY RANGE
AND SEEMS ALSO TO HANDLE THESE SRN STREAM FEATURES BETTER THAN THE GFS.
THUS THE FORECAST IS DRY AFTER WED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      38  54  32  56 /   0  05  05  10
CLARKSVILLE    36  52  31  53 /  05  05  05  10
CROSSVILLE     34  50  31  52 /   0  05  05  05
COLUMBIA       38  55  32  57 /   0  05  05  10
LAWRENCEBURG   36  54  32  57 /   0  05  05  10
WAVERLY        36  53  31  55 /   0  05  05  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

JLM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
516 AM CST SUN FEB 5 2012

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-061130-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-BENTON-
HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-
SMITH-JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-
WILLIAMSON-MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-
CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-
GILES-
516 AM CST SUN FEB 5 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

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